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Forecast

Carrs Peninsular (29.6553°S, 152.9033°E, 18m AMSL) set as my default location ›

  1. My MLA

  2. Current condition

    TODAY
    Sunny 23°
    Chance of rain: 5%
    Likely amount: < 1mm
    First
    light
    Sunrise Sunset Last light
    Sunrise Sunset
    6:18am EST 6:44am EST 5:01pm EST 5:27pm EST
    NOW
    22.0° Feels Like: 21.3°
    Relative Humidity: 54%
    Dew: 12.3°
    Wind: ENE 7km/h
    Gust: 9km/h
    Rainfall since 9am: 0.0mm
    Pressure:  
  3. Today Weather

    Carrs Peninsular
    Now
    21.9°c
    Feels Like:
    20.9°
    Wind:
    NNW 9km/h
    Gusts:
    9km/h
    Humidity:
    55%
    Sunny
     
    Min
    23°
    Max
    Today in Carrs Peninsular
    Sunny. Areas of fog early this morning. Light winds. Daytime maximum temperatures in the low 20s.
    Tomorrow
    Fog then sunny
    Min
    23°
    Max
    Mostly sunny. Patchy fog in the south in the early morning. Slight chance of a shower in the south in the afternoon and evening. Near zero chance of rain elsewhere. The chance of a thunderstorm in the south in the afternoon and evening. Light winds becoming NW 15 to 20 km/h in the middle of the day then becoming light in the late afternoon. Overnight temperatures falling to between 8 and 11 with daytime temperatures reaching the low to mid 20s.
  4. Radar

  5. Popup Radar

  6. Warnings

    There are no current warnings for Carrs Peninsular

  7. Next 48 Hours


    Next 48 Hours


  8. 7 day forecast

    Today: Sunny. Areas of fog early this morning. Light winds. Daytime maximum temperatures in the low 20s.

    Forecast for Carrs Peninsular (29.6553°S, 152.9033°E, 18m AMSL)
      Thu Fri Sat Sun Mon Tue Wed
    Summary Sunny Fog then sunny Sunny Sunny Sunny Sunny Mostly sunny
    Minimum
    Maximum 23° 23° 19° 19° 20° 21° 20°
    Chance of rain 5% 20% 5% 5% 5% 5% 20%
    Likely amount < 1mm < 1mm < 1mm < 1mm < 1mm < 1mm < 1mm
    UV index Moderate Moderate Moderate Moderate Moderate - -
    Frost risk Nil Nil Slight High Slight Nil Nil
      9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm
    Wind speed 2
    (km/h)
    13
    (km/h)
    3
    (km/h)
    12
    (km/h)
    7
    (km/h)
    17
    (km/h)
    4
    (km/h)
    9
    (km/h)
    4
    (km/h)
    9
    (km/h)
    3
    (km/h)
    13
    (km/h)
    4
    (km/h)
    14
    (km/h)
    Wind direction WNW NNE WNW NW W WSW W ENE WSW E WSW SE SW SSE
    Relative humidity 99% 47% 93% 48% 76% 32% 78% 34% 85% 43% 91% 44% 90% 54%
    Dew point 10°C 10°C 12°C 10°C 6°C 1°C 5°C 2°C 9°C 7°C 12°C 8°C 13°C 10°C
  9. 28 Day Rainfall forecast

    Carrs Peninsular Rain Forecast


    Carrs Peninsular 28-day Rainfall Forecast
    SUN
    MON
    TUE
    WED
    THU
    FRI
    SAT
    2
    3
    LOW
    4
    5
    6
    7
    MEDIUM
    8
    MEDIUM
    9
    HIGH
    10
    LOW
    11
    LOW
    12
    13
    HIGH
    14
    15
    MEDIUM
    16
    LOW
    17
    LOW
    18
    19
    LOW
    20
    21
    LOW
    22
    23
    LOW
    24
    25
    26
    27
    LOW
    28
    29
    LOW
    30
    LOW
    CHANCE OF RAINFALL WITHIN DISTRICT
    NIL < 25%
    LOW 25% to 50%
    MEDIUM 50% to 75%
    HIGH ≥ 75%
    Issued Jul 2

    Issue Notes

    The hemispheric long wave pattern has remained stable in recent weeks. There are four main troughs. Currently the most significant troughs are near the longitudes of the southwest Indian Ocean, New Zealand, the southeast Pacific, and South America.

