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Forecast

Eastern Creek (33.8031°S, 150.8522°E, 57m AMSL) set as my default location ›

  1. My MLA

  2. Current condition

    TODAY
    Possible shower 19° 26°
    possible shower
    Chance of rain: 90%
    Likely amount: 1-5mm
    First
    light
    Sunrise Sunset Last light
    Sunrise Sunset
    6:44am EDT 7:09am EDT 6:51pm EDT 7:16pm EDT
    NOW
    20.3° Feels Like: 23.7°
    Relative Humidity: 94%
    Dew: 19.3°
    Wind: CAL 0km/h
    Gust: 0km/h
    Rainfall since 9am: 0.2mm
    Pressure:  
  3. Today Weather

    Eastern Creek
    Now
    20.7°c
    Feels Like:
    23.6°
    Wind:
    SE 6km/h
    Gusts:
    6km/h
    Humidity:
    100%
    Possible shower
     
    19°
    Min
    26°
    Max
    Today in Eastern Creek
    Partly cloudy. The chance of fog early this morning. Medium chance of showers, becoming less likely later this evening. Light winds becoming NE 15 to 20 km/h in the early afternoon.
    Tomorrow
    Showers increasing
    18°
    Min
    26°
    Max
    Cloudy. High chance of rain, most likely in the afternoon and evening. The chance of a thunderstorm. Winds NE 15 to 20 km/h increasing to 25 km/h before turning N 15 to 20 km/h during the morning and early afternoon.
  4. Radar

  5. Popup Radar

  6. Warnings

    There are no current warnings for Eastern Creek

  7. Next 48 Hours


    Next 48 Hours


  8. 7 day forecast

    Today: Partly cloudy. The chance of fog early this morning. Medium chance of showers, becoming less likely later this evening. Light winds becoming NE 15 to 20 km/h in the early afternoon.

    Forecast for Eastern Creek (33.8031°S, 150.8522°E, 57m AMSL)
      Wed Thu Fri Sat Sun Mon Tue
    Summary Possible shower Showers increasing Rain developing Mostly sunny Sunny Late shower Showers
    Minimum 19° 18° 17° 19° 12° 10° 12°
    Maximum 26° 26° 27° 29° 23° 22° 22°
    Chance of rain 90% 80% 90% 20% 10% 50% 80%
    Likely amount 1-5mm 5-10mm 10-20mm < 1mm < 1mm < 1mm 1-5mm
    UV index High High High High High - -
    Frost risk Nil Nil Nil Nil Nil Nil Nil
      9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm
    Wind speed 2
    (km/h)
    13
    (km/h)
    7
    (km/h)
    12
    (km/h)
    5
    (km/h)
    10
    (km/h)
    11
    (km/h)
    14
    (km/h)
    12
    (km/h)
    14
    (km/h)
    7
    (km/h)
    10
    (km/h)
    9
    (km/h)
    12
    (km/h)
    Wind direction N ENE NE NNE NNW NNE NNW NW W WSW WSW SSE SW SSE
    Relative humidity 89% 71% 89% 74% 86% 69% 79% 47% 52% 35% 59% 48% 68% 63%
    Dew point 19°C 20°C 19°C 20°C 17°C 22°C 18°C 17°C 7°C 6°C 9°C 11°C 13°C 15°C
  9. 28 Day Rainfall forecast

    Eastern Creek Rain Forecast


    Eastern Creek 28-day Rainfall Forecast
    SUN
    MON
    TUE
    WED
    THU
    FRI
    SAT
    Apr 1
    LOW
    2
    MEDIUM
    3
    HIGH
    4
    LOW
    5
    LOW
    6
    MEDIUM
    7
    LOW
    8
    9
    10
    11
    12
    13
    14
    LOW
    15
    MEDIUM
    16
    MEDIUM
    17
    18
    19
    20
    LOW
    21
    LOW
    22
    LOW
    23
    LOW
    24
    LOW
    25
    LOW
    26
    LOW
    27
    LOW
    28
    LOW
    29
    LOW
    30
    LOW
    CHANCE OF RAINFALL WITHIN DISTRICT
    NIL < 25%
    LOW 25% to 50%
    MEDIUM 50% to 75%
    HIGH ≥ 75%
    Issued Mar31

    Issue Notes

    The hemispheric long wave pattern has remained stable in recent weeks. There are six main troughs. Currently the most significant troughs are near the longitudes of South Africa, the Indian Ocean, eastern Australia, the south Pacific, South America, and the Atlantic Ocean.

