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Forecast

Curlewis (31.1173°S, 150.2647°E, 280m AMSL) set as my default location ›

  1. My MLA

  2. Current condition

    TOMORROW
    Mostly cloudy 18° 27°
    mostly cloudy
    Chance of rain: 30%
    Likely amount: < 1mm
    First
    light
    Sunrise Sunset Last light
    Sunrise Sunset
    6:20am EDT 6:45am EDT 7:39pm EDT 8:04pm EDT
    NOW
    21.4° Feels Like: 22.0°
    Relative Humidity: 71%
    Dew: 15.9°
    Wind: ENE 7km/h
    Gust: 7km/h
    Rainfall since 9am: 0.0mm
    Pressure: 1021.3hPa
  3. Today Weather

    Curlewis
    Now
    20.6°c
    Feels Like:
    17.6°
    Wind:
    E 22km/h
    Gusts:
    24km/h
    Humidity:
    67%
    Mostly cloudy
     
    18°
    Min
    27°
    Max
    Today in Curlewis
    Cloudy. Medium chance of showers, most likely in the morning and early afternoon. The chance of a thunderstorm. Light winds. Overnight temperatures falling to around 17 with daytime temperatures reaching the mid to high 20s.
    Tomorrow
    Mostly cloudy
    18°
    Min
    27°
    Max
    Mostly sunny morning. Slight chance of a shower in the afternoon. Light winds. Overnight temperatures falling to between 16 and 19 with daytime temperatures reaching around 30.
  4. Radar

  5. Popup Radar

  6. Warnings

  7. Next 48 Hours


    Next 48 Hours


  8. 7 day forecast

    Today: Cloudy. Medium chance of showers, most likely in the morning and early afternoon. The chance of a thunderstorm. Light winds. Overnight temperatures falling to around 17 with daytime temperatures reaching the mid to high 20s.

    Forecast for Curlewis (31.1173°S, 150.2647°E, 280m AMSL)
      Mon Tue Wed Thu Fri Sat Sun
    Summary Mostly cloudy Mostly sunny Showers increasing Showers easing Mostly sunny Sunny Late shower
    Minimum 18° 18° 20° 19° 17° 18° 18°
    Maximum 27° 31° 33° 32° 32° 33° 33°
    Chance of rain 30% 30% 60% 40% 20% 30% 40%
    Likely amount < 1mm < 1mm 1-5mm < 1mm < 1mm < 1mm < 1mm
    UV index Extreme Extreme Extreme Extreme - - -
    Frost risk Nil Nil Nil Nil Nil Nil Nil
      9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm
    Wind speed 15
    (km/h)
    14
    (km/h)
    12
    (km/h)
    8
    (km/h)
    13
    (km/h)
    18
    (km/h)
    19
    (km/h)
    13
    (km/h)
    12
    (km/h)
    10
    (km/h)
    15
    (km/h)
    13
    (km/h)
    15
    (km/h)
    11
    (km/h)
    Wind direction SE SE E WNW NNW WNW SSE SW SE SSW SE SSE ESE SE
    Relative humidity 72% 51% 67% 41% 66% 43% 71% 39% 70% 32% 64% 28% 59% 30%
    Dew point 15°C 16°C 15°C 16°C 17°C 18°C 16°C 16°C 16°C 13°C 15°C 12°C 14°C 13°C
  9. 28 Day Rainfall forecast

    Curlewis Rain Forecast


    Curlewis 28-day Rainfall Forecast
    SUN
    MON
    TUE
    WED
    THU
    FRI
    SAT
    23
    MEDIUM
    24
    MEDIUM
    25
    LOW
    26
    MEDIUM
    27
    LOW
    28
    LOW
    29
    LOW
    Mar 1
    2
    LOW
    3
    4
    5
    6
    7
    8
    9
    LOW
    10
    LOW
    11
    12
    13
    14
    15
    16
    LOW
    17
    18
    19
    LOW
    20
    LOW
    21
    22
    23
    CHANCE OF RAINFALL WITHIN DISTRICT
    NIL < 25%
    LOW 25% to 50%
    MEDIUM 50% to 75%
    HIGH ≥ 75%
    Issued Feb23

    Issue Notes

    The hemispheric long wave pattern has remained stable in recent weeks. There are five main troughs. Currently the most significant troughs are near the longitudes of the southwest Indian Ocean, Western Australia, the southeast Pacific, South America, and the Atlantic Ocean.