    Summary:

    Over southern and eastern Australia the cold front events with potential to bring widespread rain are now expected about 10 July to 14 July, 26 July to 30 July, and 5 August to 9 August. Rain events originating in the tropics and moving south are possible about 11 July to 15 July, 20 July to 24 July, and 28 July to 1 August. Over Western Australia the strongest cold fronts should occur about 10 July to 14 July, 28 July to 1 August, and 5 August to 9 August.

    Forecast Explanation

    This forecast is produced by a multi-model ensemble consisting of dynamical atmospheric models, which are forced by the latest observed atmosphere, ocean, land and ice conditions. The models are designed to simulate features of the real atmosphere, including the daily movement of long and short wave patterns in the Southern Hemisphere.

    The future probability of rain in each district is estimated using output from the multi-model ensemble, combined with historical information about the difference between the model forecasts and observed rainfall.

    In this deterministic framework the skill of the forecast tends to decrease with time, however the forecasts are updated daily to provide the latest estimates of rainfall probability out to 28 days.

  10. 12 Month Rainfall Forecast

    Carrs Peninsular Rain Forecast


    Carrs Peninsular 12-month Rainfall Forecast
    Jul
    Aug
    Sep
    Oct
    Nov
    Dec
    Jan
    Feb
    Mar
    Apr
    May
    2020
    2021
    8
    7
    7
    7
    7
    8
    10
    7
    6
    4
    7
    10
    5
    0
    1
    2 - 3
    4 - 7
    8 - 9
    10
    Well below normal
    Below normal
    Near normal
    Above normal
    Well above normal

    Issue Notes - Issued Jun 15

    ENSO status: Neutral IOD status: Neutral SAM status: Trending positive Sea surface temperatures (SSTs) across the equatorial central Pacific exhibited significant cooling over the past month, with the Nino3.4 index registering a value of -0.1in May. On the other hand, the Southern Oscillation Index (SOI) recorded a value of 2.8 during the same month. The current outlook suggests cooler than average SSTs will take hold across the equatorial Pacific Ocean during winter, potentially reaching La Nina thresholds by mid-spring. All eight international models continue to suggest a cooler side of neutral for the region throughout the remainder of the Austral winter and through spring. The current International Research Institute for Climate and Society (IRI) outlook suggests a 45:40 chance for La Nina:Neutral conditions by the end of the Austral spring. To the west of Australia, the Indian Ocean Dipole (IOD) remains neutral, normal for this time of the year. However, out of season Tropical CycloneMangga brought some significant cooling to the sea surface temperatures to the northwest of Australia late in May. This disrupted the warming trend in the region that would have led to a negative IOD by mid-winter. Nonetheless, all but one of the six main international models (BoMs outlook), continue to hint at a possible negative IOD establishing later in winter/first half of spring. In terms of precipitation across Australia, the current short-term outlook now favours below average rainfall for most of the country for the remainder of June and early July. This outlook is mainly driven by cooler SSTs across northwestern Australia, reducing the amount of available moisture in the atmosphere. As discussed earlier, tropical cyclone Mangga was a key player in the cooling of the SSTs off the northwest coast. Most models, however, are indicating a positive IOD is still on the cards later in winter and through spring, bringing a wetter outlook for most of the southern half of the country from mid-to-lateJuly. Across parts of southern Vic, NSW and Qld (east of the Great Dividing Range), southwestern WA and Tasmania, the outlook continues to favour average-to-slightly below average rainfall over the coming months as these regions transition to their ‘drier’ part of the year (eastern seaboard) or tend to be less influenced by the IOD (SW WA and Tas) but more on the phases of the Southern Annular Mode (SAM).

  11. Long range rainfall forecast

    Carrs Peninsular Rain Forecast


    Carrs Peninsular 28-day Rainfall Forecast
    SUN
    MON
    TUE
    WED
    THU
    FRI
    SAT
    2
    3
    LOW
    4
    5
    6
    7
    MEDIUM
    8
    MEDIUM
    9
    HIGH
    10
    LOW
    11
    LOW
    12
    13
    HIGH
    14
    15
    MEDIUM
    16
    LOW
    17
    LOW
    18
    19
    LOW
    20
    21
    LOW
    22
    23
    LOW
    24
    25
    26
    27
    LOW
    28
    29
    LOW
    30
    LOW
    CHANCE OF RAINFALL WITHIN DISTRICT
    NIL < 25%
    LOW 25% to 50%
    MEDIUM 50% to 75%
    HIGH ≥ 75%
    Issued Jul 2

    Issue Notes

    The hemispheric long wave pattern has remained stable in recent weeks. There are four main troughs. Currently the most significant troughs are near the longitudes of the southwest Indian Ocean, New Zealand, the southeast Pacific, and South America.

