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Forecast

Cathcart (36.8437°S, 149.3883°E, 793m AMSL) set as my default location ›

  1. My MLA

  2. Current condition

    TODAY
    Mostly sunny 22°
    mostly sunny
    Chance of rain: 5%
    Likely amount: < 1mm
    First
    light
    Sunrise Sunset Last light
    Sunrise Sunset
    5:17am EDT 5:46am EDT 7:49pm EDT 8:18pm EDT
    NOW
    18.6° Feels Like: 14.2°
    Relative Humidity: 47%
    Dew: 7.3°
    Wind: SSE 19km/h
    Gust: 20km/h
    Rainfall since 9am: 0.0mm
    Pressure:  
  3. Today Weather

    Cathcart
    Now
    17.3°c
    Feels Like:
    17.3°
    Wind:
    CAL 0km/h
    Gusts:
    0km/h
    Humidity:
    61%
    Mostly sunny
     
    Min
    22°
    Max
    Today in Cathcart
    Mostly sunny. Slight chance of a shower about the alpine peaks in the morning. Winds W 25 to 35 km/h.
    Tomorrow
    Late shower
    Min
    23°
    Max
    Mostly sunny. Slight chance of a shower in the southeast in the late afternoon and evening. Near zero chance of rain elsewhere. Winds W/NW 25 to 35 km/h becoming W 30 to 45 km/h in the morning.
  4. Radar

  5. Popup Radar

  6. Warnings

    There are no current warnings for Cathcart

  7. Next 48 Hours


    Next 48 Hours


  8. 7 day forecast

    Today: Mostly sunny. Slight chance of a shower about the alpine peaks in the morning. Winds W 25 to 35 km/h.

    Forecast for Cathcart (36.8437°S, 149.3883°E, 793m AMSL)
      Thu Fri Sat Sun Mon Tue Wed
    Summary Mostly sunny Late shower Mostly sunny Mostly sunny Late shower Mostly sunny Mostly cloudy
    Minimum
    Maximum 22° 23° 20° 18° 25° 29° 27°
    Chance of rain 5% 50% 30% 30% 40% 5% 10%
    Likely amount < 1mm < 1mm < 1mm < 1mm < 1mm < 1mm < 1mm
    UV index Very High Very High Very High Very High Extreme - -
    Frost risk Nil Nil Slight Slight Slight Nil Nil
      9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm
    Wind speed 17
    (km/h)
    22
    (km/h)
    20
    (km/h)
    25
    (km/h)
    16
    (km/h)
    20
    (km/h)
    13
    (km/h)
    18
    (km/h)
    12
    (km/h)
    16
    (km/h)
    17
    (km/h)
    21
    (km/h)
    9
    (km/h)
    20
    (km/h)
    Wind direction WNW W WNW W W WSW WSW SW NW WSW WNW WSW NNE ENE
    Relative humidity 61% 36% 53% 26% 61% 30% 69% 35% 62% 27% 39% 25% 67% 39%
    Dew point 6°C 7°C 5°C 3°C 3°C 2°C 4°C 3°C 6°C 5°C 6°C 7°C 10°C 11°C
  9. 28 Day Rainfall forecast

    Cathcart Rain Forecast


    Cathcart 28-day Rainfall Forecast
    SUN
    MON
    TUE
    WED
    THU
    FRI
    SAT
    14
    15
    16
    LOW
    17
    LOW
    18
    LOW
    19
    20
    21
    22
    23
    LOW
    24
    LOW
    25
    26
    LOW
    27
    LOW
    28
    29
    30
    LOW
    Dec 1
    HIGH
    2
    LOW
    3
    LOW
    4
    LOW
    5
    6
    7
    LOW
    8
    9
    10
    LOW
    11
    12
    LOW
    CHANCE OF RAINFALL WITHIN DISTRICT
    NIL < 25%
    LOW 25% to 50%
    MEDIUM 50% to 75%
    HIGH ≥ 75%
    Issued Nov14

    Issue Notes

    The hemispheric long wave pattern has been relatively slow moving in recent weeks. There are four main troughs. Currently the most significant troughs are near the longitudes of South Africa, the Indian Ocean, Western Australia, and the southeast Pacific.

