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Forecast

Doubtful Creek (28.7486°S, 152.9151°E, 21m AMSL) set as my default location ›

  1. My MLA

  2. Current condition

    TOMORROW
    Possible shower 20° 25°
    possible shower
    Chance of rain: 90%
    Likely amount: 10-20mm
    First
    light
    Sunrise Sunset Last light
    Sunrise Sunset
    6:11am EDT 6:35am EDT 7:27pm EDT 7:52pm EDT
    NOW
    22.3° Feels Like: 23.2°
    Relative Humidity: 71%
    Dew: 16.8°
    Wind: SSE 7km/h
    Gust: 11km/h
    Rainfall since 9am: 0.2mm
    Pressure: 1020.7hPa
  3. Today Weather

    Doubtful Creek
    Now
    22.2°c
    Feels Like:
    23.2°
    Wind:
    SE 7km/h
    Gusts:
    9km/h
    Humidity:
    72%
    Possible shower
     
    20°
    Min
    25°
    Max
    Today in Doubtful Creek
    Cloudy. High chance of showers, most likely in the afternoon and evening. Light winds becoming SE 15 to 20 km/h in the morning then becoming light in the early afternoon. Overnight temperatures falling to around 20 with daytime temperatures reaching the low to mid 20s.
    Tomorrow
    Possible shower
    20°
    Min
    25°
    Max
    Cloudy. Very high chance of showers, easing into the evening. The chance of a thunderstorm. Light winds. Overnight temperatures falling to around 19 with daytime temperatures reaching the low to mid 20s.
  4. Radar

  5. Popup Radar

  6. Warnings

    There are no current warnings for Doubtful Creek

  7. Next 48 Hours


    Next 48 Hours


  8. 7 day forecast

    Today: Cloudy. High chance of showers, most likely in the afternoon and evening. Light winds becoming SE 15 to 20 km/h in the morning then becoming light in the early afternoon. Overnight temperatures falling to around 20 with daytime temperatures reaching the low to mid 20s.

    Forecast for Doubtful Creek (28.7486°S, 152.9151°E, 21m AMSL)
      Sun Mon Tue Wed Thu Fri Sat
    Summary Possible shower Possible shower Showers increasing Late shower Thunderstorms Thunderstorms Thunderstorms
    Minimum 20° 20° 20° 20° 22° 20° 20°
    Maximum 25° 25° 28° 31° 29° 28° 28°
    Chance of rain 90% 70% 70% 50% 90% 90% 80%
    Likely amount 10-20mm 5-10mm 1-5mm 1-5mm 5-10mm 1-5mm 1-5mm
    UV index Extreme Extreme Extreme Extreme - - -
    Frost risk Nil Nil Nil Nil Nil Nil Nil
      9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm
    Wind speed 12
    (km/h)
    18
    (km/h)
    10
    (km/h)
    15
    (km/h)
    9
    (km/h)
    16
    (km/h)
    6
    (km/h)
    11
    (km/h)
    7
    (km/h)
    19
    (km/h)
    12
    (km/h)
    17
    (km/h)
    12
    (km/h)
    20
    (km/h)
    Wind direction S SE S SSE S ESE WNW ENE SW SSE SSW SSE SSW SSE
    Relative humidity 75% 72% 89% 81% 82% 65% 80% 54% 79% 67% 79% 65% 76% 60%
    Dew point 19°C 19°C 20°C 21°C 20°C 20°C 20°C 21°C 21°C 21°C 19°C 21°C 19°C 20°C
  9. 28 Day Rainfall forecast

    Doubtful Creek Rain Forecast


    Doubtful Creek 28-day Rainfall Forecast
    SUN
    MON
    TUE
    WED
    THU
    FRI
    SAT
    22
    MEDIUM
    23
    HIGH
    24
    HIGH
    25
    MEDIUM
    26
    MEDIUM
    27
    HIGH
    28
    HIGH
    29
    MEDIUM
    Mar 1
    MEDIUM
    2
    MEDIUM
    3
    LOW
    4
    LOW
    5
    6
    LOW
    7
    MEDIUM
    8
    LOW
    9
    10
    LOW
    11
    MEDIUM
    12
    LOW
    13
    LOW
    14
    LOW
    15
    LOW
    16
    LOW
    17
    LOW
    18
    19
    20
    21
    LOW
    22
    LOW
    CHANCE OF RAINFALL WITHIN DISTRICT
    NIL < 25%
    LOW 25% to 50%
    MEDIUM 50% to 75%
    HIGH ≥ 75%
    Issued Feb22

    Issue Notes

    The hemispheric long wave pattern has remained stable in recent weeks. There are five main troughs. Currently the most significant troughs are near the longitudes of South Africa, the Indian Ocean, eastern Australia, the south Pacific, and the Atlantic Ocean.

