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Forecast

Dunkeld (33.4066°S, 149.4857°E, 632m AMSL) set as my default location ›

  1. My MLA

  2. Current condition

    TOMORROW
    Possible shower 12°
    possible shower
    Chance of rain: 60%
    Likely amount: < 1mm
    First
    light
    Sunrise Sunset Last light
    Sunrise Sunset
    6:13am EST 6:38am EST 5:33pm EST 5:59pm EST
    NOW
    8.4° Feels Like: 4.3°
    Relative Humidity: 99%
    Dew: 8.3°
    Wind: W 19km/h
    Gust: 28km/h
    Rainfall since 9am: 0.4mm
    Pressure: 1010.3hPa
  3. Today Weather

    Dunkeld
    Now
    7.2°c
    Feels Like:
    0.0°
    Wind:
    SW 33km/h
    Gusts:
    46km/h
    Humidity:
    97%
    Possible shower
     
    Min
    12°
    Max
    Today in Dunkeld
    Partly cloudy. Medium chance of showers. Winds W 20 to 30 km/h. Overnight temperatures falling to between 4 and 8 with daytime temperatures reaching between 9 and 15.
    Tomorrow
    Possible shower
    Min
    12°
    Max
    Partly cloudy. Slight chance of a shower in the south. Winds W/SW 15 to 20 km/h becoming light in the middle of the day then becoming W 15 to 20 km/h in the early afternoon. Overnight temperatures falling to between 2 and 5 with daytime temperatures reaching between 10 and 16.
  4. Radar

  5. Popup Radar

  6. Warnings

    There are no current warnings for Dunkeld

  7. Next 48 Hours


    Next 48 Hours


  8. 7 day forecast

    Today: Partly cloudy. Medium chance of showers. Winds W 20 to 30 km/h. Overnight temperatures falling to between 4 and 8 with daytime temperatures reaching between 9 and 15.

    Forecast for Dunkeld (33.4066°S, 149.4857°E, 632m AMSL)
      Sun Mon Tue Wed Thu Fri Sat
    Summary Possible shower Mostly sunny Possible shower Showers Showers Showers Possible shower
    Minimum
    Maximum 12° 13° 15° 13°
    Chance of rain 60% 30% 40% 90% 80% 90% 90%
    Likely amount < 1mm < 1mm < 1mm 1-5mm 1-5mm 1-5mm 1-5mm
    UV index Moderate Moderate Moderate Moderate - - -
    Frost risk Nil Slight Moderate Moderate Moderate Moderate High
      9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm
    Wind speed 21
    (km/h)
    24
    (km/h)
    16
    (km/h)
    19
    (km/h)
    15
    (km/h)
    24
    (km/h)
    19
    (km/h)
    30
    (km/h)
    26
    (km/h)
    30
    (km/h)
    27
    (km/h)
    29
    (km/h)
    28
    (km/h)
    30
    (km/h)
    Wind direction W W WSW W NNW NW WNW WNW W WNW WNW WNW W W
    Relative humidity 98% 71% 96% 61% 94% 63% 86% 66% 97% 76% 92% 72% 93% 67%
    Dew point 8°C 6°C 6°C 5°C 6°C 7°C 5°C 5°C 5°C 4°C 4°C 3°C 2°C 1°C
  9. 28 Day Rainfall forecast

    Dunkeld Rain Forecast


    Dunkeld 28-day Rainfall Forecast
    SUN
    MON
    TUE
    WED
    THU
    FRI
    SAT
    15
    MEDIUM
    16
    LOW
    17
    MEDIUM
    18
    LOW
    19
    MEDIUM
    20
    MEDIUM
    21
    HIGH
    22
    LOW
    23
    24
    LOW
    25
    LOW
    26
    LOW
    27
    MEDIUM
    28
    29
    30
    31
    Sep 1
    2
    MEDIUM
    3
    MEDIUM
    4
    5
    6
    LOW
    7
    8
    9
    10
    LOW
    11
    MEDIUM
    12
    LOW
    CHANCE OF RAINFALL WITHIN DISTRICT
    NIL < 25%
    LOW 25% to 50%
    MEDIUM 50% to 75%
    HIGH ≥ 75%
    Issued Aug15

    Issue Notes

    The hemispheric long wave pattern has remained stable in recent weeks. There are five main troughs. Currently the most significant troughs are near the longitudes of South Africa, the Indian Ocean, eastern Australia, the southeast Pacific, and the Atlantic Ocean.