    Summary:

    Over southern and eastern Australia the cold front events with potential to bring widespread rain are now expected about 21 November to 25 November, 28 November to 2 December, and 5 December to 9 December. Rain events originating in the tropics and moving south are possible about 21 November to 25 November, 25 November to 29 November, and 30 November to 4 December. Over Western Australia the strongest cold fronts should occur about 21 November to 25 November, 29 November to 3 December, and 5 December to 9 December.

    Forecast Explanation

    This forecast is produced by a multi-model ensemble consisting of dynamical atmospheric models, which are forced by the latest observed atmosphere, ocean, land and ice conditions. The models are designed to simulate features of the real atmosphere, including the daily movement of long and short wave patterns in the Southern Hemisphere.

    The future probability of rain in each district is estimated using output from the multi-model ensemble, combined with historical information about the difference between the model forecasts and observed rainfall.

    In this deterministic framework the skill of the forecast tends to decrease with time, however the forecasts are updated daily to provide the latest estimates of rainfall probability out to 28 days.

  10. 12 Month Rainfall Forecast

    Cathcart Rain Forecast


    Cathcart 12-month Rainfall Forecast
    Nov
    Dec
    Jan
    Feb
    Mar
    Apr
    May
    Jun
    Jul
    Aug
    Sep
    Oct
    2019
    2020
    3
    4
    7
    5
    5
    7
    7
    8
    6
    4
    4
    3
    10
    5
    0
    1
    2 - 3
    4 - 7
    8 - 9
    10
    Well below normal
    Below normal
    Near normal
    Above normal
    Well above normal

    Issue Notes - Issued Nov 8

    ENSO status: Neutral IOD status: Positive Sea surface temperatures (SSTs) across the equatorial central Pacific warmed up slightly over the past few weeks. As a reflection, the Nino3.4 index lingered between 0.5 and 0.7 throughout the month of October. The Southern Oscillation Index (SOI) recorded a value of -5.6 during the past month. The current outlook consensus suggests warmer than average SSTs will persist across the equatorial Pacific Ocean through the coming months, but remaining within neutral values. Five out of eight international models maintain a warmer than average Pacific Ocean through the end of 2019 and first quarter of 2020, however, none of these reaching El Nino thresholds. The IRI ENSO forecast continues to suggest less than 40% of another El Nino developing over the next 12 months, with a neutral ENSO the most likely outcome. To the west of Australia, the Indian Ocean Dipole (IOD) remains strongly positive, with the highest positive value since the early 2000s. All six international models maintain a strong positive event until December. In terms of rainfall, there is little variation to the outlook issued last month. The climate outlook for October continues to favour below average rainfall for most of Australia, in particular the eastern half of the continent. During Positive IODs, central and southeastern Australia tend to see a reduction in rainfall during spring, due to a reduction of moisture streaming from the northwest. For northern Australia, the current outlook is for a late onset of the wet season across the Northern Territory and Queensland. Thus far, Darwin and South Eastern Qld have seen the onset of the wet season this year though a week later than usual. Further south, a negative trend in the Southern Annular Mode (SAM) will continue to enhance frontal activity over the far south during October and early. This is likely to offset the Positive IOD in far southern Victoria and western Tasmania, which could see average-to-above average rainfall during October and early December. Looking further ahead, with no significant signature from ENSO, there are no significant climate drivers tilting the balance towards a drier or wetter summer. The current outlook suggest neutral odds.

  11. Long range rainfall forecast

    Cathcart Rain Forecast


    Cathcart 28-day Rainfall Forecast
    SUN
    MON
    TUE
    WED
    THU
    FRI
    SAT
    14
    15
    16
    LOW
    17
    LOW
    18
    LOW
    19
    20
    21
    22
    23
    LOW
    24
    LOW
    25
    26
    LOW
    27
    LOW
    28
    29
    30
    LOW
    Dec 1
    HIGH
    2
    LOW
    3
    LOW
    4
    LOW
    5
    6
    7
    LOW
    8
    9
    10
    LOW
    11
    12
    LOW
    CHANCE OF RAINFALL WITHIN DISTRICT
    NIL < 25%
    LOW 25% to 50%
    MEDIUM 50% to 75%
    HIGH ≥ 75%
    Issued Nov14

    Issue Notes

    The hemispheric long wave pattern has been relatively slow moving in recent weeks. There are four main troughs. Currently the most significant troughs are near the longitudes of South Africa, the Indian Ocean, Western Australia, and the southeast Pacific.