    Summary:

    Over southern and eastern Australia the cold front events with potential to bring widespread rain are now expected about 11 March to 15 March, 20 March to 24 March, and 24 March to 28 March. Rain events originating in the tropics and moving south are possible about 6 March to 10 March. Over Western Australia the strongest cold fronts should occur about 4 March to 8 March, 11 March to 15 March, and 25 March to 29 March.

    Forecast Explanation

    This forecast is produced by a multi-model ensemble consisting of dynamical atmospheric models, which are forced by the latest observed atmosphere, ocean, land and ice conditions. The models are designed to simulate features of the real atmosphere, including the daily movement of long and short wave patterns in the Southern Hemisphere.

    The future probability of rain in each district is estimated using output from the multi-model ensemble, combined with historical information about the difference between the model forecasts and observed rainfall.

    In this deterministic framework the skill of the forecast tends to decrease with time, however the forecasts are updated daily to provide the latest estimates of rainfall probability out to 28 days.

  10. 12 Month Rainfall Forecast

    Doubtful Creek Rain Forecast


    Doubtful Creek 12-month Rainfall Forecast
    Feb
    Mar
    Apr
    May
    Jun
    Jul
    Aug
    Sep
    Oct
    Nov
    Dec
    Jan
    2020
    2021
    10
    6
    7
    7
    6
    7
    6
    6
    7
    7
    5
    7
    10
    5
    0
    1
    2 - 3
    4 - 7
    8 - 9
    10
    Well below normal
    Below normal
    Near normal
    Above normal
    Well above normal

    Issue Notes - Issued Feb 12

    ENSO status: Neutral IOD status: Neutral SAM status: Trending neutral Sea surface temperatures (SSTs) across the equatorial central Pacific remained stable throughout January with the Nino3.4 index registering a value of 0.4 as per December. On the other hand, the Southern Oscillation Index (SOI) recorded a value of 1.3 in January. The current outlook suggests warmer than average SSTs will persist across the equatorial Pacific Ocean through the austral autumn, cooling even further by mid 2020. Six out of eight international models continue to maintain a warmer than average equatorial Pacific Ocean through the first half of the year, none of these reaching El Nino thresholds. To the west of Australia, the Indian Ocean Dipole (IOD) remains neutral, which is what you will expect for this time of the year. All six international models maintain neutral IOD values until the austral winter, with indications we could see another positive event late winter/spring. However, the skill of the models is low at this time of the year. In terms of rainfall across Australia, the current outlook favours average-to-below average rainfall for parts of inland NSW and Qld for the end of summer and autumn. This however, excludes any extreme weather events such as tropical cyclones or East Coast Lows. Across the north, the North Australian Monsoon (NAM) had its latest onset on record in early February at Darwin (by its technical definition) with the current prognosis suggesting another below average wet season for northern Australia. The northern half of the country however, could see a wet end to the wet season compared to the season thus far. Looking further ahead, with no significant signature from ENSO, there are no significant climate drivers tilting the balance towards a drier or wetter end of autumn/winter.

  11. Long range rainfall forecast

    Doubtful Creek Rain Forecast


    Doubtful Creek 28-day Rainfall Forecast
    SUN
    MON
    TUE
    WED
    THU
    FRI
    SAT
    22
    MEDIUM
    23
    HIGH
    24
    HIGH
    25
    MEDIUM
    26
    MEDIUM
    27
    HIGH
    28
    HIGH
    29
    MEDIUM
    Mar 1
    MEDIUM
    2
    MEDIUM
    3
    LOW
    4
    LOW
    5
    6
    LOW
    7
    MEDIUM
    8
    LOW
    9
    10
    LOW
    11
    MEDIUM
    12
    LOW
    13
    LOW
    14
    LOW
    15
    LOW
    16
    LOW
    17
    LOW
    18
    19
    20
    21
    LOW
    22
    LOW
    CHANCE OF RAINFALL WITHIN DISTRICT
    NIL < 25%
    LOW 25% to 50%
    MEDIUM 50% to 75%
    HIGH ≥ 75%
    Issued Feb22

    Issue Notes

    The hemispheric long wave pattern has remained stable in recent weeks. There are five main troughs. Currently the most significant troughs are near the longitudes of South Africa, the Indian Ocean, eastern Australia, the south Pacific, and the Atlantic Ocean.