    Summary:

    Over southern and eastern Australia the cold front events with potential to bring widespread rain are now expected about 22 August to 26 August, 8 September to 12 September, and 16 September to 20 September. Rain events originating in the tropics and moving south are possible about 14 September to 18 September, and 18 September to 22 September. Over Western Australia the strongest cold fronts should occur about 21 August to 25 August, 7 September to 11 September, and 14 September to 18 September.

    Forecast Explanation

    This forecast is produced by a multi-model ensemble consisting of dynamical atmospheric models, which are forced by the latest observed atmosphere, ocean, land and ice conditions. The models are designed to simulate features of the real atmosphere, including the daily movement of long and short wave patterns in the Southern Hemisphere.

    The future probability of rain in each district is estimated using output from the multi-model ensemble, combined with historical information about the difference between the model forecasts and observed rainfall.

    In this deterministic framework the skill of the forecast tends to decrease with time, however the forecasts are updated daily to provide the latest estimates of rainfall probability out to 28 days.

  10. 12 Month Rainfall Forecast

    Dunkeld Rain Forecast


    Dunkeld 12-month Rainfall Forecast
    Aug
    Sep
    Oct
    Nov
    Dec
    Jan
    Feb
    Mar
    Apr
    May
    Jun
    Jul
    2020
    2021
    9
    7
    7
    8
    6
    6
    7
    6
    4
    4
    7
    5
    10
    5
    0
    1
    2 - 3
    4 - 7
    8 - 9
    10
    Well below normal
    Below normal
    Near normal
    Above normal
    Well above normal

    Issue Notes - Issued Aug 5

    ENSO status: La Nina Watch IOD status: Neutral SAM status: Positive Sea surface temperatures (SSTs) across the equatorial central Pacific show a slight decrease in the intensity of cooling compared to June, with the Nino3.4 index registering a value of 0.0 in July. The Southern Oscillation Index (SOI) recorded a value of 4.2 in the same month, a swing into positive values compared to June. The current outlook suggests that cooler than average SSTs will continue across the equatorial pacific through the end of winter and potentially reach La Nina thresholds by mid-spring. All eight international models continue to suggest a cooler side of neutral for the region throughout the remainder of the Austral winter and through spring, with four of these indicating La Nina by Spring. The current International Research Institute for Climate and Society (IRI) outlook suggests a 54:41 chance for La Nina:Neutral conditions by the end of the Austral spring. To the west of Australia, the Indian Ocean Dipole (IOD) remains neutral. Two of the six international models indicate a negative IOD becoming established during the Austral spring, with the remaining four indicating a neutral phase. Of the four neutral models, including the BOM, three are trending slightly negative within the neutral zone by early spring, with only the Canadian model trending positive. In terms of precipitation over Australia, the current short-term outlook favours above average rainfall across most of Australia over the next fortnight, with the exception of western TAS, far southern VIC, and northern QLD and the NT. These expected wetter than average conditions will likely be due to the passage of moisture troughs inland and fronts, in part driven by the positive SAM. Models are then indicating a continued trend to above average rainfall for inland SA, all but the far north of the NT, western, central and southern QLD, northern and western NSW and parts of southern WA. Parts of WA’s Pilbara and Kimberley however are showing signs of below average rainfall into early spring.

  11. Long range rainfall forecast

    Dunkeld Rain Forecast


    Dunkeld 28-day Rainfall Forecast
    SUN
    MON
    TUE
    WED
    THU
    FRI
    SAT
    15
    MEDIUM
    16
    LOW
    17
    MEDIUM
    18
    LOW
    19
    MEDIUM
    20
    MEDIUM
    21
    HIGH
    22
    LOW
    23
    24
    LOW
    25
    LOW
    26
    LOW
    27
    MEDIUM
    28
    29
    30
    31
    Sep 1
    2
    MEDIUM
    3
    MEDIUM
    4
    5
    6
    LOW
    7
    8
    9
    10
    LOW
    11
    MEDIUM
    12
    LOW
    CHANCE OF RAINFALL WITHIN DISTRICT
    NIL < 25%
    LOW 25% to 50%
    MEDIUM 50% to 75%
    HIGH ≥ 75%
    Issued Aug15

    Issue Notes

    The hemispheric long wave pattern has remained stable in recent weeks. There are five main troughs. Currently the most significant troughs are near the longitudes of South Africa, the Indian Ocean, eastern Australia, the southeast Pacific, and the Atlantic Ocean.

