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Forecast

Cascade (30.2329°S, 152.7893°E, 628m AMSL) set as my default location ›

  1. My MLA

  2. Current condition

    TOMORROW
    Mostly sunny 14° 22°
    mostly sunny
    Chance of rain: 20%
    Likely amount: < 1mm
    First
    light
    Sunrise Sunset Last light
    Sunrise Sunset
    6:07am EST 6:33am EST 4:56pm EST 5:22pm EST
    NOW
    18.4° Feels Like: 14.3°
    Relative Humidity: 71%
    Dew: 13.0°
    Wind: SW 26km/h
    Gust: 32km/h
    Rainfall since 9am: 0.0mm
    Pressure: 1018.7hPa
  3. Today Weather

    Cascade
    Now
    19.0°c
    Feels Like:
    18.6°
    Wind:
    SSW 6km/h
    Gusts:
    7km/h
    Humidity:
    66%
    Mostly sunny
     
    14°
    Min
    22°
    Max
    Today in Cascade
    Partly cloudy. Medium chance of showers in the south, most likely in the morning. Areas of morning fog inland. Light winds becoming SW 15 to 20 km/h in the morning then becoming light in the middle of the day. Overnight temperatures falling to between 7 and 13 with daytime temperatures reaching between 15 and 22.
    Tomorrow
    Mostly sunny
    14°
    Min
    22°
    Max
    Areas of morning fog. Mostly sunny afternoon. Light winds. Overnight temperatures falling to between 6 and 11 with daytime temperatures reaching between 16 and 22.
  4. Radar

  5. Popup Radar

  6. Warnings

  7. Next 48 Hours


    Next 48 Hours


  8. 7 day forecast

    Today: Partly cloudy. Medium chance of showers in the south, most likely in the morning. Areas of morning fog inland. Light winds becoming SW 15 to 20 km/h in the morning then becoming light in the middle of the day. Overnight temperatures falling to between 7 and 13 with daytime temperatures reaching between 15 and 22.

    Forecast for Cascade (30.2329°S, 152.7893°E, 628m AMSL)
      Wed Thu Fri Sat Sun Mon Tue
    Summary Mostly sunny Mostly sunny Possible shower Possible shower Mostly sunny Mostly sunny Sunny
    Minimum 14° 13° 12° 13° 12° 13° 11°
    Maximum 22° 22° 21° 21° 23° 24° 20°
    Chance of rain 20% 20% 50% 40% 20% 30% 40%
    Likely amount < 1mm < 1mm < 1mm < 1mm < 1mm < 1mm 1-5mm
    UV index Moderate Moderate Moderate Moderate - - -
    Frost risk Nil Nil Nil Nil Nil Nil Nil
      9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm
    Wind speed 24
    (km/h)
    19
    (km/h)
    10
    (km/h)
    11
    (km/h)
    18
    (km/h)
    21
    (km/h)
    16
    (km/h)
    12
    (km/h)
    10
    (km/h)
    14
    (km/h)
    11
    (km/h)
    12
    (km/h)
    15
    (km/h)
    15
    (km/h)
    Wind direction SW SSW SW S SW SSW SW S NNW NNE NNW NNE WSW WSW
    Relative humidity 72% 69% 75% 70% 71% 68% 77% 72% 74% 63% 66% 61% 56% 46%
    Dew point 13°C 15°C 14°C 15°C 11°C 15°C 13°C 16°C 14°C 15°C 12°C 15°C 8°C 8°C
  9. 28 Day Rainfall forecast

    Cascade Rain Forecast


    Cascade 28-day Rainfall Forecast
    SUN
    MON
    TUE
    WED
    THU
    FRI
    SAT
    26
    MEDIUM
    27
    28
    29
    LOW
    30
    31
    Jun 1
    LOW
    2
    LOW
    3
    4
    5
    LOW
    6
    LOW
    7
    8
    9
    LOW
    10
    11
    MEDIUM
    12
    MEDIUM
    13
    14
    15
    16
    LOW
    17
    18
    19
    LOW
    20
    21
    22
    LOW
    23
    MEDIUM
    24
    MEDIUM
    CHANCE OF RAINFALL WITHIN DISTRICT
    NIL < 25%
    LOW 25% to 50%
    MEDIUM 50% to 75%
    HIGH ≥ 75%
    Issued May26

    Issue Notes

    The hemispheric long wave pattern has remained stable in recent weeks. There are six main troughs. Currently the most significant troughs are near the longitudes of South Africa, the Indian Ocean, eastern Australia, the south Pacific, South America, and the Atlantic Ocean.

