Australian Government Bureau of Meteorology
New South Wales
Marine Wind Warning Summary for New South Wales
Issued at 04:05 PM EDT on Thursday 28 January 2021
for the period until midnight EDT Friday 29 January 2021
Wind Warnings for Thursday 28 January
Strong Wind Warning for the following areas:
Macquarie Coast, Hunter Coast and Sydney Coast
Cancellation for the following areas:
Illawarra Coast
Wind Warnings for Friday 29 January
Strong Wind Warning for the following areas:
Hunter Coast, Sydney Coast, Illawarra Coast and Eden Coast
The next marine wind warning summary will be issued by 4:10 am EDT Friday.
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Check the latest Coastal Waters Forecast or Local
Waters Forecast at http://www.bom.gov.au/nsw/forecasts/map.shtml for information on wind,
wave and weather conditions for these coastal zones.
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Forecast
Dolls Point (33.9935°S, 151.1468°E, 0m AMSL) set as my default location ›
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My MLA
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Current condition
TOMORROW19° 21° Chance of rain: 90% Likely amount: 5-10mm First
lightLast light Sunrise Sunset 5:45am EDT 6:13am EDT 8:03pm EDT 8:31pm EDT NOW18.6° Feels Like: 16.2° Relative Humidity: 94% Dew: 17.6° Wind: E 26km/h Gust: 28km/h Rainfall since 9am: 3.0mm Pressure: 1021.0hPa -
Today Weather
Dolls PointNow18.6°cFeels Like:19.3°Wind:SE 11km/hGusts:17km/hHumidity:97%19°Min21°MaxToday in Dolls PointCloudy. Very high chance of showers. Winds SE 15 to 20 km/h turning E/NE 20 to 30 km/h in the late morning and afternoon.Tomorrow19°Min21°MaxCloudy. Medium chance of showers. The chance of a thunderstorm. Winds N/NE 15 to 25 km/h becoming light in the middle of the day then becoming N/NE 15 to 25 km/h in the early afternoon. -
Radar
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Popup Radar
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Warnings
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7 day forecast
Today: Cloudy. Very high chance of showers. Winds SE 15 to 20 km/h turning E/NE 20 to 30 km/h in the late morning and afternoon.
Forecast for Dolls Point (33.9935°S, 151.1468°E, 0m AMSL) Fri Sat Sun Mon Tue Wed Thu Summary Minimum 19° 21° 22° 21° 21° 20° 21° Maximum 21° 26° 24° 25° 26° 24° 24° Chance of rain 90% 50% 80% 30% 70% 80% 90% Likely amount 5-10mm < 1mm 1-5mm 1-5mm 5-10mm 5-10mm 5-10mm UV index Extreme Extreme Extreme - - - - Frost risk Nil Nil Nil Nil Nil Nil Nil 9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm Wind speed 26
(km/h)30
(km/h)22
(km/h)25
(km/h)24
(km/h)31
(km/h)14
(km/h)20
(km/h)24
(km/h)30
(km/h)15
(km/h)23
(km/h)15
(km/h)23
(km/h)Wind direction E E NNE NE SSW S SSE E NNE NE WSW E S ESE Relative humidity 81% 82% 88% 76% 87% 81% 80% 71% 80% 69% 71% 69% 78% 73% Dew point 17°C 18°C 21°C 22°C 21°C 21°C 19°C 19°C 19°C 20°C 16°C 18°C 18°C 19°C -
28 Day Rainfall forecast
Dolls Point Rain Forecast
Dolls Point 28-day Rainfall ForecastSUNMONTUEWEDTHUFRISAT28
HIGH29
HIGH30
LOW31
MEDIUMFeb 1
MEDIUM2
HIGH3
MEDIUM4
5
6
LOW7
HIGH8
MEDIUM9
LOW10
LOW11
LOW12
LOW13
LOW14
15
LOW16
LOW17
LOW18
19
LOW20
LOW21
HIGH22
LOW23
MEDIUM24
HIGH25
LOWCHANCE OF RAINFALL WITHIN DISTRICTNIL < 25%LOW 25% to 50%MEDIUM 50% to 75%HIGH ≥ 75%Issued Jan28Issue Notes
The hemispheric long wave pattern has remained stable in recent weeks. There are six main troughs. Currently the most significant troughs are near the longitudes of South Africa, the Indian Ocean, eastern Australia, the south Pacific, the southeast Pacific, and the Atlantic Ocean.
