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Forecast

Cooleys Creek (35.3385°S, 148.0782°E, 361m AMSL) set as my default location ›

  1. My MLA

  2. Current condition

    TODAY
    Late shower 16° 37°
    late shower
    Chance of rain: 50%
    Likely amount: < 1mm
    First
    light
    Sunrise Sunset Last light
    Sunrise Sunset
    5:18am EDT 5:47am EDT 8:07pm EDT 8:36pm EDT
    NOW
    31.7° Feels Like: 31.4°
    Relative Humidity: 38%
    Dew: 16.0°
    Wind: NW 11km/h
    Gust: 17km/h
    Rainfall since 9am: 0.0mm
    Pressure: &nbsp;
  3. Today Weather

    Cooleys Creek
    Now
    32.4°c
    Feels Like:
    31.8°
    Wind:
    N 11km/h
    Gusts:
    11km/h
    Humidity:
    35%
    Late shower
     
    16°
    Min
    37°
    Max
    Today in Cooleys Creek
    Hot. Partly cloudy. High chance of showers near the Victorian border, medium chance elsewhere. The chance of a gusty thunderstorm, possibly severe, in the afternoon and evening. Winds E/NE 15 to 25 km/h shifting W/SW 30 to 45 km/h in the early afternoon. Daytime maximum temperatures 29 to 39.
    Tomorrow
    Mostly sunny
    11°
    Min
    27°
    Max
    Sunny. Winds W/SW 15 to 25 km/h becoming light in the evening. Overnight temperatures falling to between 8 and 12 with daytime temperatures reaching 21 to 27.
  4. Radar

  5. Popup Radar

  6. Warnings

  7. Next 48 Hours


    Next 48 Hours


  8. 7 day forecast

    Today: Hot. Partly cloudy. High chance of showers near the Victorian border, medium chance elsewhere. The chance of a gusty thunderstorm, possibly severe, in the afternoon and evening. Winds E/NE 15 to 25 km/h shifting W/SW 30 to 45 km/h in the early afternoon. Daytime maximum temperatures 29 to 39.

    Forecast for Cooleys Creek (35.3385°S, 148.0782°E, 361m AMSL)
      Tue Wed Thu Fri Sat Sun Mon
    Summary Late shower Mostly sunny Mostly sunny Sunny Late shower Mostly sunny Late shower
    Minimum 16° 11° 11° 11° 14° 12° 11°
    Maximum 37° 27° 31° 33° 31° 25° 23°
    Chance of rain 50% 5% 5% 5% 80% 20% 40%
    Likely amount < 1mm < 1mm < 1mm < 1mm 10-20mm < 1mm < 1mm
    UV index Extreme Extreme Extreme - - - -
    Frost risk Nil Nil Nil Nil Nil Nil Nil
      9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm
    Wind speed 16
    (km/h)
    22
    (km/h)
    17
    (km/h)
    17
    (km/h)
    14
    (km/h)
    8
    (km/h)
    5
    (km/h)
    22
    (km/h)
    12
    (km/h)
    18
    (km/h)
    21
    (km/h)
    26
    (km/h)
    17
    (km/h)
    24
    (km/h)
    Wind direction ENE NW WSW WSW E WSW W WSW ENE NNW W W W W
    Relative humidity 58% 38% 47% 29% 65% 36% 45% 21% 53% 44% 70% 47% 59% 43%
    Dew point 16°C 20°C 5°C 7°C 13°C 13°C 9°C 7°C 14°C 16°C 10°C 12°C 9°C 10°C
  9. 28 Day Rainfall forecast

    Cooleys Creek Rain Forecast


    Cooleys Creek 28-day Rainfall Forecast
    SUN
    MON
    TUE
    WED
    THU
    FRI
    SAT
    Dec 1
    MEDIUM
    2
    3
    4
    5
    MEDIUM
    6
    LOW
    7
    LOW
    8
    9
    10
    11
    12
    13
    14
    LOW
    15
    16
    LOW
    17
    HIGH
    18
    MEDIUM
    19
    HIGH
    20
    MEDIUM
    21
    LOW
    22
    MEDIUM
    23
    MEDIUM
    24
    MEDIUM
    25
    MEDIUM
    26
    LOW
    27
    28
    LOW
    29
    LOW
    CHANCE OF RAINFALL WITHIN DISTRICT
    NIL < 25%
    LOW 25% to 50%
    MEDIUM 50% to 75%
    HIGH ≥ 75%
    Issued Dec 1

    Issue Notes

    The hemispheric long wave pattern has remained stable in recent weeks. There are five main troughs. Currently the most significant troughs are near the longitudes of the southwest Indian Ocean, eastern Australia, the south Pacific, the southeast Pacific, and the Atlantic Ocean.

