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Forecast

Cobar Park (33.4699°S, 150.155°E, 941m AMSL) set as my default location ›

  1. My MLA

  2. Current condition

    TODAY
    Possible shower 11°
    possible shower
    Chance of rain: 40%
    Likely amount: < 1mm
    First
    light
    Sunrise Sunset Last light
    Sunrise Sunset
    6:36am EST 7:03am EST 5:06pm EST 5:33pm EST
    NOW
    7.2° Feels Like: 4.7°
    Relative Humidity: 86%
    Dew: 5.0°
    Wind: E 7km/h
    Gust: 7km/h
    Rainfall since 9am: 0.4mm
    Pressure:  
  3. Today Weather

    Cobar Park
    Now
    5.7°c
    Feels Like:
    2.9°
    Wind:
    ENE 9km/h
    Gusts:
    11km/h
    Humidity:
    99%
    Possible shower
     
    Min
    11°
    Max
    Today in Cobar Park
    Partly cloudy. Areas of fog in the south early this morning. Medium chance of showers about the Blue Mountains, becoming less likely this morning. Winds E/NE 15 to 20 km/h becoming light in the middle of the day. Daytime maximum temperatures between 11 and 16.
    Tomorrow
    Fog then sunny
    Min
    13°
    Max
    Partly cloudy. Fog and areas of frost in the morning. Light winds. Overnight temperatures falling to between 1 and 5 with daytime temperatures reaching between 12 and 17.
  4. Radar

  5. Popup Radar

  6. Warnings

    There are no current warnings for Cobar Park

  7. Next 48 Hours


    Next 48 Hours


  8. 7 day forecast

    Today: Partly cloudy. Areas of fog in the south early this morning. Medium chance of showers about the Blue Mountains, becoming less likely this morning. Winds E/NE 15 to 20 km/h becoming light in the middle of the day. Daytime maximum temperatures between 11 and 16.

    Forecast for Cobar Park (33.4699°S, 150.155°E, 941m AMSL)
      Wed Thu Fri Sat Sun Mon Tue
    Summary Possible shower Fog then sunny Possible shower Possible shower Mostly sunny Possible shower Mostly sunny
    Minimum
    Maximum 11° 13° 12° 13° 10° 11° 11°
    Chance of rain 40% 30% 70% 40% 60% 90% 80%
    Likely amount < 1mm < 1mm 1-5mm < 1mm 1-5mm 20-40mm 5-10mm
    UV index Moderate Moderate Low Low Low - -
    Frost risk Moderate Moderate Moderate Nil Moderate High Moderate
      9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm
    Wind speed 4
    (km/h)
    4
    (km/h)
    0
    (km/h)
    4
    (km/h)
    0
    (km/h)
    5
    (km/h)
    5
    (km/h)
    10
    (km/h)
    3
    (km/h)
    7
    (km/h)
    6
    (km/h)
    12
    (km/h)
    16
    (km/h)
    19
    (km/h)
    Wind direction E ENE NNE N NNW NNW NW NW W E S S S S
    Relative humidity 89% 71% 89% 57% 82% 75% 96% 77% 90% 69% 95% 77% 94% 83%
    Dew point 5°C 5°C 6°C 4°C 5°C 6°C 9°C 8°C 4°C 3°C 4°C 6°C 5°C 7°C
  9. 28 Day Rainfall forecast

    Cobar Park Rain Forecast


    Cobar Park 28-day Rainfall Forecast
    SUN
    MON
    TUE
    WED
    THU
    FRI
    SAT
    8
    9
    LOW
    10
    HIGH
    11
    MEDIUM
    12
    MEDIUM
    13
    HIGH
    14
    MEDIUM
    15
    16
    17
    LOW
    18
    LOW
    19
    MEDIUM
    20
    MEDIUM
    21
    22
    LOW
    23
    HIGH
    24
    MEDIUM
    25
    MEDIUM
    26
    LOW
    27
    MEDIUM
    28
    29
    LOW
    30
    31
    MEDIUM
    Aug 1
    LOW
    2
    LOW
    3
    4
    5
    CHANCE OF RAINFALL WITHIN DISTRICT
    NIL < 25%
    LOW 25% to 50%
    MEDIUM 50% to 75%
    HIGH ≥ 75%
    Issued Jul 7

    Issue Notes

    The hemispheric long wave pattern has remained stable in recent weeks. There are five main troughs. Currently the most significant troughs are near the longitudes of South Africa, the Indian Ocean, the south Pacific, the southeast Pacific, and the Atlantic Ocean.

