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Forecast

Ellangowan (29.0498°S, 153.0395°E, 39m AMSL) set as my default location ›

  1. My MLA

  2. Current condition

    TODAY
    Late shower 19° 36°
    late shower
    Chance of rain: 60%
    Likely amount: 1-5mm
    First
    light
    Sunrise Sunset Last light
    Sunrise Sunset
    5:45am EDT 6:09am EDT 6:58pm EDT 7:22pm EDT
    NOW
    30.6° Feels Like: 25.6°
    Relative Humidity: 43%
    Dew: 16.6°
    Wind: N 37km/h
    Gust: 48km/h
    Rainfall since 9am: 0.0mm
    Pressure: 1009.2hPa
  3. Today Weather

    Ellangowan
    Now
    32.9°c
    Feels Like:
    31.3°
    Wind:
    NNW 20km/h
    Gusts:
    33km/h
    Humidity:
    39%
    Late shower
     
    19°
    Min
    36°
    Max
    Today in Ellangowan
    Partly cloudy. Patchy fog along the coastal fringe early this morning. Medium chance of showers during this afternoon and early evening. The chance of a thunderstorm during the morning and afternoon, possibly severe. Winds N 15 to 20 km/h tending NW 25 to 35 km/h in the morning then becoming light in the late evening. Daytime maximum temperatures 31 to 36.
    Tomorrow
    Sunny
    14°
    Min
    28°
    Max
    Sunny. Winds SW 15 to 20 km/h becoming light before dawn then becoming E/NE 15 to 20 km/h in the late afternoon. Overnight temperatures falling to between 12 and 16 with daytime temperatures reaching around 30.
  4. Radar

  5. Popup Radar

  6. Warnings

  7. Next 48 Hours


    Next 48 Hours


  8. 7 day forecast

    Today: Partly cloudy. Patchy fog along the coastal fringe early this morning. Medium chance of showers during this afternoon and early evening. The chance of a thunderstorm during the morning and afternoon, possibly severe. Winds N 15 to 20 km/h tending NW 25 to 35 km/h in the morning then becoming light in the late evening. Daytime maximum temperatures 31 to 36.

    Forecast for Ellangowan (29.0498°S, 153.0395°E, 39m AMSL)
      Thu Fri Sat Sun Mon Tue Wed
    Summary Late shower Sunny Sunny Sunny Mostly sunny Mostly sunny Mostly sunny
    Minimum 19° 14° 10° 13° 12° 11° 12°
    Maximum 36° 28° 32° 26° 25° 26° 28°
    Chance of rain 60% 5% 10% 10% 10% 10% 5%
    Likely amount 1-5mm < 1mm < 1mm < 1mm < 1mm < 1mm < 1mm
    UV index Very High Very High Very High Very High Very High - -
    Frost risk Nil Nil Nil Nil Nil Nil Nil
      9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm
    Wind speed 22
    (km/h)
    26
    (km/h)
    8
    (km/h)
    21
    (km/h)
    8
    (km/h)
    15
    (km/h)
    13
    (km/h)
    26
    (km/h)
    12
    (km/h)
    21
    (km/h)
    8
    (km/h)
    19
    (km/h)
    6
    (km/h)
    19
    (km/h)
    Wind direction N NNW SE E NNW N S SE SSW SE SSW SE SSE ESE
    Relative humidity 61% 28% 47% 26% 56% 21% 47% 36% 58% 36% 61% 41% 64% 36%
    Dew point 18°C 15°C 10°C 7°C 12°C 7°C 9°C 10°C 11°C 9°C 12°C 12°C 12°C 12°C
  9. 28 Day Rainfall forecast

    Ellangowan Rain Forecast


    Ellangowan 28-day Rainfall Forecast
    SUN
    MON
    TUE
    WED
    THU
    FRI
    SAT
    17
    MEDIUM
    18
    19
    20
    21
    22
    LOW
    23
    LOW
    24
    25
    LOW
    26
    27
    28
    29
    LOW
    30
    LOW
    31
    LOW
    Nov 1
    2
    LOW
    3
    MEDIUM
    4
    MEDIUM
    5
    LOW
    6
    MEDIUM
    7
    LOW
    8
    LOW
    9
    LOW
    10
    MEDIUM
    11
    MEDIUM
    12
    MEDIUM
    13
    LOW
    14
    LOW
    CHANCE OF RAINFALL WITHIN DISTRICT
    NIL < 25%
    LOW 25% to 50%
    MEDIUM 50% to 75%
    HIGH ≥ 75%
    Issued Oct17

    Issue Notes

    The hemispheric long wave pattern has been relatively fast moving in recent weeks. There are six main troughs. Currently the most significant troughs are near the longitudes of South Africa, the southwest Indian Ocean, the Indian Ocean, eastern Australia, New Zealand, and the southeast Pacific.

