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Forecast

East Kurrajong (33.5145°S, 150.7646°E, 69m AMSL) set as my default location ›

  1. My MLA

  2. Current condition

    TODAY
    Hazy 13° 37°
    Chance of rain: 5%
    Likely amount: < 1mm
    First
    light
    Sunrise Sunset Last light
    Sunrise Sunset
    5:15am EDT 5:43am EDT 7:43pm EDT 8:10pm EDT
    NOW
    13.6° Feels Like: 14.6°
    Relative Humidity: 98%
    Dew: 13.3°
    Wind: CAL 0km/h
    Gust: 0km/h
    Rainfall since 9am: 0.0mm
    Pressure: 1016.3hPa
  3. Today Weather

    East Kurrajong
    Now
    14.1°c
    Feels Like:
    13.9°
    Wind:
    N 7km/h
    Gusts:
    7km/h
    Humidity:
    97%
    Hazy
     
    13°
    Min
    37°
    Max
    Today in East Kurrajong
    Hot and mostly sunny. Areas of smoke haze. The chance of a thunderstorm in the north late this afternoon and evening. Winds E/NE 15 to 20 km/h turning N 15 to 25 km/h in the late morning. Daytime maximum temperatures 33 to 38.
    Tomorrow
    Hazy
    19°
    Min
    33°
    Max
    Partly cloudy. Areas of haze and smoke haze on and east of the ranges in the morning. Slight chance of a shower, most likely in the afternoon and evening. The chance of a thunderstorm in the afternoon and evening. Winds N/NW 20 to 30 km/h tending W/NW 15 to 25 km/h in the middle of the day then becoming light in the evening. Overnight temperatures falling to between 17 and 23 with daytime temperatures reaching 31 to 36.
  4. Radar

  5. Popup Radar

  6. Warnings

  7. Next 48 Hours


    Next 48 Hours


  8. 7 day forecast

    Today: Hot and mostly sunny. Areas of smoke haze. The chance of a thunderstorm in the north late this afternoon and evening. Winds E/NE 15 to 20 km/h turning N 15 to 25 km/h in the late morning. Daytime maximum temperatures 33 to 38.

    Forecast for East Kurrajong (33.5145°S, 150.7646°E, 69m AMSL)
      Thu Fri Sat Sun Mon Tue Wed
    Summary Hazy Hazy Possible thunderstorm Possible thunderstorm Possible thunderstorm Possible thunderstorm Mostly sunny
    Minimum 13° 19° 15° 15° 15° 17° 14°
    Maximum 37° 33° 33° 25° 32° 36° 27°
    Chance of rain 5% 30% 70% 50% 70% 80% 50%
    Likely amount < 1mm 1-5mm 1-5mm 1-5mm 5-10mm 10-20mm 1-5mm
    UV index High High Moderate Very High Extreme - -
    Frost risk Nil Nil Nil Nil Nil Nil Nil
      9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm
    Wind speed 12
    (km/h)
    19
    (km/h)
    10
    (km/h)
    20
    (km/h)
    6
    (km/h)
    16
    (km/h)
    11
    (km/h)
    15
    (km/h)
    8
    (km/h)
    16
    (km/h)
    17
    (km/h)
    23
    (km/h)
    12
    (km/h)
    18
    (km/h)
    Wind direction NNE NE SSE ESE S ESE SSW ESE NE N N NW S SE
    Relative humidity 70% 21% 50% 40% 79% 46% 80% 55% 77% 42% 51% 26% 60% 38%
    Dew point 16°C 11°C 17°C 17°C 17°C 20°C 15°C 16°C 19°C 18°C 16°C 14°C 12°C 12°C
  9. 28 Day Rainfall forecast

    East Kurrajong Rain Forecast


    East Kurrajong 28-day Rainfall Forecast
    SUN
    MON
    TUE
    WED
    THU
    FRI
    SAT
    21
    22
    MEDIUM
    23
    MEDIUM
    24
    MEDIUM
    25
    HIGH
    26
    MEDIUM
    27
    MEDIUM
    28
    LOW
    29
    LOW
    30
    Dec 1
    LOW
    2
    MEDIUM
    3
    MEDIUM
    4
    LOW
    5
    LOW
    6
    7
    8
    9
    MEDIUM
    10
    11
    LOW
    12
    LOW
    13
    LOW
    14
    LOW
    15
    LOW
    16
    17
    18
    LOW
    19
    LOW
    CHANCE OF RAINFALL WITHIN DISTRICT
    NIL < 25%
    LOW 25% to 50%
    MEDIUM 50% to 75%
    HIGH ≥ 75%
    Issued Nov20

    Issue Notes

    The hemispheric long wave pattern has remained stable in recent weeks. There are six main troughs. Currently the most significant troughs are near the longitudes of the southwest Indian Ocean, Western Australia, New Zealand, the south Pacific, South America, and the Atlantic Ocean.