Summary:
Over southern and eastern Australia the cold front events with potential to bring widespread rain are now expected about 2 February to 6 February, 17 February to 21 February, and 26 February to 2 March. Rain events originating in the tropics and moving south are possible about 2 February to 6 February, 7 February to 11 February, and 3 March to 7 March. Over Western Australia the strongest cold fronts should occur about 9 February to 13 February, 13 February to 17 February, and 17 February to 21 February.
Forecast ExplanationThis forecast is produced by a multi-model ensemble consisting of dynamical atmospheric models, which are forced by the latest observed atmosphere, ocean, land and ice conditions. The models are designed to simulate features of the real atmosphere, including the daily movement of long and short wave patterns in the Southern Hemisphere.
The future probability of rain in each district is estimated using output from the multi-model ensemble, combined with historical information about the difference between the model forecasts and observed rainfall.
In this deterministic framework the skill of the forecast tends to decrease with time, however the forecasts are updated daily to provide the latest estimates of rainfall probability out to 28 days.
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12 Month Rainfall Forecast
Dolls Point Rain Forecast
Dolls Point 12-month Rainfall ForecastJanFebMarAprMayJunJulAugSepOctNovDec2021986877856544105012 - 34 - 78 - 910Well below normalBelow normalNear normalAbove normalWell above normalIssue Notes - Issued Jan 7
ENSO status: La Niña IOD status: Neutral SAM status: Positive La Niña is likely at its peak which has brought long periods of cloud and rain to eastern and northern Australia.The majority of models predict that La Niña will continue through February, with 3 of 8 predicting to March and most of the models indicating a return to neutral conditions (neither El Niño nor La Niña) in April. Neutral conditions are predicted to continue into the Australian winter. La Nina typically brings above normal rainfall across much of Australia. While La Niña is expected to weaken, above normal rainfall and typical La Niña impacts are still expected. La Niña typically favours periods of positive SAM, which can increase the amount of precipitation along the eastern half of the country, due to prevailing onshore winds. During summer, much of the country is likely to remain wetter than normal, however normal rainfall is expected for western TAS. La Niña typically increases the number of cyclones and brought anearly start to the wet season. During Autumn, many parts of Australia are likely to be wetter than normal, due to warmer waters off the northeast coast of Australia. Southern parts of SA, VIC and most of TAS are likely to observe normal precipitation for the time of year.
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Long range rainfall forecast
Dolls Point Rain Forecast
Dolls Point 28-day Rainfall ForecastSUNMONTUEWEDTHUFRISAT28
HIGH29
HIGH30
LOW31
MEDIUMFeb 1
MEDIUM2
HIGH3
MEDIUM4
5
6
LOW7
HIGH8
MEDIUM9
LOW10
LOW11
LOW12
LOW13
LOW14
15
LOW16
LOW17
LOW18
19
LOW20
LOW21
HIGH22
LOW23
MEDIUM24
HIGH25
LOWCHANCE OF RAINFALL WITHIN DISTRICTNIL < 25%LOW 25% to 50%MEDIUM 50% to 75%HIGH ≥ 75%Issued Jan28Issue Notes
The hemispheric long wave pattern has remained stable in recent weeks. There are six main troughs. Currently the most significant troughs are near the longitudes of South Africa, the Indian Ocean, eastern Australia, the south Pacific, the southeast Pacific, and the Atlantic Ocean.
Summary:
Over southern and eastern Australia the cold front events with potential to bring widespread rain are now expected about 2 February to 6 February, 17 February to 21 February, and 26 February to 2 March. Rain events originating in the tropics and moving south are possible about 2 February to 6 February, 7 February to 11 February, and 3 March to 7 March. Over Western Australia the strongest cold fronts should occur about 9 February to 13 February, 13 February to 17 February, and 17 February to 21 February.