    Summary:

    Over southern and eastern Australia the cold front events with potential to bring widespread rain are now expected about 21 November to 25 November, 28 November to 2 December, and 5 December to 9 December. Rain events originating in the tropics and moving south are possible about 21 November to 25 November, 25 November to 29 November, and 30 November to 4 December. Over Western Australia the strongest cold fronts should occur about 21 November to 25 November, 29 November to 3 December, and 5 December to 9 December.

    Forecast Explanation

    This forecast is produced by a multi-model ensemble consisting of dynamical atmospheric models, which are forced by the latest observed atmosphere, ocean, land and ice conditions. The models are designed to simulate features of the real atmosphere, including the daily movement of long and short wave patterns in the Southern Hemisphere.

    The future probability of rain in each district is estimated using output from the multi-model ensemble, combined with historical information about the difference between the model forecasts and observed rainfall.

    In this deterministic framework the skill of the forecast tends to decrease with time, however the forecasts are updated daily to provide the latest estimates of rainfall probability out to 28 days.

  12. Popup - Daily historical

  13. Past 5 Days

    Cathcart Past 5 Days

    This Month
    Minimum Maximum Rainfall
    Sunday
    Nov 10
    6.0 °C 15.0 °C
    1.0 mm
    Monday
    Nov 11
    2.0 °C 27.4 °C
    0.0 mm
    Tuesday
    Nov 12
    12.0 °C 25.5 °C
    0.0 mm
    Wednesday
    Nov 13
    2.3 °C 20.8 °C
    0.0 mm
    Thursday
    Nov 14
    7.4 °C -
    0.0 mm
    Legend
  14. Almanac

    Almanac


    Cathcart minimum temp history (36.8437°S, 149.3883°E, 793m AMSL)
    MAXIMUM TEMPERATURE MINIMUM TEMPERATURE
    Hottest this month 32.8° 01/11/2019 Coldest this month 2.0° 11/11/2019
    Hottest on record 36.9 26/11/1997 Coldest on record -3.6 28/11/1986
    Hottest this year 39.5° 15/01/2019 Coldest this year -7.0° 24/08/2019
    Long term average 21.2° Long term average 7.1°
    Average this month 21.7° Average this month 7.5°
    Hottest November On Record Avg. max. temp. 27.0° 2009 Coldest November on record Avg. min. temp. 3.6° 1999
    Cathcart rainfall history (36.8437°S, 149.3883°E, 793m AMSL)
    RAINFALL
    Wettest This Month 11.0mm 04/11/2019 Total This Month 16.8mm
    5.0 days
    Long Term Average 63.6mm 9.5 days Wettest November on record 279.3mm 2009
  15. Popup - Radar

  16. Year to Date

    Cathcart Year To Date

    Average Rainfall To Nov 566.3mm 98.8 day(s)
    Total For 2019 381.4mm 100.0 day(s)
    Total To This Day 2018 383.0mm 95.0 day(s)
    Wettest Day 39.0mm Mar18
    Lowest Temperature -7.0°C Aug24
    Highest Temperature 39.5°C Jan15
  17. Popup - Monthly historical

  18. Climatology

    Cathcart Climatology

    Long-Term Averages
    Jan Feb Mar Apr May Jun Jul Aug Sep Oct Nov Dec Ann
    Mean Max (°C) 25.6 25.1 22.6 18.8 15.1 11.9 11.4 13.0 15.8 18.8 21.2 23.7 18.5
    Mean Min (°C) 10.8 10.7 8.8 5.3 2.0 -0.1 -1.2 -0.1 2.3 4.7 7.1 9.0 4.9
    Mean Rain (mm) 60.4 56.7 59.3 44.9 41.6 57.9 45.0 39.3 43.5 54.1 63.6 62.2 628.2
    Mean Rain Days 7.7 7.5 8.1 8.0 8.9 10.1 9.2 9.8 10.0 10.0 9.5 8.7 106.5