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Forecast

Croppa Creek (29.1288°S, 150.3042°E, 283m AMSL) set as my default location ›

  1. My MLA

  2. Current condition

    TODAY
    Mostly sunny 21°
    mostly sunny
    Chance of rain: 50%
    Likely amount: 1-5mm
    First
    light
    Sunrise Sunset Last light
    Sunrise Sunset
    6:29am EST 6:55am EST 5:17pm EST 5:43pm EST
    NOW
    20.8° Feels Like: 16.8°
    Relative Humidity: 41%
    Dew: 7.1°
    Wind: NNE 17km/h
    Gust: 19km/h
    Rainfall since 9am: 0.0mm
    Pressure: 1025.6hPa
  3. Today Weather

    Croppa Creek
    Now
    15.3°c
    Feels Like:
    12.1°
    Wind:
    N 13km/h
    Gusts:
    15km/h
    Humidity:
    59%
    Mostly sunny
     
    Min
    21°
    Max
    Today in Croppa Creek
    Partly cloudy. The chance of fog on the slopes early this morning. Winds E/NE 15 to 20 km/h becoming light in the early afternoon. Daytime maximum temperatures between 17 and 21.
    Tomorrow
    Possible shower
    Min
    19°
    Max
    Cloudy. Medium chance of showers and the chance of a thunderstorm. Light winds becoming NE 15 to 25 km/h in the morning then becoming light in the late afternoon. Overnight temperatures falling to between 4 and 9 with daytime temperatures reaching between 14 and 20.
  4. Radar

  5. Popup Radar

  6. Warnings

    There are no current warnings for Croppa Creek

  7. Next 48 Hours


    Next 48 Hours


  8. 7 day forecast

    Today: Partly cloudy. The chance of fog on the slopes early this morning. Winds E/NE 15 to 20 km/h becoming light in the early afternoon. Daytime maximum temperatures between 17 and 21.

    Forecast for Croppa Creek (29.1288°S, 150.3042°E, 283m AMSL)
      Thu Fri Sat Sun Mon Tue Wed
    Summary Mostly sunny Possible shower Possible shower Possible thunderstorm Possible shower Mostly sunny Mostly sunny
    Minimum 10° 10°
    Maximum 21° 19° 19° 18° 16° 16° 19°
    Chance of rain 50% 80% 70% 50% 30% 20% 5%
    Likely amount 1-5mm 5-10mm 1-5mm 1-5mm 1-5mm < 1mm < 1mm
    UV index Moderate Moderate Moderate Moderate Moderate - -
    Frost risk Slight Nil Nil Nil Slight Slight Slight
      9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm
    Wind speed 15
    (km/h)
    19
    (km/h)
    18
    (km/h)
    21
    (km/h)
    20
    (km/h)
    18
    (km/h)
    14
    (km/h)
    13
    (km/h)
    14
    (km/h)
    23
    (km/h)
    28
    (km/h)
    33
    (km/h)
    21
    (km/h)
    27
    (km/h)
    Wind direction E ENE ENE NE NNE N NE NNE WSW W W SW SW SW
    Relative humidity 73% 43% 78% 53% 90% 77% 91% 63% 84% 54% 81% 57% 77% 53%
    Dew point 8°C 8°C 10°C 9°C 13°C 14°C 12°C 10°C 8°C 6°C 7°C 7°C 8°C 9°C
  9. 28 Day Rainfall forecast

    Croppa Creek Rain Forecast


    Croppa Creek 28-day Rainfall Forecast
    SUN
    MON
    TUE
    WED
    THU
    FRI
    SAT
    9
    MEDIUM
    10
    HIGH
    11
    HIGH
    12
    MEDIUM
    13
    MEDIUM
    14
    LOW
    15
    LOW
    16
    17
    18
    LOW
    19
    20
    21
    LOW
    22
    23
    24
    25
    26
    LOW
    27
    28
    29
    LOW
    30
    31
    Aug 1
    2
    LOW
    3
    MEDIUM
    4
    LOW
    5
    6
    CHANCE OF RAINFALL WITHIN DISTRICT
    NIL < 25%
    LOW 25% to 50%
    MEDIUM 50% to 75%
    HIGH ≥ 75%
    Issued Jul 9

    Issue Notes

    The hemispheric long wave pattern has remained stable in recent weeks. There are five main troughs. Currently the most significant troughs are near the longitudes of the southwest Indian Ocean, Western Australia, the south Pacific, the southeast Pacific, and the Atlantic Ocean.

