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Forecast

Deer Vale (30.3616°S, 152.5322°E, 1125m AMSL) set as my default location ›

  1. My MLA

  2. Current condition

    TOMORROW
    Mostly sunny 12°
    mostly sunny
    Chance of rain: 40%
    Likely amount: < 1mm
    First
    light
    Sunrise Sunset Last light
    Sunrise Sunset
    6:02am EST 6:27am EST 5:29pm EST 5:54pm EST
    NOW
    7.7° Feels Like: 1.6°
    Relative Humidity: 86%
    Dew: 5.5°
    Wind: W 26km/h
    Gust: 28km/h
    Rainfall since 9am: 0.0mm
    Pressure: 1011.3hPa
  3. Today Weather

    Deer Vale
    Now
    20.8°c
    Feels Like:
    14.6°
    Wind:
    W 24km/h
    Gusts:
    30km/h
    Humidity:
    31%
    Mostly sunny
     
    Min
    12°
    Max
    Today in Deer Vale
    Mostly sunny. Slight chance of a shower about higher ground. Winds W 15 to 25 km/h. Overnight temperatures falling to between 7 and 11 with daytime temperatures reaching between 14 and 22.
    Tomorrow
    Mostly sunny
    Min
    12°
    Max
    Sunny. Winds W 15 to 20 km/h becoming light in the late afternoon. Overnight temperatures falling to between 4 and 9 with daytime temperatures reaching between 14 and 21.
  4. Radar

  5. Popup Radar

  6. Warnings

    There are no current warnings for Deer Vale

  7. Next 48 Hours


    Next 48 Hours


  8. 7 day forecast

    Today: Mostly sunny. Slight chance of a shower about higher ground. Winds W 15 to 25 km/h. Overnight temperatures falling to between 7 and 11 with daytime temperatures reaching between 14 and 22.

    Forecast for Deer Vale (30.3616°S, 152.5322°E, 1125m AMSL)
      Sun Mon Tue Wed Thu Fri Sat
    Summary Mostly sunny Frost then sunny Frost then sunny Mostly sunny Frost then sunny Frost then sunny Possible shower
    Minimum -1° -1°
    Maximum 12° 13° 16° 15° 10° 10°
    Chance of rain 40% 5% 30% 10% 40% 70% 90%
    Likely amount < 1mm < 1mm < 1mm < 1mm < 1mm 1-5mm 1-5mm
    UV index Moderate High High Moderate - - -
    Frost risk Slight High Severe Slight High High Severe
      9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm
    Wind speed 27
    (km/h)
    30
    (km/h)
    22
    (km/h)
    24
    (km/h)
    19
    (km/h)
    25
    (km/h)
    28
    (km/h)
    37
    (km/h)
    34
    (km/h)
    37
    (km/h)
    35
    (km/h)
    37
    (km/h)
    35
    (km/h)
    36
    (km/h)
    Wind direction W W W W WNW WNW WNW WNW WNW WNW WNW WNW W W
    Relative humidity 95% 69% 87% 58% 75% 57% 74% 50% 83% 66% 85% 64% 92% 70%
    Dew point 6°C 6°C 4°C 4°C 3°C 7°C 5°C 4°C 2°C 3°C 2°C 3°C 1°C 1°C
  9. 28 Day Rainfall forecast

    Deer Vale Rain Forecast


    Deer Vale 28-day Rainfall Forecast
    SUN
    MON
    TUE
    WED
    THU
    FRI
    SAT
    15
    LOW
    16
    17
    18
    19
    20
    21
    22
    23
    24
    LOW
    25
    LOW
    26
    LOW
    27
    LOW
    28
    LOW
    29
    LOW
    30
    MEDIUM
    31
    Sep 1
    2
    LOW
    3
    4
    5
    6
    7
    8
    9
    10
    LOW
    11
    LOW
    12
    LOW
    CHANCE OF RAINFALL WITHIN DISTRICT
    NIL < 25%
    LOW 25% to 50%
    MEDIUM 50% to 75%
    HIGH ≥ 75%
    Issued Aug15

    Issue Notes

    The hemispheric long wave pattern has remained stable in recent weeks. There are five main troughs. Currently the most significant troughs are near the longitudes of South Africa, the Indian Ocean, eastern Australia, the southeast Pacific, and the Atlantic Ocean.