    Summary:

    Over southern and eastern Australia the cold front events with potential to bring widespread rain are now expected about 22 April to 26 April, 28 April to 2 May, and 3 May to 7 May. Rain events originating in the tropics and moving south are possible about 19 April to 23 April. Over Western Australia the strongest cold fronts should occur about 22 April to 26 April, 29 April to 3 May, and 3 May to 7 May.

    Forecast Explanation

    This forecast is produced by a multi-model ensemble consisting of dynamical atmospheric models, which are forced by the latest observed atmosphere, ocean, land and ice conditions. The models are designed to simulate features of the real atmosphere, including the daily movement of long and short wave patterns in the Southern Hemisphere.

    The future probability of rain in each district is estimated using output from the multi-model ensemble, combined with historical information about the difference between the model forecasts and observed rainfall.

    In this deterministic framework the skill of the forecast tends to decrease with time, however the forecasts are updated daily to provide the latest estimates of rainfall probability out to 28 days.

  10. 12 Month Rainfall Forecast

    Eastern Creek Rain Forecast


    Eastern Creek 12-month Rainfall Forecast
    Apr
    May
    Jun
    Jul
    Aug
    Sep
    Oct
    Nov
    Dec
    Jan
    Feb
    2020
    2021
    7
    6
    6
    7
    8
    7
    5
    9
    4
    4
    8
    10
    5
    0
    1
    2 - 3
    4 - 7
    8 - 9
    10
    Well below normal
    Below normal
    Near normal
    Above normal
    Well above normal

    Issue Notes - Issued Mar 9

    ENSO status: Neutral IOD status: Neutral SAM status: Trending neutral Sea surface temperatures (SSTs) across the equatorial central Pacific remained stable throughout February with the Nino3.4 index registering a value of 0.3. On the other hand, the Southern Oscillation Index (SOI) recorded a value of -2.2 in February. The current outlook suggests slightly warmer than average SSTs will persist across the equatorial Pacific Ocean through the austral autumn, potentially cooling further by the austral winter. Four out of seven international models maintain a slightly warmer than average equatorial Pacific Ocean through the first half of winter. To the west of Australia, the Indian Ocean Dipole (IOD) remains neutral, normal for this time of the year. All six international models maintain neutral IOD values through to the austral winter. In terms of precipitation across Australia, the current outlook favours below average rainfall for western, central and southeastern parts of the country. Across NSW and Qld, the outlook is for average-to-above average, mainly across the Qld coasts. This excludes any extreme weather events such as tropical cyclones or East Coast Lows. Across the north, the North Australian Monsoon (NAM) has been quiet for most of the wet season, with the current prognosis suggesting below average rainfall for March but above average in April. Looking further ahead, with no significant signature from ENSO, there are no significant climate drivers tilting the balance towards a drier or wetter end of autumn/winter. The current consensus, however, suggests that average to above average rainfall is a possibility across northern, western and parts of the inland south east.

  11. Long range rainfall forecast

    Eastern Creek Rain Forecast


    Eastern Creek 28-day Rainfall Forecast
    SUN
    MON
    TUE
    WED
    THU
    FRI
    SAT
    Apr 1
    LOW
    2
    MEDIUM
    3
    HIGH
    4
    LOW
    5
    LOW
    6
    MEDIUM
    7
    LOW
    8
    9
    10
    11
    12
    13
    14
    LOW
    15
    MEDIUM
    16
    MEDIUM
    17
    18
    19
    20
    LOW
    21
    LOW
    22
    LOW
    23
    LOW
    24
    LOW
    25
    LOW
    26
    LOW
    27
    LOW
    28
    LOW
    29
    LOW
    30
    LOW
    CHANCE OF RAINFALL WITHIN DISTRICT
    NIL < 25%
    LOW 25% to 50%
    MEDIUM 50% to 75%
    HIGH ≥ 75%
    Issued Mar31

    Issue Notes

    The hemispheric long wave pattern has remained stable in recent weeks. There are six main troughs. Currently the most significant troughs are near the longitudes of South Africa, the Indian Ocean, eastern Australia, the south Pacific, South America, and the Atlantic Ocean.

