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Forecast

Cessnock (32.8329°S, 151.354°E, 65m AMSL) set as my default location ›

  1. My MLA

  2. Current condition

    TOMORROW
    Sunny 13° 30°
    Chance of rain: 5%
    Likely amount: < 1mm
    First
    light
    Sunrise Sunset Last light
    Sunrise Sunset
    5:36am EDT 6:03am EDT 8:06pm EDT 8:33pm EDT
    NOW
    21.4° Feels Like: 19.7°
    Relative Humidity: 44%
    Dew: 8.7°
    Wind: E 7km/h
    Gust: 7km/h
    Rainfall since 9am: 0.0mm
    Pressure: 1009.2hPa
  3. Today Weather

    Cessnock
    Now
    21.3°c
    Feels Like:
    18.3°
    Wind:
    SE 15km/h
    Gusts:
    20km/h
    Humidity:
    46%
    Sunny
     
    13°
    Min
    30°
    Max
    Today in Cessnock
    Sunny. Winds NW/SW 15 to 20 km/h tending SE in the late afternoon then tending NE/SE in the evening. Overnight temperatures falling to around 13 with daytime temperatures reaching around 30.
    Tomorrow
    Sunny
    13°
    Min
    30°
    Max
    Mostly sunny. Light winds. Overnight temperatures falling to between 13 and 16 with daytime temperatures reaching 29 to 34.
  4. Radar

  5. Popup Radar

  6. Warnings

    There are no current warnings for Cessnock

  7. Next 48 Hours


    Next 48 Hours


  8. 7 day forecast

    Today: Sunny. Winds NW/SW 15 to 20 km/h tending SE in the late afternoon then tending NE/SE in the evening. Overnight temperatures falling to around 13 with daytime temperatures reaching around 30.

    Forecast for Cessnock (32.8329°S, 151.354°E, 65m AMSL)
      Sun Mon Tue Wed Thu Fri Sat
    Summary Sunny Mostly sunny Possible shower Cloudy Sunny Mostly sunny Mostly sunny
    Minimum 13° 16° 18° 16° 14° 18° 18°
    Maximum 30° 33° 25° 24° 31° 34° 37°
    Chance of rain 5% 30% 80% 10% 40% 60% 50%
    Likely amount < 1mm < 1mm 1-5mm < 1mm < 1mm < 1mm < 1mm
    UV index Extreme Extreme Extreme - - - -
    Frost risk Nil Nil Nil Nil Nil Nil Nil
      9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm
    Wind speed 7
    (km/h)
    8
    (km/h)
    4
    (km/h)
    10
    (km/h)
    15
    (km/h)
    21
    (km/h)
    12
    (km/h)
    18
    (km/h)
    6
    (km/h)
    11
    (km/h)
    11
    (km/h)
    11
    (km/h)
    7
    (km/h)
    11
    (km/h)
    Wind direction WNW S WNW NNW SSW S SSE SE ENE ENE NW NNW NW E
    Relative humidity 48% 31% 69% 35% 67% 61% 63% 52% 61% 39% 63% 38% 60% 36%
    Dew point 10°C 10°C 17°C 14°C 17°C 15°C 14°C 12°C 14°C 14°C 18°C 17°C 18°C 18°C
  9. 28 Day Rainfall forecast

    Cessnock Rain Forecast


    Cessnock 28-day Rainfall Forecast
    SUN
    MON
    TUE
    WED
    THU
    FRI
    SAT
    16
    17
    18
    LOW
    19
    MEDIUM
    20
    21
    LOW
    22
    MEDIUM
    23
    LOW
    24
    25
    26
    27
    LOW
    28
    LOW
    29
    30
    LOW
    31
    Feb 1
    2
    3
    4
    5
    LOW
    6
    LOW
    7
    8
    MEDIUM
    9
    LOW
    10
    LOW
    11
    HIGH
    12
    MEDIUM
    13
    LOW
    CHANCE OF RAINFALL WITHIN DISTRICT
    NIL < 25%
    LOW 25% to 50%
    MEDIUM 50% to 75%
    HIGH ≥ 75%
    Issued Jan16

    Issue Notes

    The hemispheric long wave pattern has been relatively slow moving in recent weeks. There are six main troughs. Currently the most significant troughs are near the longitudes of South Africa, the southwest Indian Ocean, Western Australia, eastern Australia, and the southeast Pacific.

