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Forecast

Eltham (28.7543°S, 153.4095°E, 7m AMSL) set as my default location ›

  1. My MLA

  2. Current condition

    TODAY
    Fog then sunny 15° 29°
    fog then sunny
    Chance of rain: 20%
    Likely amount: < 1mm
    First
    light
    Sunrise Sunset Last light
    Sunrise Sunset
    6:33am EDT 6:56am EDT 6:46pm EDT 7:10pm EDT
    NOW
    17.3° Feels Like: 19.3°
    Relative Humidity: 92%
    Dew: 16.0°
    Wind: CAL 0km/h
    Gust: 0km/h
    Rainfall since 9am: 0.0mm
    Pressure: 1018.4hPa
  3. Today Weather

    Eltham
    Now
    18.8°c
    Feels Like:
    20.4°
    Wind:
    WSW 7km/h
    Gusts:
    11km/h
    Humidity:
    97%
    Fog then sunny
     
    15°
    Min
    29°
    Max
    Today in Eltham
    Mostly sunny. Areas of fog in the early morning. Slight chance of a shower. The chance of a thunderstorm in the afternoon and evening. Light winds. Overnight temperatures falling to around 16 with daytime temperatures reaching around 30.
    Tomorrow
    Possible thunderstorm
    17°
    Min
    30°
    Max
    Partly cloudy. Areas of fog in the south in the early morning. Medium chance of showers, most likely in the afternoon. The chance of a thunderstorm. Light winds. Overnight temperatures falling to around 18 with daytime temperatures reaching around 30.
  4. Radar

  5. Popup Radar

  6. Warnings

    There are no current warnings for Eltham

  7. Next 48 Hours


    Next 48 Hours


  8. 7 day forecast

    Today: Mostly sunny. Areas of fog in the early morning. Slight chance of a shower. The chance of a thunderstorm in the afternoon and evening. Light winds. Overnight temperatures falling to around 16 with daytime temperatures reaching around 30.

    Forecast for Eltham (28.7543°S, 153.4095°E, 7m AMSL)
      Mon Tue Wed Thu Fri Sat Sun
    Summary Fog then sunny Possible thunderstorm Late shower Possible shower Mostly sunny Possible shower Possible shower
    Minimum 15° 17° 17° 16° 16° 18° 18°
    Maximum 29° 30° 28° 27° 30° 29° 30°
    Chance of rain 20% 40% 60% 40% 40% 90% 80%
    Likely amount < 1mm 1-5mm 1-5mm < 1mm 1-5mm 5-10mm 1-5mm
    UV index Very High Very High Very High Very High - - -
    Frost risk Nil Nil Nil Nil Nil Nil Nil
      9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm
    Wind speed 6
    (km/h)
    14
    (km/h)
    8
    (km/h)
    13
    (km/h)
    6
    (km/h)
    17
    (km/h)
    4
    (km/h)
    16
    (km/h)
    7
    (km/h)
    18
    (km/h)
    11
    (km/h)
    16
    (km/h)
    7
    (km/h)
    12
    (km/h)
    Wind direction NW NE NW S SW SE WSW E N NNE N N W SSE
    Relative humidity 91% 53% 85% 57% 90% 65% 88% 58% 86% 52% 83% 61% 68% 48%
    Dew point 17°C 18°C 19°C 20°C 19°C 20°C 18°C 17°C 18°C 18°C 19°C 20°C 18°C 16°C
  9. 28 Day Rainfall forecast

    Eltham Rain Forecast


    Eltham 28-day Rainfall Forecast
    SUN
    MON
    TUE
    WED
    THU
    FRI
    SAT
    30
    LOW
    31
    MEDIUM
    Apr 1
    MEDIUM
    2
    LOW
    3
    MEDIUM
    4
    HIGH
    5
    LOW
    6
    7
    MEDIUM
    8
    HIGH
    9
    MEDIUM
    10
    11
    LOW
    12
    LOW
    13
    14
    LOW
    15
    LOW
    16
    LOW
    17
    18
    MEDIUM
    19
    LOW
    20
    MEDIUM
    21
    LOW
    22
    MEDIUM
    23
    LOW
    24
    LOW
    25
    26
    LOW
    27
    LOW
    28
    LOW
    CHANCE OF RAINFALL WITHIN DISTRICT
    NIL < 25%
    LOW 25% to 50%
    MEDIUM 50% to 75%
    HIGH ≥ 75%
    Issued Mar29

    Issue Notes

    The hemispheric long wave pattern has remained stable in recent weeks. There are four main troughs. Currently the most significant troughs are near the longitudes of South Africa, the southwest Indian Ocean, Western Australia, and South America.