    Summary:

    Over southern and eastern Australia the cold front events with potential to bring widespread rain are now expected about 6 December to 10 December, 16 December to 20 December, and 1 January to 5 January. Rain events originating in the tropics and moving south are possible about 7 December to 11 December, 11 December to 15 December, and 19 December to 23 December. Over Western Australia the strongest cold fronts should occur about 6 December to 10 December, 16 December to 20 December, and 20 December to 24 December.

    Forecast Explanation

    This forecast is produced by a multi-model ensemble consisting of dynamical atmospheric models, which are forced by the latest observed atmosphere, ocean, land and ice conditions. The models are designed to simulate features of the real atmosphere, including the daily movement of long and short wave patterns in the Southern Hemisphere.

    The future probability of rain in each district is estimated using output from the multi-model ensemble, combined with historical information about the difference between the model forecasts and observed rainfall.

    In this deterministic framework the skill of the forecast tends to decrease with time, however the forecasts are updated daily to provide the latest estimates of rainfall probability out to 28 days.

  10. 12 Month Rainfall Forecast

    Cooleys Creek Rain Forecast


    Cooleys Creek 12-month Rainfall Forecast
    Dec
    Jan
    Feb
    Mar
    Apr
    May
    Jun
    Jul
    Aug
    Sep
    Oct
    2020
    2021
    8
    8
    7
    8
    7
    6
    8
    6
    4
    5
    4
    10
    5
    0
    1
    2 - 3
    4 - 7
    8 - 9
    10
    Well below normal
    Below normal
    Near normal
    Above normal
    Well above normal

    Issue Notes - Issued Nov 11

    ENSO status: La Niña IOD status: Neutral SAM status: Positive La Niña is well underway in the central and eastern equatorial Pacific waters, with significant cooling observed during the last few months. The atmospheric and ocean conditions have both exceeded La Niña thresholds, increasing the confidence of La Niña influencing the outlook until at least the remainder of summer. The majority of models predict that La Niña will peak in December or January, with all models predicting the event will last until January, 6 of 8 models to February and 5 of 8 to March. Given we have observed both the atmosphere and the oceans responding to La Nina, the models have strengthened the event, with around half of the models predicting a strong event. The 2010-2012 La Niña event is different to this year, due to the influence of a negative Indian Ocean Dipole (IOD) in 2010-2012, which enhanced the rainfall across Australia. To the west of Australia, the Indian Ocean Dipole (IOD) is neutral, which is likely tocontinue through to at least autumn. Two of six international models indicate a negative IOD during November, before becoming neutral in December. La Niña typically favours periods of positive SAM, which can increase the amount of precipitation along the eastern half of the country, due to prevailing onshore winds. La Niña increases the likelihood of above normal precipitation in spring and summer across much of Australia. The remainder of spring looks wetter than normal for much of Australia, except for parts of western WA and western TAS, where normal precipitation is expected. During summer, much of the country is likely to remain wetter than normal including western WA during these months. Western TAS precipitation outlook continues to be normal through summer. La Niña typically increases the number of cyclones and brings an early start to the northern wet season.

  11. Long range rainfall forecast

    Cooleys Creek Rain Forecast


    Cooleys Creek 28-day Rainfall Forecast
    SUN
    MON
    TUE
    WED
    THU
    FRI
    SAT
    Dec 1
    MEDIUM
    2
    3
    4
    5
    MEDIUM
    6
    LOW
    7
    LOW
    8
    9
    10
    11
    12
    13
    14
    LOW
    15
    16
    LOW
    17
    HIGH
    18
    MEDIUM
    19
    HIGH
    20
    MEDIUM
    21
    LOW
    22
    MEDIUM
    23
    MEDIUM
    24
    MEDIUM
    25
    MEDIUM
    26
    LOW
    27
    28
    LOW
    29
    LOW
    CHANCE OF RAINFALL WITHIN DISTRICT
    NIL < 25%
    LOW 25% to 50%
    MEDIUM 50% to 75%
    HIGH ≥ 75%
    Issued Dec 1

    Issue Notes

    The hemispheric long wave pattern has remained stable in recent weeks. There are five main troughs. Currently the most significant troughs are near the longitudes of the southwest Indian Ocean, eastern Australia, the south Pacific, the southeast Pacific, and the Atlantic Ocean.