    Summary:

    Over southern and eastern Australia the cold front events with potential to bring widespread rain are now expected about 10 July to 14 July, 26 July to 30 July, and 5 August to 9 August. Rain events originating in the tropics and moving south are possible about 11 July to 15 July, 20 July to 24 July, and 28 July to 1 August. Over Western Australia the strongest cold fronts should occur about 10 July to 14 July, 28 July to 1 August, and 5 August to 9 August.

    Forecast Explanation

    This forecast is produced by a multi-model ensemble consisting of dynamical atmospheric models, which are forced by the latest observed atmosphere, ocean, land and ice conditions. The models are designed to simulate features of the real atmosphere, including the daily movement of long and short wave patterns in the Southern Hemisphere.

    The future probability of rain in each district is estimated using output from the multi-model ensemble, combined with historical information about the difference between the model forecasts and observed rainfall.

    In this deterministic framework the skill of the forecast tends to decrease with time, however the forecasts are updated daily to provide the latest estimates of rainfall probability out to 28 days.

  12. Popup - Daily historical

  13. Past 5 Days

    Carrs Peninsular Past 5 Days

    This Month
    Minimum Maximum Rainfall
    Sunday
    Jun 28
    9.9 °C 20.3 °C
    0.0 mm
    Monday
    Jun 29
    6.7 °C 20.0 °C
    0.0 mm
    Tuesday
    Jun 30
    8.6 °C 21.0 °C
    0.0 mm
    Wednesday
    Jul 01
    6.7 °C 21.6 °C
    0.2 mm
    Thursday
    Jul 02
    5.7 °C 23.0 °C
    0.0 mm
    Legend
  14. Almanac

    Almanac


    Carrs Peninsular minimum temp history (29.6553°S, 152.9033°E, 18m AMSL)
    MAXIMUM TEMPERATURE MINIMUM TEMPERATURE
    Hottest this month 21.6° 01/07/2020 Coldest this month 5.7° 02/07/2020
    Hottest on record 27.6 23/07/2016 Coldest on record -1.9 08/07/2014
    Hottest this year 37.8° 03/02/2020 Coldest this year 4.4° 24/06/2020
    Long term average 20.5° Long term average 7.5°
    Average this month 18.8° Average this month 6.2°
    Hottest July On Record Avg. max. temp. 21.7° 2005 Coldest July on record Avg. min. temp. 5.7° 2014
    Carrs Peninsular rainfall history (29.6553°S, 152.9033°E, 18m AMSL)
    RAINFALL
    Wettest This Month 0.2mm 01/07/2020 Total This Month 0.2mm
    1.0 days
    Long Term Average 42.5mm 7.5 days Wettest July on record 270.1mm 1921
    Driest on record 1.6mm 2007
  15. Popup - Radar

    Weather Radar for NSW/ACT

  16. Year to Date

    Carrs Peninsular Year To Date

    Average Rainfall To Jul 661.2mm 73.3 day(s)
    Total For 2020 908.2mm 84.0 day(s)
    Total To This Day 2019 248.0mm 75.0 day(s)
    Wettest Day 111.4mm Feb 7
    Lowest Temperature 4.4°C Jun24
    Highest Temperature 37.8°C Feb 3
  17. Popup - Monthly historical

  18. Climatology

    Climate History

    Carrs Peninsular Climatology

    Long-Term Averages
    Jan Feb Mar Apr May Jun Jul Aug Sep Oct Nov Dec Ann
    Mean Max (°C) 30.5 30.0 28.0 25.8 23.2 20.6 20.5 22.4 25.4 27.3 28.8 29.6 26.0
    Mean Min (°C) 19.8 19.6 18.1 15.0 10.9 8.8 7.5 7.9 11.4 13.8 16.7 18.3 14.0
    Mean Rain (mm) 151.3 111.8 122.6 85.3 75.7 72.0 42.5 43.2 41.2 62.4 93.4 91.4 992.0
    Mean Rain Days 11.9 11.2 13.5 9.7 9.8 9.7 7.5 6.2 6.3 7.4 9.3 11.2 92.2