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Forecast

Cremorne (33.8281°S, 151.2302°E, 85m AMSL) set as my default location ›

  1. My MLA

  2. Current condition

    TODAY
    Possible shower 11° 18°
    possible shower
    Chance of rain: 90%
    Likely amount: 1-5mm
    First
    light
    Sunrise Sunset Last light
    Sunrise Sunset
    6:32am EST 6:59am EST 5:02pm EST 5:30pm EST
    NOW
    14.0° Feels Like: 12.5°
    Relative Humidity: 81%
    Dew: 10.8°
    Wind: WNW 9km/h
    Gust: 9km/h
    Rainfall since 9am: 0.4mm
    Pressure: 1013.8hPa
  3. Today Weather

    Cremorne
    Now
    12.9°c
    Feels Like:
    13.2°
    Wind:
    CAL 0km/h
    Gusts:
    0km/h
    Humidity:
    88%
    Possible shower
     
    11°
    Min
    18°
    Max
    Today in Cremorne
    Mostly cloudy. Medium chance of a light shower. Light winds.
    Tomorrow
    Late shower
    Min
    17°
    Max
    Partly cloudy. Areas of morning fog. High chance of showers and the chance of a thunderstorm, mainly later in the afternoon or evening. Light winds.
  4. Radar

  5. Popup Radar

  6. Warnings

    There are no current warnings for Cremorne

  7. Next 48 Hours


    Next 48 Hours


  8. 7 day forecast

    Today: Mostly cloudy. Medium chance of a light shower. Light winds.

    Forecast for Cremorne (33.8281°S, 151.2302°E, 85m AMSL)
      Sat Sun Mon Tue Wed Thu Fri
    Summary Possible shower Late shower Rain Windy with rain Showers Showers Possible shower
    Minimum 11° 11° 11° 12° 12° 12°
    Maximum 18° 17° 17° 17° 17° 17° 18°
    Chance of rain 90% 90% 90% 80% 80% 90% 90%
    Likely amount 1-5mm 5-10mm 10-20mm 5-10mm 5-10mm 5-10mm 1-5mm
    UV index Low Low Low Moderate Moderate - -
    Frost risk Nil Nil Nil Nil Nil Nil Nil
      9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm
    Wind speed 7
    (km/h)
    6
    (km/h)
    12
    (km/h)
    10
    (km/h)
    15
    (km/h)
    15
    (km/h)
    40
    (km/h)
    40
    (km/h)
    40
    (km/h)
    37
    (km/h)
    29
    (km/h)
    30
    (km/h)
    27
    (km/h)
    27
    (km/h)
    Wind direction NNW WNW WSW ESE W WSW SSW SSW SW SSW SSW SSW S S
    Relative humidity 89% 81% 86% 61% 87% 58% 83% 68% 85% 72% 84% 67% 79% 65%
    Dew point 11°C 13°C 8°C 9°C 9°C 8°C 10°C 10°C 11°C 11°C 10°C 10°C 10°C 10°C
  9. 28 Day Rainfall forecast

    Cremorne Rain Forecast


    Cremorne 28-day Rainfall Forecast
    SUN
    MON
    TUE
    WED
    THU
    FRI
    SAT
    11
    HIGH
    12
    HIGH
    13
    HIGH
    14
    HIGH
    15
    HIGH
    16
    MEDIUM
    17
    HIGH
    18
    19
    20
    21
    22
    23
    24
    25
    LOW
    26
    27
    MEDIUM
    28
    LOW
    29
    LOW
    30
    31
    Aug 1
    2
    LOW
    3
    MEDIUM
    4
    5
    6
    7
    8
    CHANCE OF RAINFALL WITHIN DISTRICT
    NIL < 25%
    LOW 25% to 50%
    MEDIUM 50% to 75%
    HIGH ≥ 75%
    Issued Jul11

    Issue Notes

    The hemispheric long wave pattern has remained stable in recent weeks. There are six main troughs. Currently the most significant troughs are near the longitudes of the southwest Indian Ocean, the Indian Ocean, Western Australia, the south Pacific, the southeast Pacific, and the Atlantic Ocean.

