Forecast
Crawney (31.6335°S, 151.0605°E, 582m AMSL) set as my default location ›
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My MLA
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Current condition
TODAY16° 28° mostly sunny Chance of rain: 20% Likely amount: < 1mm First
lightLast light Sunrise Sunset 5:16am EDT 5:45am EDT 7:56pm EDT 8:24pm EDT NOW26.9° Feels Like: 23.7° Relative Humidity: 44% Dew: 13.6° Wind: ESE 22km/h Gust: 32km/h Rainfall since 9am: 0.0mm Pressure: 1013.1hPa -
Today Weather
CrawneyNow26.0°cFeels Like:23.5°Wind:SSE 17km/hGusts:26km/hHumidity:44%16°Min28°MaxToday in CrawneyCloudy. Slight chance of a shower. Areas of smoke haze. Winds S/SE 15 to 25 km/h. Daytime maximum temperatures 23 to 30.Tomorrow14°Min27°MaxPartly cloudy. Areas of smoke haze. Winds E/SE 15 to 20 km/h becoming light in the late evening. Overnight temperatures falling to between 13 and 16 with daytime temperatures reaching 23 to 30. -
Radar
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Popup Radar
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Warnings
There are no current warnings for Crawney
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7 day forecast
Today: Cloudy. Slight chance of a shower. Areas of smoke haze. Winds S/SE 15 to 25 km/h. Daytime maximum temperatures 23 to 30.
Forecast for Crawney (31.6335°S, 151.0605°E, 582m AMSL) Thu Fri Sat Sun Mon Tue Wed Summary Minimum 16° 14° 14° 16° 19° 15° 15° Maximum 28° 27° 31° 34° 32° 33° 36° Chance of rain 20% 10% 5% 5% 5% 5% 5% Likely amount < 1mm < 1mm < 1mm < 1mm < 1mm < 1mm < 1mm UV index Extreme Extreme Extreme Extreme Extreme - - Frost risk Nil Nil Nil Nil Nil Nil Nil 9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm Wind speed 22
(km/h)27
(km/h)22
(km/h)25
(km/h)15
(km/h)24
(km/h)17
(km/h)26
(km/h)20
(km/h)29
(km/h)23
(km/h)28
(km/h)17
(km/h)23
(km/h)Wind direction SSE SSW SSE SSW SSW SW WNW W WSW SSW SE SSE NNW SW Relative humidity 73% 32% 68% 33% 63% 20% 54% 16% 26% 16% 47% 17% 29% 8% Dew point 13°C 10°C 11°C 10°C 12°C 5°C 12°C 4°C 5°C 3°C 9°C 4°C 6°C -3°C -
28 Day Rainfall forecast
Crawney Rain Forecast
Crawney 28-day Rainfall ForecastSUNMONTUEWEDTHUFRISAT12
LOW13
14
15
16
17
18
19
20
21
MEDIUM22
MEDIUM23
MEDIUM24
LOW25
26
27
28
MEDIUM29
LOW30
31
LOWJan 1
LOW2
3
4
LOW5
LOW6
7
8
9
CHANCE OF RAINFALL WITHIN DISTRICTNIL < 25%LOW 25% to 50%MEDIUM 50% to 75%HIGH ≥ 75%Issued Dec12Issue Notes
The hemispheric long wave pattern has remained stable in recent weeks. There are five main troughs. Currently the most significant troughs are near the longitudes of South Africa, Western Australia, New Zealand, the southeast Pacific, and South America.
Summary:
Over southern and eastern Australia the cold front events with potential to bring widespread rain are now expected about 25 December to 29 December, 8 January to 12 January, and 15 January to 19 January. Rain events originating in the tropics and moving south are possible about 10 December to 14 December. Over Western Australia the strongest cold fronts should occur about 26 December to 30 December, 8 January to 12 January, and 15 January to 19 January.
Forecast ExplanationThis forecast is produced by a multi-model ensemble consisting of dynamical atmospheric models, which are forced by the latest observed atmosphere, ocean, land and ice conditions. The models are designed to simulate features of the real atmosphere, including the daily movement of long and short wave patterns in the Southern Hemisphere.
The future probability of rain in each district is estimated using output from the multi-model ensemble, combined with historical information about the difference between the model forecasts and observed rainfall.
In this deterministic framework the skill of the forecast tends to decrease with time, however the forecasts are updated daily to provide the latest estimates of rainfall probability out to 28 days.
