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Forecast

Fern Bay (32.8733°S, 151.7938°E, 8m AMSL) set as my default location ›

  1. My MLA

  2. Current condition

    TODAY
    Sunny 21°
    Chance of rain: 5%
    Likely amount: < 1mm
    First
    light
    Sunrise Sunset Last light
    Sunrise Sunset
    6:25am EST 6:52am EST 5:07pm EST 5:33pm EST
    NOW
    9.5° Feels Like: 6.2°
    Relative Humidity: 73%
    Dew: 4.9°
    Wind: NW 11km/h
    Gust: NW 11km/h
    Rainfall since 9am: 0.0mm
    Pressure:  
  3. Today Weather

    Fern Bay
    Now
    3.7°c
    Feels Like:
    2.2°
    Wind:
    CAL 0km/h
    Gusts:
    0km/h
    Humidity:
    94%
    Sunny
     
    Min
    21°
    Max
    Today in Fern Bay
    Areas of fog and frost in the morning. Sunny afternoon. Light winds becoming N/NW 15 to 20 km/h in the middle of the day then becoming light in the late afternoon. Overnight temperatures falling to between minus 1 and 3 above zero with daytime temperatures reaching between 17 and 20.
    Tomorrow
    Sunny
    Min
    22°
    Max
    Sunny. Winds NW 15 to 20 km/h increasing to 25 to 35 km/h in the morning then becoming N/NW and light in the evening. Overnight temperatures falling to between 3 and 7 with daytime temperatures reaching between 18 and 22.
  4. Radar

  5. Popup Radar

  6. Warnings

    There are no current warnings for Fern Bay

  7. Next 48 Hours


    Next 48 Hours


  8. 7 day forecast

    Today: Areas of fog and frost in the morning. Sunny afternoon. Light winds becoming N/NW 15 to 20 km/h in the middle of the day then becoming light in the late afternoon. Overnight temperatures falling to between minus 1 and 3 above zero with daytime temperatures reaching between 17 and 20.

    Forecast for Fern Bay (32.8733°S, 151.7938°E, 8m AMSL)
      Sat Sun Mon Tue Wed Thu Fri
    Summary Sunny Sunny Increasing sunshine Sunny Sunny Mostly sunny Mostly sunny
    Minimum
    Maximum 21° 22° 22° 23° 20° 20° 21°
    Chance of rain 5% 10% 5% 10% 30% 30% 30%
    Likely amount < 1mm < 1mm < 1mm < 1mm 1-5mm < 1mm < 1mm
    UV index Moderate Moderate Moderate Moderate - - -
    Frost risk Moderate Nil Nil Nil Nil Nil Nil
      9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm
    Wind speed 12
    (km/h)
    17
    (km/h)
    17
    (km/h)
    20
    (km/h)
    13
    (km/h)
    11
    (km/h)
    19
    (km/h)
    22
    (km/h)
    26
    (km/h)
    22
    (km/h)
    20
    (km/h)
    17
    (km/h)
    11
    (km/h)
    17
    (km/h)
    Wind direction NNW NE NNW NNW WNW NE NNW NNW WNW WSW W S NW NW
    Relative humidity 70% 48% 60% 46% 66% 48% 66% 43% 56% 41% 66% 55% 72% 48%
    Dew point 3°C 10°C 3°C 10°C 7°C 11°C 7°C 10°C 5°C 7°C 4°C 11°C 7°C 10°C
  9. 28 Day Rainfall forecast

    Fern Bay Rain Forecast


    Fern Bay 28-day Rainfall Forecast
    SUN
    MON
    TUE
    WED
    THU
    FRI
    SAT
    20
    21
    22
    23
    24
    25
    26
    27
    LOW
    28
    LOW
    29
    LOW
    30
    31
    Aug 1
    2
    MEDIUM
    3
    LOW
    4
    LOW
    5
    6
    LOW
    7
    8
    LOW
    9
    LOW
    10
    11
    LOW
    12
    13
    14
    LOW
    15
    16
    17
    CHANCE OF RAINFALL WITHIN DISTRICT
    NIL < 25%
    LOW 25% to 50%
    MEDIUM 50% to 75%
    HIGH ≥ 75%
    Issued Jul19

    Issue Notes

    The hemispheric long wave pattern has remained stable in recent weeks. There are five main troughs. Currently the most significant troughs are near the longitudes of South Africa, the Indian Ocean, Western Australia, the southeast Pacific, and the Atlantic Ocean.

    Summary:

    Over southern and eastern Australia the cold front events with potential to bring widespread rain are now expected about 8 August to 12 August, 12 August to 16 August, and 20 August to 24 August. Rain events originating in the tropics and moving south are possible about 17 July to 21 July. Over Western Australia the strongest cold fronts should occur about 26 July to 30 July, 8 August to 12 August, and 13 August to 17 August.