    Summary:

    Over southern and eastern Australia the cold front events with potential to bring widespread rain are now expected about 28 November to 2 December, 9 December to 13 December, and 15 December to 19 December. Rain events originating in the tropics and moving south are possible about 26 November to 30 November, and 3 December to 7 December. Over Western Australia the strongest cold fronts should occur about 6 December to 10 December, 12 December to 16 December, and 18 December to 22 December.

    Forecast Explanation

    This forecast is produced by a multi-model ensemble consisting of dynamical atmospheric models, which are forced by the latest observed atmosphere, ocean, land and ice conditions. The models are designed to simulate features of the real atmosphere, including the daily movement of long and short wave patterns in the Southern Hemisphere.

    The future probability of rain in each district is estimated using output from the multi-model ensemble, combined with historical information about the difference between the model forecasts and observed rainfall.

    In this deterministic framework the skill of the forecast tends to decrease with time, however the forecasts are updated daily to provide the latest estimates of rainfall probability out to 28 days.

  10. 12 Month Rainfall Forecast

    East Kurrajong Rain Forecast


    East Kurrajong 12-month Rainfall Forecast
    Nov
    Dec
    Jan
    Feb
    Mar
    Apr
    May
    Jun
    Jul
    Aug
    Sep
    Oct
    2019
    2020
    3
    5
    6
    5
    5
    7
    6
    7
    5
    4
    5
    2
    10
    5
    0
    1
    2 - 3
    4 - 7
    8 - 9
    10
    Well below normal
    Below normal
    Near normal
    Above normal
    Well above normal

    Issue Notes - Issued Nov 8

    ENSO status: Neutral IOD status: Positive Sea surface temperatures (SSTs) across the equatorial central Pacific warmed up slightly over the past few weeks. As a reflection, the Nino3.4 index lingered between 0.5 and 0.7 throughout the month of October. The Southern Oscillation Index (SOI) recorded a value of -5.6 during the past month. The current outlook consensus suggests warmer than average SSTs will persist across the equatorial Pacific Ocean through the coming months, but remaining within neutral values. Five out of eight international models maintain a warmer than average Pacific Ocean through the end of 2019 and first quarter of 2020, however, none of these reaching El Nino thresholds. The IRI ENSO forecast continues to suggest less than 40% of another El Nino developing over the next 12 months, with a neutral ENSO the most likely outcome. To the west of Australia, the Indian Ocean Dipole (IOD) remains strongly positive, with the highest positive value since the early 2000s. All six international models maintain a strong positive event until December. In terms of rainfall, there is little variation to the outlook issued last month. The climate outlook for October continues to favour below average rainfall for most of Australia, in particular the eastern half of the continent. During Positive IODs, central and southeastern Australia tend to see a reduction in rainfall during spring, due to a reduction of moisture streaming from the northwest. For northern Australia, the current outlook is for a late onset of the wet season across the Northern Territory and Queensland. Thus far, Darwin and South Eastern Qld have seen the onset of the wet season this year though a week later than usual. Further south, a negative trend in the Southern Annular Mode (SAM) will continue to enhance frontal activity over the far south during October and early. This is likely to offset the Positive IOD in far southern Victoria and western Tasmania, which could see average-to-above average rainfall during October and early December. Looking further ahead, with no significant signature from ENSO, there are no significant climate drivers tilting the balance towards a drier or wetter summer. The current outlook suggest neutral odds.

  11. Long range rainfall forecast

    East Kurrajong Rain Forecast


    East Kurrajong 28-day Rainfall Forecast
    SUN
    MON
    TUE
    WED
    THU
    FRI
    SAT
    21
    22
    MEDIUM
    23
    MEDIUM
    24
    MEDIUM
    25
    HIGH
    26
    MEDIUM
    27
    MEDIUM
    28
    LOW
    29
    LOW
    30
    Dec 1
    LOW
    2
    MEDIUM
    3
    MEDIUM
    4
    LOW
    5
    LOW
    6
    7
    8
    9
    MEDIUM
    10
    11
    LOW
    12
    LOW
    13
    LOW
    14
    LOW
    15
    LOW
    16
    17
    18
    LOW
    19
    LOW
    CHANCE OF RAINFALL WITHIN DISTRICT
    NIL < 25%
    LOW 25% to 50%
    MEDIUM 50% to 75%
    HIGH ≥ 75%
    Issued Nov20

    Issue Notes

    The hemispheric long wave pattern has remained stable in recent weeks. There are six main troughs. Currently the most significant troughs are near the longitudes of the southwest Indian Ocean, Western Australia, New Zealand, the south Pacific, South America, and the Atlantic Ocean.

