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Forecast

Ellis Lane (34.0401°S, 150.672°E, 59m AMSL) set as my default location ›

  1. My MLA

  2. Current condition

    TODAY
    Possible shower 16° 26°
    possible shower
    Chance of rain: 60%
    Likely amount: 5-10mm
    First
    light
    Sunrise Sunset Last light
    Sunrise Sunset
    6:43am EDT 7:08am EDT 6:55pm EDT 7:20pm EDT
    NOW
    17.5° Feels Like: 19.7°
    Relative Humidity: 99%
    Dew: 17.3°
    Wind: SW 2km/h
    Gust: 9km/h
    Rainfall since 9am: 0.0mm
    Pressure: 1015.3hPa
  3. Today Weather

    Ellis Lane
    Now
    17.1°c
    Feels Like:
    19.3°
    Wind:
    N 0km/h
    Gusts:
    0km/h
    Humidity:
    96%
    Possible shower
     
    16°
    Min
    26°
    Max
    Today in Ellis Lane
    Cloudy. Areas of fog in the outer west in the early morning. High chance of showers in the morning and early afternoon. The chance of a thunderstorm in the morning and afternoon. Winds N 15 to 20 km/h tending NW in the early afternoon then becoming light in the late afternoon.
    Tomorrow
    Late shower
    14°
    Min
    27°
    Max
    Partly cloudy. Areas of fog in the early morning. Slight chance of a shower. Light winds.
  4. Radar

  5. Popup Radar

  6. Warnings

    There are no current warnings for Ellis Lane

  7. Next 48 Hours


    Next 48 Hours


  8. 7 day forecast

    Today: Cloudy. Areas of fog in the outer west in the early morning. High chance of showers in the morning and early afternoon. The chance of a thunderstorm in the morning and afternoon. Winds N 15 to 20 km/h tending NW in the early afternoon then becoming light in the late afternoon.

    Forecast for Ellis Lane (34.0401°S, 150.672°E, 59m AMSL)
      Mon Tue Wed Thu Fri Sat Sun
    Summary Possible shower Late shower Late shower Possible shower Showers increasing Fog then sunny Mostly sunny
    Minimum 16° 14° 16° 16° 15° 14° 11°
    Maximum 26° 27° 26° 24° 27° 27° 23°
    Chance of rain 60% 50% 50% 60% 50% 20% 5%
    Likely amount 5-10mm < 1mm 1-5mm 1-5mm 5-10mm < 1mm < 1mm
    UV index High High High High - - -
    Frost risk Nil Nil Nil Nil Nil Nil Nil
      9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm
    Wind speed 1
    (km/h)
    11
    (km/h)
    1
    (km/h)
    9
    (km/h)
    0
    (km/h)
    11
    (km/h)
    2
    (km/h)
    12
    (km/h)
    2
    (km/h)
    11
    (km/h)
    4
    (km/h)
    16
    (km/h)
    10
    (km/h)
    16
    (km/h)
    Wind direction NNW N WSW ESE E ENE NE NE N N NW NW WNW W
    Relative humidity 100% 75% 92% 58% 95% 65% 98% 76% 98% 63% 86% 41% 55% 35%
    Dew point 18°C 19°C 17°C 17°C 19°C 18°C 18°C 18°C 18°C 17°C 16°C 12°C 8°C 5°C
  9. 28 Day Rainfall forecast

    Ellis Lane Rain Forecast


    Ellis Lane 28-day Rainfall Forecast
    SUN
    MON
    TUE
    WED
    THU
    FRI
    SAT
    30
    HIGH
    31
    MEDIUM
    Apr 1
    MEDIUM
    2
    MEDIUM
    3
    HIGH
    4
    MEDIUM
    5
    LOW
    6
    7
    MEDIUM
    8
    MEDIUM
    9
    MEDIUM
    10
    MEDIUM
    11
    12
    13
    14
    15
    16
    17
    LOW
    18
    LOW
    19
    MEDIUM
    20
    LOW
    21
    22
    23
    LOW
    24
    25
    LOW
    26
    27
    MEDIUM
    28
    CHANCE OF RAINFALL WITHIN DISTRICT
    NIL < 25%
    LOW 25% to 50%
    MEDIUM 50% to 75%
    HIGH ≥ 75%
    Issued Mar29

    Issue Notes

    The hemispheric long wave pattern has remained stable in recent weeks. There are four main troughs. Currently the most significant troughs are near the longitudes of South Africa, the southwest Indian Ocean, Western Australia, and South America.