    Summary:

    Over southern and eastern Australia the cold front events with potential to bring widespread rain are now expected about 11 April to 15 April, 15 April to 19 April, and 23 April to 27 April. Rain events originating in the tropics and moving south are possible about 27 March to 31 March. Over Western Australia the strongest cold fronts should occur about 9 April to 13 April, 15 April to 19 April, and 23 April to 27 April.

    Forecast Explanation

    This forecast is produced by a multi-model ensemble consisting of dynamical atmospheric models, which are forced by the latest observed atmosphere, ocean, land and ice conditions. The models are designed to simulate features of the real atmosphere, including the daily movement of long and short wave patterns in the Southern Hemisphere.

    The future probability of rain in each district is estimated using output from the multi-model ensemble, combined with historical information about the difference between the model forecasts and observed rainfall.

    In this deterministic framework the skill of the forecast tends to decrease with time, however the forecasts are updated daily to provide the latest estimates of rainfall probability out to 28 days.

  10. 12 Month Rainfall Forecast

    Eltham Rain Forecast


    Eltham 12-month Rainfall Forecast
    Mar
    Apr
    May
    Jun
    Jul
    Aug
    Sep
    Oct
    Nov
    Dec
    Jan
    Feb
    2020
    2021
    6
    7
    7
    7
    7
    6
    6
    7
    8
    4
    7
    7
    10
    5
    0
    1
    2 - 3
    4 - 7
    8 - 9
    10
    Well below normal
    Below normal
    Near normal
    Above normal
    Well above normal

    Issue Notes - Issued Mar 9

    ENSO status: Neutral IOD status: Neutral SAM status: Trending neutral Sea surface temperatures (SSTs) across the equatorial central Pacific remained stable throughout February with the Nino3.4 index registering a value of 0.3. On the other hand, the Southern Oscillation Index (SOI) recorded a value of -2.2 in February. The current outlook suggests slightly warmer than average SSTs will persist across the equatorial Pacific Ocean through the austral autumn, potentially cooling further by the austral winter. Four out of seven international models maintain a slightly warmer than average equatorial Pacific Ocean through the first half of winter. To the west of Australia, the Indian Ocean Dipole (IOD) remains neutral, normal for this time of the year. All six international models maintain neutral IOD values through to the austral winter. In terms of precipitation across Australia, the current outlook favours below average rainfall for western, central and southeastern parts of the country. Across NSW and Qld, the outlook is for average-to-above average, mainly across the Qld coasts. This excludes any extreme weather events such as tropical cyclones or East Coast Lows. Across the north, the North Australian Monsoon (NAM) has been quiet for most of the wet season, with the current prognosis suggesting below average rainfall for March but above average in April. Looking further ahead, with no significant signature from ENSO, there are no significant climate drivers tilting the balance towards a drier or wetter end of autumn/winter. The current consensus, however, suggests that average to above average rainfall is a possibility across northern, western and parts of the inland south east.

  11. Long range rainfall forecast

    Eltham Rain Forecast


    Eltham 28-day Rainfall Forecast
    SUN
    MON
    TUE
    WED
    THU
    FRI
    SAT
    30
    LOW
    31
    MEDIUM
    Apr 1
    MEDIUM
    2
    LOW
    3
    MEDIUM
    4
    HIGH
    5
    LOW
    6
    7
    MEDIUM
    8
    HIGH
    9
    MEDIUM
    10
    11
    LOW
    12
    LOW
    13
    14
    LOW
    15
    LOW
    16
    LOW
    17
    18
    MEDIUM
    19
    LOW
    20
    MEDIUM
    21
    LOW
    22
    MEDIUM
    23
    LOW
    24
    LOW
    25
    26
    LOW
    27
    LOW
    28
    LOW
    CHANCE OF RAINFALL WITHIN DISTRICT
    NIL < 25%
    LOW 25% to 50%
    MEDIUM 50% to 75%
    HIGH ≥ 75%
    Issued Mar29

    Issue Notes

    The hemispheric long wave pattern has remained stable in recent weeks. There are four main troughs. Currently the most significant troughs are near the longitudes of South Africa, the southwest Indian Ocean, Western Australia, and South America.