    Summary:

    Over southern and eastern Australia the cold front events with potential to bring widespread rain are now expected about 29 July to 2 August, 2 August to 6 August, and 7 August to 11 August. Rain events originating in the tropics and moving south are possible about 5 July to 9 July. Over Western Australia the strongest cold fronts should occur about 19 July to 23 July, 28 July to 1 August, and 7 August to 11 August.

    Forecast Explanation

    This forecast is produced by a multi-model ensemble consisting of dynamical atmospheric models, which are forced by the latest observed atmosphere, ocean, land and ice conditions. The models are designed to simulate features of the real atmosphere, including the daily movement of long and short wave patterns in the Southern Hemisphere.

    The future probability of rain in each district is estimated using output from the multi-model ensemble, combined with historical information about the difference between the model forecasts and observed rainfall.

    In this deterministic framework the skill of the forecast tends to decrease with time, however the forecasts are updated daily to provide the latest estimates of rainfall probability out to 28 days.

  10. 12 Month Rainfall Forecast

    Cobar Park Rain Forecast


    Cobar Park 12-month Rainfall Forecast
    Jul
    Aug
    Sep
    Oct
    Nov
    Dec
    Jan
    Feb
    Mar
    Apr
    May
    Jun
    2020
    2021
    7
    7
    6
    7
    7
    8
    6
    10
    6
    4
    4
    7
    10
    5
    0
    1
    2 - 3
    4 - 7
    8 - 9
    10
    Well below normal
    Below normal
    Near normal
    Above normal
    Well above normal

    Issue Notes - Issued Jun 15

    ENSO status: Neutral IOD status: Neutral SAM status: Trending positive Sea surface temperatures (SSTs) across the equatorial central Pacific exhibited significant cooling over the past month, with the Nino3.4 index registering a value of -0.1in May. On the other hand, the Southern Oscillation Index (SOI) recorded a value of 2.8 during the same month. The current outlook suggests cooler than average SSTs will take hold across the equatorial Pacific Ocean during winter, potentially reaching La Nina thresholds by mid-spring. All eight international models continue to suggest a cooler side of neutral for the region throughout the remainder of the Austral winter and through spring. The current International Research Institute for Climate and Society (IRI) outlook suggests a 45:40 chance for La Nina:Neutral conditions by the end of the Austral spring. To the west of Australia, the Indian Ocean Dipole (IOD) remains neutral, normal for this time of the year. However, out of season Tropical CycloneMangga brought some significant cooling to the sea surface temperatures to the northwest of Australia late in May. This disrupted the warming trend in the region that would have led to a negative IOD by mid-winter. Nonetheless, all but one of the six main international models (BoMs outlook), continue to hint at a possible negative IOD establishing later in winter/first half of spring. In terms of precipitation across Australia, the current short-term outlook now favours below average rainfall for most of the country for the remainder of June and early July. This outlook is mainly driven by cooler SSTs across northwestern Australia, reducing the amount of available moisture in the atmosphere. As discussed earlier, tropical cyclone Mangga was a key player in the cooling of the SSTs off the northwest coast. Most models, however, are indicating a positive IOD is still on the cards later in winter and through spring, bringing a wetter outlook for most of the southern half of the country from mid-to-lateJuly. Across parts of southern Vic, NSW and Qld (east of the Great Dividing Range), southwestern WA and Tasmania, the outlook continues to favour average-to-slightly below average rainfall over the coming months as these regions transition to their ‘drier’ part of the year (eastern seaboard) or tend to be less influenced by the IOD (SW WA and Tas) but more on the phases of the Southern Annular Mode (SAM).

  11. Long range rainfall forecast

    Cobar Park Rain Forecast


    Cobar Park 28-day Rainfall Forecast
    SUN
    MON
    TUE
    WED
    THU
    FRI
    SAT
    8
    9
    LOW
    10
    HIGH
    11
    MEDIUM
    12
    MEDIUM
    13
    HIGH
    14
    MEDIUM
    15
    16
    17
    LOW
    18
    LOW
    19
    MEDIUM
    20
    MEDIUM
    21
    22
    LOW
    23
    HIGH
    24
    MEDIUM
    25
    MEDIUM
    26
    LOW
    27
    MEDIUM
    28
    29
    LOW
    30
    31
    MEDIUM
    Aug 1
    LOW
    2
    LOW
    3
    4
    5
    CHANCE OF RAINFALL WITHIN DISTRICT
    NIL < 25%
    LOW 25% to 50%
    MEDIUM 50% to 75%
    HIGH ≥ 75%
    Issued Jul 7

    Issue Notes

    The hemispheric long wave pattern has remained stable in recent weeks. There are five main troughs. Currently the most significant troughs are near the longitudes of South Africa, the Indian Ocean, the south Pacific, the southeast Pacific, and the Atlantic Ocean.

