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Forecast

East Kempsey (31.0822°S, 152.8455°E, 9m AMSL) set as my default location ›

  1. My MLA

  2. Current condition

    TOMORROW
    Late shower 16° 29°
    late shower
    Chance of rain: 70%
    Likely amount: 1-5mm
    First
    light
    Sunrise Sunset Last light
    Sunrise Sunset
    6:35am EDT 6:59am EDT 6:47pm EDT 7:11pm EDT
    NOW
    18.0° Feels Like: 20.7°
    Relative Humidity: 98%
    Dew: 17.7°
    Wind: CAL 0km/h
    Gust: 0km/h
    Rainfall since 9am: 0.2mm
    Pressure: 1019.3hPa
  3. Today Weather

    East Kempsey
    Now
    19.8°c
    Feels Like:
    21.7°
    Wind:
    N 6km/h
    Gusts:
    7km/h
    Humidity:
    93%
    Late shower
     
    16°
    Min
    29°
    Max
    Today in East Kempsey
    Partly cloudy. Areas of fog in the early morning. High chance of showers, most likely in the afternoon and early evening. The chance of a thunderstorm in the afternoon and evening. Winds NW/NE 15 to 20 km/h tending NW/SW in the early afternoon then becoming light in the late afternoon. Overnight temperatures falling to between 12 and 16 with daytime temperatures reaching 23 to 29.
    Tomorrow
    Late shower
    16°
    Min
    29°
    Max
    Mostly sunny. Areas of fog in the early morning. Slight chance of a shower. The chance of a thunderstorm. Light winds. Overnight temperatures falling to between 12 and 17 with daytime temperatures reaching 24 to 29.
  4. Radar

  5. Popup Radar

  6. Warnings

    There are no current warnings for East Kempsey

  7. Next 48 Hours


    Next 48 Hours


  8. 7 day forecast

    Today: Partly cloudy. Areas of fog in the early morning. High chance of showers, most likely in the afternoon and early evening. The chance of a thunderstorm in the afternoon and evening. Winds NW/NE 15 to 20 km/h tending NW/SW in the early afternoon then becoming light in the late afternoon. Overnight temperatures falling to between 12 and 16 with daytime temperatures reaching 23 to 29.

    Forecast for East Kempsey (31.0822°S, 152.8455°E, 9m AMSL)
      Mon Tue Wed Thu Fri Sat Sun
    Summary Late shower Possible thunderstorm Possible shower Possible shower Possible shower Possible shower Possible shower
    Minimum 16° 17° 17° 18° 18° 19° 18°
    Maximum 29° 29° 27° 27° 30° 29° 28°
    Chance of rain 70% 20% 40% 40% 90% 90% 80%
    Likely amount 1-5mm < 1mm < 1mm 1-5mm 1-5mm 1-5mm 1-5mm
    UV index Very High High Very High Very High - - -
    Frost risk Nil Nil Nil Nil Nil Nil Nil
      9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm
    Wind speed 6
    (km/h)
    6
    (km/h)
    4
    (km/h)
    10
    (km/h)
    4
    (km/h)
    8
    (km/h)
    3
    (km/h)
    11
    (km/h)
    6
    (km/h)
    10
    (km/h)
    7
    (km/h)
    9
    (km/h)
    5
    (km/h)
    7
    (km/h)
    Wind direction NNW E WSW SSE SW ESE NNW ENE N NE N NE W SE
    Relative humidity 87% 63% 85% 62% 87% 72% 88% 68% 84% 67% 83% 72% 71% 61%
    Dew point 19°C 21°C 19°C 21°C 20°C 21°C 20°C 21°C 20°C 23°C 21°C 23°C 19°C 20°C
  9. 28 Day Rainfall forecast

    East Kempsey Rain Forecast


    East Kempsey 28-day Rainfall Forecast
    SUN
    MON
    TUE
    WED
    THU
    FRI
    SAT
    29
    HIGH
    30
    MEDIUM
    31
    MEDIUM
    Apr 1
    MEDIUM
    2
    MEDIUM
    3
    HIGH
    4
    HIGH
    5
    MEDIUM
    6
    7
    MEDIUM
    8
    HIGH
    9
    MEDIUM
    10
    MEDIUM
    11
    LOW
    12
    LOW
    13
    14
    15
    16
    LOW
    17
    18
    MEDIUM
    19
    LOW
    20
    LOW
    21
    LOW
    22
    LOW
    23
    LOW
    24
    LOW
    25
    26
    27
    MEDIUM
    CHANCE OF RAINFALL WITHIN DISTRICT
    NIL < 25%
    LOW 25% to 50%
    MEDIUM 50% to 75%
    HIGH ≥ 75%
    Issued Mar29

    Issue Notes

    The hemispheric long wave pattern has remained stable in recent weeks. There are four main troughs. Currently the most significant troughs are near the longitudes of South Africa, the southwest Indian Ocean, Western Australia, and South America.