    Summary:

    Over southern and eastern Australia the cold front events with potential to bring widespread rain are now expected about 27 January to 31 January, 7 February to 11 February, and 19 February to 23 February. Rain events originating in the tropics and moving south are possible about 10 February to 14 February. Over Western Australia the strongest cold fronts should occur about 1 February to 5 February, 7 February to 11 February, and 19 February to 23 February.

    Forecast Explanation

    This forecast is produced by a multi-model ensemble consisting of dynamical atmospheric models, which are forced by the latest observed atmosphere, ocean, land and ice conditions. The models are designed to simulate features of the real atmosphere, including the daily movement of long and short wave patterns in the Southern Hemisphere.

    The future probability of rain in each district is estimated using output from the multi-model ensemble, combined with historical information about the difference between the model forecasts and observed rainfall.

    In this deterministic framework the skill of the forecast tends to decrease with time, however the forecasts are updated daily to provide the latest estimates of rainfall probability out to 28 days.

  10. 12 Month Rainfall Forecast

    Cessnock Rain Forecast


    Cessnock 12-month Rainfall Forecast
    Jan
    Feb
    Mar
    Apr
    May
    Jun
    Jul
    Aug
    Sep
    Oct
    Nov
    Dec
    2021
    9
    8
    7
    8
    8
    6
    9
    5
    6
    4
    7
    5
    10
    5
    0
    1
    2 - 3
    4 - 7
    8 - 9
    10
    Well below normal
    Below normal
    Near normal
    Above normal
    Well above normal

    Issue Notes - Issued Jan 7

    ENSO status: La Niña IOD status: Neutral SAM status: Positive La Niña is likely at its peak which has brought long periods of cloud and rain to eastern and northern Australia.The majority of models predict that La Niña will continue through February, with 3 of 8 predicting to March and most of the models indicating a return to neutral conditions (neither El Niño nor La Niña) in April. Neutral conditions are predicted to continue into the Australian winter. La Nina typically brings above normal rainfall across much of Australia. While La Niña is expected to weaken, above normal rainfall and typical La Niña impacts are still expected. La Niña typically favours periods of positive SAM, which can increase the amount of precipitation along the eastern half of the country, due to prevailing onshore winds. During summer, much of the country is likely to remain wetter than normal, however normal rainfall is expected for western TAS. La Niña typically increases the number of cyclones and brought anearly start to the wet season. During Autumn, many parts of Australia are likely to be wetter than normal, due to warmer waters off the northeast coast of Australia. Southern parts of SA, VIC and most of TAS are likely to observe normal precipitation for the time of year.

  11. Long range rainfall forecast

    Cessnock Rain Forecast


    Cessnock 28-day Rainfall Forecast
    SUN
    MON
    TUE
    WED
    THU
    FRI
    SAT
    16
    17
    18
    LOW
    19
    MEDIUM
    20
    21
    LOW
    22
    MEDIUM
    23
    LOW
    24
    25
    26
    27
    LOW
    28
    LOW
    29
    30
    LOW
    31
    Feb 1
    2
    3
    4
    5
    LOW
    6
    LOW
    7
    8
    MEDIUM
    9
    LOW
    10
    LOW
    11
    HIGH
    12
    MEDIUM
    13
    LOW
    CHANCE OF RAINFALL WITHIN DISTRICT
    NIL < 25%
    LOW 25% to 50%
    MEDIUM 50% to 75%
    HIGH ≥ 75%
    Issued Jan16

    Issue Notes

    The hemispheric long wave pattern has been relatively slow moving in recent weeks. There are six main troughs. Currently the most significant troughs are near the longitudes of South Africa, the southwest Indian Ocean, Western Australia, eastern Australia, and the southeast Pacific.

