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Forecast

Chilcotts Creek (31.6657°S, 150.8288°E, 583m AMSL) set as my default location ›

  1. My MLA

  2. Current condition

    TODAY
    Late shower 21° 28°
    late shower
    Chance of rain: 60%
    Likely amount: < 1mm
    First
    light
    Sunrise Sunset Last light
    Sunrise Sunset
    5:50am EDT 6:17am EDT 8:02pm EDT 8:28pm EDT
    NOW
    26.8° Feels Like: 23.8°
    Relative Humidity: 46%
    Dew: 14.2°
    Wind: NW 22km/h
    Gust: 28km/h
    Rainfall since 9am: 0.0mm
    Pressure: 1012.4hPa
  3. Today Weather

    Chilcotts Creek
    Now
    27.0°c
    Feels Like:
    26.0°
    Wind:
    S 22km/h
    Gusts:
    26km/h
    Humidity:
    62%
    Late shower
     
    21°
    Min
    28°
    Max
    Today in Chilcotts Creek
    Hot. Partly cloudy. Slight chance of a shower or thunderstorm, most likely this afternoon. Winds N/NE 15 to 25 km/h becoming light in the early afternoon then becoming E/SE 20 to 30 km/h in the evening. Daytime maximum temperatures 32 to 39.
    Tomorrow
    Possible shower
    17°
    Min
    21°
    Max
    Partly cloudy. Slight chance of a shower on the S slopes, near zero chance elsewhere. Winds NE/SE 20 to 30 km/h. Overnight temperatures falling to between 18 and 24 with daytime temperatures reaching 29 to 37.
  4. Radar

  5. Popup Radar

  6. Warnings

    There are no current warnings for Chilcotts Creek

  7. Next 48 Hours


    Next 48 Hours


  8. 7 day forecast

    Today: Hot. Partly cloudy. Slight chance of a shower or thunderstorm, most likely this afternoon. Winds N/NE 15 to 25 km/h becoming light in the early afternoon then becoming E/SE 20 to 30 km/h in the evening. Daytime maximum temperatures 32 to 39.

    Forecast for Chilcotts Creek (31.6657°S, 150.8288°E, 583m AMSL)
      Wed Thu Fri Sat Sun Mon Tue
    Summary Late shower Possible shower Late shower Late shower Late shower Late shower Possible shower
    Minimum 21° 17° 16° 16° 17° 17° 16°
    Maximum 28° 21° 25° 27° 28° 28° 27°
    Chance of rain 60% 70% 60% 70% 60% 50% 80%
    Likely amount < 1mm 1-5mm < 1mm < 1mm 1-5mm 1-5mm 5-10mm
    UV index Extreme Extreme Extreme Extreme - - -
    Frost risk Nil Nil Nil Nil Nil Nil Nil
      9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm
    Wind speed 24
    (km/h)
    30
    (km/h)
    34
    (km/h)
    32
    (km/h)
    24
    (km/h)
    23
    (km/h)
    20
    (km/h)
    17
    (km/h)
    21
    (km/h)
    25
    (km/h)
    21
    (km/h)
    19
    (km/h)
    27
    (km/h)
    22
    (km/h)
    Wind direction SW S S S SSE SE NNE WSW NW S SSE SSE NNW NW
    Relative humidity 47% 61% 96% 87% 91% 67% 78% 52% 73% 55% 81% 48% 77% 60%
    Dew point 14°C 18°C 17°C 17°C 16°C 17°C 16°C 15°C 16°C 17°C 16°C 15°C 15°C 17°C
  9. 28 Day Rainfall forecast

    Chilcotts Creek Rain Forecast


    Chilcotts Creek 28-day Rainfall Forecast
    SUN
    MON
    TUE
    WED
    THU
    FRI
    SAT
    27
    28
    LOW
    29
    30
    31
    LOW
    Feb 1
    LOW
    2
    MEDIUM
    3
    4
    5
    6
    7
    8
    LOW
    9
    10
    11
    12
    13
    14
    15
    LOW
    16
    17
    18
    19
    20
    21
    22
    LOW
    23
    LOW
    24
    CHANCE OF RAINFALL WITHIN DISTRICT
    NIL < 25%
    LOW 25% to 50%
    MEDIUM 50% to 75%
    HIGH ≥ 75%
    Issued Jan27

    Issue Notes

    The hemispheric long wave pattern has remained stable in recent weeks. There are five main troughs. Currently the most significant troughs are near the longitudes of South Africa, the southwest Indian Ocean, Western Australia, eastern Australia, the south Pacific, and South America.