    Summary:

    Over southern and eastern Australia the cold front events with potential to bring widespread rain are now expected about 18 July to 22 July, 3 August to 7 August, and 8 August to 12 August. Rain events originating in the tropics and moving south are possible about 1 August to 5 August, and 9 August to 13 August. Over Western Australia the strongest cold fronts should occur about 18 July to 22 July, 2 August to 6 August, and 9 August to 13 August.

    Forecast Explanation

    This forecast is produced by a multi-model ensemble consisting of dynamical atmospheric models, which are forced by the latest observed atmosphere, ocean, land and ice conditions. The models are designed to simulate features of the real atmosphere, including the daily movement of long and short wave patterns in the Southern Hemisphere.

    The future probability of rain in each district is estimated using output from the multi-model ensemble, combined with historical information about the difference between the model forecasts and observed rainfall.

    In this deterministic framework the skill of the forecast tends to decrease with time, however the forecasts are updated daily to provide the latest estimates of rainfall probability out to 28 days.

  10. 12 Month Rainfall Forecast

    Croppa Creek Rain Forecast


    Croppa Creek 12-month Rainfall Forecast
    Jul
    Aug
    Sep
    Oct
    Nov
    Dec
    Jan
    Feb
    Mar
    Apr
    May
    Jun
    2020
    2021
    8
    8
    7
    8
    7
    8
    6
    10
    5
    7
    6
    8
    10
    5
    0
    1
    2 - 3
    4 - 7
    8 - 9
    10
    Well below normal
    Below normal
    Near normal
    Above normal
    Well above normal

    Issue Notes - Issued Jun 15

    ENSO status: Neutral IOD status: Neutral SAM status: Trending positive Sea surface temperatures (SSTs) across the equatorial central Pacific exhibited significant cooling over the past month, with the Nino3.4 index registering a value of -0.1in May. On the other hand, the Southern Oscillation Index (SOI) recorded a value of 2.8 during the same month. The current outlook suggests cooler than average SSTs will take hold across the equatorial Pacific Ocean during winter, potentially reaching La Nina thresholds by mid-spring. All eight international models continue to suggest a cooler side of neutral for the region throughout the remainder of the Austral winter and through spring. The current International Research Institute for Climate and Society (IRI) outlook suggests a 45:40 chance for La Nina:Neutral conditions by the end of the Austral spring. To the west of Australia, the Indian Ocean Dipole (IOD) remains neutral, normal for this time of the year. However, out of season Tropical CycloneMangga brought some significant cooling to the sea surface temperatures to the northwest of Australia late in May. This disrupted the warming trend in the region that would have led to a negative IOD by mid-winter. Nonetheless, all but one of the six main international models (BoMs outlook), continue to hint at a possible negative IOD establishing later in winter/first half of spring. In terms of precipitation across Australia, the current short-term outlook now favours below average rainfall for most of the country for the remainder of June and early July. This outlook is mainly driven by cooler SSTs across northwestern Australia, reducing the amount of available moisture in the atmosphere. As discussed earlier, tropical cyclone Mangga was a key player in the cooling of the SSTs off the northwest coast. Most models, however, are indicating a positive IOD is still on the cards later in winter and through spring, bringing a wetter outlook for most of the southern half of the country from mid-to-lateJuly. Across parts of southern Vic, NSW and Qld (east of the Great Dividing Range), southwestern WA and Tasmania, the outlook continues to favour average-to-slightly below average rainfall over the coming months as these regions transition to their ‘drier’ part of the year (eastern seaboard) or tend to be less influenced by the IOD (SW WA and Tas) but more on the phases of the Southern Annular Mode (SAM).

  11. Long range rainfall forecast

    Croppa Creek Rain Forecast


    Croppa Creek 28-day Rainfall Forecast
    SUN
    MON
    TUE
    WED
    THU
    FRI
    SAT
    9
    MEDIUM
    10
    HIGH
    11
    HIGH
    12
    MEDIUM
    13
    MEDIUM
    14
    LOW
    15
    LOW
    16
    17
    18
    LOW
    19
    20
    21
    LOW
    22
    23
    24
    25
    26
    LOW
    27
    28
    29
    LOW
    30
    31
    Aug 1
    2
    LOW
    3
    MEDIUM
    4
    LOW
    5
    6
    CHANCE OF RAINFALL WITHIN DISTRICT
    NIL < 25%
    LOW 25% to 50%
    MEDIUM 50% to 75%
    HIGH ≥ 75%
    Issued Jul 9

    Issue Notes

    The hemispheric long wave pattern has remained stable in recent weeks. There are five main troughs. Currently the most significant troughs are near the longitudes of the southwest Indian Ocean, Western Australia, the south Pacific, the southeast Pacific, and the Atlantic Ocean.

