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Forecast

Dumaresq (30.4713°S, 151.6158°E, 1012m AMSL) set as my default location ›

  1. My MLA

  2. Current condition

    TODAY
    Windy -1° 13°
    Chance of rain: 5%
    Likely amount: < 1mm
    First
    light
    Sunrise Sunset Last light
    Sunrise Sunset
    5:14am EST 5:38am EST 5:52pm EST 6:16pm EST
    NOW
    1.4° Feels Like: -7.5°
    Relative Humidity: 85%
    Dew: -0.8°
    Wind: W 35km/h
    Gust: 48km/h
    Rainfall since 9am: 0.0mm
    Pressure: 1012.1hPa
  3. Today Weather

    Dumaresq
    Now
    1.6°c
    Feels Like:
    -5.7°
    Wind:
    W 26km/h
    Gusts:
    35km/h
    Humidity:
    79%
    Windy
     
    -1°
    Min
    13°
    Max
    Today in Dumaresq
    Sunny. The chance of frost on and west of the ranges early this morning. Winds W 35 to 50 km/h tending W/SW 25 to 35 km/h in the late afternoon. Daytime maximum temperatures between 11 and 20.
    Tomorrow
    Frost then sunny
    -3°
    Min
    14°
    Max
    Sunny. Patches of frost in the early morning. Winds SW 15 to 20 km/h becoming light in the late afternoon. Overnight temperatures falling to between minus 3 and 5 above zero with daytime temperatures reaching between 13 and 22.
  4. Radar

  5. Popup Radar

  6. Warnings

  7. Next 48 Hours


    Next 48 Hours


  8. 7 day forecast

    Today: Sunny. The chance of frost on and west of the ranges early this morning. Winds W 35 to 50 km/h tending W/SW 25 to 35 km/h in the late afternoon. Daytime maximum temperatures between 11 and 20.

    Forecast for Dumaresq (30.4713°S, 151.6158°E, 1012m AMSL)
      Sat Sun Mon Tue Wed Thu Fri
    Summary Windy Frost then sunny Frost then sunny Frost then sunny Frost then sunny Mostly sunny Sunny
    Minimum -1° -3° -1° -1°
    Maximum 13° 14° 16° 19° 20° 22° 26°
    Chance of rain 5% 20% 5% 5% 40% 10% 5%
    Likely amount < 1mm < 1mm < 1mm < 1mm < 1mm < 1mm < 1mm
    UV index High Very High Very High Very High Very High - -
    Frost risk Severe Severe Severe Severe High Slight Slight
      9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm
    Wind speed 44
    (km/h)
    36
    (km/h)
    23
    (km/h)
    19
    (km/h)
    16
    (km/h)
    11
    (km/h)
    15
    (km/h)
    10
    (km/h)
    17
    (km/h)
    16
    (km/h)
    30
    (km/h)
    23
    (km/h)
    19
    (km/h)
    14
    (km/h)
    Wind direction W W WSW SW E S ENE S N NW NNW NW NW W
    Relative humidity 64% 38% 66% 45% 71% 42% 63% 36% 67% 48% 76% 57% 63% 38%
    Dew point 0°C -2°C 1°C 2°C 5°C 2°C 4°C 3°C 7°C 7°C 11°C 12°C 11°C 10°C
  9. 28 Day Rainfall forecast

    Dumaresq Rain Forecast


    Dumaresq 28-day Rainfall Forecast
    SUN
    MON
    TUE
    WED
    THU
    FRI
    SAT
    26
    27
    28
    29
    30
    Oct 1
    2
    3
    4
    5
    6
    LOW
    7
    LOW
    8
    9
    LOW
    10
    11
    12
    LOW
    13
    LOW
    14
    15
    LOW
    16
    17
    18
    LOW
    19
    MEDIUM
    20
    LOW
    21
    LOW
    22
    MEDIUM
    23
    LOW
    24
    CHANCE OF RAINFALL WITHIN DISTRICT
    NIL < 25%
    LOW 25% to 50%
    MEDIUM 50% to 75%
    HIGH ≥ 75%
    Issued Sep25

    Issue Notes

    The hemispheric long wave pattern has been relatively fast moving in recent weeks. There are five main troughs. Currently the most significant troughs are near the longitudes of South Africa, Western Australia, the south Pacific, South America, and the Atlantic Ocean.