Forecast ExplanationThis forecast is produced by a multi-model ensemble consisting of dynamical atmospheric models, which are forced by the latest observed atmosphere, ocean, land and ice conditions. The models are designed to simulate features of the real atmosphere, including the daily movement of long and short wave patterns in the Southern Hemisphere.
The future probability of rain in each district is estimated using output from the multi-model ensemble, combined with historical information about the difference between the model forecasts and observed rainfall.
In this deterministic framework the skill of the forecast tends to decrease with time, however the forecasts are updated daily to provide the latest estimates of rainfall probability out to 28 days.
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Popup - Daily historical
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Past 5 Days
Dolls Point Past 5 Days
This MonthMinimum Maximum Rainfall Sunday
Jan 2421.8 °C 35.0 °C 0.0 mmMonday
Jan 2523.0 °C 32.4 °C 0.0 mmTuesday
Jan 2622.7 °C 41.6 °C 0.0 mmWednesday
Jan 2720.3 °C 22.9 °C 0.0 mmThursday
Jan 2818.7 °C 23.8 °C 9.0 mmLegend -
Almanac
Almanac
Dolls Point minimum temp history (33.9935°S, 151.1468°E, 0m AMSL) MAXIMUM TEMPERATURE MINIMUM TEMPERATURE Hottest this month 41.6° 26/01/2021 Coldest this month 15.8° 21/01/2021 Hottest on record 46.4 18/01/2013 Coldest on record 9.7 18/01/1949 Hottest this year 41.6° 26/01/2021 Coldest this year 15.8° 21/01/2021 Long term average 26.7° Long term average 19.0° Average this month 27.8° Average this month 19.3° Hottest January On Record Avg. max. temp. 30.1° 2017 Coldest January on record Avg. min. temp. 15.9° 1948 Dolls Point rainfall history (33.9935°S, 151.1468°E, 0m AMSL) RAINFALL Wettest This Month 9.0mm 28/01/2021 Total This Month 36.8mm
12.0 daysLong Term Average 94.1mm 11.2 days Wettest January on record 400.4mm 1972 Driest on record 5.4mm 1942 -
Popup - Radar
Weather Radar for Australia
Australia Radars
- Adelaide
- Adelaide Airport
- Adelaide Sellicks
- Albany
- Alice Springs
- Bairnsdale
- Bowen
- Brewarrina
- Brisbane
- Brisbane Airport
- Brisbane Marburg
- Broadmeadows
- Broome
- Cairns
- Cairns Airport
- Canberra
- Carnarvon
- Ceduna
- Coffs Harbour
- Dampier
- Darwin
- Darwin Airport
- Emerald
- Esperance
- Eucla
- Geraldton
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Year to Date
Dolls Point Year To Date
Average Rainfall To Jan 94.1mm 11.2 day(s) Total For 2021 36.8mm 12.0 day(s) Total To This Day 2020 63.4mm 11.0 day(s) Wettest Day 9.0mm Jan28 Lowest Temperature 15.8°C Jan21 Highest Temperature 41.6°C Jan26 -
Popup - Monthly historical
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Climatology
Climate History
Dolls Point Climatology
Dolls Point Long-Term Averages
Long-Term Averages Jan Feb Mar Apr May Jun Jul Aug Sep Oct Nov Dec Ann Mean Max (°C) 26.7 26.5 25.4 23.0 20.1 17.7 17.2 18.4 20.7 22.7 24.2 25.9 22.3 Mean Min (°C) 19.0 19.1 17.6 14.3 11.0 8.8 7.3 8.2 10.6 13.4 15.6 17.6 13.5 Mean Rain (mm) 94.1 114.2 118.1 106.0 95.3 125.9 69.8 75.6 59.7 70.1 80.3 72.7 1078.6 Mean Rain Days 11.2 11.5 12.6 11.1 10.9 11.5 9.3 9.0 9.3 10.6 11.3 10.6 128.7