Forecast
Condobolin (33.0891°S, 147.1522°E, 191m AMSL) set as my default location ›
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My MLA
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Current condition
TOMORROW18° 24° clearing shower Chance of rain: 20% Likely amount: < 1mm First
lightLast light Sunrise Sunset 6:50am EDT 7:15am EDT 7:22pm EDT 7:47pm EDT NOW23.3° Feels Like: 25.8° Relative Humidity: 92% Dew: 21.9° Wind: E 11km/h Gust: 13km/h Rainfall since 9am: 2.6mm Pressure: 1012.9hPa -
Today Weather
CondobolinNow22.7°cFeels Like:24.3°Wind:SW 13km/hGusts:20km/hHumidity:89%18°Min24°MaxToday in CondobolinCloudy. High chance of showers, most likely in the morning and early afternoon. The chance of a thunderstorm in the morning and afternoon, possibly severe in the SW. Winds NW/NE 15 to 20 km/h tending NW/SW 15 to 25 km/h early in the morning then tending S/SW 20 to 30 km/h in the morning. Overnight temperatures falling to between 16 and 21 with daytime temperatures reaching 23 to 28.Tomorrow18°Min24°MaxSunny. Winds S/SE 20 to 30 km/h turning E 25 to 35 km/h during the morning. Overnight temperatures falling to between 9 and 16 with daytime temperatures reaching 24 to 30. -
Radar
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Popup Radar
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Warnings
There are no current warnings for Condobolin
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7 day forecast
Today: Cloudy. High chance of showers, most likely in the morning and early afternoon. The chance of a thunderstorm in the morning and afternoon, possibly severe in the SW. Winds NW/NE 15 to 20 km/h tending NW/SW 15 to 25 km/h early in the morning then tending S/SW 20 to 30 km/h in the morning. Overnight temperatures falling to between 16 and 21 with daytime temperatures reaching 23 to 28.
Forecast for Condobolin (33.0891°S, 147.1522°E, 191m AMSL) Wed Thu Fri Sat Sun Mon Tue Summary Minimum 18° 9° 10° 12° 12° 11° 11° Maximum 24° 26° 28° 28° 29° 29° 29° Chance of rain 20% 5% 10% 30% 5% 10% 5% Likely amount < 1mm < 1mm < 1mm < 1mm < 1mm < 1mm < 1mm UV index High High High High High High High Fire Danger Rating High Moderate Moderate Moderate - - - Frost risk Nil Nil Nil Nil Nil Nil Nil 9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm Wind speed 19
(km/h)24
(km/h)18
(km/h)16
(km/h)15
(km/h)6
(km/h)8
(km/h)7
(km/h)8
(km/h)13
(km/h)8
(km/h)13
(km/h)10
(km/h)14
(km/h)Wind direction SW SSW ESE ESE E NE ENE S SW SW SSW WSW S SSW Relative humidity 73% 43% 65% 39% 71% 43% 69% 41% 69% 30% 51% 23% 54% 27% Dew point 16°C 10°C 9°C 10°C 11°C 13°C 13°C 13°C 13°C 9°C 8°C 5°C 9°C 7°C -
28 Day Rainfall forecast
Condobolin Rain Forecast
Condobolin 28-day Rainfall ForecastSUNMONTUEWEDTHUFRISAT19
20
21
CHANCE OF RAINFALL WITHIN DISTRICTNIL < 25%LOW 25% to 50%MEDIUM 50% to 75%HIGH ≥ 75%Issued Mar19Issue Notes
The hemispheric long wave pattern has remained stable in recent weeks. There are four main troughs. Currently the most significant troughs are near the longitudes of the Indian Ocean, eastern Australia, the southeast Pacific, and the Atlantic Ocean.
Summary:
Over southern and eastern Australia the cold front events with potential to bring widespread rain are now expected about 2024-03-18, 2024-03-23 and 2024-04-05. Rain events originating in the tropics and moving south are possible about 2024-03-18, 2024-03-23 and 2024-03-28. Over Western Australia the strongest cold fronts should occur about 2024-03-18 and 2024-03-23.
Forecast ExplanationThis forecast is produced by a multi-model ensemble consisting of dynamical atmospheric models, which are forced by the latest observed atmosphere, ocean, land and ice conditions. The models are designed to simulate features of the real atmosphere, including the daily movement of long and short wave patterns in the Southern Hemisphere.
The future probability of rain in each district is estimated using output from the multi-model ensemble, combined with historical information about the difference between the model forecasts and observed rainfall.
In this deterministic framework the skill of the forecast tends to decrease with time, however the forecasts are updated daily to provide the latest estimates of rainfall probability out to 28 days.