    Summary:

    Over southern and eastern Australia the cold front events with potential to bring widespread rain are now expected about 11 April to 15 April, 15 April to 19 April, and 23 April to 27 April. Rain events originating in the tropics and moving south are possible about 27 March to 31 March. Over Western Australia the strongest cold fronts should occur about 9 April to 13 April, 15 April to 19 April, and 23 April to 27 April.

    Forecast Explanation

    This forecast is produced by a multi-model ensemble consisting of dynamical atmospheric models, which are forced by the latest observed atmosphere, ocean, land and ice conditions. The models are designed to simulate features of the real atmosphere, including the daily movement of long and short wave patterns in the Southern Hemisphere.

    The future probability of rain in each district is estimated using output from the multi-model ensemble, combined with historical information about the difference between the model forecasts and observed rainfall.

    In this deterministic framework the skill of the forecast tends to decrease with time, however the forecasts are updated daily to provide the latest estimates of rainfall probability out to 28 days.

  10. 12 Month Rainfall Forecast

    Ellis Lane Rain Forecast


    Ellis Lane 12-month Rainfall Forecast
    Mar
    Apr
    May
    Jun
    Jul
    Aug
    Sep
    Oct
    Nov
    Dec
    Jan
    Feb
    2020
    2021
    8
    7
    6
    6
    7
    8
    7
    5
    9
    4
    4
    8
    10
    5
    0
    1
    2 - 3
    4 - 7
    8 - 9
    10
    Well below normal
    Below normal
    Near normal
    Above normal
    Well above normal

    Issue Notes - Issued Mar 9

    ENSO status: Neutral IOD status: Neutral SAM status: Trending neutral Sea surface temperatures (SSTs) across the equatorial central Pacific remained stable throughout February with the Nino3.4 index registering a value of 0.3. On the other hand, the Southern Oscillation Index (SOI) recorded a value of -2.2 in February. The current outlook suggests slightly warmer than average SSTs will persist across the equatorial Pacific Ocean through the austral autumn, potentially cooling further by the austral winter. Four out of seven international models maintain a slightly warmer than average equatorial Pacific Ocean through the first half of winter. To the west of Australia, the Indian Ocean Dipole (IOD) remains neutral, normal for this time of the year. All six international models maintain neutral IOD values through to the austral winter. In terms of precipitation across Australia, the current outlook favours below average rainfall for western, central and southeastern parts of the country. Across NSW and Qld, the outlook is for average-to-above average, mainly across the Qld coasts. This excludes any extreme weather events such as tropical cyclones or East Coast Lows. Across the north, the North Australian Monsoon (NAM) has been quiet for most of the wet season, with the current prognosis suggesting below average rainfall for March but above average in April. Looking further ahead, with no significant signature from ENSO, there are no significant climate drivers tilting the balance towards a drier or wetter end of autumn/winter. The current consensus, however, suggests that average to above average rainfall is a possibility across northern, western and parts of the inland south east.

  11. Long range rainfall forecast

    Ellis Lane Rain Forecast


    Ellis Lane 28-day Rainfall Forecast
    SUN
    MON
    TUE
    WED
    THU
    FRI
    SAT
    30
    HIGH
    31
    MEDIUM
    Apr 1
    MEDIUM
    2
    MEDIUM
    3
    HIGH
    4
    MEDIUM
    5
    LOW
    6
    7
    MEDIUM
    8
    MEDIUM
    9
    MEDIUM
    10
    MEDIUM
    11
    12
    13
    14
    15
    16
    17
    LOW
    18
    LOW
    19
    MEDIUM
    20
    LOW
    21
    22
    23
    LOW
    24
    25
    LOW
    26
    27
    MEDIUM
    28
    CHANCE OF RAINFALL WITHIN DISTRICT
    NIL < 25%
    LOW 25% to 50%
    MEDIUM 50% to 75%
    HIGH ≥ 75%
    Issued Mar29

    Issue Notes

    The hemispheric long wave pattern has remained stable in recent weeks. There are four main troughs. Currently the most significant troughs are near the longitudes of South Africa, the southwest Indian Ocean, Western Australia, and South America.