    Summary:

    Over southern and eastern Australia the cold front events with potential to bring widespread rain are now expected about 22 August to 26 August, 8 September to 12 September, and 16 September to 20 September. Rain events originating in the tropics and moving south are possible about 14 September to 18 September, and 18 September to 22 September. Over Western Australia the strongest cold fronts should occur about 21 August to 25 August, 7 September to 11 September, and 14 September to 18 September.

    Forecast Explanation

    This forecast is produced by a multi-model ensemble consisting of dynamical atmospheric models, which are forced by the latest observed atmosphere, ocean, land and ice conditions. The models are designed to simulate features of the real atmosphere, including the daily movement of long and short wave patterns in the Southern Hemisphere.

    The future probability of rain in each district is estimated using output from the multi-model ensemble, combined with historical information about the difference between the model forecasts and observed rainfall.

    In this deterministic framework the skill of the forecast tends to decrease with time, however the forecasts are updated daily to provide the latest estimates of rainfall probability out to 28 days.

  10. 12 Month Rainfall Forecast

    Deer Vale Rain Forecast


    Deer Vale 12-month Rainfall Forecast
    Aug
    Sep
    Oct
    Nov
    Dec
    Jan
    Feb
    Mar
    Apr
    May
    Jun
    Jul
    2020
    2021
    7
    7
    7
    7
    6
    6
    7
    6
    7
    7
    6
    7
    10
    5
    0
    1
    2 - 3
    4 - 7
    8 - 9
    10
    Well below normal
    Below normal
    Near normal
    Above normal
    Well above normal

    Issue Notes - Issued Aug 5

    ENSO status: La Nina Watch IOD status: Neutral SAM status: Positive Sea surface temperatures (SSTs) across the equatorial central Pacific show a slight decrease in the intensity of cooling compared to June, with the Nino3.4 index registering a value of 0.0 in July. The Southern Oscillation Index (SOI) recorded a value of 4.2 in the same month, a swing into positive values compared to June. The current outlook suggests that cooler than average SSTs will continue across the equatorial pacific through the end of winter and potentially reach La Nina thresholds by mid-spring. All eight international models continue to suggest a cooler side of neutral for the region throughout the remainder of the Austral winter and through spring, with four of these indicating La Nina by Spring. The current International Research Institute for Climate and Society (IRI) outlook suggests a 54:41 chance for La Nina:Neutral conditions by the end of the Austral spring. To the west of Australia, the Indian Ocean Dipole (IOD) remains neutral. Two of the six international models indicate a negative IOD becoming established during the Austral spring, with the remaining four indicating a neutral phase. Of the four neutral models, including the BOM, three are trending slightly negative within the neutral zone by early spring, with only the Canadian model trending positive. In terms of precipitation over Australia, the current short-term outlook favours above average rainfall across most of Australia over the next fortnight, with the exception of western TAS, far southern VIC, and northern QLD and the NT. These expected wetter than average conditions will likely be due to the passage of moisture troughs inland and fronts, in part driven by the positive SAM. Models are then indicating a continued trend to above average rainfall for inland SA, all but the far north of the NT, western, central and southern QLD, northern and western NSW and parts of southern WA. Parts of WA’s Pilbara and Kimberley however are showing signs of below average rainfall into early spring.

  11. Long range rainfall forecast

    Deer Vale Rain Forecast


    Deer Vale 28-day Rainfall Forecast
    SUN
    MON
    TUE
    WED
    THU
    FRI
    SAT
    15
    LOW
    16
    17
    18
    19
    20
    21
    22
    23
    24
    LOW
    25
    LOW
    26
    LOW
    27
    LOW
    28
    LOW
    29
    LOW
    30
    MEDIUM
    31
    Sep 1
    2
    LOW
    3
    4
    5
    6
    7
    8
    9
    10
    LOW
    11
    LOW
    12
    LOW
    CHANCE OF RAINFALL WITHIN DISTRICT
    NIL < 25%
    LOW 25% to 50%
    MEDIUM 50% to 75%
    HIGH ≥ 75%
    Issued Aug15

    Issue Notes

    The hemispheric long wave pattern has remained stable in recent weeks. There are five main troughs. Currently the most significant troughs are near the longitudes of South Africa, the Indian Ocean, eastern Australia, the southeast Pacific, and the Atlantic Ocean.