    Summary:

    Over southern and eastern Australia the cold front events with potential to bring widespread rain are now expected about 22 April to 26 April, 28 April to 2 May, and 3 May to 7 May. Rain events originating in the tropics and moving south are possible about 19 April to 23 April. Over Western Australia the strongest cold fronts should occur about 22 April to 26 April, 29 April to 3 May, and 3 May to 7 May.

    Forecast Explanation

    This forecast is produced by a multi-model ensemble consisting of dynamical atmospheric models, which are forced by the latest observed atmosphere, ocean, land and ice conditions. The models are designed to simulate features of the real atmosphere, including the daily movement of long and short wave patterns in the Southern Hemisphere.

    The future probability of rain in each district is estimated using output from the multi-model ensemble, combined with historical information about the difference between the model forecasts and observed rainfall.

    In this deterministic framework the skill of the forecast tends to decrease with time, however the forecasts are updated daily to provide the latest estimates of rainfall probability out to 28 days.

  12. Popup - Daily historical

  13. Past 5 Days

    Eastern Creek Past 5 Days

    This Month
    Minimum Maximum Rainfall
    Saturday
    Mar 28
    13.9 °C 24.4 °C
    0.0 mm
    Sunday
    Mar 29
    16.1 °C 25.8 °C
    1.6 mm
    Monday
    Mar 30
    17.6 °C 25.0 °C
    1.2 mm
    Tuesday
    Mar 31
    15.0 °C 28 °C
    0.2 mm
    Wednesday
    Apr 01
    17 °C -
    0.2 mm
    Legend
  14. Almanac

    Almanac


    Eastern Creek minimum temp history (33.8031°S, 150.8522°E, 57m AMSL)
    MAXIMUM TEMPERATURE MINIMUM TEMPERATURE
    Hottest this month 37.1° 02/03/2020 Coldest this month 11.5° 15/03/2020
    Hottest on record 35.8 06/04/2016 Coldest on record 1.9 23/04/2006
    Hottest this year 47.0° 04/01/2020 Coldest this year 11.5° 15/03/2020
    Long term average 26.8° Long term average 16.1°
    Average this month 25.2° Average this month 15.4°
    Hottest April On Record Avg. max. temp. 26.0° 2005 Coldest April on record Avg. min. temp. 10.8° 2006
    Eastern Creek rainfall history (33.8031°S, 150.8522°E, 57m AMSL)
    RAINFALL
    Wettest This Month 32.8mm 04/03/2020 Total This Month 118.2mm
    19.0 days
    Long Term Average 83.8mm 12.4 days Wettest April on record 298.2mm 2015
    Driest on record 3.4mm 2006
  15. Popup - Radar

    Weather Radar for NSW/ACT

  16. Year to Date

    Eastern Creek Year To Date

    Average Rainfall To Mar 278.6mm 35.3 day(s)
    Total For 2020 614.0mm 50.0 day(s)
    Total To This Day 2019 298.8mm 39.0 day(s)
    Wettest Day 191.6mm Feb10
    Lowest Temperature 11.5°C Mar15
    Highest Temperature 47.0°C Jan 4
  17. Popup - Monthly historical

  18. Climatology

    Climate History

    Eastern Creek Climatology

    Long-Term Averages
    Jan Feb Mar Apr May Jun Jul Aug Sep Oct Nov Dec Ann
    Mean Max (°C) 29.8 28.7 26.8 23.7 20.5 17.6 17.2 19.0 22.3 24.7 26.4 28.2 23.8
    Mean Min (°C) 17.8 17.8 16.1 12.8 9.1 7.2 5.8 6.5 9.4 11.7 14.4 16.1 12.1
    Mean Rain (mm) 80.5 114.3 83.8 78.3 45.9 78.2 40.2 41.2 38.4 56.3 83.9 69.9 811.2
    Mean Rain Days 11.7 11.2 12.4 11.6 9.3 10.7 8.9 7.7 8.6 9.1 11.5 11.3 116.5