Australian Government Bureau of Meteorology
New South Wales
TOP PRIORITY FOR IMMEDIATE BROADCAST
Cancellation Of Severe Thunderstorm Warning
for Metropolitan Forecast District.
Issued at 2:08 pm Thursday, 18 April 2024.
cancellation of severe thunderstorm warning for the following areas:
Metropolitan
The immediate threat of severe thunderstorms has passed, but the situation will continue to be monitored and further warnings will be issued if necessary.
The State Emergency Service advises that people should:
* Keep clear of fallen power lines.
* Keep clear of creeks and storm drains.
* Don't walk, ride your bike or drive through flood water.
* Stay vigilant and monitor conditions. Note that the landscape may have changed following bushfires.
* For emergency help in floods and storms, ring the SES (NSW and ACT) on 132 500.
No further warnings will be issued for this event.
Warnings are also available through TV and Radio broadcasts, the Bureau's website at www.bom.gov.au or call 1300 659 210. The Bureau and State Emergency Service would appreciate warnings being broadcast regularly.
Forecast
Connells Point (33.9919°S, 151.0895°E, 12m AMSL) set as my default location ›
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My MLA
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Current condition
TODAY16° 24° possible shower Chance of rain: 50% Likely amount: < 1mm First
lightLast light Sunrise Sunset 5:55am EST 6:20am EST 5:28pm EST 5:54pm EST NOW20.4° Feels Like: 20.0° Relative Humidity: 77% Dew: 16.2° Wind: SE 13km/h Gust: 13km/h Rainfall since 9am: 2.4mm Pressure: 1014.4hPa -
Today Weather
Connells PointNow19.1°cFeels Like:18.7°Wind:SE 15km/hGusts:17km/hHumidity:89%16°Min24°MaxToday in Connells PointPartly cloudy. Medium chance of showers, most likely in the late morning and afternoon. The chance of a thunderstorm in the morning and afternoon. Light winds becoming S 15 to 20 km/h in the early afternoon then becoming light in the late evening.Tomorrow13°Min21°MaxPartly cloudy. High chance of showers along the coastal fringe, medium chance elsewhere. The chance of a thunderstorm along the coastal fringe. Light winds becoming S 20 to 30 km/h in the middle of the day. -
Radar
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Popup Radar
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Warnings
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7 day forecast
Today: Partly cloudy. Medium chance of showers, most likely in the late morning and afternoon. The chance of a thunderstorm in the morning and afternoon. Light winds becoming S 15 to 20 km/h in the early afternoon then becoming light in the late evening.
Forecast for Connells Point (33.9919°S, 151.0895°E, 12m AMSL) Thu Fri Sat Sun Mon Tue Wed Summary Minimum 16° 13° 15° 16° 16° 14° 16° Maximum 24° 21° 22° 23° 23° 24° 25° Chance of rain 50% 70% 80% 20% 20% 30% 70% Likely amount < 1mm 5-10mm 1-5mm < 1mm < 1mm < 1mm 1-5mm UV index Moderate Moderate Moderate Moderate Moderate Moderate Moderate Fire Danger Rating - - - - - - - Frost risk Nil Nil Nil Nil Nil Nil Nil 9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm Wind speed 13
(km/h)19
(km/h)15
(km/h)31
(km/h)32
(km/h)38
(km/h)25
(km/h)23
(km/h)14
(km/h)17
(km/h)11
(km/h)22
(km/h)17
(km/h)23
(km/h)Wind direction WSW S W SSW SSW S SSW S SSW ESE NW NE W SW Relative humidity 84% 79% 62% 65% 78% 69% 69% 62% 71% 63% 78% 56% 69% 58% Dew point 17°C 16°C 10°C 13°C 15°C 15°C 14°C 14°C 15°C 14°C 14°C 14°C 15°C 15°C -
28 Day Rainfall forecast
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12 Month Rainfall Forecast
Connells Point Rain Forecast
Connells Point 12-month Rainfall ForecastAprMayJunJulAugSepOctNovDecJanFebMar20242025976787679485105012 - 34 - 78 - 910Well below normalBelow normalNear normalAbove normalWell above normalIssue Notes - Issued Apr 16