    Summary:

    Over southern and eastern Australia the cold front events with potential to bring widespread rain are now expected about 11 March to 15 March, 20 March to 24 March, and 24 March to 28 March. Rain events originating in the tropics and moving south are possible about 6 March to 10 March. Over Western Australia the strongest cold fronts should occur about 4 March to 8 March, 11 March to 15 March, and 25 March to 29 March.

    Forecast Explanation

    This forecast is produced by a multi-model ensemble consisting of dynamical atmospheric models, which are forced by the latest observed atmosphere, ocean, land and ice conditions. The models are designed to simulate features of the real atmosphere, including the daily movement of long and short wave patterns in the Southern Hemisphere.

    The future probability of rain in each district is estimated using output from the multi-model ensemble, combined with historical information about the difference between the model forecasts and observed rainfall.

    In this deterministic framework the skill of the forecast tends to decrease with time, however the forecasts are updated daily to provide the latest estimates of rainfall probability out to 28 days.

  12. Popup - Daily historical

  13. Past 5 Days

    Doubtful Creek Past 5 Days

    This Month
    Minimum Maximum Rainfall
    Tuesday
    Feb 18
    20.2 °C 32.8 °C
    7.2 mm
    Wednesday
    Feb 19
    23.8 °C 36.2 °C
    0.0 mm
    Thursday
    Feb 20
    22.4 °C 30.2 °C
    0.0 mm
    Friday
    Feb 21
    20.2 °C 30.0 °C
    0.0 mm
    Saturday
    Feb 22
    20.1 °C 26 °C
    0.0 mm
    Legend
  14. Almanac

    Almanac


    Doubtful Creek minimum temp history (28.7486°S, 152.9151°E, 21m AMSL)
    MAXIMUM TEMPERATURE MINIMUM TEMPERATURE
    Hottest this month 39.6° 03/02/2020 Coldest this month 18.0° 01/02/2020
    Hottest on record 45.7 12/02/2017 Coldest on record 11.0 14/02/1996
    Hottest this year 39.8° 05/01/2020 Coldest this year 14.5° 04/01/2020
    Long term average 29.7° Long term average 18.9°
    Average this month 30.0° Average this month 21.1°
    Hottest February On Record Avg. max. temp. 33.6° 2017 Coldest February on record Avg. min. temp. 15.4° 2000
    Doubtful Creek rainfall history (28.7486°S, 152.9151°E, 21m AMSL)
    RAINFALL
    Wettest This Month 88.8mm 14/02/2020 Total This Month 186.8mm
    11.0 days
    Long Term Average 148.3mm 12.2 days Wettest February on record 358.2mm 2001
    Driest on record 0.0mm 2000
  15. Popup - Radar

    Weather Radar for NSW/ACT

  16. Year to Date

    Doubtful Creek Year To Date

    Average Rainfall To Feb 292.8mm 24.6 day(s)
    Total For 2020 342.6mm 20.0 day(s)
    Total To This Day 2019 48.0mm 10.0 day(s)
    Wettest Day 89.0mm Jan18
    Lowest Temperature 14.5°C Jan 4
    Highest Temperature 39.8°C Jan 5
  17. Popup - Monthly historical

  18. Climatology

    Climate History

    Doubtful Creek Climatology

    Long-Term Averages
    Jan Feb Mar Apr May Jun Jul Aug Sep Oct Nov Dec Ann
    Mean Max (°C) 30.3 29.7 28.3 25.9 23.1 20.6 20.6 22.4 25.6 27.6 28.8 29.9 26.1
    Mean Min (°C) 19.1 18.9 17.6 14.2 10.6 8.4 6.6 7.2 10.5 13.3 16.1 17.9 13.4
    Mean Rain (mm) 144.5 148.3 143.1 76.4 96.4 72.4 32.6 51.4 34.6 63.5 112.9 118.6 1099.1
    Mean Rain Days 12.4 12.2 14.1 11.8 11.4 12.6 8.9 7.5 7.2 8.0 11.6 12.0 126.7