    Summary:

    Over southern and eastern Australia the cold front events with potential to bring widespread rain are now expected about 3 February to 7 February, 12 February to 16 February, and 21 February to 25 February. Rain events originating in the tropics and moving south are possible about 27 February to 3 March. Over Western Australia the strongest cold fronts should occur about 3 February to 7 February, 12 February to 16 February, and 19 February to 23 February.

    Forecast Explanation

    This forecast is produced by a multi-model ensemble consisting of dynamical atmospheric models, which are forced by the latest observed atmosphere, ocean, land and ice conditions. The models are designed to simulate features of the real atmosphere, including the daily movement of long and short wave patterns in the Southern Hemisphere.

    The future probability of rain in each district is estimated using output from the multi-model ensemble, combined with historical information about the difference between the model forecasts and observed rainfall.

    In this deterministic framework the skill of the forecast tends to decrease with time, however the forecasts are updated daily to provide the latest estimates of rainfall probability out to 28 days.

  10. 12 Month Rainfall Forecast

    Chilcotts Creek Rain Forecast


    Chilcotts Creek 12-month Rainfall Forecast
    Jan
    Feb
    Mar
    Apr
    May
    Jun
    Jul
    Aug
    Sep
    Oct
    Nov
    Dec
    2021
    8
    8
    7
    8
    7
    7
    8
    4
    6
    5
    6
    7
    10
    5
    0
    1
    2 - 3
    4 - 7
    8 - 9
    10
    Well below normal
    Below normal
    Near normal
    Above normal
    Well above normal

    Issue Notes - Issued Jan 7

    ENSO status: La Niña IOD status: Neutral SAM status: Positive La Niña is likely at its peak which has brought long periods of cloud and rain to eastern and northern Australia.The majority of models predict that La Niña will continue through February, with 3 of 8 predicting to March and most of the models indicating a return to neutral conditions (neither El Niño nor La Niña) in April. Neutral conditions are predicted to continue into the Australian winter. La Nina typically brings above normal rainfall across much of Australia. While La Niña is expected to weaken, above normal rainfall and typical La Niña impacts are still expected. La Niña typically favours periods of positive SAM, which can increase the amount of precipitation along the eastern half of the country, due to prevailing onshore winds. During summer, much of the country is likely to remain wetter than normal, however normal rainfall is expected for western TAS. La Niña typically increases the number of cyclones and brought anearly start to the wet season. During Autumn, many parts of Australia are likely to be wetter than normal, due to warmer waters off the northeast coast of Australia. Southern parts of SA, VIC and most of TAS are likely to observe normal precipitation for the time of year.

  11. Long range rainfall forecast

    Chilcotts Creek Rain Forecast


    Chilcotts Creek 28-day Rainfall Forecast
    SUN
    MON
    TUE
    WED
    THU
    FRI
    SAT
    27
    28
    LOW
    29
    30
    31
    LOW
    Feb 1
    LOW
    2
    MEDIUM
    3
    4
    5
    6
    7
    8
    LOW
    9
    10
    11
    12
    13
    14
    15
    LOW
    16
    17
    18
    19
    20
    21
    22
    LOW
    23
    LOW
    24
    CHANCE OF RAINFALL WITHIN DISTRICT
    NIL < 25%
    LOW 25% to 50%
    MEDIUM 50% to 75%
    HIGH ≥ 75%
    Issued Jan27

    Issue Notes

    The hemispheric long wave pattern has remained stable in recent weeks. There are five main troughs. Currently the most significant troughs are near the longitudes of South Africa, the southwest Indian Ocean, Western Australia, eastern Australia, the south Pacific, and South America.