    Summary:

    Over southern and eastern Australia the cold front events with potential to bring widespread rain are now expected about 31 May to 4 June, 15 June to 19 June, and 24 June to 28 June. Rain events originating in the tropics and moving south are possible about 9 June to 13 June. Over Western Australia the strongest cold fronts should occur about 31 May to 4 June, 13 June to 17 June, and 25 June to 29 June.

    Forecast Explanation

    This forecast is produced by a multi-model ensemble consisting of dynamical atmospheric models, which are forced by the latest observed atmosphere, ocean, land and ice conditions. The models are designed to simulate features of the real atmosphere, including the daily movement of long and short wave patterns in the Southern Hemisphere.

    The future probability of rain in each district is estimated using output from the multi-model ensemble, combined with historical information about the difference between the model forecasts and observed rainfall.

    In this deterministic framework the skill of the forecast tends to decrease with time, however the forecasts are updated daily to provide the latest estimates of rainfall probability out to 28 days.

  10. 12 Month Rainfall Forecast

    Cascade Rain Forecast


    Cascade 12-month Rainfall Forecast
    May
    Jun
    Jul
    Aug
    Sep
    Oct
    Nov
    Dec
    Jan
    Feb
    Mar
    Apr
    2020
    2021
    6
    5
    8
    7
    8
    7
    7
    7
    4
    8
    6
    7
    10
    5
    0
    1
    2 - 3
    4 - 7
    8 - 9
    10
    Well below normal
    Below normal
    Near normal
    Above normal
    Well above normal

    Issue Notes - Issued May 13

    ENSO status: Neutral IOD status: Neutral SAM status: Trending neutral Sea surface temperatures (SSTs) across the equatorial central Pacific remained stable throughout April with the Nino3.4 index registering a value of 0.5. On the other hand, the Southern Oscillation Index (SOI) recorded a value of -0.5 during the same month. The current outlook suggests slightly warmer than average SSTs will persist across the equatorial Pacific Ocean during the end of autumn and early winter, potentially cooling by the second half of the austral winter. Eight out of eight international models continue to suggest a cooling trend of the NINO3.4 region throughout the Austral winter, with all models on the cooler side of neutral by September. The current International Research Institute for Climate and Society (IRI) suggests a 40:35 chance for neutral:La Nina conditions by the Austral spring. To the west of Australia, the Indian Ocean Dipole (IOD) remains neutral, normal for this time of the year. All six main international models, however, continue to hint at a possible negative IOD establishing from mid-to-late winter. In terms of precipitation across Australia, the current medium term outlook continues to favour above average rainfall for most of the country. This outlook is mainly driven by warmer SSTs across northwestern Australia, enhanced soil moisture across some parts of the continent and early indications of a cool phase in the Pacific Ocean, which increases the moisture content across the northern tropics. Across parts of southern Vic, NSW and Qld (east of the Great Dividing Range), southwestern WA and Tasmania the outlook is for average-to-slightly below average rainfall over the coming months as these regions transition to their ‘drier’ part of the year (eastern seaboard) or tend to be less influenced by the IOD (SW WA and Tasmania) but more on the phases of the Southern Annular Mode (SAM). This doesn’t include any severe weather events like east coast lows.

  11. Long range rainfall forecast

    Cascade Rain Forecast


    Cascade 28-day Rainfall Forecast
    SUN
    MON
    TUE
    WED
    THU
    FRI
    SAT
    26
    MEDIUM
    27
    28
    29
    LOW
    30
    31
    Jun 1
    LOW
    2
    LOW
    3
    4
    5
    LOW
    6
    LOW
    7
    8
    9
    LOW
    10
    11
    MEDIUM
    12
    MEDIUM
    13
    14
    15
    16
    LOW
    17
    18
    19
    LOW
    20
    21
    22
    LOW
    23
    MEDIUM
    24
    MEDIUM
    CHANCE OF RAINFALL WITHIN DISTRICT
    NIL < 25%
    LOW 25% to 50%
    MEDIUM 50% to 75%
    HIGH ≥ 75%
    Issued May26

    Issue Notes

    The hemispheric long wave pattern has remained stable in recent weeks. There are six main troughs. Currently the most significant troughs are near the longitudes of South Africa, the Indian Ocean, eastern Australia, the south Pacific, South America, and the Atlantic Ocean.