  10. 12 Month Rainfall Forecast

    Fern Bay Rain Forecast


    Fern Bay 12-month Rainfall Forecast
    Jul
    Aug
    Sep
    Oct
    Nov
    Dec
    Jan
    Feb
    Mar
    Apr
    May
    Jun
    2019
    2020
    7
    5
    6
    4
    6
    6
    5
    8
    6
    7
    6
    8
    10
    5
    0
    1
    2 - 3
    4 - 7
    8 - 9
    10
    Well below normal
    Below normal
    Near normal
    Above normal
    Well above normal

    Issue Notes - Issued Jul 10

    ENSO status: Neutral Sea surface temperatures (SSTs) showed a cooling trend over the central Pacific during June, though remain on the warmer side of neutral across the equatorial Pacific. The Nino3.4 index lingered between 0.6 and 0.5 through the month of June.The Southern Oscillation Index (SOI) recorded a value of -10.4 in June, remaining within El Nino territory. Current consensus suggests warmer than average SSTs will remain across the equatorial Pacific Ocean through the remainder of winter. Moreover, seven out of eight international models maintain a warmer than average Pacific Ocean through the remainder of 2019, with a 50-60% chance of an El Nino developing again later this year. The climate outlook for winter and early spring continues to favour an average-to-below average rainfall outlook across the southern half of Australia. A Positive IOD is now established over the Indian Ocean, with five out of six international models exhibiting a moderate-to-strong event lasting until late spring. During Positive IODs, central and southeastern Australia tend to see a reduction in rainfall during the second half of winter and the first half of spring. SSTs along the eastern seaboard remain significantly warmer than average, maintaining a high risk of extreme weather events such as East Coast Lows (ECLs). These can bring intense periods of rainfall east of the Great Dividing Range, leading to flash flooding.

  11. Long range rainfall forecast

    Fern Bay Rain Forecast


    Fern Bay 28-day Rainfall Forecast
    SUN
    MON
    TUE
    WED
    THU
    FRI
    SAT
    20
    21
    22
    23
    24
    25
    26
    27
    LOW
    28
    LOW
    29
    LOW
    30
    31
    Aug 1
    2
    MEDIUM
    3
    LOW
    4
    LOW
    5
    6
    LOW
    7
    8
    LOW
    9
    LOW
    10
    11
    LOW
    12
    13
    14
    LOW
    15
    16
    17
    CHANCE OF RAINFALL WITHIN DISTRICT
    NIL < 25%
    LOW 25% to 50%
    MEDIUM 50% to 75%
    HIGH ≥ 75%
    Issued Jul19

    Issue Notes

    The hemispheric long wave pattern has remained stable in recent weeks. There are five main troughs. Currently the most significant troughs are near the longitudes of South Africa, the Indian Ocean, Western Australia, the southeast Pacific, and the Atlantic Ocean.

    Summary:

    Over southern and eastern Australia the cold front events with potential to bring widespread rain are now expected about 8 August to 12 August, 12 August to 16 August, and 20 August to 24 August. Rain events originating in the tropics and moving south are possible about 17 July to 21 July. Over Western Australia the strongest cold fronts should occur about 26 July to 30 July, 8 August to 12 August, and 13 August to 17 August.

  12. Popup - Daily historical

  13. Past 5 Days

    Fern Bay Past 5 Days

    This Month
    Minimum Maximum Rainfall
    Monday
    Jul 15
    10.2 °C 17.6 °C
    0.0 mm
    Tuesday
    Jul 16
    9.1 °C 20 °C
    0.0 mm
    Wednesday
    Jul 17
    9.1 °C 18.7 °C
    0.0 mm
    Thursday
    Jul 18
    10.7 °C 20.9 °C
    0.0 mm
    Friday
    Jul 19
    8.2 °C 20 °C
    0.0 mm
    Legend
  14. Almanac

    Almanac


    Fern Bay minimum temp history (32.8733°S, 151.7938°E, 8m AMSL)
    MAXIMUM TEMPERATURE MINIMUM TEMPERATURE
    Hottest this month 21.5° 02/07/2019 Coldest this month 6.6° 01/07/2019
    Hottest on record 26.3 24/07/1990 Coldest on record 1.8 27/07/1986
    Hottest this year 38.2° 26/01/2019 Coldest this year 6.6° 01/07/2019
    Long term average 17.1° Long term average 8.7°
    Average this month 18.9° Average this month 10.3°
    Hottest July On Record Avg. max. temp. 18.9° 2013 Coldest July on record Avg. min. temp. 6.7° 1964
    Fern Bay rainfall history (32.8733°S, 151.7938°E, 8m AMSL)
    RAINFALL
    Wettest This Month 6.8mm 05/07/2019 Total This Month 21.6mm
    5.0 days
    Long Term Average 93.6mm 11.2 days Wettest July on record 351.1mm 2013
  15. Popup - Radar

  16. Year to Date

    Fern Bay Year To Date

    Average Rainfall To Jul 762.2mm 83.4 day(s)
    Total For 2019 402.0mm 67.0 day(s)
    Total To This Day 2018 672.6mm 64.0 day(s)
    Wettest Day 42.0mm Jun24
    Lowest Temperature 6.6°C Jul 1
    Highest Temperature 38.2°C Jan26
  17. Popup - Monthly historical

  18. Climatology

    Fern Bay Climatology

    Long-Term Averages
    Jan Feb Mar Apr May Jun Jul Aug Sep Oct Nov Dec Ann
    Mean Max (°C) 25.1 25.0 24.4 22.9 20.3 17.9 17.1 18.3 20.3 21.9 22.9 24.3 21.7
    Mean Min (°C) 19.6 19.8 18.5 15.7 12.4 10.1 8.7 9.6 11.9 14.4 16.4 18.3 14.6
    Mean Rain (mm) 90.1 107.6 119.8 117.2 115.8 118.1 93.6 73.6 72.1 72.9 71.2 80.9 1134.5
    Mean Rain Days 11.1 11.2 12.4 12.3 12.7 12.5 11.2 10.5 10.1 10.9 10.7 10.6 135.1