    Summary:

    Over southern and eastern Australia the cold front events with potential to bring widespread rain are now expected about 11 March to 15 March, 17 March to 21 March, and 24 March to 28 March. Rain events originating in the tropics and moving south are possible about 1 March to 5 March, 6 March to 10 March, and 14 March to 18 March. Over Western Australia the strongest cold fronts should occur about 12 March to 16 March, 17 March to 21 March, and 24 March to 28 March.

    Forecast Explanation

    This forecast is produced by a multi-model ensemble consisting of dynamical atmospheric models, which are forced by the latest observed atmosphere, ocean, land and ice conditions. The models are designed to simulate features of the real atmosphere, including the daily movement of long and short wave patterns in the Southern Hemisphere.

    The future probability of rain in each district is estimated using output from the multi-model ensemble, combined with historical information about the difference between the model forecasts and observed rainfall.

    In this deterministic framework the skill of the forecast tends to decrease with time, however the forecasts are updated daily to provide the latest estimates of rainfall probability out to 28 days.

  10. 12 Month Rainfall Forecast

    Curlewis Rain Forecast


    Curlewis 12-month Rainfall Forecast
    Feb
    Mar
    Apr
    May
    Jun
    Jul
    Aug
    Sep
    Oct
    Nov
    Dec
    Jan
    2020
    2021
    10
    4
    7
    7
    7
    7
    5
    6
    6
    7
    7
    6
    10
    5
    0
    1
    2 - 3
    4 - 7
    8 - 9
    10
    Well below normal
    Below normal
    Near normal
    Above normal
    Well above normal

    Issue Notes - Issued Feb 12

    ENSO status: Neutral IOD status: Neutral SAM status: Trending neutral Sea surface temperatures (SSTs) across the equatorial central Pacific remained stable throughout January with the Nino3.4 index registering a value of 0.4 as per December. On the other hand, the Southern Oscillation Index (SOI) recorded a value of 1.3 in January. The current outlook suggests warmer than average SSTs will persist across the equatorial Pacific Ocean through the austral autumn, cooling even further by mid 2020. Six out of eight international models continue to maintain a warmer than average equatorial Pacific Ocean through the first half of the year, none of these reaching El Nino thresholds. To the west of Australia, the Indian Ocean Dipole (IOD) remains neutral, which is what you will expect for this time of the year. All six international models maintain neutral IOD values until the austral winter, with indications we could see another positive event late winter/spring. However, the skill of the models is low at this time of the year. In terms of rainfall across Australia, the current outlook favours average-to-below average rainfall for parts of inland NSW and Qld for the end of summer and autumn. This however, excludes any extreme weather events such as tropical cyclones or East Coast Lows. Across the north, the North Australian Monsoon (NAM) had its latest onset on record in early February at Darwin (by its technical definition) with the current prognosis suggesting another below average wet season for northern Australia. The northern half of the country however, could see a wet end to the wet season compared to the season thus far. Looking further ahead, with no significant signature from ENSO, there are no significant climate drivers tilting the balance towards a drier or wetter end of autumn/winter.

  11. Long range rainfall forecast

    Curlewis Rain Forecast


    Curlewis 28-day Rainfall Forecast
    SUN
    MON
    TUE
    WED
    THU
    FRI
    SAT
    23
    MEDIUM
    24
    MEDIUM
    25
    LOW
    26
    MEDIUM
    27
    LOW
    28
    LOW
    29
    LOW
    Mar 1
    2
    LOW
    3
    4
    5
    6
    7
    8
    9
    LOW
    10
    LOW
    11
    12
    13
    14
    15
    16
    LOW
    17
    18
    19
    LOW
    20
    LOW
    21
    22
    23
    CHANCE OF RAINFALL WITHIN DISTRICT
    NIL < 25%
    LOW 25% to 50%
    MEDIUM 50% to 75%
    HIGH ≥ 75%
    Issued Feb23

    Issue Notes

    The hemispheric long wave pattern has remained stable in recent weeks. There are five main troughs. Currently the most significant troughs are near the longitudes of the southwest Indian Ocean, Western Australia, the southeast Pacific, South America, and the Atlantic Ocean.

