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Forecast

Coongbar (29.0938°S, 152.6908°E, 142m AMSL) set as my default location ›

  1. My MLA

  2. Current condition

    TOMORROW
    Mostly sunny 10° 26°
    mostly sunny
    Chance of rain: 10%
    Likely amount: < 1mm
    First
    light
    Sunrise Sunset Last light
    Sunrise Sunset
    6:07am EST 6:33am EST 4:58pm EST 5:24pm EST
    NOW
    11.5° Feels Like: 10.5°
    Relative Humidity: 98%
    Dew: 11.2°
    Wind: NW 7km/h
    Gust: 9km/h
    Rainfall since 9am: 0.0mm
    Pressure: 1018.8hPa
  3. Today Weather

    Coongbar
    Now
    11.2°c
    Feels Like:
    8.9°
    Wind:
    N 13km/h
    Gusts:
    13km/h
    Humidity:
    96%
    Mostly sunny
     
    10°
    Min
    26°
    Max
    Today in Coongbar
    Partly cloudy. Medium chance of showers and the chance of a thunderstorm on and west of the ranges, slight chance elsewhere. The chance of snow flurries above 1100 metres in the south in the late evening. Winds NW/NE 15 to 25 km/h becoming NW 25 to 40 km/h in the morning then turning W 15 to 25 km/h in the late evening. Overnight temperatures falling to between 5 and 10 with daytime temperatures reaching between 15 and 23.
    Tomorrow
    Mostly sunny
    10°
    Min
    26°
    Max
    Partly cloudy. Slight chance of a shower in the south in the morning, with possible morning snow flurries above 1100 metres. Areas of morning frost in the south. Winds W 25 to 40 km/h. Overnight temperatures falling to between minus 1 and 8 above zero with daytime temperatures reaching between 7 and 16.
  4. Radar

  5. Popup Radar

  6. Warnings

    There are no current warnings for Coongbar

  7. Next 48 Hours


    Next 48 Hours


  8. 7 day forecast

    Today: Partly cloudy. Medium chance of showers and the chance of a thunderstorm on and west of the ranges, slight chance elsewhere. The chance of snow flurries above 1100 metres in the south in the late evening. Winds NW/NE 15 to 25 km/h becoming NW 25 to 40 km/h in the morning then turning W 15 to 25 km/h in the late evening. Overnight temperatures falling to between 5 and 10 with daytime temperatures reaching between 15 and 23.

    Forecast for Coongbar (29.0938°S, 152.6908°E, 142m AMSL)
      Mon Tue Wed Thu Fri Sat Sun
    Summary Mostly sunny Sunny Sunny Mostly sunny Mostly sunny Fog then sunny Mostly sunny
    Minimum 10°
    Maximum 26° 20° 21° 20° 21° 23° 21°
    Chance of rain 10% 5% 5% 20% 30% 10% 20%
    Likely amount < 1mm < 1mm < 1mm < 1mm < 1mm < 1mm < 1mm
    UV index Moderate Moderate Moderate Moderate - - -
    Frost risk Nil Nil Slight Nil Nil Nil Nil
      9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm
    Wind speed 10
    (km/h)
    14
    (km/h)
    15
    (km/h)
    19
    (km/h)
    8
    (km/h)
    8
    (km/h)
    14
    (km/h)
    16
    (km/h)
    10
    (km/h)
    11
    (km/h)
    6
    (km/h)
    10
    (km/h)
    7
    (km/h)
    11
    (km/h)
    Wind direction NNW NNW W W WNW SSE SSW S SW S WNW NE WSW S
    Relative humidity 80% 41% 49% 31% 57% 38% 68% 54% 75% 60% 79% 47% 70% 49%
    Dew point 14°C 11°C 4°C 1°C 4°C 5°C 8°C 9°C 10°C 12°C 12°C 10°C 10°C 9°C
  9. 28 Day Rainfall forecast

    Coongbar Rain Forecast


    Coongbar 28-day Rainfall Forecast
    SUN
    MON
    TUE
    WED
    THU
    FRI
    SAT
    31
    LOW
    Jun 1
    MEDIUM
    2
    3
    4
    5
    6
    7
    8
    MEDIUM
    9
    MEDIUM
    10
    LOW
    11
    MEDIUM
    12
    HIGH
    13
    MEDIUM
    14
    LOW
    15
    LOW
    16
    17
    18
    19
    20
    21
    LOW
    22
    LOW
    23
    LOW
    24
    25
    26
    LOW
    27
    28
    LOW
    29
    MEDIUM
    CHANCE OF RAINFALL WITHIN DISTRICT
    NIL < 25%
    LOW 25% to 50%
    MEDIUM 50% to 75%
    HIGH ≥ 75%
    Issued May31

    Issue Notes

    The hemispheric long wave pattern has been relatively fast moving in recent weeks. There are four main troughs. Currently the most significant troughs are near the longitudes of the Indian Ocean, New Zealand, the southeast Pacific, and the Atlantic Ocean.