    Summary:

    Over southern and eastern Australia the cold front events with potential to bring widespread rain are now expected about 22 August to 26 August, 8 September to 12 September, and 16 September to 20 September. Rain events originating in the tropics and moving south are possible about 14 September to 18 September, and 18 September to 22 September. Over Western Australia the strongest cold fronts should occur about 21 August to 25 August, 7 September to 11 September, and 14 September to 18 September.

    Forecast Explanation

    This forecast is produced by a multi-model ensemble consisting of dynamical atmospheric models, which are forced by the latest observed atmosphere, ocean, land and ice conditions. The models are designed to simulate features of the real atmosphere, including the daily movement of long and short wave patterns in the Southern Hemisphere.

    The future probability of rain in each district is estimated using output from the multi-model ensemble, combined with historical information about the difference between the model forecasts and observed rainfall.

    In this deterministic framework the skill of the forecast tends to decrease with time, however the forecasts are updated daily to provide the latest estimates of rainfall probability out to 28 days.

  12. Popup - Daily historical

  13. Past 5 Days

    Deer Vale Past 5 Days

    This Month
    Minimum Maximum Rainfall
    Monday
    Aug 10
    3.7 °C 12.1 °C
    2.0 mm
    Tuesday
    Aug 11
    7.1 °C 14.1 °C
    1.4 mm
    Wednesday
    Aug 12
    7.7 °C 17.7 °C
    0.0 mm
    Thursday
    Aug 13
    9.8 °C 20.0 °C
    0.0 mm
    Friday
    Aug 14
    5.0 °C -
    0.0 mm
    Legend
  14. Almanac

    Almanac


    Deer Vale minimum temp history (30.3616°S, 152.5322°E, 1125m AMSL)
    MAXIMUM TEMPERATURE MINIMUM TEMPERATURE
    Hottest this month 20.0° 13/08/2020 Coldest this month -0.5° 06/08/2020
    Hottest on record 29.5 24/08/2009 Coldest on record -3.2 26/08/1997
    Hottest this year 35.2° 04/01/2020 Coldest this year -0.5° 06/08/2020
    Long term average 16.1° Long term average 4.8°
    Average this month 16.0° Average this month 4.6°
    Hottest August On Record Avg. max. temp. 19.2° 2009 Coldest August on record Avg. min. temp. 2.3° 2008
    Deer Vale rainfall history (30.3616°S, 152.5322°E, 1125m AMSL)
    RAINFALL
    Wettest This Month 13.0mm 08/08/2020 Total This Month 16.4mm
    3.0 days
    Long Term Average 109.6mm 7.7 days Wettest August on record 528.5mm 2007
    Driest on record 1.7mm 2012
  15. Popup - Radar

    Weather Radar for NSW/ACT

  16. Year to Date

    Deer Vale Year To Date

    Average Rainfall To Aug 1451.6mm 102.1 day(s)
    Total For 2020 1449.4mm 97.0 day(s)
    Total To This Day 2019 632.4mm 94.0 day(s)
    Wettest Day 145.8mm Feb14
    Lowest Temperature -0.5°C Aug 6
    Highest Temperature 35.2°C Jan 4
  17. Popup - Monthly historical

  18. Climatology

    Climate History

    Deer Vale Climatology

    Long-Term Averages
    Jan Feb Mar Apr May Jun Jul Aug Sep Oct Nov Dec Ann
    Mean Max (°C) 24.2 23.8 22.4 19.8 17.1 14.9 14.5 16.1 19.2 21.3 22.3 23.8 20.0
    Mean Min (°C) 15.0 15.1 13.6 10.7 7.4 5.4 4.5 4.8 7.6 9.8 12.2 13.9 10.0
    Mean Rain (mm) 298.5 286.9 313.5 138.8 112.8 133.9 57.6 109.6 80.1 121.2 187.7 172.9 2022.2
    Mean Rain Days 15.4 16.1 17.8 14.0 11.2 10.4 9.5 7.7 9.3 11.9 15.8 16.6 151.6