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12 Month Rainfall Forecast
Crawney Rain Forecast
Crawney 12-month Rainfall ForecastDecJanFebMarAprMayJunJulAugSepOctNov20192020226676645629105012 - 34 - 78 - 910Well below normalBelow normalNear normalAbove normalWell above normalIssue Notes - Issued Dec 11
ENSO status: Neutral IOD status: Positive SAM status: Negative Sea surface temperatures (SSTs) across the equatorial central Pacific continued to exhibit a slight warming during November. The Nino3.4 index lingered between 0.6 and 0.7 throughout the month of November. However, this has dropped to 0.4 since early December. On the other hand, the Southern Oscillation Index (SOI) recorded a value of -9.3 in November. The current outlook continues to suggest warmer than average SSTs will persist across the equatorial Pacific Ocean through the coming months, but remaining within neutral values. Seven out of eight international models maintain a warmer than average equatorial Pacific Ocean through the first quarter of 2020, none of these reaching El Nino thresholds. The IRI ENSO forecast continues to suggest a less than 40% chance of another El Nino developing over the next 6 months, with a neutral ENSO the most likely outcome. To the west of Australia, the Indian Ocean Dipole (IOD) remains in the positive side of neutral, though it has significant strength after peaking in October . All six international models maintain a positive event until January. In terms of rainfall across Australia, there is little variation to the outlook issued last month across the west. However, the climate outlook for the eastern states has seen a significant drying over the past 2 months. The current outlook now favours a clearer below average rainfall signal for the eastern states. This however, excludes any extreme weather events such as tropical cyclones in Qld or East Coast Lows. For northern Australia, the current outlook favours a late onset of the North Australian Monsoon (NAM) across the Northern Territory and Queensland. Usually, Darwin tends to see the onset of NAM around christmas day. Further south, a negative trend in the Southern Annular Mode (SAM) continues to enhance frontal activity over southern SA, Victoria, Tasmania and southern NSW. This has offset the Positive IOD in far southern Victoria and western Tasmania, which continue to see average-to-above average rainfall odds through December and early January. Looking further ahead, with no significant signature from ENSO, there are no significant climate drivers tilting the balance towards a drier or wetter summer. The current outlook suggests neutral odds for the second half of summer.
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Long range rainfall forecast
Crawney Rain Forecast
Crawney 28-day Rainfall ForecastSUNMONTUEWEDTHUFRISAT12
LOW13
14
15
16
17
18
19
20
21
MEDIUM22
MEDIUM23
MEDIUM24
LOW25
26
27
28
MEDIUM29
LOW30
31
LOWJan 1
LOW2
3
4
LOW5
LOW6
7
8
9
CHANCE OF RAINFALL WITHIN DISTRICTNIL < 25%LOW 25% to 50%MEDIUM 50% to 75%HIGH ≥ 75%Issued Dec12Issue Notes
The hemispheric long wave pattern has remained stable in recent weeks. There are five main troughs. Currently the most significant troughs are near the longitudes of South Africa, Western Australia, New Zealand, the southeast Pacific, and South America.
Summary:
Over southern and eastern Australia the cold front events with potential to bring widespread rain are now expected about 25 December to 29 December, 8 January to 12 January, and 15 January to 19 January. Rain events originating in the tropics and moving south are possible about 10 December to 14 December. Over Western Australia the strongest cold fronts should occur about 26 December to 30 December, 8 January to 12 January, and 15 January to 19 January.
Forecast ExplanationThis forecast is produced by a multi-model ensemble consisting of dynamical atmospheric models, which are forced by the latest observed atmosphere, ocean, land and ice conditions. The models are designed to simulate features of the real atmosphere, including the daily movement of long and short wave patterns in the Southern Hemisphere.
The future probability of rain in each district is estimated using output from the multi-model ensemble, combined with historical information about the difference between the model forecasts and observed rainfall.
In this deterministic framework the skill of the forecast tends to decrease with time, however the forecasts are updated daily to provide the latest estimates of rainfall probability out to 28 days.
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Popup - Daily historical
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Past 5 Days
We're sorry, but there are no daily observations available for Crawney
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Almanac
Almanac
Crawney minimum temp history (31.6335°S, 151.0605°E, 582m AMSL) MAXIMUM TEMPERATURE MINIMUM TEMPERATURE Hottest this month - Coldest this month - Hottest on record 40.6 30/12/1965 Coldest on record 1.5 04/12/1987 Hottest this year 41.6° 16/01/2019 Coldest this year -6.0° 22/06/2019 Long term average 28.9° Long term average 13.3° Average this month - Average this month - Hottest December On Record Avg. max. temp. 33.3° 1990 Coldest December on record Avg. min. temp. 9.8° 1986 Crawney rainfall history (31.6335°S, 151.0605°E, 582m AMSL) RAINFALL Wettest This Month mm Total This Month mm
daysLong Term Average 89.4mm 7.8 days Wettest December on record 234.3mm 1990 -
Popup - Radar
Weather Radar for NSW/ACT
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Year to Date
Crawney Year To Date
Average Rainfall To Dec 814.8mm 86.9 day(s) Total For 2019 247.3mm 55.0 day(s) Total To This Day 2018 434.4mm 69.0 day(s) Wettest Day 62.0mm Mar31 Lowest Temperature -6.0°C Jun22 Highest Temperature 41.6°C Jan16 -
Popup - Monthly historical
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Climatology
Crawney Climatology
Crawney Long-Term Averages
Long-Term Averages Jan Feb Mar Apr May Jun Jul Aug Sep Oct Nov Dec Ann Mean Max (°C) 30.2 29.3 27.0 23.5 19.2 15.7 15.0 17.0 20.3 23.7 26.4 28.9 23.1 Mean Min (°C) 15.0 14.7 12.2 8.1 4.8 3.2 1.8 2.3 4.8 8.0 10.9 13.3 8.3 Mean Rain (mm) 88.4 74.6 61.5 51.3 52.2 69.0 62.4 61.2 58.5 70.7 75.6 89.4 814.9 Mean Rain Days 7.2 6.3 6.0 6.0 6.6 8.6 8.1 7.9 7.0 7.6 7.8 7.8 84.4