    Summary:

    Over southern and eastern Australia the cold front events with potential to bring widespread rain are now expected about 1 August to 5 August, 7 August to 11 August, and 14 August to 18 August. Rain events originating in the tropics and moving south are possible about 9 July to 13 July. Over Western Australia the strongest cold fronts should occur about 26 July to 30 July, 4 August to 8 August, and 12 August to 16 August.

    Forecast Explanation

    This forecast is produced by a multi-model ensemble consisting of dynamical atmospheric models, which are forced by the latest observed atmosphere, ocean, land and ice conditions. The models are designed to simulate features of the real atmosphere, including the daily movement of long and short wave patterns in the Southern Hemisphere.

    The future probability of rain in each district is estimated using output from the multi-model ensemble, combined with historical information about the difference between the model forecasts and observed rainfall.

    In this deterministic framework the skill of the forecast tends to decrease with time, however the forecasts are updated daily to provide the latest estimates of rainfall probability out to 28 days.

  10. 12 Month Rainfall Forecast

    Cremorne Rain Forecast


    Cremorne 12-month Rainfall Forecast
    Jul
    Aug
    Sep
    Oct
    Nov
    Dec
    Jan
    Feb
    Mar
    Apr
    May
    Jun
    2020
    2021
    8
    8
    7
    8
    7
    8
    6
    10
    5
    7
    6
    7
    10
    5
    0
    1
    2 - 3
    4 - 7
    8 - 9
    10
    Well below normal
    Below normal
    Near normal
    Above normal
    Well above normal

    Issue Notes - Issued Jun 15

    ENSO status: Neutral IOD status: Neutral SAM status: Trending positive Sea surface temperatures (SSTs) across the equatorial central Pacific exhibited significant cooling over the past month, with the Nino3.4 index registering a value of -0.1in May. On the other hand, the Southern Oscillation Index (SOI) recorded a value of 2.8 during the same month. The current outlook suggests cooler than average SSTs will take hold across the equatorial Pacific Ocean during winter, potentially reaching La Nina thresholds by mid-spring. All eight international models continue to suggest a cooler side of neutral for the region throughout the remainder of the Austral winter and through spring. The current International Research Institute for Climate and Society (IRI) outlook suggests a 45:40 chance for La Nina:Neutral conditions by the end of the Austral spring. To the west of Australia, the Indian Ocean Dipole (IOD) remains neutral, normal for this time of the year. However, out of season Tropical CycloneMangga brought some significant cooling to the sea surface temperatures to the northwest of Australia late in May. This disrupted the warming trend in the region that would have led to a negative IOD by mid-winter. Nonetheless, all but one of the six main international models (BoMs outlook), continue to hint at a possible negative IOD establishing later in winter/first half of spring. In terms of precipitation across Australia, the current short-term outlook now favours below average rainfall for most of the country for the remainder of June and early July. This outlook is mainly driven by cooler SSTs across northwestern Australia, reducing the amount of available moisture in the atmosphere. As discussed earlier, tropical cyclone Mangga was a key player in the cooling of the SSTs off the northwest coast. Most models, however, are indicating a positive IOD is still on the cards later in winter and through spring, bringing a wetter outlook for most of the southern half of the country from mid-to-lateJuly. Across parts of southern Vic, NSW and Qld (east of the Great Dividing Range), southwestern WA and Tasmania, the outlook continues to favour average-to-slightly below average rainfall over the coming months as these regions transition to their ‘drier’ part of the year (eastern seaboard) or tend to be less influenced by the IOD (SW WA and Tas) but more on the phases of the Southern Annular Mode (SAM).

  11. Long range rainfall forecast

    Cremorne Rain Forecast


    Cremorne 28-day Rainfall Forecast
    SUN
    MON
    TUE
    WED
    THU
    FRI
    SAT
    11
    HIGH
    12
    HIGH
    13
    HIGH
    14
    HIGH
    15
    HIGH
    16
    MEDIUM
    17
    HIGH
    18
    19
    20
    21
    22
    23
    24
    25
    LOW
    26
    27
    MEDIUM
    28
    LOW
    29
    LOW
    30
    31
    Aug 1
    2
    LOW
    3
    MEDIUM
    4
    5
    6
    7
    8
    CHANCE OF RAINFALL WITHIN DISTRICT
    NIL < 25%
    LOW 25% to 50%
    MEDIUM 50% to 75%
    HIGH ≥ 75%
    Issued Jul11

    Issue Notes

    The hemispheric long wave pattern has remained stable in recent weeks. There are six main troughs. Currently the most significant troughs are near the longitudes of the southwest Indian Ocean, the Indian Ocean, Western Australia, the south Pacific, the southeast Pacific, and the Atlantic Ocean.

