Forecast
Cowra (33.8347°S, 148.6912°E, 319m AMSL) set as my default location ›
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My MLA
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Current condition
TODAY14° 32° mostly sunny Chance of rain: 90% Likely amount: 10-20mm First
lightLast light Sunrise Sunset 6:43am EDT 7:08am EDT 7:18pm EDT 7:43pm EDT NOW31.2° Feels Like: 30.4° Relative Humidity: 38% Dew: 15.2° Wind: NW 13km/h Gust: 17km/h Rainfall since 9am: 0.0mm Pressure: 1013.4hPa -
Today Weather
CowraNow31.1°cFeels Like:28.6°Wind:NE 19km/hGusts:20km/hHumidity:34%14°Min32°MaxToday in CowraPartly cloudy. Slight chance of a shower. The chance of a thunderstorm in the W in the afternoon and evening. Light winds becoming N/NE 15 to 20 km/h in the evening.Tomorrow19°Min24°MaxCloudy. High chance of showers, most likely in the morning and afternoon. Morning rain in the S E. The chance of a thunderstorm. Winds N/NW 20 to 30 km/h tending NW/SW in the morning then tending SE/SW in the late afternoon. Overnight temperatures falling to between 15 and 18 with daytime temperatures reaching 20 to 26. -
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Popup Radar
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Warnings
There are no current warnings for Cowra
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7 day forecast
Today: Partly cloudy. Slight chance of a shower. The chance of a thunderstorm in the W in the afternoon and evening. Light winds becoming N/NE 15 to 20 km/h in the evening.
Forecast for Cowra (33.8347°S, 148.6912°E, 319m AMSL) Tue Wed Thu Fri Sat Sun Mon Summary Minimum 14° 19° 9° 8° 10° 12° 11° Maximum 32° 24° 25° 26° 27° 28° 28° Chance of rain 90% 70% 5% 5% 10% 5% 20% Likely amount 10-20mm 1-5mm < 1mm < 1mm < 1mm < 1mm < 1mm UV index High High High High High High High Fire Danger Rating Moderate Moderate Moderate Moderate - - - Frost risk Nil Nil Nil Nil Nil Nil Nil 9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm Wind speed 9
(km/h)12
(km/h)14
(km/h)21
(km/h)17
(km/h)15
(km/h)7
(km/h)6
(km/h)5
(km/h)8
(km/h)4
(km/h)11
(km/h)3
(km/h)11
(km/h)Wind direction E N WSW WSW SE ESE ESE NW SE SSW SE SW NE WNW Relative humidity 81% 42% 91% 47% 64% 38% 75% 38% 77% 37% 79% 34% 70% 33% Dew point 16°C 17°C 18°C 11°C 7°C 9°C 9°C 9°C 12°C 10°C 13°C 10°C 11°C 9°C -
28 Day Rainfall forecast
Cowra Rain Forecast
Cowra 28-day Rainfall ForecastSUNMONTUEWEDTHUFRISAT19
20
21
CHANCE OF RAINFALL WITHIN DISTRICTNIL < 25%LOW 25% to 50%MEDIUM 50% to 75%HIGH ≥ 75%Issued Mar19Issue Notes
The hemispheric long wave pattern has remained stable in recent weeks. There are four main troughs. Currently the most significant troughs are near the longitudes of the Indian Ocean, eastern Australia, the southeast Pacific, and the Atlantic Ocean.
Summary:
Over southern and eastern Australia the cold front events with potential to bring widespread rain are now expected about 2024-03-18, 2024-03-23 and 2024-04-05. Rain events originating in the tropics and moving south are possible about 2024-03-18, 2024-03-23 and 2024-03-28. Over Western Australia the strongest cold fronts should occur about 2024-03-18 and 2024-03-23.
Forecast ExplanationThis forecast is produced by a multi-model ensemble consisting of dynamical atmospheric models, which are forced by the latest observed atmosphere, ocean, land and ice conditions. The models are designed to simulate features of the real atmosphere, including the daily movement of long and short wave patterns in the Southern Hemisphere.
The future probability of rain in each district is estimated using output from the multi-model ensemble, combined with historical information about the difference between the model forecasts and observed rainfall.
In this deterministic framework the skill of the forecast tends to decrease with time, however the forecasts are updated daily to provide the latest estimates of rainfall probability out to 28 days.