    Summary:

    Over southern and eastern Australia the cold front events with potential to bring widespread rain are now expected about 2 October to 6 October, 8 October to 12 October, and 27 October to 31 October. Rain events originating in the tropics and moving south are possible about 23 September to 27 September. Over Western Australia the strongest cold fronts should occur about 30 September to 4 October, 22 October to 26 October, and 27 October to 31 October.

    Forecast Explanation

    This forecast is produced by a multi-model ensemble consisting of dynamical atmospheric models, which are forced by the latest observed atmosphere, ocean, land and ice conditions. The models are designed to simulate features of the real atmosphere, including the daily movement of long and short wave patterns in the Southern Hemisphere.

    The future probability of rain in each district is estimated using output from the multi-model ensemble, combined with historical information about the difference between the model forecasts and observed rainfall.

    In this deterministic framework the skill of the forecast tends to decrease with time, however the forecasts are updated daily to provide the latest estimates of rainfall probability out to 28 days.

  10. 12 Month Rainfall Forecast

    Dumaresq Rain Forecast


    Dumaresq 12-month Rainfall Forecast
    Sep
    Oct
    Nov
    Dec
    Jan
    Feb
    Mar
    Apr
    May
    Jun
    Jul
    Aug
    2020
    2021
    3
    7
    8
    6
    7
    7
    6
    2
    6
    8
    5
    5
    10
    5
    0
    1
    2 - 3
    4 - 7
    8 - 9
    10
    Well below normal
    Below normal
    Near normal
    Above normal
    Well above normal

    Issue Notes - Issued Sep 9

    ENSO status: La Niña Alert IOD status: Negative SAM status: Negative trending positive Sea surface temperatures (SSTs) across the equatorial central Pacific have continued to cool through August, with the Nino3.4 index registering a value of -0.5. The Southern Oscillation Index (SOI) recorded a value of 9.8 in the same month, a significant increase compared to July, tipping over the La Niña threshold of +7. The current outlook suggests that cooler than average SSTs will continue across the equatorial pacific during the Austral spring, with a high chance of a weak La Niña forming. All eight international models continue to suggest further cooling during spring, with three of these indicating La Niña conditions in September. A further two exceeding the La Niña threshold in October, with six of the eight indicating La Niña by November. The current International Research Institute for Climate and Society (IRI) outlook suggests a 57:41 chance for La Niña:Neutral conditions by the end of the Australspring. To the west of Australia, the Indian Ocean Dipole (IOD) has shifted into a negative phase. Four of the six international models indicate a negative IOD to be sustained for the duration of the Austral spring, with the remaining two indicating a neutral phase. Both of the models that indicate a neutral phase trend towards the negative side of neutral. In terms of precipitation over Australia, the current short term outlook favours above average rainfall over the interior over the remainder of the first month of spring, particularly eastern WA and the Kimberley, western NT and western SA Above average rainfall is also favoured, although not as pronounced, over inland NSW and QLD and parts of the NSW and VIC coastal area. Drier than average conditions are expected across western WA as well as parts of northern coastal QLD and parts of the southeast. The remainder of spring is then likely to be wetter than average for NSW, QLD, VIC, SA, TAS, the NT and eastern WA, whilst drier than averageconditions look to persist further west. There are then indications of increased rainfall over WA toward the end of spring and into early summer, with the eastern two thirds of the country remaining wetter than average.

  11. Long range rainfall forecast

    Dumaresq Rain Forecast


    Dumaresq 28-day Rainfall Forecast
    SUN
    MON
    TUE
    WED
    THU
    FRI
    SAT
    26
    27
    28
    29
    30
    Oct 1
    2
    3
    4
    5
    6
    LOW
    7
    LOW
    8
    9
    LOW
    10
    11
    12
    LOW
    13
    LOW
    14
    15
    LOW
    16
    17
    18
    LOW
    19
    MEDIUM
    20
    LOW
    21
    LOW
    22
    MEDIUM
    23
    LOW
    24
    CHANCE OF RAINFALL WITHIN DISTRICT
    NIL < 25%
    LOW 25% to 50%
    MEDIUM 50% to 75%
    HIGH ≥ 75%
    Issued Sep25

    Issue Notes

    The hemispheric long wave pattern has been relatively fast moving in recent weeks. There are five main troughs. Currently the most significant troughs are near the longitudes of South Africa, Western Australia, the south Pacific, South America, and the Atlantic Ocean.

