Forecast
Emu Swamp (33.3257°S, 149.2002°E, 858m AMSL) set as my default location ›
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My MLA
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Current condition
TOMORROW14° 19° clearing shower Chance of rain: 80% Likely amount: 1-5mm First
lightLast light Sunrise Sunset 6:42am EDT 7:07am EDT 7:14pm EDT 7:39pm EDT NOW23.8° Feels Like: 22.0° Relative Humidity: 52% Dew: 13.6° Wind: N 15km/h Gust: 15km/h Rainfall since 9am: 0.0mm Pressure: 1017.4hPa -
Today Weather
Emu SwampNow26.3°cFeels Like:24.1°Wind:NW 13km/hGusts:13km/hHumidity:38%14°Min19°MaxToday in Emu SwampCloudy. High chance of showers, most likely in the morning and early afternoon. The chance of a thunderstorm. Winds N/NW 20 to 30 km/h shifting S/SE in the late afternoon. Overnight temperatures falling to between 15 and 19 with daytime temperatures reaching 20 to 26.Tomorrow14°Min19°MaxMostly sunny. Winds SE 15 to 25 km/h turning E 25 to 35 km/h during the morning. Overnight temperatures falling to between 6 and 12 with daytime temperatures reaching between 17 and 24. -
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Popup Radar
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Warnings
There are no current warnings for Emu Swamp
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7 day forecast
Today: Cloudy. High chance of showers, most likely in the morning and early afternoon. The chance of a thunderstorm. Winds N/NW 20 to 30 km/h shifting S/SE in the late afternoon. Overnight temperatures falling to between 15 and 19 with daytime temperatures reaching 20 to 26.
Forecast for Emu Swamp (33.3257°S, 149.2002°E, 858m AMSL) Wed Thu Fri Sat Sun Mon Tue Summary Minimum 14° 6° 7° 8° 9° 9° 9° Maximum 19° 18° 21° 21° 21° 21° 21° Chance of rain 80% 5% 5% 20% 10% 20% 30% Likely amount 1-5mm < 1mm < 1mm < 1mm < 1mm 1-5mm 1-5mm UV index Very High Very High Very High High High High High Fire Danger Rating Moderate Moderate Moderate Moderate - - - Frost risk Nil Nil Nil Nil Nil Nil Nil 9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm Wind speed 17
(km/h)21
(km/h)23
(km/h)19
(km/h)16
(km/h)8
(km/h)8
(km/h)10
(km/h)8
(km/h)12
(km/h)10
(km/h)15
(km/h)10
(km/h)13
(km/h)Wind direction WNW SW E E ENE N E ESE NNE SSW NW W SSW WSW Relative humidity 100% 71% 81% 55% 87% 53% 84% 51% 87% 51% 68% 42% 71% 51% Dew point 18°C 12°C 7°C 8°C 10°C 10°C 12°C 10°C 13°C 10°C 9°C 7°C 10°C 10°C -
28 Day Rainfall forecast
Emu Swamp Rain Forecast
Emu Swamp 28-day Rainfall ForecastSUNMONTUEWEDTHUFRISAT19
20
21
CHANCE OF RAINFALL WITHIN DISTRICTNIL < 25%LOW 25% to 50%MEDIUM 50% to 75%HIGH ≥ 75%Issued Mar19Issue Notes
The hemispheric long wave pattern has remained stable in recent weeks. There are four main troughs. Currently the most significant troughs are near the longitudes of the Indian Ocean, eastern Australia, the southeast Pacific, and the Atlantic Ocean.
Summary:
Over southern and eastern Australia the cold front events with potential to bring widespread rain are now expected about 2024-03-18, 2024-03-23 and 2024-04-05. Rain events originating in the tropics and moving south are possible about 2024-03-18, 2024-03-23 and 2024-03-28. Over Western Australia the strongest cold fronts should occur about 2024-03-18 and 2024-03-23.
Forecast ExplanationThis forecast is produced by a multi-model ensemble consisting of dynamical atmospheric models, which are forced by the latest observed atmosphere, ocean, land and ice conditions. The models are designed to simulate features of the real atmosphere, including the daily movement of long and short wave patterns in the Southern Hemisphere.
The future probability of rain in each district is estimated using output from the multi-model ensemble, combined with historical information about the difference between the model forecasts and observed rainfall.
In this deterministic framework the skill of the forecast tends to decrease with time, however the forecasts are updated daily to provide the latest estimates of rainfall probability out to 28 days.