    Summary:

    Over southern and eastern Australia the cold front events with potential to bring widespread rain are now expected about 6 December to 10 December, 16 December to 20 December, and 1 January to 5 January. Rain events originating in the tropics and moving south are possible about 7 December to 11 December, 11 December to 15 December, and 19 December to 23 December. Over Western Australia the strongest cold fronts should occur about 6 December to 10 December, 16 December to 20 December, and 20 December to 24 December.

    Forecast Explanation

    This forecast is produced by a multi-model ensemble consisting of dynamical atmospheric models, which are forced by the latest observed atmosphere, ocean, land and ice conditions. The models are designed to simulate features of the real atmosphere, including the daily movement of long and short wave patterns in the Southern Hemisphere.

    The future probability of rain in each district is estimated using output from the multi-model ensemble, combined with historical information about the difference between the model forecasts and observed rainfall.

    In this deterministic framework the skill of the forecast tends to decrease with time, however the forecasts are updated daily to provide the latest estimates of rainfall probability out to 28 days.

  12. Popup - Daily historical

    Cooleys Creek Observations History

    We're sorry, but there are no daily observations available for Cooleys Creek

  13. Past 5 Days

    Cooleys Creek Past 5 Days

    This Month
    Minimum Maximum Rainfall
    Thursday
    Nov 26
    14.5 °C 34.6 °C
    -
    Friday
    Nov 27
    17.0 °C 34.5 °C
    -
    Saturday
    Nov 28
    18.0 °C 39.5 °C
    -
    Sunday
    Nov 29
    23.0 °C 29.5 °C
    -
    Monday
    Nov 30
    14.0 °C -
    -
    Legend
  14. Almanac

    Almanac


    Cooleys Creek minimum temp history (35.3385°S, 148.0782°E, 361m AMSL)
    MAXIMUM TEMPERATURE MINIMUM TEMPERATURE
    Hottest this month 28.5° 10/11/2020 Coldest this month 5.8° 06/11/2020
    Hottest on record 42.6 31/12/2005 Coldest on record 4.9 05/12/2011
    Hottest this year 45.2° 04/01/2020 Coldest this year -2.5° 06/08/2020
    Long term average 26.6° Long term average 12.0°
    Average this month 28.7° Average this month 12.6°
    Hottest December On Record Avg. max. temp. 32.1° 1997 Coldest December on record Avg. min. temp. 11.5° 1995
    Cooleys Creek rainfall history (35.3385°S, 148.0782°E, 361m AMSL)
    RAINFALL
    Wettest This Month 8.2mm 01/11/2020 Total This Month 31.8mm
    6.0 days
    Long Term Average 68.1mm 7.8 days Wettest December on record 136.8mm 2007
    Driest on record 4.2mm 2006
  15. Popup - Radar

    Weather Radar for Australia

  16. Year to Date

    Cooleys Creek Year To Date

    Average Rainfall To Dec 585.5mm 107.2 day(s)
    Total For 2020 687.7mm 93.0 day(s)
    Total To This Day 2019 368.6mm 77.0 day(s)
    Wettest Day 43.6mm Feb11
    Lowest Temperature -2.5°C Aug 6
    Highest Temperature 45.2°C Jan 4
  17. Popup - Monthly historical

  18. Climatology

    Climate History

    Cooleys Creek Climatology

    Long-Term Averages
    Jan Feb Mar Apr May Jun Jul Aug Sep Oct Nov Dec Ann
    Mean Max (°C) 32.6 31.2 27.9 23.0 17.8 13.9 12.9 15.0 18.4 22.4 26.6 29.8 22.7
    Mean Min (°C) 16.6 16.7 13.4 8.6 4.9 3.5 2.7 3.1 5.4 8.0 12.0 14.0 9.0
    Mean Rain (mm) 40.5 51.0 49.3 31.9 42.2 65.6 65.9 57.4 61.6 52.0 68.1 58.6 644.7
    Mean Rain Days 6.0 6.1 6.0 5.5 8.7 16.2 18.6 13.0 10.6 8.7 7.8 7.1 107.1