    Summary:

    Over southern and eastern Australia the cold front events with potential to bring widespread rain are now expected about 29 July to 2 August, 2 August to 6 August, and 7 August to 11 August. Rain events originating in the tropics and moving south are possible about 5 July to 9 July. Over Western Australia the strongest cold fronts should occur about 19 July to 23 July, 28 July to 1 August, and 7 August to 11 August.

    Forecast Explanation

    This forecast is produced by a multi-model ensemble consisting of dynamical atmospheric models, which are forced by the latest observed atmosphere, ocean, land and ice conditions. The models are designed to simulate features of the real atmosphere, including the daily movement of long and short wave patterns in the Southern Hemisphere.

    The future probability of rain in each district is estimated using output from the multi-model ensemble, combined with historical information about the difference between the model forecasts and observed rainfall.

    In this deterministic framework the skill of the forecast tends to decrease with time, however the forecasts are updated daily to provide the latest estimates of rainfall probability out to 28 days.

  12. Popup - Daily historical

  13. Past 5 Days

    Cobar Park Past 5 Days

    This Month
    Minimum Maximum Rainfall
    Saturday
    Jul 04
    2.0 °C 8.0 °C
    0.5 mm
    Sunday
    Jul 05
    2.6 °C 8.7 °C
    0.0 mm
    Monday
    Jul 06
    -3.8 °C 13.4 °C
    0.1 mm
    Tuesday
    Jul 07
    -1.4 °C -
    0.1 mm
    Wednesday
    Jul 08
    - -
    0.4 mm
    Legend
  14. Almanac

    Almanac


    Cobar Park minimum temp history (33.4699°S, 150.155°E, 941m AMSL)
    MAXIMUM TEMPERATURE MINIMUM TEMPERATURE
    Hottest this month 14.8° 02/07/2020 Coldest this month -3.8° 06/07/2020
    Hottest on record 17.8 22/07/2009 Coldest on record -7.0 13/07/2006
    Hottest this year 38.9° 04/01/2020 Coldest this year -4.1° 06/06/2020
    Long term average 10.6° Long term average 1.1°
    Average this month 11.1° Average this month 1.6°
    Hottest July On Record Avg. max. temp. 12.5° 2013 Coldest July on record Avg. min. temp. -0.4° 2008
    Cobar Park rainfall history (33.4699°S, 150.155°E, 941m AMSL)
    RAINFALL
    Wettest This Month 0.5mm 04/07/2020 Total This Month 0.8mm
    4.0 days
    Long Term Average 62.1mm 12.1 days Wettest July on record 319.0mm 1904
    Driest on record 0.0mm 1882
  15. Popup - Radar

    Weather Radar for NSW/ACT

  16. Year to Date

    Cobar Park Year To Date

    Average Rainfall To Jul 477.3mm 76.6 day(s)
    Total For 2020 524.4mm 106.0 day(s)
    Total To This Day 2019 347.5mm 101.0 day(s)
    Wettest Day 51.0mm Feb10
    Lowest Temperature -4.1°C Jun 6
    Highest Temperature 38.9°C Jan 4
  17. Popup - Monthly historical

  18. Climatology

    Climate History

    Cobar Park Climatology

    Long-Term Averages
    Jan Feb Mar Apr May Jun Jul Aug Sep Oct Nov Dec Ann
    Mean Max (°C) 26.2 24.4 22.2 18.2 14.9 11.1 10.6 12.6 16.2 19.7 22.8 24.1 18.6
    Mean Min (°C) 13.4 13.1 10.9 7.2 3.3 2.4 1.1 1.5 3.8 6.2 9.7 11.3 7.0
    Mean Rain (mm) 82.4 80.9 72.3 57.2 49.6 72.8 62.1 55.9 55.1 61.4 62.5 77.0 791.4
    Mean Rain Days 9.4 9.9 10.8 10.3 11.1 13.0 12.1 11.8 9.6 9.5 8.7 9.3 117.4