    Summary:

    Over southern and eastern Australia the cold front events with potential to bring widespread rain are now expected about 18 July to 22 July, 3 August to 7 August, and 8 August to 12 August. Rain events originating in the tropics and moving south are possible about 1 August to 5 August, and 9 August to 13 August. Over Western Australia the strongest cold fronts should occur about 18 July to 22 July, 2 August to 6 August, and 9 August to 13 August.

    Forecast Explanation

    This forecast is produced by a multi-model ensemble consisting of dynamical atmospheric models, which are forced by the latest observed atmosphere, ocean, land and ice conditions. The models are designed to simulate features of the real atmosphere, including the daily movement of long and short wave patterns in the Southern Hemisphere.

    The future probability of rain in each district is estimated using output from the multi-model ensemble, combined with historical information about the difference between the model forecasts and observed rainfall.

    In this deterministic framework the skill of the forecast tends to decrease with time, however the forecasts are updated daily to provide the latest estimates of rainfall probability out to 28 days.

  12. Popup - Daily historical

  13. Past 5 Days

    Croppa Creek Past 5 Days

    This Month
    Minimum Maximum Rainfall
    Sunday
    Jul 05
    -0.8 °C 15.3 °C
    0.0 mm
    Monday
    Jul 06
    -1.4 °C 17.4 °C
    0.0 mm
    Tuesday
    Jul 07
    1.0 °C 20.1 °C
    0.0 mm
    Wednesday
    Jul 08
    4.3 °C 21.9 °C
    0.0 mm
    Thursday
    Jul 09
    5.3 °C 22.3 °C
    0.0 mm
    Legend
  14. Almanac

    Almanac


    Croppa Creek minimum temp history (29.1288°S, 150.3042°E, 283m AMSL)
    MAXIMUM TEMPERATURE MINIMUM TEMPERATURE
    Hottest this month 23.9° 02/07/2020 Coldest this month -1.4° 06/07/2020
    Hottest on record 25.2 20/07/2016 Coldest on record -4.3 02/07/2002
    Hottest this year 42.0° 02/01/2020 Coldest this year -1.4° 06/07/2020
    Long term average 18.0° Long term average 4.5°
    Average this month 19.4° Average this month 3.7°
    Hottest July On Record Avg. max. temp. 20.0° 2013 Coldest July on record Avg. min. temp. 0.9° 2002
    Croppa Creek rainfall history (29.1288°S, 150.3042°E, 283m AMSL)
    RAINFALL
    Wettest This Month 0.4mm 03/07/2020 Total This Month 0.4mm
    1.0 days
    Long Term Average 37.9mm 6.8 days Wettest July on record 125.0mm 2001
    Driest on record 0.6mm 2002
  15. Popup - Radar

    Weather Radar for NSW/ACT

  16. Year to Date

    Croppa Creek Year To Date

    Average Rainfall To Jul 348.3mm 43.0 day(s)
    Total For 2020 380.6mm 51.0 day(s)
    Total To This Day 2019 82.8mm 21.0 day(s)
    Wettest Day 51.2mm Jan17
    Lowest Temperature -1.4°C Jul 6
    Highest Temperature 42.0°C Jan 2
  17. Popup - Monthly historical

  18. Climatology

    Climate History

    Croppa Creek Climatology

    Long-Term Averages
    Jan Feb Mar Apr May Jun Jul Aug Sep Oct Nov Dec Ann
    Mean Max (°C) 33.9 33.1 31.0 27.1 22.6 18.8 18.0 20.4 24.4 28.0 30.9 32.6 26.7
    Mean Min (°C) 20.1 19.7 17.2 12.7 8.2 6.0 4.5 5.2 8.9 12.6 16.4 18.4 12.4
    Mean Rain (mm) 85.9 68.0 54.0 27.8 30.2 44.5 37.9 26.0 37.4 44.6 76.6 71.2 603.0
    Mean Rain Days 7.3 6.7 6.0 4.0 5.3 6.9 6.8 4.9 5.6 6.5 7.9 8.9 73.7