    Summary:

    Over southern and eastern Australia the cold front events with potential to bring widespread rain are now expected about 9 June to 13 June, 27 June to 1 July, and 1 July to 5 July. Rain events originating in the tropics and moving south are possible about 9 June to 13 June, and 27 June to 1 July. Over Western Australia the strongest cold fronts should occur about 9 June to 13 June, 20 June to 24 June, and 27 June to 1 July.

    Forecast Explanation

    This forecast is produced by a multi-model ensemble consisting of dynamical atmospheric models, which are forced by the latest observed atmosphere, ocean, land and ice conditions. The models are designed to simulate features of the real atmosphere, including the daily movement of long and short wave patterns in the Southern Hemisphere.

    The future probability of rain in each district is estimated using output from the multi-model ensemble, combined with historical information about the difference between the model forecasts and observed rainfall.

    In this deterministic framework the skill of the forecast tends to decrease with time, however the forecasts are updated daily to provide the latest estimates of rainfall probability out to 28 days.

  10. 12 Month Rainfall Forecast

    Coongbar Rain Forecast


    Coongbar 12-month Rainfall Forecast
    May
    Jun
    Jul
    Aug
    Sep
    Oct
    Nov
    Dec
    Jan
    Feb
    Mar
    Apr
    2020
    2021
    4
    8
    7
    7
    8
    6
    6
    4
    6
    7
    6
    7
    10
    5
    0
    1
    2 - 3
    4 - 7
    8 - 9
    10
    Well below normal
    Below normal
    Near normal
    Above normal
    Well above normal

    Issue Notes - Issued May 13

    ENSO status: Neutral IOD status: Neutral SAM status: Trending neutral Sea surface temperatures (SSTs) across the equatorial central Pacific remained stable throughout April with the Nino3.4 index registering a value of 0.5. On the other hand, the Southern Oscillation Index (SOI) recorded a value of -0.5 during the same month. The current outlook suggests slightly warmer than average SSTs will persist across the equatorial Pacific Ocean during the end of autumn and early winter, potentially cooling by the second half of the austral winter. Eight out of eight international models continue to suggest a cooling trend of the NINO3.4 region throughout the Austral winter, with all models on the cooler side of neutral by September. The current International Research Institute for Climate and Society (IRI) suggests a 40:35 chance for neutral:La Nina conditions by the Austral spring. To the west of Australia, the Indian Ocean Dipole (IOD) remains neutral, normal for this time of the year. All six main international models, however, continue to hint at a possible negative IOD establishing from mid-to-late winter. In terms of precipitation across Australia, the current medium term outlook continues to favour above average rainfall for most of the country. This outlook is mainly driven by warmer SSTs across northwestern Australia, enhanced soil moisture across some parts of the continent and early indications of a cool phase in the Pacific Ocean, which increases the moisture content across the northern tropics. Across parts of southern Vic, NSW and Qld (east of the Great Dividing Range), southwestern WA and Tasmania the outlook is for average-to-slightly below average rainfall over the coming months as these regions transition to their ‘drier’ part of the year (eastern seaboard) or tend to be less influenced by the IOD (SW WA and Tasmania) but more on the phases of the Southern Annular Mode (SAM). This doesn’t include any severe weather events like east coast lows.

  11. Long range rainfall forecast

    Coongbar Rain Forecast


    Coongbar 28-day Rainfall Forecast
    SUN
    MON
    TUE
    WED
    THU
    FRI
    SAT
    31
    LOW
    Jun 1
    MEDIUM
    2
    3
    4
    5
    6
    7
    8
    MEDIUM
    9
    MEDIUM
    10
    LOW
    11
    MEDIUM
    12
    HIGH
    13
    MEDIUM
    14
    LOW
    15
    LOW
    16
    17
    18
    19
    20
    21
    LOW
    22
    LOW
    23
    LOW
    24
    25
    26
    LOW
    27
    28
    LOW
    29
    MEDIUM
    CHANCE OF RAINFALL WITHIN DISTRICT
    NIL < 25%
    LOW 25% to 50%
    MEDIUM 50% to 75%
    HIGH ≥ 75%
    Issued May31

    Issue Notes

    The hemispheric long wave pattern has been relatively fast moving in recent weeks. There are four main troughs. Currently the most significant troughs are near the longitudes of the Indian Ocean, New Zealand, the southeast Pacific, and the Atlantic Ocean.