    Summary:

    Over southern and eastern Australia the cold front events with potential to bring widespread rain are now expected about 25 October to 29 October, 29 October to 2 November, and 7 November to 11 November. Rain events originating in the tropics and moving south are possible about 15 October to 19 October. Over Western Australia the strongest cold fronts should occur about 25 October to 29 October, 30 October to 3 November, and 7 November to 11 November.

    Forecast Explanation

    This forecast is produced by a multi-model ensemble consisting of dynamical atmospheric models, which are forced by the latest observed atmosphere, ocean, land and ice conditions. The models are designed to simulate features of the real atmosphere, including the daily movement of long and short wave patterns in the Southern Hemisphere.

    The future probability of rain in each district is estimated using output from the multi-model ensemble, combined with historical information about the difference between the model forecasts and observed rainfall.

    In this deterministic framework the skill of the forecast tends to decrease with time, however the forecasts are updated daily to provide the latest estimates of rainfall probability out to 28 days.

  10. 12 Month Rainfall Forecast

    Ellangowan Rain Forecast


    Ellangowan 12-month Rainfall Forecast
    Oct
    Nov
    Dec
    Jan
    Feb
    Mar
    Apr
    May
    Jun
    Jul
    Aug
    Sep
    2019
    2020
    7
    4
    4
    5
    6
    6
    7
    7
    7
    3
    6
    6
    10
    5
    0
    1
    2 - 3
    4 - 7
    8 - 9
    10
    Well below normal
    Below normal
    Near normal
    Above normal
    Well above normal

    Issue Notes - Issued Oct 7

    ENSO status: Neutral IOD status: Positive Sea surface temperatures (SSTs) across the equatorial central Pacific remain within neutral values. The Nino3.4 index lingered between -0.2 and 0.2 through the month of September. The Southern Oscillation Index (SOI) recorded a value of -12.4 during the past month. The current outlook consensus suggests warmer than average SSTs will persist across the equatorial Pacific Ocean through the austral spring, but well within neutral values. Five out of eight international models maintain a slightly warmer than average Pacific Ocean through the end of 2019, none of these reaching El Nino thresholds during the 2019/2020 summer. The IRI ENSO forecast suggests less than 40% of another El Nino developing over the next 12 months, with a neutral ENSO the most likely outcome. To the west of Australia, the Indian Ocean Dipole (IOD) remains strongly positive, with the highest positive value since the early 2000s. All six international models maintain a strong positive event until December. In terms of rainfall, there is little variation to the outlook issued last month. The climate outlook for spring continues to favour below average rainfall for most of Australia, in particular the eastern half of the continent. During Positive IODs, central and southeastern Australia tend to see a reduction in rainfall during spring, due to a reduction of moisture streaming from the northwest. For northern Australia, the current outlook is for a late onset of the wet season across the Northern Territory and Queensland. A negative trend in the Southern Annular Mode (SAM) on the other hand, is likely to enhance frontal activity over the far south during spring. This is likely to offset the Positive IOD in far southern Victoria and western Tasmania, which could see average-to-above average rainfall during the remainder of spring.

  11. Long range rainfall forecast

    Ellangowan Rain Forecast


    Ellangowan 28-day Rainfall Forecast
    SUN
    MON
    TUE
    WED
    THU
    FRI
    SAT
    17
    MEDIUM
    18
    19
    20
    21
    22
    LOW
    23
    LOW
    24
    25
    LOW
    26
    27
    28
    29
    LOW
    30
    LOW
    31
    LOW
    Nov 1
    2
    LOW
    3
    MEDIUM
    4
    MEDIUM
    5
    LOW
    6
    MEDIUM
    7
    LOW
    8
    LOW
    9
    LOW
    10
    MEDIUM
    11
    MEDIUM
    12
    MEDIUM
    13
    LOW
    14
    LOW
    CHANCE OF RAINFALL WITHIN DISTRICT
    NIL < 25%
    LOW 25% to 50%
    MEDIUM 50% to 75%
    HIGH ≥ 75%
    Issued Oct17

    Issue Notes

    The hemispheric long wave pattern has been relatively fast moving in recent weeks. There are six main troughs. Currently the most significant troughs are near the longitudes of South Africa, the southwest Indian Ocean, the Indian Ocean, eastern Australia, New Zealand, and the southeast Pacific.

