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Forecast

Caroda (30.027°S, 150.3669°E, 379m AMSL) set as my default location ›

  1. My MLA

  2. Current condition

    TODAY
    Mostly sunny 23°
    mostly sunny
    Chance of rain: 10%
    Likely amount: < 1mm
    First
    light
    Sunrise Sunset Last light
    Sunrise Sunset
    6:09am EST 6:33am EST 5:32pm EST 5:56pm EST
    NOW
    20.8° Feels Like: 18.5°
    Relative Humidity: 43%
    Dew: 7.8°
    Wind: N 9km/h
    Gust: 11km/h
    Rainfall since 9am: 0.0mm
    Pressure: 1016.6hPa
  3. Today Weather

    Caroda
    Now
    19.1°c
    Feels Like:
    16.9°
    Wind:
    E 11km/h
    Gusts:
    13km/h
    Humidity:
    54%
    Mostly sunny
     
    Min
    23°
    Max
    Today in Caroda
    Mostly sunny. Patchy fog early this morning. Light winds. Daytime maximum temperatures 20 to 26.
    Tomorrow
    Rain developing
    Min
    21°
    Max
    Cloudy. Very high chance of rain, most likely in the afternoon and evening. The chance of a thunderstorm in the afternoon and evening. Winds N/NE 15 to 20 km/h tending NE/SE in the early afternoon then tending NW/NE in the evening. Overnight temperatures falling to between 5 and 10 with daytime temperatures reaching between 18 and 26.
  4. Radar

  5. Popup Radar

  6. Warnings

    There are no current warnings for Caroda

  7. Next 48 Hours


    Next 48 Hours


  8. 7 day forecast

    Today: Mostly sunny. Patchy fog early this morning. Light winds. Daytime maximum temperatures 20 to 26.

    Forecast for Caroda (30.027°S, 150.3669°E, 379m AMSL)
      Thu Fri Sat Sun Mon Tue Wed
    Summary Mostly sunny Rain developing Thunderstorms Fog then sunny Fog then sunny Late shower Fog then sunny
    Minimum
    Maximum 23° 21° 18° 16° 16° 17° 15°
    Chance of rain 10% 90% 70% 10% 5% 50% 10%
    Likely amount < 1mm 10-20mm < 1mm < 1mm < 1mm 1-5mm < 1mm
    UV index Moderate Moderate Moderate Moderate Moderate - -
    Frost risk Slight Moderate Nil Moderate High High Moderate
      9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm
    Wind speed 2
    (km/h)
    7
    (km/h)
    1
    (km/h)
    4
    (km/h)
    4
    (km/h)
    9
    (km/h)
    1
    (km/h)
    7
    (km/h)
    1
    (km/h)
    4
    (km/h)
    3
    (km/h)
    9
    (km/h)
    5
    (km/h)
    14
    (km/h)
    Wind direction NNE W NE NNE W WSW WSW WSW W WSW NNE N WNW WNW
    Relative humidity 83% 47% 74% 73% 97% 76% 90% 66% 86% 58% 77% 67% 77% 57%
    Dew point 9°C 7°C 7°C 11°C 11°C 8°C 6°C 5°C 6°C 3°C 4°C 6°C 5°C 2°C
  9. 28 Day Rainfall forecast

    Caroda Rain Forecast


    Caroda 28-day Rainfall Forecast
    SUN
    MON
    TUE
    WED
    THU
    FRI
    SAT
    13
    14
    HIGH
    15
    MEDIUM
    16
    LOW
    17
    18
    LOW
    19
    20
    LOW
    21
    LOW
    22
    23
    LOW
    24
    LOW
    25
    26
    27
    28
    29
    30
    31
    LOW
    Sep 1
    LOW
    2
    3
    4
    LOW
    5
    MEDIUM
    6
    LOW
    7
    8
    LOW
    9
    LOW
    10
    CHANCE OF RAINFALL WITHIN DISTRICT
    NIL < 25%
    LOW 25% to 50%
    MEDIUM 50% to 75%
    HIGH ≥ 75%
    Issued Aug12

    Issue Notes

    The hemispheric long wave pattern has remained stable in recent weeks. There are five main troughs. Currently the most significant troughs are near the longitudes of South Africa, the southwest Indian Ocean, Western Australia, the south Pacific, and South America.