    Summary:

    Over southern and eastern Australia the cold front events with potential to bring widespread rain are now expected about 11 April to 15 April, 15 April to 19 April, and 23 April to 27 April. Rain events originating in the tropics and moving south are possible about 27 March to 31 March. Over Western Australia the strongest cold fronts should occur about 9 April to 13 April, 15 April to 19 April, and 23 April to 27 April.

    Forecast Explanation

    This forecast is produced by a multi-model ensemble consisting of dynamical atmospheric models, which are forced by the latest observed atmosphere, ocean, land and ice conditions. The models are designed to simulate features of the real atmosphere, including the daily movement of long and short wave patterns in the Southern Hemisphere.

    The future probability of rain in each district is estimated using output from the multi-model ensemble, combined with historical information about the difference between the model forecasts and observed rainfall.

    In this deterministic framework the skill of the forecast tends to decrease with time, however the forecasts are updated daily to provide the latest estimates of rainfall probability out to 28 days.

  10. 12 Month Rainfall Forecast

    East Kempsey Rain Forecast


    East Kempsey 12-month Rainfall Forecast
    Mar
    Apr
    May
    Jun
    Jul
    Aug
    Sep
    Oct
    Nov
    Dec
    Jan
    Feb
    2020
    2021
    6
    7
    6
    5
    8
    6
    6
    5
    9
    4
    4
    8
    10
    5
    0
    1
    2 - 3
    4 - 7
    8 - 9
    10
    Well below normal
    Below normal
    Near normal
    Above normal
    Well above normal

    Issue Notes - Issued Mar 9

    ENSO status: Neutral IOD status: Neutral SAM status: Trending neutral Sea surface temperatures (SSTs) across the equatorial central Pacific remained stable throughout February with the Nino3.4 index registering a value of 0.3. On the other hand, the Southern Oscillation Index (SOI) recorded a value of -2.2 in February. The current outlook suggests slightly warmer than average SSTs will persist across the equatorial Pacific Ocean through the austral autumn, potentially cooling further by the austral winter. Four out of seven international models maintain a slightly warmer than average equatorial Pacific Ocean through the first half of winter. To the west of Australia, the Indian Ocean Dipole (IOD) remains neutral, normal for this time of the year. All six international models maintain neutral IOD values through to the austral winter. In terms of precipitation across Australia, the current outlook favours below average rainfall for western, central and southeastern parts of the country. Across NSW and Qld, the outlook is for average-to-above average, mainly across the Qld coasts. This excludes any extreme weather events such as tropical cyclones or East Coast Lows. Across the north, the North Australian Monsoon (NAM) has been quiet for most of the wet season, with the current prognosis suggesting below average rainfall for March but above average in April. Looking further ahead, with no significant signature from ENSO, there are no significant climate drivers tilting the balance towards a drier or wetter end of autumn/winter. The current consensus, however, suggests that average to above average rainfall is a possibility across northern, western and parts of the inland south east.

  11. Long range rainfall forecast

    East Kempsey Rain Forecast


    East Kempsey 28-day Rainfall Forecast
    SUN
    MON
    TUE
    WED
    THU
    FRI
    SAT
    29
    HIGH
    30
    MEDIUM
    31
    MEDIUM
    Apr 1
    MEDIUM
    2
    MEDIUM
    3
    HIGH
    4
    HIGH
    5
    MEDIUM
    6
    7
    MEDIUM
    8
    HIGH
    9
    MEDIUM
    10
    MEDIUM
    11
    LOW
    12
    LOW
    13
    14
    15
    16
    LOW
    17
    18
    MEDIUM
    19
    LOW
    20
    LOW
    21
    LOW
    22
    LOW
    23
    LOW
    24
    LOW
    25
    26
    27
    MEDIUM
    CHANCE OF RAINFALL WITHIN DISTRICT
    NIL < 25%
    LOW 25% to 50%
    MEDIUM 50% to 75%
    HIGH ≥ 75%
    Issued Mar29

    Issue Notes

    The hemispheric long wave pattern has remained stable in recent weeks. There are four main troughs. Currently the most significant troughs are near the longitudes of South Africa, the southwest Indian Ocean, Western Australia, and South America.