    Summary:

    Over southern and eastern Australia the cold front events with potential to bring widespread rain are now expected about 3 February to 7 February, 12 February to 16 February, and 21 February to 25 February. Rain events originating in the tropics and moving south are possible about 27 February to 3 March. Over Western Australia the strongest cold fronts should occur about 3 February to 7 February, 12 February to 16 February, and 19 February to 23 February.

    Forecast Explanation

    This forecast is produced by a multi-model ensemble consisting of dynamical atmospheric models, which are forced by the latest observed atmosphere, ocean, land and ice conditions. The models are designed to simulate features of the real atmosphere, including the daily movement of long and short wave patterns in the Southern Hemisphere.

    The future probability of rain in each district is estimated using output from the multi-model ensemble, combined with historical information about the difference between the model forecasts and observed rainfall.

    In this deterministic framework the skill of the forecast tends to decrease with time, however the forecasts are updated daily to provide the latest estimates of rainfall probability out to 28 days.

  12. Popup - Daily historical

  13. Past 5 Days

    Chilcotts Creek Past 5 Days

    This Month
    Minimum Maximum Rainfall
    Saturday
    Jan 23
    18.0 °C 32.3 °C
    0.0 mm
    Sunday
    Jan 24
    19.5 °C 32.5 °C
    0.2 mm
    Monday
    Jan 25
    19.9 °C 31.5 °C
    0.0 mm
    Tuesday
    Jan 26
    20.6 °C 31.2 °C
    0.0 mm
    Wednesday
    Jan 27
    23.3 °C 26.9 °C
    0.0 mm
    Legend
  14. Almanac

    Almanac


    Chilcotts Creek minimum temp history (31.6657°S, 150.8288°E, 583m AMSL)
    MAXIMUM TEMPERATURE MINIMUM TEMPERATURE
    Hottest this month 32.5° 24/01/2021 Coldest this month 10.8° 21/01/2021
    Hottest on record 38.3 12/01/2013 Coldest on record 8.7 13/01/2012
    Hottest this year 32.5° 24/01/2021 Coldest this year 10.8° 21/01/2021
    Long term average 28.8° Long term average 16.8°
    Average this month 25.8° Average this month 14.9°
    Hottest January On Record Avg. max. temp. 30.3° 2014 Coldest January on record Avg. min. temp. 14.7° 2012
    Chilcotts Creek rainfall history (31.6657°S, 150.8288°E, 583m AMSL)
    RAINFALL
    Wettest This Month 47.4mm 05/01/2021 Total This Month 55.2mm
    7.0 days
    Long Term Average 66.3mm 8.3 days Wettest January on record 163.8mm 2013
    Driest on record 13.8mm 2014
  15. Popup - Radar

    Weather Radar for Australia

  16. Year to Date

    Chilcotts Creek Year To Date

    Average Rainfall To Jan 66.3mm 8.3 day(s)
    Total For 2021 55.2mm 7.0 day(s)
    Total To This Day 2020 88.8mm 7.0 day(s)
    Wettest Day 47.4mm Jan 5
    Lowest Temperature 10.8°C Jan21
    Highest Temperature 32.5°C Jan24
  17. Popup - Monthly historical

  18. Climatology

    Climate History

    Chilcotts Creek Climatology

    Long-Term Averages
    Jan Feb Mar Apr May Jun Jul Aug Sep Oct Nov Dec Ann
    Mean Max (°C) 28.8 27.4 24.5 21.0 16.7 12.9 12.6 14.6 18.4 21.8 24.7 26.7 20.8
    Mean Min (°C) 16.8 15.8 14.2 11.3 8.2 6.0 4.9 5.7 8.6 11.0 13.2 14.9 10.9
    Mean Rain (mm) 66.3 72.8 75.1 33.9 35.4 69.4 46.6 38.5 43.5 52.6 78.6 85.3 707.3
    Mean Rain Days 8.3 8.4 9.6 8.4 8.4 14.4 10.9 8.3 6.9 8.6 9.4 10.6 112.3