    Summary:

    Over southern and eastern Australia the cold front events with potential to bring widespread rain are now expected about 22 August to 26 August, 2 September to 6 September, and 12 September to 16 September. Rain events originating in the tropics and moving south are possible about 2 September to 6 September, 6 September to 10 September, and 15 September to 19 September. Over Western Australia the strongest cold fronts should occur about 20 August to 24 August, 1 September to 5 September, and 9 September to 13 September.

    Forecast Explanation

    This forecast is produced by a multi-model ensemble consisting of dynamical atmospheric models, which are forced by the latest observed atmosphere, ocean, land and ice conditions. The models are designed to simulate features of the real atmosphere, including the daily movement of long and short wave patterns in the Southern Hemisphere.

    The future probability of rain in each district is estimated using output from the multi-model ensemble, combined with historical information about the difference between the model forecasts and observed rainfall.

    In this deterministic framework the skill of the forecast tends to decrease with time, however the forecasts are updated daily to provide the latest estimates of rainfall probability out to 28 days.

  10. 12 Month Rainfall Forecast

    Caroda Rain Forecast


    Caroda 12-month Rainfall Forecast
    Aug
    Sep
    Oct
    Nov
    Dec
    Jan
    Feb
    Mar
    Apr
    May
    Jun
    Jul
    2020
    2021
    10
    7
    8
    8
    7
    6
    6
    5
    7
    6
    8
    6
    10
    5
    0
    1
    2 - 3
    4 - 7
    8 - 9
    10
    Well below normal
    Below normal
    Near normal
    Above normal
    Well above normal

    Issue Notes - Issued Aug 5

    ENSO status: La Nina Watch IOD status: Neutral SAM status: Positive Sea surface temperatures (SSTs) across the equatorial central Pacific show a slight decrease in the intensity of cooling compared to June, with the Nino3.4 index registering a value of 0.0 in July. The Southern Oscillation Index (SOI) recorded a value of 4.2 in the same month, a swing into positive values compared to June. The current outlook suggests that cooler than average SSTs will continue across the equatorial pacific through the end of winter and potentially reach La Nina thresholds by mid-spring. All eight international models continue to suggest a cooler side of neutral for the region throughout the remainder of the Austral winter and through spring, with four of these indicating La Nina by Spring. The current International Research Institute for Climate and Society (IRI) outlook suggests a 54:41 chance for La Nina:Neutral conditions by the end of the Austral spring. To the west of Australia, the Indian Ocean Dipole (IOD) remains neutral. Two of the six international models indicate a negative IOD becoming established during the Austral spring, with the remaining four indicating a neutral phase. Of the four neutral models, including the BOM, three are trending slightly negative within the neutral zone by early spring, with only the Canadian model trending positive. In terms of precipitation over Australia, the current short-term outlook favours above average rainfall across most of Australia over the next fortnight, with the exception of western TAS, far southern VIC, and northern QLD and the NT. These expected wetter than average conditions will likely be due to the passage of moisture troughs inland and fronts, in part driven by the positive SAM. Models are then indicating a continued trend to above average rainfall for inland SA, all but the far north of the NT, western, central and southern QLD, northern and western NSW and parts of southern WA. Parts of WA’s Pilbara and Kimberley however are showing signs of below average rainfall into early spring.

  11. Long range rainfall forecast

    Caroda Rain Forecast


    Caroda 28-day Rainfall Forecast
    SUN
    MON
    TUE
    WED
    THU
    FRI
    SAT
    13
    14
    HIGH
    15
    MEDIUM
    16
    LOW
    17
    18
    LOW
    19
    20
    LOW
    21
    LOW
    22
    23
    LOW
    24
    LOW
    25
    26
    27
    28
    29
    30
    31
    LOW
    Sep 1
    LOW
    2
    3
    4
    LOW
    5
    MEDIUM
    6
    LOW
    7
    8
    LOW
    9
    LOW
    10
    CHANCE OF RAINFALL WITHIN DISTRICT
    NIL < 25%
    LOW 25% to 50%
    MEDIUM 50% to 75%
    HIGH ≥ 75%
    Issued Aug12

    Issue Notes

    The hemispheric long wave pattern has remained stable in recent weeks. There are five main troughs. Currently the most significant troughs are near the longitudes of South Africa, the southwest Indian Ocean, Western Australia, the south Pacific, and South America.