    Summary:

    Over southern and eastern Australia the cold front events with potential to bring widespread rain are now expected about 9 June to 13 June, 27 June to 1 July, and 1 July to 5 July. Rain events originating in the tropics and moving south are possible about 9 June to 13 June, and 27 June to 1 July. Over Western Australia the strongest cold fronts should occur about 9 June to 13 June, 20 June to 24 June, and 27 June to 1 July.

    Forecast Explanation

    This forecast is produced by a multi-model ensemble consisting of dynamical atmospheric models, which are forced by the latest observed atmosphere, ocean, land and ice conditions. The models are designed to simulate features of the real atmosphere, including the daily movement of long and short wave patterns in the Southern Hemisphere.

    The future probability of rain in each district is estimated using output from the multi-model ensemble, combined with historical information about the difference between the model forecasts and observed rainfall.

    In this deterministic framework the skill of the forecast tends to decrease with time, however the forecasts are updated daily to provide the latest estimates of rainfall probability out to 28 days.

  12. Popup - Daily historical

  13. Past 5 Days

    Coongbar Past 5 Days

    This Month
    Minimum Maximum Rainfall
    Wednesday
    May 27
    15.4 °C 24.0 °C
    0.0 mm
    Thursday
    May 28
    12.3 °C 24.5 °C
    0.0 mm
    Friday
    May 29
    13.3 °C 22.7 °C
    0.0 mm
    Saturday
    May 30
    9.3 °C 21.0 °C
    2.2 mm
    Sunday
    May 31
    12.6 °C 22.6 °C
    2.6 mm
    Legend
  14. Almanac

    Almanac


    Coongbar minimum temp history (29.0938°S, 152.6908°E, 142m AMSL)
    MAXIMUM TEMPERATURE MINIMUM TEMPERATURE
    Hottest this month 27.3° 08/05/2020 Coldest this month 4.8° 04/05/2020
    Hottest on record 31.8 05/05/2007 Coldest on record -0.1 06/05/1995
    Hottest this year 39.8° 05/01/2020 Coldest this year 4.8° 04/05/2020
    Long term average 23.1° Long term average 10.6°
    Average this month 22.8° Average this month 9.9°
    Hottest May On Record Avg. max. temp. 26.6° 2016 Coldest May on record Avg. min. temp. 8.4° 2008
    Coongbar rainfall history (29.0938°S, 152.6908°E, 142m AMSL)
    RAINFALL
    Wettest This Month 9.2mm 18/05/2020 Total This Month 28.4mm
    11.0 days
    Long Term Average 96.4mm 11.4 days Wettest May on record 513.8mm 1996
    Driest on record 3.8mm 2004
  15. Popup - Radar

    Weather Radar for NSW/ACT

  16. Year to Date

    Coongbar Year To Date

    Average Rainfall To May 608.7mm 61.9 day(s)
    Total For 2020 473.8mm 55.0 day(s)
    Total To This Day 2019 371.6mm 59.0 day(s)
    Wettest Day 89.0mm Jan18
    Lowest Temperature 4.8°C May 4
    Highest Temperature 39.8°C Jan 5
  17. Popup - Monthly historical

  18. Climatology

    Climate History

    Coongbar Climatology

    Long-Term Averages
    Jan Feb Mar Apr May Jun Jul Aug Sep Oct Nov Dec Ann
    Mean Max (°C) 30.3 29.7 28.3 25.9 23.1 20.6 20.6 22.4 25.6 27.6 28.8 29.9 26.1
    Mean Min (°C) 19.1 18.9 17.6 14.2 10.6 8.4 6.6 7.2 10.5 13.3 16.1 17.9 13.4
    Mean Rain (mm) 144.5 148.3 143.1 76.4 96.4 72.4 32.6 51.4 34.6 63.5 112.9 118.6 1099.1
    Mean Rain Days 12.4 12.2 14.1 11.8 11.4 12.6 8.9 7.5 7.2 8.0 11.6 12.0 126.7