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12 Month Rainfall Forecast
Cowra Rain Forecast
Cowra 12-month Rainfall ForecastMarAprMayJunJulAugSepOctNovDecJanFeb20242025566777535657105012 - 34 - 78 - 910Well below normalBelow normalNear normalAbove normalWell above normalIssue Notes - Issued Mar 5
ENSO status: El Niño, breaking down. IOD status: Neutral. SAM status: Neutral, trending slightly positive. The El Niño Southern Oscillation (ENSO) is in an El Niño and is starting to break down. All international models indicate neutral conditions should return by late April or early May. The Southern Oscillation Index (SOI) is back below the threshold of -7, but is varying significantly with tropical activity over Australia and the Pacific. Waters in the Coral Sea are far warmer than normal, especially for an El Niño, and are offsetting the effects of this event. El Niño only has a small effect during autumn, typically increasing rainfall over the Nullarbor and SA, but having little effect elsewhere. The Indian Ocean Dipole (IOD) is in a neutral phase. Ocean temperatures are high across most of the Indian Ocean, with only cooler waters near the WA coast. The IOD has little to no effect during autumn. The Southern Annular Mode (SAM) is neutral and will slightly favour a positive phase during March and April and return closer to true neutral in May. A positive SAM increases easterly winds, increasing rainfall and thunderstorm activity in the east. As we go closer to winter, a positive SAM also reduces cold fronts and rainfall over southern Australia. Rainfall outlooks are predicting average rainfall for the vast majority of Australia throughout autumn. There are some weak signals that southwest WA could be slightly drier than normal in April, and southeast Qld and NSW could be slightly wetter during May, but otherwise near average.
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Popup - Daily historical
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Long range rainfall forecast
Cowra Rain Forecast
Cowra 28-day Rainfall ForecastSUNMONTUEWEDTHUFRISAT19
20
21
CHANCE OF RAINFALL WITHIN DISTRICTNIL < 25%LOW 25% to 50%MEDIUM 50% to 75%HIGH ≥ 75%Issued Mar19Issue Notes
The hemispheric long wave pattern has remained stable in recent weeks. There are four main troughs. Currently the most significant troughs are near the longitudes of the Indian Ocean, eastern Australia, the southeast Pacific, and the Atlantic Ocean.
Summary:
Over southern and eastern Australia the cold front events with potential to bring widespread rain are now expected about 2024-03-18, 2024-03-23 and 2024-04-05. Rain events originating in the tropics and moving south are possible about 2024-03-18, 2024-03-23 and 2024-03-28. Over Western Australia the strongest cold fronts should occur about 2024-03-18 and 2024-03-23.
Forecast ExplanationThis forecast is produced by a multi-model ensemble consisting of dynamical atmospheric models, which are forced by the latest observed atmosphere, ocean, land and ice conditions. The models are designed to simulate features of the real atmosphere, including the daily movement of long and short wave patterns in the Southern Hemisphere.
The future probability of rain in each district is estimated using output from the multi-model ensemble, combined with historical information about the difference between the model forecasts and observed rainfall.
In this deterministic framework the skill of the forecast tends to decrease with time, however the forecasts are updated daily to provide the latest estimates of rainfall probability out to 28 days.
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Past 5 Days
Cowra Past 5 Days
This MonthMinimum Maximum Rainfall Friday
Mar 1518.4 °C 28.6 °C 0.0 mmSaturday
Mar 1613.9 °C 25.4 °C 0.0 mmSunday
Mar 1715.7 °C 24.6 °C 21.6 mmMonday
Mar 1816.2 °C 29.1 °C 0.2 mmTuesday
Mar 1915.0 °C 31.7 °C 0.0 mmLegend -
Almanac
Almanac
Cowra minimum temp history (33.8347°S, 148.6912°E, 319m AMSL) MAXIMUM TEMPERATURE MINIMUM TEMPERATURE Hottest this month 36.6° 01/03/2024 Coldest this month 9.1° 04/03/2024 Hottest on record 37.5 15/03/2008 Coldest on record 2.5 27/03/2015 Hottest this year 40.1° 04/02/2024 Coldest this year 9.1° 04/03/2024 Long term average 28.4° Long term average 13.6° Average this month 31.8° Average this month 15.6° Hottest March On Record Avg. max. temp. 30.8° 2006 Coldest March on record Avg. min. temp. 10.7° 2005 Cowra rainfall history (33.8347°S, 148.6912°E, 319m AMSL) RAINFALL Wettest This Month 21.6mm 17/03/2024 Total This Month 22.4mm
3.0 daysLong Term Average 61.5mm 7.7 days Wettest March on record 178.7mm 2012 Driest on record 3.2mm 2006 -
Year to Date
Cowra Year To Date
Average Rainfall To Mar 163.0mm 22.3 day(s) Total For 2024 245.6mm 20.0 day(s) Total To This Day 2023 78.0mm 17.0 day(s) Wettest Day 56.8mm Feb 6 Lowest Temperature 9.1°C Mar 4 Highest Temperature 40.1°C Feb 4 -
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Popup - Monthly historical
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Climatology
Climate History
Cowra Climatology
Cowra Long-Term Averages
Long-Term Averages Jan Feb Mar Apr May Jun Jul Aug Sep Oct Nov Dec Ann Mean Max (°C) 33.5 31.7 28.4 23.8 18.7 15.0 14.3 15.9 19.9 24.3 27.6 30.7 23.6 Mean Min (°C) 17.2 16.2 13.6 8.8 4.8 3.7 2.3 2.5 4.1 7.4 11.5 14.2 8.8 Mean Rain (mm) 48.9 52.6 61.5 38.7 34.4 52.1 45.6 41.2 46.2 47.5 73.1 59.8 587.6 Mean Rain Days 7.8 6.8 7.7 5.4 7.7 14.0 15.1 12.3 8.8 7.9 9.3 7.7 108.7