    Summary:

    Over southern and eastern Australia the cold front events with potential to bring widespread rain are now expected about 28 November to 2 December, 9 December to 13 December, and 15 December to 19 December. Rain events originating in the tropics and moving south are possible about 26 November to 30 November, and 3 December to 7 December. Over Western Australia the strongest cold fronts should occur about 6 December to 10 December, 12 December to 16 December, and 18 December to 22 December.

    Forecast Explanation

    This forecast is produced by a multi-model ensemble consisting of dynamical atmospheric models, which are forced by the latest observed atmosphere, ocean, land and ice conditions. The models are designed to simulate features of the real atmosphere, including the daily movement of long and short wave patterns in the Southern Hemisphere.

    The future probability of rain in each district is estimated using output from the multi-model ensemble, combined with historical information about the difference between the model forecasts and observed rainfall.

    In this deterministic framework the skill of the forecast tends to decrease with time, however the forecasts are updated daily to provide the latest estimates of rainfall probability out to 28 days.

  12. Popup - Daily historical

  13. Past 5 Days

    East Kurrajong Past 5 Days

    This Month
    Minimum Maximum Rainfall
    Saturday
    Nov 16
    15.1 °C 25.9 °C
    0.0 mm
    Sunday
    Nov 17
    16.5 °C 26.1 °C
    0.0 mm
    Monday
    Nov 18
    14.4 °C 30.4 °C
    0.0 mm
    Tuesday
    Nov 19
    9.7 °C 38.7 °C
    0.0 mm
    Wednesday
    Nov 20
    18.2 °C 27 °C
    0.0 mm
    Legend
  14. Almanac

    Almanac


    East Kurrajong minimum temp history (33.5145°S, 150.7646°E, 69m AMSL)
    MAXIMUM TEMPERATURE MINIMUM TEMPERATURE
    Hottest this month 39.0° 19/11/2019 Coldest this month 7.3° 06/11/2019
    Hottest on record 45.3 23/11/2014 Coldest on record 5.3 06/11/2013
    Hottest this year 41.4° 17/01/2019 Coldest this year -3.3° 15/08/2019
    Long term average 27.1° Long term average 14.2°
    Average this month 30.2° Average this month 12.4°
    Hottest November On Record Avg. max. temp. 30.5° 2009 Coldest November on record Avg. min. temp. 12.0° 1999
    East Kurrajong rainfall history (33.5145°S, 150.7646°E, 69m AMSL)
    RAINFALL
    Wettest This Month 12.0mm 04/11/2019 Total This Month 12.4mm
    2.0 days
    Long Term Average 80.4mm 11.7 days Wettest November on record 159.8mm 2009
  15. Popup - Radar

  16. Year to Date

    East Kurrajong Year To Date

    Average Rainfall To Nov 690.4mm 110.1 day(s)
    Total For 2019 508.8mm 99.0 day(s)
    Total To This Day 2018 357.8mm 84.0 day(s)
    Wettest Day 55.6mm Sep18
    Lowest Temperature -3.3°C Aug15
    Highest Temperature 41.4°C Jan17
  17. Popup - Monthly historical

  18. Climatology

    East Kurrajong Climatology

    Long-Term Averages
    Jan Feb Mar Apr May Jun Jul Aug Sep Oct Nov Dec Ann
    Mean Max (°C) 30.1 29.2 27.0 24.0 20.8 18.0 17.6 19.7 22.7 25.3 27.1 28.7 24.2
    Mean Min (°C) 17.7 17.8 15.7 11.6 7.6 5.2 3.7 4.5 8.1 11.0 14.2 16.1 11.1
    Mean Rain (mm) 84.6 116.3 82.3 59.5 46.2 56.8 30.7 35.7 48.3 49.6 80.4 68.5 761.8
    Mean Rain Days 11.9 11.6 11.7 10.2 10.5 10.7 8.7 6.7 7.7 8.7 11.7 10.7 115.8