    Summary:

    Over southern and eastern Australia the cold front events with potential to bring widespread rain are now expected about 22 August to 26 August, 2 September to 6 September, and 12 September to 16 September. Rain events originating in the tropics and moving south are possible about 2 September to 6 September, 6 September to 10 September, and 15 September to 19 September. Over Western Australia the strongest cold fronts should occur about 20 August to 24 August, 1 September to 5 September, and 9 September to 13 September.

    Forecast Explanation

    This forecast is produced by a multi-model ensemble consisting of dynamical atmospheric models, which are forced by the latest observed atmosphere, ocean, land and ice conditions. The models are designed to simulate features of the real atmosphere, including the daily movement of long and short wave patterns in the Southern Hemisphere.

    The future probability of rain in each district is estimated using output from the multi-model ensemble, combined with historical information about the difference between the model forecasts and observed rainfall.

    In this deterministic framework the skill of the forecast tends to decrease with time, however the forecasts are updated daily to provide the latest estimates of rainfall probability out to 28 days.

  12. Popup - Daily historical

  13. Past 5 Days

    Caroda Past 5 Days

    This Month
    Minimum Maximum Rainfall
    Sunday
    Aug 09
    5.1 °C -
    1.2 mm
    Monday
    Aug 10
    - 13.6 °C
    -
    Tuesday
    Aug 11
    -0.6 °C 19.0 °C
    0.0 mm
    Wednesday
    Aug 12
    5.3 °C -
    0.0 mm
    Thursday
    Aug 13
    - -
    0.0 mm
    Legend
  14. Almanac

    Almanac


    Caroda minimum temp history (30.027°S, 150.3669°E, 379m AMSL)
    MAXIMUM TEMPERATURE MINIMUM TEMPERATURE
    Hottest this month 20.9° 04/08/2020 Coldest this month -7.2° 06/08/2020
    Hottest on record 32.1 24/08/2009 Coldest on record -7.7 18/08/1970
    Hottest this year 40.4° 04/01/2020 Coldest this year -7.2° 06/08/2020
    Long term average 18.0° Long term average 1.1°
    Average this month 17.2° Average this month -0.6°
    Hottest August On Record Avg. max. temp. 22.5° 2009 Coldest August on record Avg. min. temp. -1.4° 2008
    Caroda rainfall history (30.027°S, 150.3669°E, 379m AMSL)
    RAINFALL
    Wettest This Month 1.2mm 09/08/2020 Total This Month 1.2mm
    1.0 days
    Long Term Average 40.3mm 6.3 days Wettest August on record 126.0mm 1987
    Driest on record 0.0mm 1928
  15. Popup - Radar

    Weather Radar for NSW/ACT

  16. Year to Date

    Caroda Year To Date

    Average Rainfall To Aug 428.7mm 49.7 day(s)
    Total For 2020 457.4mm 62.0 day(s)
    Total To This Day 2019 64.6mm 19.0 day(s)
    Wettest Day 30.2mm Apr11
    Lowest Temperature -7.2°C Aug 6
    Highest Temperature 40.4°C Jan 4
  17. Popup - Monthly historical

  18. Climatology

    Climate History

    Caroda Climatology

    Long-Term Averages
    Jan Feb Mar Apr May Jun Jul Aug Sep Oct Nov Dec Ann
    Mean Max (°C) 31.8 31.1 29.0 25.1 20.5 16.8 16.1 18.0 21.5 25.2 28.1 30.6 24.5
    Mean Min (°C) 16.5 15.9 12.8 7.9 4.2 1.7 0.3 1.1 4.2 8.1 11.9 14.7 8.2
    Mean Rain (mm) 86.5 75.9 54.9 39.4 42.3 45.9 43.5 40.3 44.0 61.6 72.9 76.0 682.7
    Mean Rain Days 7.8 6.6 5.5 4.7 5.4 6.8 6.6 6.3 6.1 7.2 7.6 7.7 77.5