    Summary:

    Over southern and eastern Australia the cold front events with potential to bring widespread rain are now expected about 11 April to 15 April, 15 April to 19 April, and 23 April to 27 April. Rain events originating in the tropics and moving south are possible about 27 March to 31 March. Over Western Australia the strongest cold fronts should occur about 9 April to 13 April, 15 April to 19 April, and 23 April to 27 April.

    Forecast Explanation

    This forecast is produced by a multi-model ensemble consisting of dynamical atmospheric models, which are forced by the latest observed atmosphere, ocean, land and ice conditions. The models are designed to simulate features of the real atmosphere, including the daily movement of long and short wave patterns in the Southern Hemisphere.

    The future probability of rain in each district is estimated using output from the multi-model ensemble, combined with historical information about the difference between the model forecasts and observed rainfall.

    In this deterministic framework the skill of the forecast tends to decrease with time, however the forecasts are updated daily to provide the latest estimates of rainfall probability out to 28 days.

  12. Popup - Daily historical

  13. Past 5 Days

    East Kempsey Past 5 Days

    This Month
    Minimum Maximum Rainfall
    Wednesday
    Mar 25
    14.9 °C 27.7 °C
    0.2 mm
    Thursday
    Mar 26
    17.6 °C 24.8 °C
    9.4 mm
    Friday
    Mar 27
    15.9 °C 24.0 °C
    3.4 mm
    Saturday
    Mar 28
    13.1 °C 25.2 °C
    0.4 mm
    Sunday
    Mar 29
    16.4 °C 25 °C
    13.2 mm
    Legend
  14. Almanac

    Almanac


    East Kempsey minimum temp history (31.0822°S, 152.8455°E, 9m AMSL)
    MAXIMUM TEMPERATURE MINIMUM TEMPERATURE
    Hottest this month 36.4° 02/03/2020 Coldest this month 12.3° 19/03/2020
    Hottest on record 42.0 19/03/2002 Coldest on record 9.2 31/03/2007
    Hottest this year 38.2° 21/01/2020 Coldest this year 12.3° 19/03/2020
    Long term average 27.4° Long term average 16.4°
    Average this month 26.0° Average this month 17.0°
    Hottest March On Record Avg. max. temp. 28.8° 2016 Coldest March on record Avg. min. temp. 14.0° 2008
    East Kempsey rainfall history (31.0822°S, 152.8455°E, 9m AMSL)
    RAINFALL
    Wettest This Month 225.0mm 10/03/2020 Total This Month 270.6mm
    14.0 days
    Long Term Average 156.2mm 15.6 days Wettest March on record 454.6mm 2017
    Driest on record 10.2mm 2016
  15. Popup - Radar

    Weather Radar for NSW/ACT

  16. Year to Date

    East Kempsey Year To Date

    Average Rainfall To Mar 445.1mm 43.9 day(s)
    Total For 2020 682.0mm 46.0 day(s)
    Total To This Day 2019 101.6mm 34.0 day(s)
    Wettest Day 225.0mm Mar10
    Lowest Temperature 12.3°C Mar19
    Highest Temperature 38.2°C Jan21
  17. Popup - Monthly historical

  18. Climatology

    Climate History

    East Kempsey Climatology

    Long-Term Averages
    Jan Feb Mar Apr May Jun Jul Aug Sep Oct Nov Dec Ann
    Mean Max (°C) 29.3 28.8 27.4 25.2 22.4 20.2 19.9 21.6 24.4 25.8 26.9 28.2 25.0
    Mean Min (°C) 17.8 18.0 16.4 13.1 8.6 6.7 5.0 5.3 8.2 10.9 14.5 16.3 11.7
    Mean Rain (mm) 124.2 164.7 156.2 75.1 72.9 138.6 22.7 60.2 44.0 74.3 112.0 101.7 1149.8
    Mean Rain Days 14.1 14.2 15.6 13.6 11.9 12.8 9.8 8.3 9.1 10.2 13.6 14.2 142.1