    Summary:

    Over southern and eastern Australia the cold front events with potential to bring widespread rain are now expected about 25 October to 29 October, 29 October to 2 November, and 7 November to 11 November. Rain events originating in the tropics and moving south are possible about 15 October to 19 October. Over Western Australia the strongest cold fronts should occur about 25 October to 29 October, 30 October to 3 November, and 7 November to 11 November.

    Forecast Explanation

    This forecast is produced by a multi-model ensemble consisting of dynamical atmospheric models, which are forced by the latest observed atmosphere, ocean, land and ice conditions. The models are designed to simulate features of the real atmosphere, including the daily movement of long and short wave patterns in the Southern Hemisphere.

    The future probability of rain in each district is estimated using output from the multi-model ensemble, combined with historical information about the difference between the model forecasts and observed rainfall.

    In this deterministic framework the skill of the forecast tends to decrease with time, however the forecasts are updated daily to provide the latest estimates of rainfall probability out to 28 days.

  12. Popup - Daily historical

  13. Past 5 Days

    Ellangowan Past 5 Days

    This Month
    Minimum Maximum Rainfall
    Sunday
    Oct 13
    8.6 °C 23.4 °C
    1.6 mm
    Monday
    Oct 14
    9.7 °C 27.8 °C
    0.0 mm
    Tuesday
    Oct 15
    12.2 °C 29.8 °C
    0.4 mm
    Wednesday
    Oct 16
    12.3 °C 35 °C
    0.0 mm
    Thursday
    Oct 17
    19 °C -
    13.0 mm
    Legend
  14. Almanac

    Almanac


    Ellangowan minimum temp history (29.0498°S, 153.0395°E, 39m AMSL)
    MAXIMUM TEMPERATURE MINIMUM TEMPERATURE
    Hottest this month 40.7° 08/10/2019 Coldest this month 6.3° 03/10/2019
    Hottest on record 39.4 20/10/2012 Coldest on record 4.3 01/10/2002
    Hottest this year 41.9° 13/02/2019 Coldest this year 0.0° 20/08/2019
    Long term average 27.6° Long term average 13.3°
    Average this month 28.2° Average this month 11.5°
    Hottest October On Record Avg. max. temp. 30.1° 2014 Coldest October on record Avg. min. temp. 11.2° 2016
    Ellangowan rainfall history (29.0498°S, 153.0395°E, 39m AMSL)
    RAINFALL
    Wettest This Month 13.0mm 17/10/2019 Total This Month 25.0mm
    4.0 days
    Long Term Average 63.5mm 8.0 days Wettest October on record 244.4mm 2014
  15. Popup - Radar

  16. Year to Date

    Ellangowan Year To Date

    Average Rainfall To Oct 863.2mm 106.1 day(s)
    Total For 2019 576.2mm 92.0 day(s)
    Total To This Day 2018 807.4mm 113.0 day(s)
    Wettest Day 82.8mm Mar16
    Lowest Temperature 0.0°C Aug20
    Highest Temperature 41.9°C Feb13
  17. Popup - Monthly historical

  18. Climatology

    Ellangowan Climatology

    Long-Term Averages
    Jan Feb Mar Apr May Jun Jul Aug Sep Oct Nov Dec Ann
    Mean Max (°C) 30.3 29.7 28.3 25.9 23.1 20.6 20.6 22.4 25.6 27.6 28.8 29.9 26.1
    Mean Min (°C) 19.1 18.9 17.6 14.2 10.6 8.4 6.6 7.2 10.5 13.3 16.1 17.9 13.4
    Mean Rain (mm) 144.5 148.3 143.1 76.4 96.4 72.4 32.6 51.4 34.6 63.5 112.9 118.6 1099.1
    Mean Rain Days 12.4 12.2 14.1 11.8 11.4 12.6 8.9 7.5 7.2 8.0 11.6 12.0 126.7