    Summary:

    Over southern and eastern Australia the cold front events with potential to bring widespread rain are now expected about 11 April to 15 April, 15 April to 19 April, and 23 April to 27 April. Rain events originating in the tropics and moving south are possible about 27 March to 31 March. Over Western Australia the strongest cold fronts should occur about 9 April to 13 April, 15 April to 19 April, and 23 April to 27 April.

    Forecast Explanation

    This forecast is produced by a multi-model ensemble consisting of dynamical atmospheric models, which are forced by the latest observed atmosphere, ocean, land and ice conditions. The models are designed to simulate features of the real atmosphere, including the daily movement of long and short wave patterns in the Southern Hemisphere.

    The future probability of rain in each district is estimated using output from the multi-model ensemble, combined with historical information about the difference between the model forecasts and observed rainfall.

    In this deterministic framework the skill of the forecast tends to decrease with time, however the forecasts are updated daily to provide the latest estimates of rainfall probability out to 28 days.

  12. Popup - Daily historical

  13. Past 5 Days

    Ellis Lane Past 5 Days

    This Month
    Minimum Maximum Rainfall
    Wednesday
    Mar 25
    14.1 °C 25.1 °C
    0.0 mm
    Thursday
    Mar 26
    15.9 °C 23.5 °C
    24.6 mm
    Friday
    Mar 27
    12.9 °C 22.4 °C
    1.2 mm
    Saturday
    Mar 28
    11.7 °C 24.7 °C
    0.4 mm
    Sunday
    Mar 29
    16.3 °C 26 °C
    2.2 mm
    Legend
  14. Almanac

    Almanac


    Ellis Lane minimum temp history (34.0401°S, 150.672°E, 59m AMSL)
    MAXIMUM TEMPERATURE MINIMUM TEMPERATURE
    Hottest this month 36.8° 02/03/2020 Coldest this month 9.6° 18/03/2020
    Hottest on record 41.0 09/03/1983 Coldest on record 1.0 23/03/1990
    Hottest this year 46.2° 04/01/2020 Coldest this year 9.6° 18/03/2020
    Long term average 26.8° Long term average 14.9°
    Average this month 25.6° Average this month 14.3°
    Hottest March On Record Avg. max. temp. 29.9° 1998 Coldest March on record Avg. min. temp. 13.1° 1987
    Ellis Lane rainfall history (34.0401°S, 150.672°E, 59m AMSL)
    RAINFALL
    Wettest This Month 24.6mm 26/03/2020 Total This Month 85.8mm
    15.0 days
    Long Term Average 89.3mm 10.5 days Wettest March on record 343.6mm 1978
    Driest on record 0.0mm 1943
  15. Popup - Radar

    Weather Radar for NSW/ACT

  16. Year to Date

    Ellis Lane Year To Date

    Average Rainfall To Mar 270.3mm 32.0 day(s)
    Total For 2020 543.6mm 43.0 day(s)
    Total To This Day 2019 150.0mm 31.0 day(s)
    Wettest Day 181.6mm Feb10
    Lowest Temperature 9.6°C Mar18
    Highest Temperature 46.2°C Jan 4
  17. Popup - Monthly historical

  18. Climatology

    Climate History

    Ellis Lane Climatology

    Long-Term Averages
    Jan Feb Mar Apr May Jun Jul Aug Sep Oct Nov Dec Ann
    Mean Max (°C) 29.5 28.6 26.8 23.8 20.6 17.7 17.3 19.0 21.9 24.3 26.3 28.5 23.7
    Mean Min (°C) 16.8 16.8 14.9 11.1 7.1 4.6 3.0 3.9 6.8 9.9 13.0 15.2 10.2
    Mean Rain (mm) 84.1 96.9 89.3 68.5 53.5 67.0 37.6 46.0 39.6 61.2 75.8 56.8 777.3
    Mean Rain Days 10.5 11.0 10.5 10.0 8.9 9.3 8.5 8.0 8.3 9.6 10.3 9.2 105.2