    Summary:

    Over southern and eastern Australia the cold front events with potential to bring widespread rain are now expected about 27 January to 31 January, 7 February to 11 February, and 19 February to 23 February. Rain events originating in the tropics and moving south are possible about 10 February to 14 February. Over Western Australia the strongest cold fronts should occur about 1 February to 5 February, 7 February to 11 February, and 19 February to 23 February.

    Forecast Explanation

    This forecast is produced by a multi-model ensemble consisting of dynamical atmospheric models, which are forced by the latest observed atmosphere, ocean, land and ice conditions. The models are designed to simulate features of the real atmosphere, including the daily movement of long and short wave patterns in the Southern Hemisphere.

    The future probability of rain in each district is estimated using output from the multi-model ensemble, combined with historical information about the difference between the model forecasts and observed rainfall.

    In this deterministic framework the skill of the forecast tends to decrease with time, however the forecasts are updated daily to provide the latest estimates of rainfall probability out to 28 days.

  12. Popup - Daily historical

  13. Past 5 Days

    Cessnock Past 5 Days

    This Month
    Minimum Maximum Rainfall
    Tuesday
    Jan 12
    13.9 °C 32.1 °C
    0.0 mm
    Wednesday
    Jan 13
    15.8 °C 30.0 °C
    0.0 mm
    Thursday
    Jan 14
    16.4 °C 35.6 °C
    0.0 mm
    Friday
    Jan 15
    20.8 °C 33.4 °C
    0.0 mm
    Saturday
    Jan 16
    11.3 °C 29.2 °C
    0.0 mm
    Legend
  14. Almanac

    Almanac


    Cessnock minimum temp history (32.8329°S, 151.354°E, 65m AMSL)
    MAXIMUM TEMPERATURE MINIMUM TEMPERATURE
    Hottest this month 35.6° 14/01/2021 Coldest this month 11.3° 16/01/2021
    Hottest on record 45.0 18/01/2013 Coldest on record 6.1 01/01/1972
    Hottest this year 35.6° 14/01/2021 Coldest this year 11.3° 16/01/2021
    Long term average 30.2° Long term average 16.9°
    Average this month 27.9° Average this month 16.2°
    Hottest January On Record Avg. max. temp. 33.3° 1969 Coldest January on record Avg. min. temp. 14.3° 1972
    Cessnock rainfall history (32.8329°S, 151.354°E, 65m AMSL)
    RAINFALL
    Wettest This Month 25.4mm 05/01/2021 Total This Month 40.4mm
    7.0 days
    Long Term Average 83.9mm 10.0 days Wettest January on record 302.8mm 2016
    Driest on record 2.6mm 2009
  15. Popup - Radar

    Weather Radar for Australia

  16. Year to Date

    Cessnock Year To Date

    Average Rainfall To Jan 83.9mm 10.0 day(s)
    Total For 2021 40.4mm 7.0 day(s)
    Total To This Day 2020 959.6mm 126.0 day(s)
    Wettest Day 25.4mm Jan 5
    Lowest Temperature 11.3°C Jan16
    Highest Temperature 35.6°C Jan14
  17. Popup - Monthly historical

  18. Climatology

    Climate History

    Cessnock Climatology

    Long-Term Averages
    Jan Feb Mar Apr May Jun Jul Aug Sep Oct Nov Dec Ann
    Mean Max (°C) 30.2 29.2 27.3 24.2 20.7 17.8 17.3 19.4 22.5 25.3 27.0 28.9 24.2
    Mean Min (°C) 16.9 16.9 14.8 10.6 7.5 5.8 4.2 4.5 7.1 9.7 13.2 15.1 10.5
    Mean Rain (mm) 83.9 101.6 75.9 57.3 42.6 60.4 30.2 36.0 47.7 53.1 77.3 83.9 746.9
    Mean Rain Days 10.0 10.8 10.0 9.7 9.3 9.6 8.4 8.0 8.0 9.6 10.1 10.6 103.9