    Summary:

    Over southern and eastern Australia the cold front events with potential to bring widespread rain are now expected about 31 May to 4 June, 15 June to 19 June, and 24 June to 28 June. Rain events originating in the tropics and moving south are possible about 9 June to 13 June. Over Western Australia the strongest cold fronts should occur about 31 May to 4 June, 13 June to 17 June, and 25 June to 29 June.

    Forecast Explanation

    This forecast is produced by a multi-model ensemble consisting of dynamical atmospheric models, which are forced by the latest observed atmosphere, ocean, land and ice conditions. The models are designed to simulate features of the real atmosphere, including the daily movement of long and short wave patterns in the Southern Hemisphere.

    The future probability of rain in each district is estimated using output from the multi-model ensemble, combined with historical information about the difference between the model forecasts and observed rainfall.

    In this deterministic framework the skill of the forecast tends to decrease with time, however the forecasts are updated daily to provide the latest estimates of rainfall probability out to 28 days.

  12. Popup - Daily historical

  13. Past 5 Days

    Cascade Past 5 Days

    This Month
    Minimum Maximum Rainfall
    Friday
    May 22
    1.0 °C 14.0 °C
    3.6 mm
    Saturday
    May 23
    2.5 °C 16.2 °C
    0.0 mm
    Sunday
    May 24
    4.5 °C 15.0 °C
    0.4 mm
    Monday
    May 25
    9.0 °C 16.0 °C
    0.0 mm
    Tuesday
    May 26
    11.0 °C -
    0.0 mm
    Legend
  14. Almanac

    Almanac


    Cascade minimum temp history (30.2329°S, 152.7893°E, 628m AMSL)
    MAXIMUM TEMPERATURE MINIMUM TEMPERATURE
    Hottest this month 22.0° 08/05/2020 Coldest this month 1.0° 22/05/2020
    Hottest on record 25.0 04/05/2007 Coldest on record -3.0 30/05/2000
    Hottest this year 35.2° 04/01/2020 Coldest this year 1.0° 22/05/2020
    Long term average 17.1° Long term average 7.4°
    Average this month 16.2° Average this month 7.1°
    Hottest May On Record Avg. max. temp. 20.6° 2016 Coldest May on record Avg. min. temp. 5.2° 2006
    Cascade rainfall history (30.2329°S, 152.7893°E, 628m AMSL)
    RAINFALL
    Wettest This Month 14.0mm 18/05/2020 Total This Month 40.2mm
    8.0 days
    Long Term Average 112.8mm 11.2 days Wettest May on record 524.5mm 2009
    Driest on record 7.0mm 2016
  15. Popup - Radar

    Weather Radar for NSW/ACT

  16. Year to Date

    Cascade Year To Date

    Average Rainfall To May 1150.5mm 74.5 day(s)
    Total For 2020 1237.3mm 75.0 day(s)
    Total To This Day 2019 437.2mm 72.0 day(s)
    Wettest Day 145.8mm Feb14
    Lowest Temperature 1.0°C May22
    Highest Temperature 35.2°C Jan 4
  17. Popup - Monthly historical

  18. Climatology

    Climate History

    Cascade Climatology

    Long-Term Averages
    Jan Feb Mar Apr May Jun Jul Aug Sep Oct Nov Dec Ann
    Mean Max (°C) 24.2 23.8 22.4 19.8 17.1 14.9 14.5 16.1 19.2 21.3 22.3 23.8 20.0
    Mean Min (°C) 15.0 15.1 13.6 10.7 7.4 5.4 4.5 4.8 7.6 9.8 12.2 13.9 10.0
    Mean Rain (mm) 298.5 286.9 313.5 138.8 112.8 133.9 57.6 109.6 80.1 121.2 187.7 172.9 2022.2
    Mean Rain Days 15.4 16.1 17.8 14.0 11.2 10.4 9.5 7.7 9.3 11.9 15.8 16.6 151.6