    Summary:

    Over southern and eastern Australia the cold front events with potential to bring widespread rain are now expected about 2 October to 6 October, 8 October to 12 October, and 27 October to 31 October. Rain events originating in the tropics and moving south are possible about 23 September to 27 September. Over Western Australia the strongest cold fronts should occur about 30 September to 4 October, 22 October to 26 October, and 27 October to 31 October.

    Forecast Explanation

    This forecast is produced by a multi-model ensemble consisting of dynamical atmospheric models, which are forced by the latest observed atmosphere, ocean, land and ice conditions. The models are designed to simulate features of the real atmosphere, including the daily movement of long and short wave patterns in the Southern Hemisphere.

    The future probability of rain in each district is estimated using output from the multi-model ensemble, combined with historical information about the difference between the model forecasts and observed rainfall.

    In this deterministic framework the skill of the forecast tends to decrease with time, however the forecasts are updated daily to provide the latest estimates of rainfall probability out to 28 days.

  12. Popup - Daily historical

  13. Past 5 Days

    Dumaresq Past 5 Days

    This Month
    Minimum Maximum Rainfall
    Monday
    Sep 21
    7.4 °C 24.5 °C
    1.2 mm
    Tuesday
    Sep 22
    12.5 °C 21.0 °C
    11.4 mm
    Wednesday
    Sep 23
    3.9 °C 19.2 °C
    0.0 mm
    Thursday
    Sep 24
    3.5 °C 16.5 °C
    0.0 mm
    Friday
    Sep 25
    -1.0 °C -
    0.0 mm
    Legend
  14. Almanac

    Almanac


    Dumaresq minimum temp history (30.4713°S, 151.6158°E, 1012m AMSL)
    MAXIMUM TEMPERATURE MINIMUM TEMPERATURE
    Hottest this month 24.5° 21/09/2020 Coldest this month -1.0° 02/09/2020
    Hottest on record 28.7 26/09/2013 Coldest on record -6.0 03/09/2012
    Hottest this year 36.7° 05/01/2020 Coldest this year -8.7° 06/08/2020
    Long term average 18.5° Long term average 2.9°
    Average this month 19.4° Average this month 3.9°
    Hottest September On Record Avg. max. temp. 21.7° 2013 Coldest September on record Avg. min. temp. 0.9° 2012
    Dumaresq rainfall history (30.4713°S, 151.6158°E, 1012m AMSL)
    RAINFALL
    Wettest This Month 12.2mm 10/09/2020 Total This Month 34.8mm
    6.0 days
    Long Term Average 47.5mm 8.2 days Wettest September on record 115.6mm 1998
    Driest on record 6.0mm 2003
  15. Popup - Radar

    Weather Radar for NSW/ACT

  16. Year to Date

    Dumaresq Year To Date

    Average Rainfall To Sep 501.9mm 86.8 day(s)
    Total For 2020 672.4mm 101.0 day(s)
    Total To This Day 2019 194.2mm 52.0 day(s)
    Wettest Day 61.8mm Jan18
    Lowest Temperature -8.7°C Aug 6
    Highest Temperature 36.7°C Jan 5
  17. Popup - Monthly historical

  18. Climatology

    Climate History

    Dumaresq Climatology

    Long-Term Averages
    Jan Feb Mar Apr May Jun Jul Aug Sep Oct Nov Dec Ann
    Mean Max (°C) 26.8 25.8 23.9 20.3 16.6 13.5 13.0 14.8 18.5 21.3 23.5 25.4 20.3
    Mean Min (°C) 12.9 12.7 10.5 6.8 2.1 0.8 -0.3 -0.2 2.9 5.7 9.3 11.4 6.2
    Mean Rain (mm) 87.9 93.8 70.2 39.8 32.5 43.3 39.4 47.5 47.5 64.8 100.5 88.0 755.7
    Mean Rain Days 11.1 11.1 10.6 8.6 8.1 10.9 9.6 8.6 8.2 9.5 12.0 11.7 114.0