    Summary:

    Over southern and eastern Australia the cold front events with potential to bring widespread rain are now expected about 11 April to 15 April, 15 April to 19 April, and 23 April to 27 April. Rain events originating in the tropics and moving south are possible about 27 March to 31 March. Over Western Australia the strongest cold fronts should occur about 9 April to 13 April, 15 April to 19 April, and 23 April to 27 April.

    Forecast Explanation

    This forecast is produced by a multi-model ensemble consisting of dynamical atmospheric models, which are forced by the latest observed atmosphere, ocean, land and ice conditions. The models are designed to simulate features of the real atmosphere, including the daily movement of long and short wave patterns in the Southern Hemisphere.

    The future probability of rain in each district is estimated using output from the multi-model ensemble, combined with historical information about the difference between the model forecasts and observed rainfall.

    In this deterministic framework the skill of the forecast tends to decrease with time, however the forecasts are updated daily to provide the latest estimates of rainfall probability out to 28 days.

  12. Popup - Daily historical

  13. Past 5 Days

    Eltham Past 5 Days

    This Month
    Minimum Maximum Rainfall
    Wednesday
    Mar 25
    18.1 °C 27.1 °C
    0.6 mm
    Thursday
    Mar 26
    17.8 °C 26.8 °C
    0.0 mm
    Friday
    Mar 27
    18.3 °C 24.7 °C
    2.2 mm
    Saturday
    Mar 28
    16.2 °C 26.2 °C
    0.4 mm
    Sunday
    Mar 29
    15.9 °C 28 °C
    1.0 mm
    Legend
  14. Almanac

    Almanac


    Eltham minimum temp history (28.7543°S, 153.4095°E, 7m AMSL)
    MAXIMUM TEMPERATURE MINIMUM TEMPERATURE
    Hottest this month 36.0° 02/03/2020 Coldest this month 11.5° 19/03/2020
    Hottest on record 38.5 19/03/2002 Coldest on record 11.0 27/03/2005
    Hottest this year 38.4° 05/01/2020 Coldest this year 11.5° 19/03/2020
    Long term average 28.1° Long term average 17.1°
    Average this month 27.5° Average this month 17.3°
    Hottest March On Record Avg. max. temp. 29.9° 2002 Coldest March on record Avg. min. temp. 14.6° 2005
    Eltham rainfall history (28.7543°S, 153.4095°E, 7m AMSL)
    RAINFALL
    Wettest This Month 13.4mm 10/03/2020 Total This Month 64.8mm
    19.0 days
    Long Term Average 182.3mm 17.9 days Wettest March on record 806.8mm 2017
    Driest on record 56.2mm 2008
  15. Popup - Radar

    Weather Radar for NSW/ACT

  16. Year to Date

    Eltham Year To Date

    Average Rainfall To Mar 481.5mm 47.2 day(s)
    Total For 2020 712.6mm 49.0 day(s)
    Total To This Day 2019 314.6mm 36.0 day(s)
    Wettest Day 128.6mm Jan18
    Lowest Temperature 11.5°C Mar19
    Highest Temperature 38.4°C Jan 5
  17. Popup - Monthly historical

  18. Climatology

    Climate History

    Eltham Climatology

    Long-Term Averages
    Jan Feb Mar Apr May Jun Jul Aug Sep Oct Nov Dec Ann
    Mean Max (°C) 30.0 29.5 28.1 25.9 23.4 20.7 20.7 22.5 25.6 27.3 28.7 29.4 26.0
    Mean Min (°C) 18.8 18.6 17.1 14.1 9.8 8.1 6.2 6.7 9.8 12.5 15.5 17.3 12.9
    Mean Rain (mm) 160.0 139.2 182.3 123.5 76.5 99.2 37.0 69.5 41.0 75.7 108.1 121.9 1238.1
    Mean Rain Days 15.0 14.3 17.9 17.1 15.5 14.9 11.9 10.2 9.2 10.8 12.3 13.8 154.6