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12 Month Rainfall Forecast
Condobolin Rain Forecast
Condobolin 12-month Rainfall ForecastMarAprMayJunJulAugSepOctNovDecJanFeb20242025566778656758105012 - 34 - 78 - 910Well below normalBelow normalNear normalAbove normalWell above normalIssue Notes - Issued Mar 5
ENSO status: El Niño, breaking down. IOD status: Neutral. SAM status: Neutral, trending slightly positive. The El Niño Southern Oscillation (ENSO) is in an El Niño and is starting to break down. All international models indicate neutral conditions should return by late April or early May. The Southern Oscillation Index (SOI) is back below the threshold of -7, but is varying significantly with tropical activity over Australia and the Pacific. Waters in the Coral Sea are far warmer than normal, especially for an El Niño, and are offsetting the effects of this event. El Niño only has a small effect during autumn, typically increasing rainfall over the Nullarbor and SA, but having little effect elsewhere. The Indian Ocean Dipole (IOD) is in a neutral phase. Ocean temperatures are high across most of the Indian Ocean, with only cooler waters near the WA coast. The IOD has little to no effect during autumn. The Southern Annular Mode (SAM) is neutral and will slightly favour a positive phase during March and April and return closer to true neutral in May. A positive SAM increases easterly winds, increasing rainfall and thunderstorm activity in the east. As we go closer to winter, a positive SAM also reduces cold fronts and rainfall over southern Australia. Rainfall outlooks are predicting average rainfall for the vast majority of Australia throughout autumn. There are some weak signals that southwest WA could be slightly drier than normal in April, and southeast Qld and NSW could be slightly wetter during May, but otherwise near average.
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Popup - Daily historical
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Long range rainfall forecast
Condobolin Rain Forecast
Condobolin 28-day Rainfall ForecastSUNMONTUEWEDTHUFRISAT19
20
21
CHANCE OF RAINFALL WITHIN DISTRICTNIL < 25%LOW 25% to 50%MEDIUM 50% to 75%HIGH ≥ 75%Issued Mar19Issue Notes
The hemispheric long wave pattern has remained stable in recent weeks. There are four main troughs. Currently the most significant troughs are near the longitudes of the Indian Ocean, eastern Australia, the southeast Pacific, and the Atlantic Ocean.
Summary:
Over southern and eastern Australia the cold front events with potential to bring widespread rain are now expected about 2024-03-18, 2024-03-23 and 2024-04-05. Rain events originating in the tropics and moving south are possible about 2024-03-18, 2024-03-23 and 2024-03-28. Over Western Australia the strongest cold fronts should occur about 2024-03-18 and 2024-03-23.
Forecast ExplanationThis forecast is produced by a multi-model ensemble consisting of dynamical atmospheric models, which are forced by the latest observed atmosphere, ocean, land and ice conditions. The models are designed to simulate features of the real atmosphere, including the daily movement of long and short wave patterns in the Southern Hemisphere.
The future probability of rain in each district is estimated using output from the multi-model ensemble, combined with historical information about the difference between the model forecasts and observed rainfall.
In this deterministic framework the skill of the forecast tends to decrease with time, however the forecasts are updated daily to provide the latest estimates of rainfall probability out to 28 days.
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Past 5 Days
Condobolin Past 5 Days
This MonthMinimum Maximum Rainfall Friday
Mar 1520.0 °C 32.5 °C 0.0 mmSaturday
Mar 1615.4 °C 22.9 °C 5.6 mmSunday
Mar 1716.4 °C 29.6 °C 2.2 mmMonday
Mar 1817.1 °C 30.9 °C 0.0 mmTuesday
Mar 1918.2 °C 36.1 °C 0.0 mmLegend -
Almanac
Almanac
Condobolin minimum temp history (33.0891°S, 147.1522°E, 191m AMSL) MAXIMUM TEMPERATURE MINIMUM TEMPERATURE Hottest this month 38.5° 07/03/2024 Coldest this month 9.0° 04/03/2024 Hottest on record 40.8 13/03/1998 Coldest on record 3.9 29/03/2008 Hottest this year 42.3° 04/02/2024 Coldest this year 9.0° 04/03/2024 Long term average 29.6° Long term average 14.9° Average this month 33.8° Average this month 17.9° Hottest March On Record Avg. max. temp. 32.3° 2016 Coldest March on record Avg. min. temp. 11.7° 1994 Condobolin rainfall history (33.0891°S, 147.1522°E, 191m AMSL) RAINFALL Wettest This Month 5.6mm 16/03/2024 Total This Month 8.2mm
3.0 daysLong Term Average 42.5mm 5.6 days Wettest March on record 196.4mm 2017 Driest on record 0.2mm 2018 -
Year to Date
Condobolin Year To Date
Average Rainfall To Mar 126.4mm 16.6 day(s) Total For 2024 136.6mm 11.0 day(s) Total To This Day 2023 160.6mm 17.0 day(s) Wettest Day 29.2mm Jan 2 Lowest Temperature 9.0°C Mar 4 Highest Temperature 42.3°C Feb 4 -
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Popup - Monthly historical
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Climatology
Climate History
Condobolin Climatology
Condobolin Long-Term Averages
Long-Term Averages Jan Feb Mar Apr May Jun Jul Aug Sep Oct Nov Dec Ann Mean Max (°C) 34.5 33.0 29.6 24.8 19.7 16.0 15.3 17.4 21.5 25.5 29.2 32.1 24.9 Mean Min (°C) 19.0 18.2 14.9 9.7 5.8 3.9 2.8 3.1 5.8 9.5 13.8 16.3 10.2 Mean Rain (mm) 40.0 43.9 42.5 25.6 28.1 43.5 33.6 30.0 37.5 39.6 55.0 41.5 459.9 Mean Rain Days 6.0 5.0 5.6 4.2 6.1 9.8 10.3 7.7 6.2 6.3 7.4 5.7 80.5