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12 Month Rainfall Forecast
Emu Swamp Rain Forecast
Emu Swamp 12-month Rainfall ForecastMarAprMayJunJulAugSepOctNovDecJanFeb20242025566777535657105012 - 34 - 78 - 910Well below normalBelow normalNear normalAbove normalWell above normalIssue Notes - Issued Mar 5
ENSO status: El Niño, breaking down. IOD status: Neutral. SAM status: Neutral, trending slightly positive. The El Niño Southern Oscillation (ENSO) is in an El Niño and is starting to break down. All international models indicate neutral conditions should return by late April or early May. The Southern Oscillation Index (SOI) is back below the threshold of -7, but is varying significantly with tropical activity over Australia and the Pacific. Waters in the Coral Sea are far warmer than normal, especially for an El Niño, and are offsetting the effects of this event. El Niño only has a small effect during autumn, typically increasing rainfall over the Nullarbor and SA, but having little effect elsewhere. The Indian Ocean Dipole (IOD) is in a neutral phase. Ocean temperatures are high across most of the Indian Ocean, with only cooler waters near the WA coast. The IOD has little to no effect during autumn. The Southern Annular Mode (SAM) is neutral and will slightly favour a positive phase during March and April and return closer to true neutral in May. A positive SAM increases easterly winds, increasing rainfall and thunderstorm activity in the east. As we go closer to winter, a positive SAM also reduces cold fronts and rainfall over southern Australia. Rainfall outlooks are predicting average rainfall for the vast majority of Australia throughout autumn. There are some weak signals that southwest WA could be slightly drier than normal in April, and southeast Qld and NSW could be slightly wetter during May, but otherwise near average.
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Popup - Daily historical
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Long range rainfall forecast
Emu Swamp Rain Forecast
Emu Swamp 28-day Rainfall ForecastSUNMONTUEWEDTHUFRISAT19
20
21
CHANCE OF RAINFALL WITHIN DISTRICTNIL < 25%LOW 25% to 50%MEDIUM 50% to 75%HIGH ≥ 75%Issued Mar19Issue Notes
The hemispheric long wave pattern has remained stable in recent weeks. There are four main troughs. Currently the most significant troughs are near the longitudes of the Indian Ocean, eastern Australia, the southeast Pacific, and the Atlantic Ocean.
Summary:
Over southern and eastern Australia the cold front events with potential to bring widespread rain are now expected about 2024-03-18, 2024-03-23 and 2024-04-05. Rain events originating in the tropics and moving south are possible about 2024-03-18, 2024-03-23 and 2024-03-28. Over Western Australia the strongest cold fronts should occur about 2024-03-18 and 2024-03-23.
Forecast ExplanationThis forecast is produced by a multi-model ensemble consisting of dynamical atmospheric models, which are forced by the latest observed atmosphere, ocean, land and ice conditions. The models are designed to simulate features of the real atmosphere, including the daily movement of long and short wave patterns in the Southern Hemisphere.
The future probability of rain in each district is estimated using output from the multi-model ensemble, combined with historical information about the difference between the model forecasts and observed rainfall.
In this deterministic framework the skill of the forecast tends to decrease with time, however the forecasts are updated daily to provide the latest estimates of rainfall probability out to 28 days.
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Past 5 Days
Emu Swamp Past 5 Days
This MonthMinimum Maximum Rainfall Friday
Mar 1511.6 °C 21.5 °C 0.0 mmSaturday
Mar 169.8 °C 19.2 °C 0.0 mmSunday
Mar 1712.2 °C 20.2 °C 14.4 mmMonday
Mar 1813.1 °C 22.8 °C 4.8 mmTuesday
Mar 199.9 °C 25.6 °C 1.2 mmLegend -
Almanac
Almanac
Emu Swamp minimum temp history (33.3257°S, 149.2002°E, 858m AMSL) MAXIMUM TEMPERATURE MINIMUM TEMPERATURE Hottest this month 29.3° 07/03/2024 Coldest this month 5.2° 04/03/2024 Hottest on record 32.9 13/03/1998 Coldest on record -0.1 31/03/1997 Hottest this year 35.2° 04/02/2024 Coldest this year 5.2° 04/03/2024 Long term average 23.0° Long term average 9.9° Average this month 25.3° Average this month 12.2° Hottest March On Record Avg. max. temp. 26.1° 1998 Coldest March on record Avg. min. temp. 8.0° 2005 Emu Swamp rainfall history (33.3257°S, 149.2002°E, 858m AMSL) RAINFALL Wettest This Month 14.4mm 17/03/2024 Total This Month 31.2mm
4.0 daysLong Term Average 78.3mm 8.7 days Wettest March on record 175.6mm 2012 Driest on record 4.6mm 1998 -
Year to Date
Emu Swamp Year To Date
Average Rainfall To Mar 219.7mm 25.0 day(s) Total For 2024 294.2mm 23.0 day(s) Total To This Day 2023 95.8mm 17.0 day(s) Wettest Day 64.4mm Feb 6 Lowest Temperature 5.2°C Mar 4 Highest Temperature 35.2°C Feb 4 -
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Popup - Monthly historical
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Climatology
Climate History
Emu Swamp Climatology
Emu Swamp Long-Term Averages
Long-Term Averages Jan Feb Mar Apr May Jun Jul Aug Sep Oct Nov Dec Ann Mean Max (°C) 27.4 25.9 23.0 18.8 13.9 10.8 9.9 11.3 14.9 18.3 21.7 24.8 18.4 Mean Min (°C) 13.0 12.4 9.9 5.8 2.5 1.3 0.6 0.9 3.2 5.7 8.4 10.5 6.2 Mean Rain (mm) 67.6 73.8 78.3 49.1 50.8 77.2 74.5 85.5 78.8 73.2 95.3 83.6 888.8 Mean Rain Days 8.5 7.8 8.7 7.9 12.8 18.6 18.9 16.0 11.5 9.4 10.3 9.0 139.7