    Summary:

    Over southern and eastern Australia the cold front events with potential to bring widespread rain are now expected about 1 August to 5 August, 7 August to 11 August, and 14 August to 18 August. Rain events originating in the tropics and moving south are possible about 9 July to 13 July. Over Western Australia the strongest cold fronts should occur about 26 July to 30 July, 4 August to 8 August, and 12 August to 16 August.

    Forecast Explanation

    This forecast is produced by a multi-model ensemble consisting of dynamical atmospheric models, which are forced by the latest observed atmosphere, ocean, land and ice conditions. The models are designed to simulate features of the real atmosphere, including the daily movement of long and short wave patterns in the Southern Hemisphere.

    The future probability of rain in each district is estimated using output from the multi-model ensemble, combined with historical information about the difference between the model forecasts and observed rainfall.

    In this deterministic framework the skill of the forecast tends to decrease with time, however the forecasts are updated daily to provide the latest estimates of rainfall probability out to 28 days.

  12. Popup - Daily historical

  13. Past 5 Days

    Cremorne Past 5 Days

    This Month
    Minimum Maximum Rainfall
    Tuesday
    Jul 07
    9.8 °C 17.0 °C
    0.0 mm
    Wednesday
    Jul 08
    11.1 °C 15.0 °C
    8.8 mm
    Thursday
    Jul 09
    8.7 °C 17.3 °C
    0.0 mm
    Friday
    Jul 10
    9.9 °C 17.4 °C
    0.0 mm
    Saturday
    Jul 11
    11.2 °C 15.8 °C
    4.0 mm
    Legend
  14. Almanac

    Almanac


    Cremorne minimum temp history (33.8281°S, 151.2302°E, 85m AMSL)
    MAXIMUM TEMPERATURE MINIMUM TEMPERATURE
    Hottest this month 23.0° 02/07/2020 Coldest this month 8.3° 01/07/2020
    Hottest on record 25.9 24/07/1990 Coldest on record 2.2 08/07/1861
    Hottest this year 41.3° 23/01/2020 Coldest this year 7.2° 05/06/2020
    Long term average 16.4° Long term average 8.1°
    Average this month 18.2° Average this month 9.9°
    Hottest July On Record Avg. max. temp. 19.5° 2013 Coldest July on record Avg. min. temp. 5.5° 1895
    Cremorne rainfall history (33.8281°S, 151.2302°E, 85m AMSL)
    RAINFALL
    Wettest This Month 8.8mm 08/07/2020 Total This Month 14.4mm
    5.0 days
    Long Term Average 97.1mm 11.3 days Wettest July on record 336.1mm 1950
    Driest on record 1.8mm 1970
  15. Popup - Radar

    Weather Radar for NSW/ACT

  16. Year to Date

    Cremorne Year To Date

    Average Rainfall To Jul 827.9mm 88.4 day(s)
    Total For 2020 903.4mm 98.0 day(s)
    Total To This Day 2019 588.6mm 68.0 day(s)
    Wettest Day 176.0mm Feb10
    Lowest Temperature 7.2°C Jun 5
    Highest Temperature 41.3°C Jan23
  17. Popup - Monthly historical

  18. Climatology

    Climate History

    Cremorne Climatology

    Long-Term Averages
    Jan Feb Mar Apr May Jun Jul Aug Sep Oct Nov Dec Ann
    Mean Max (°C) 26.0 25.8 24.8 22.5 19.5 17.0 16.4 17.9 20.1 22.2 23.7 25.2 21.7
    Mean Min (°C) 18.7 18.8 17.6 14.7 11.6 9.3 8.1 9.0 11.1 13.6 15.7 17.5 13.8
    Mean Rain (mm) 102.2 117.6 130.9 128.5 118.6 133.0 97.1 81.1 68.4 76.4 83.8 77.6 1215.0
    Mean Rain Days 12.2 12.5 13.7 12.9 13.1 12.7 11.3 10.4 10.6 11.6 11.7 11.5 143.1