    Summary:

    Over southern and eastern Australia the cold front events with potential to bring widespread rain are now expected about 11 March to 15 March, 17 March to 21 March, and 24 March to 28 March. Rain events originating in the tropics and moving south are possible about 1 March to 5 March, 6 March to 10 March, and 14 March to 18 March. Over Western Australia the strongest cold fronts should occur about 12 March to 16 March, 17 March to 21 March, and 24 March to 28 March.

    Forecast Explanation

    This forecast is produced by a multi-model ensemble consisting of dynamical atmospheric models, which are forced by the latest observed atmosphere, ocean, land and ice conditions. The models are designed to simulate features of the real atmosphere, including the daily movement of long and short wave patterns in the Southern Hemisphere.

    The future probability of rain in each district is estimated using output from the multi-model ensemble, combined with historical information about the difference between the model forecasts and observed rainfall.

    In this deterministic framework the skill of the forecast tends to decrease with time, however the forecasts are updated daily to provide the latest estimates of rainfall probability out to 28 days.

  12. Popup - Daily historical

  13. Past 5 Days

    Curlewis Past 5 Days

    This Month
    Minimum Maximum Rainfall
    Wednesday
    Feb 19
    19.3 °C 28.6 °C
    30.4 mm
    Thursday
    Feb 20
    13.9 °C 28.1 °C
    0.0 mm
    Friday
    Feb 21
    15.6 °C 30.1 °C
    0.0 mm
    Saturday
    Feb 22
    19.5 °C 28.3 °C
    0.0 mm
    Sunday
    Feb 23
    19.5 °C 25 °C
    0.0 mm
    Legend
  14. Almanac

    Almanac


    Curlewis minimum temp history (31.1173°S, 150.2647°E, 280m AMSL)
    MAXIMUM TEMPERATURE MINIMUM TEMPERATURE
    Hottest this month 40.2° 01/02/2020 Coldest this month 13.9° 20/02/2020
    Hottest on record 46.5 12/02/2017 Coldest on record 6.4 03/02/2005
    Hottest this year 42.7° 02/01/2020 Coldest this year 13.9° 20/02/2020
    Long term average 33.1° Long term average 18.0°
    Average this month 31.1° Average this month 19.9°
    Hottest February On Record Avg. max. temp. 37.0° 2017 Coldest February on record Avg. min. temp. 15.8° 2008
    Curlewis rainfall history (31.1173°S, 150.2647°E, 280m AMSL)
    RAINFALL
    Wettest This Month 39.2mm 17/02/2020 Total This Month 160.0mm
    11.0 days
    Long Term Average 63.9mm 7.4 days Wettest February on record 177.4mm 2012
    Driest on record 0.2mm 2016
  15. Popup - Radar

    Weather Radar for NSW/ACT

  16. Year to Date

    Curlewis Year To Date

    Average Rainfall To Feb 120.6mm 14.6 day(s)
    Total For 2020 208.2mm 20.0 day(s)
    Total To This Day 2019 21.4mm 10.0 day(s)
    Wettest Day 39.2mm Feb17
    Lowest Temperature 13.9°C Feb20
    Highest Temperature 42.7°C Jan 2
  17. Popup - Monthly historical

  18. Climatology

    Climate History

    Curlewis Climatology

    Long-Term Averages
    Jan Feb Mar Apr May Jun Jul Aug Sep Oct Nov Dec Ann
    Mean Max (°C) 34.2 33.1 30.2 26.3 21.8 17.8 17.1 19.3 23.1 27.4 30.7 32.3 26.2
    Mean Min (°C) 18.4 18.0 15.3 10.7 5.5 3.9 2.1 2.6 5.8 9.6 14.1 16.4 10.3
    Mean Rain (mm) 56.7 63.9 46.2 21.7 27.2 47.0 32.9 32.5 46.4 42.5 60.0 84.9 562.1
    Mean Rain Days 7.2 7.4 6.1 4.7 5.3 9.2 7.9 6.3 6.4 7.0 8.6 10.0 79.6