ENSO status: Inactive. El Niño ended. IOD status: Neutral, becoming positive. SAM status: Positive, favouring positive. The El Niño Southern Oscillation (ENSO) has returned to an inactive phase for the first time since August 2021. Ocean cooling is occurring in the eastern Pacific, with 3 out of 7 global models forecasting a La Niña to develop in 2024. Warmer than normal waters are situated in the Coral Sea, providing moisture and humidity to the east coast. The atmosphere continues to be firmly neutral after weakening early in the year. A neutral ENSO typically has no significant impact on Australian rainfall during winter. The Indian Ocean Dipole (IOD) is in a neutral phase. Ocean temperatures are high across most of the Indian Ocean, and the IOD index is spiking in response. Persistent southeasterly winds have set in over the eastern Indian Ocean, signalling that the atmosphere is starting to respond to the ocean patterns. All international models are suggesting the IOD will strengthen into apositive phase over the next 2-3 months, with significant upwelling to start near Indonesia possibly in May. A positive IOD reduces the number of northwest cloudbands that cross Australia during winter and spring, reducing rainfall across central and southeastern parts of Australia. The Southern Annular Mode (SAM) is positive and will favour a positive phase during autumn and into winter. A positive SAM increases easterly winds, increasing rainfall and thunderstorm activity in the east. A positive SAM also reduces cold fronts and rainfall over southern Australia, particularly for southwest WA. Rainfall outlooks are showing below average rainfall over winter for WA, and the southwest coasts of SA, Vic and Tas. Conversely, above average rainfall is expected for eastern parts of Qld and NSW, and potentially eastern Tas.
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Popup - Daily historical
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Long range rainfall forecast
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Past 5 Days
Connells Point Past 5 Days
This MonthMinimum Maximum Rainfall Sunday
Apr 1415.8 °C 25.1 °C 0.0 mmMonday
Apr 1516.1 °C 23.8 °C 0.0 mmTuesday
Apr 1614.7 °C 23.6 °C 0.0 mmWednesday
Apr 1716.9 °C 21.4 °C 0.0 mmThursday
Apr 1816.7 °C 23.0 °C 0.4 mmLegend -
Almanac
Almanac
Connells Point minimum temp history (33.9919°S, 151.0895°E, 12m AMSL) MAXIMUM TEMPERATURE MINIMUM TEMPERATURE Hottest this month 29.6° 06/04/2024 Coldest this month 12.0° 10/04/2024 Hottest on record 35.7 04/04/1986 Coldest on record 6.1 21/04/1965 Hottest this year 40.6° 26/01/2024 Coldest this year 12.0° 10/04/2024 Long term average 23.0° Long term average 14.4° Average this month 23.9° Average this month 16.2° Hottest April On Record Avg. max. temp. 25.2° 1968 Coldest April on record Avg. min. temp. 11.3° 1944 Connells Point rainfall history (33.9919°S, 151.0895°E, 12m AMSL) RAINFALL Wettest This Month 145.0mm 06/04/2024 Total This Month 175.2mm
6.0 daysLong Term Average 106.7mm 11.2 days Wettest April on record 476.2mm 1988 Driest on record 7.8mm 1997 -
Year to Date
Connells Point Year To Date
Average Rainfall To Apr 442.8mm 46.9 day(s) Total For 2024 435.6mm 37.0 day(s) Total To This Day 2023 445.0mm 49.0 day(s) Wettest Day 145.0mm Apr 6 Lowest Temperature 12.0°C Apr10 Highest Temperature 40.6°C Jan26 -
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Popup - Monthly historical
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Climatology
Climate History
Connells Point Climatology
Connells Point Long-Term Averages
Long-Term Averages Jan Feb Mar Apr May Jun Jul Aug Sep Oct Nov Dec Ann Mean Max (°C) 26.7 26.5 25.4 23.0 20.2 17.7 17.2 18.5 20.8 22.8 24.2 25.9 22.4 Mean Min (°C) 19.0 19.2 17.7 14.4 11.1 8.8 7.4 8.3 10.7 13.4 15.6 17.6 13.6 Mean Rain (mm) 94.1 118.3 123.7 106.7 95.9 123.2 72.2 75.3 59.5 71.6 81.0 73.4 1091.8 Mean Rain Days 11.3 11.6 12.8 11.2 10.9 11.4 9.3 9.0 9.3 10.7 11.4 10.6 129.4