    Summary:

    Over southern and eastern Australia the cold front events with potential to bring widespread rain are now expected about 22 August to 26 August, 8 September to 12 September, and 16 September to 20 September. Rain events originating in the tropics and moving south are possible about 14 September to 18 September, and 18 September to 22 September. Over Western Australia the strongest cold fronts should occur about 21 August to 25 August, 7 September to 11 September, and 14 September to 18 September.

    Forecast Explanation

    This forecast is produced by a multi-model ensemble consisting of dynamical atmospheric models, which are forced by the latest observed atmosphere, ocean, land and ice conditions. The models are designed to simulate features of the real atmosphere, including the daily movement of long and short wave patterns in the Southern Hemisphere.

    The future probability of rain in each district is estimated using output from the multi-model ensemble, combined with historical information about the difference between the model forecasts and observed rainfall.

    In this deterministic framework the skill of the forecast tends to decrease with time, however the forecasts are updated daily to provide the latest estimates of rainfall probability out to 28 days.

  12. Popup - Daily historical

  13. Past 5 Days

    Dunkeld Past 5 Days

    This Month
    Minimum Maximum Rainfall
    Tuesday
    Aug 11
    4.3 °C 14.1 °C
    0.0 mm
    Wednesday
    Aug 12
    4.5 °C 15.5 °C
    0.0 mm
    Thursday
    Aug 13
    4.7 °C 16.2 °C
    7.2 mm
    Friday
    Aug 14
    1.0 °C 12.2 °C
    0.0 mm
    Saturday
    Aug 15
    5.8 °C -
    12.4 mm
    Legend
  14. Almanac

    Almanac


    Dunkeld minimum temp history (33.4066°S, 149.4857°E, 632m AMSL)
    MAXIMUM TEMPERATURE MINIMUM TEMPERATURE
    Hottest this month 16.0° 02/08/2020 Coldest this month -4.5° 06/08/2020
    Hottest on record 23.5 21/08/1995 Coldest on record -7.5 06/08/1974
    Hottest this year 41.0° 04/01/2020 Coldest this year -4.5° 06/08/2020
    Long term average 13.3° Long term average 1.0°
    Average this month 12.9° Average this month 1.5°
    Hottest August On Record Avg. max. temp. 17.4° 1982 Coldest August on record Avg. min. temp. -1.6° 1994
    Dunkeld rainfall history (33.4066°S, 149.4857°E, 632m AMSL)
    RAINFALL
    Wettest This Month 12.0mm 15/08/2020 Total This Month 36.0mm
    6.0 days
    Long Term Average 50.0mm 11.1 days Wettest August on record 163.2mm 1986
    Driest on record 1.4mm 1914
  15. Popup - Radar

    Weather Radar for NSW/ACT

  16. Year to Date

    Dunkeld Year To Date

    Average Rainfall To Aug 402.9mm 68.9 day(s)
    Total For 2020 548.7mm 71.0 day(s)
    Total To This Day 2019 351.0mm 53.0 day(s)
    Wettest Day 63.8mm Mar26
    Lowest Temperature -4.5°C Aug 6
    Highest Temperature 41.0°C Jan 4
  17. Popup - Monthly historical

  18. Climatology

    Climate History

    Dunkeld Climatology

    Long-Term Averages
    Jan Feb Mar Apr May Jun Jul Aug Sep Oct Nov Dec Ann
    Mean Max (°C) 28.4 27.4 24.7 20.7 16.1 12.5 11.6 13.3 16.4 20.1 23.4 26.5 20.1
    Mean Min (°C) 13.4 13.2 10.5 6.3 3.2 1.5 0.3 1.0 3.1 5.8 8.7 11.2 6.5
    Mean Rain (mm) 67.8 57.6 51.4 41.1 41.4 44.7 48.9 50.0 46.8 59.0 61.2 65.3 635.1
    Mean Rain Days 7.4 6.9 6.3 6.3 8.5 10.8 11.6 11.1 9.3 9.2 8.5 8.0 102.2