Australian Government Bureau of Meteorology
New South Wales
Marine Wind Warning Summary for New South Wales
Issued at 07:56 AM EDT on Wednesday 27 January 2021
for the period until midnight EDT Thursday 28 January 2021
Wind Warnings for Wednesday 27 January
Strong Wind Warning for the following areas:
Sydney Enclosed Waters, Hunter Coast, Sydney Coast, Illawarra Coast, Batemans Coast and Eden Coast
Cancellation for the following areas:
Coffs Coast and Macquarie Coast
Wind Warnings for Thursday 28 January
Strong Wind Warning for the following areas:
Sydney Enclosed Waters, Hunter Coast, Sydney Coast and Illawarra Coast
The next marine wind warning summary will be issued by 4:05 pm EDT Wednesday.
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Check the latest Coastal Waters Forecast or Local
Waters Forecast at http://www.bom.gov.au/nsw/forecasts/map.shtml for information on wind,
wave and weather conditions for these coastal zones.
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Forecast
Callaghans Creeks (31.9345°S, 151.8732°E, 147m AMSL) set as my default location ›
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My MLA
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Current condition
TODAY23° 27° showers increasing Chance of rain: 90% Likely amount: 1-5mm First
lightLast light Sunrise Sunset 5:46am EDT 6:13am EDT 8:00pm EDT 8:27pm EDT NOW25.5° Feels Like: 26.8° Relative Humidity: 73% Dew: 20.3° Wind: S 13km/h Gust: 15km/h Rainfall since 9am: 0.0mm Pressure: -
Today Weather
Callaghans CreeksNow25.9°cFeels Like:26.5°Wind:S 17km/hGusts:18km/hHumidity:71%23°Min27°MaxToday in Callaghans CreeksPartly cloudy. Medium chance of showers and the chance of a thunderstorm, most likely during this afternoon and evening. Light winds becoming SE/SW 15 to 25 km/h in the morning then becoming light in the late evening. Daytime maximum temperatures 27 to 32.Tomorrow19°Min23°MaxCloudy. High chance of showers. Winds S/SE 15 to 20 km/h tending E/SE 15 to 25 km/h in the morning. Overnight temperatures falling to between 17 and 21 with daytime temperatures reaching 23 to 28. -
Radar
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Popup Radar
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Warnings
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7 day forecast
Today: Partly cloudy. Medium chance of showers and the chance of a thunderstorm, most likely during this afternoon and evening. Light winds becoming SE/SW 15 to 25 km/h in the morning then becoming light in the late evening. Daytime maximum temperatures 27 to 32.
Forecast for Callaghans Creeks (31.9345°S, 151.8732°E, 147m AMSL) Wed Thu Fri Sat Sun Mon Tue Summary Minimum 23° 19° 19° 19° 19° 19° 18° Maximum 27° 23° 25° 30° 30° 30° 31° Chance of rain 90% 90% 70% 50% 70% 40% 90% Likely amount 1-5mm 10-20mm 1-5mm 1-5mm 1-5mm < 1mm 5-10mm UV index Extreme Extreme Extreme Extreme - - - Frost risk Nil Nil Nil Nil Nil Nil Nil 9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm Wind speed 9
(km/h)15
(km/h)13
(km/h)15
(km/h)10
(km/h)13
(km/h)5
(km/h)6
(km/h)3
(km/h)10
(km/h)6
(km/h)11
(km/h)3
(km/h)6
(km/h)Wind direction S SSE S SSE ESE ESE NE ESE WSW SE ESE ESE W NNW Relative humidity 79% 78% 97% 95% 95% 83% 82% 67% 81% 66% 82% 64% 73% 68% Dew point 22°C 21°C 20°C 21°C 21°C 22°C 21°C 23°C 21°C 22°C 20°C 22°C 20°C 24°C -
28 Day Rainfall forecast
Callaghans Creeks Rain Forecast
Callaghans Creeks 28-day Rainfall ForecastSUNMONTUEWEDTHUFRISAT27
HIGH28
HIGH29
HIGH30
MEDIUM31
MEDIUMFeb 1
MEDIUM2
HIGH3
HIGH4
MEDIUM5
6
MEDIUM7
HIGH8
MEDIUM9
LOW10
MEDIUM11
MEDIUM12
MEDIUM13
14
15
LOW16
LOW17
LOW18
LOW19
LOW20
LOW21
22
LOW23
LOW24
MEDIUMCHANCE OF RAINFALL WITHIN DISTRICTNIL < 25%LOW 25% to 50%MEDIUM 50% to 75%HIGH ≥ 75%Issued Jan27Issue Notes
The hemispheric long wave pattern has remained stable in recent weeks. There are five main troughs. Currently the most significant troughs are near the longitudes of South Africa, the southwest Indian Ocean, Western Australia, eastern Australia, the south Pacific, and South America.
Summary:
Over southern and eastern Australia the cold front events with potential to bring widespread rain are now expected about 3 February to 7 February, 12 February to 16 February, and 21 February to 25 February. Rain events originating in the tropics and moving south are possible about 27 February to 3 March. Over Western Australia the strongest cold fronts should occur about 3 February to 7 February, 12 February to 16 February, and 19 February to 23 February.
Forecast ExplanationThis forecast is produced by a multi-model ensemble consisting of dynamical atmospheric models, which are forced by the latest observed atmosphere, ocean, land and ice conditions. The models are designed to simulate features of the real atmosphere, including the daily movement of long and short wave patterns in the Southern Hemisphere.
The future probability of rain in each district is estimated using output from the multi-model ensemble, combined with historical information about the difference between the model forecasts and observed rainfall.
In this deterministic framework the skill of the forecast tends to decrease with time, however the forecasts are updated daily to provide the latest estimates of rainfall probability out to 28 days.
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12 Month Rainfall Forecast
Callaghans Creeks Rain Forecast
Callaghans Creeks 12-month Rainfall ForecastJanFebMarAprMayJunJulAugSepOctNovDec2021987876866575105012 - 34 - 78 - 910Well below normalBelow normalNear normalAbove normalWell above normalIssue Notes - Issued Jan 7
ENSO status: La Niña IOD status: Neutral SAM status: Positive La Niña is likely at its peak which has brought long periods of cloud and rain to eastern and northern Australia.The majority of models predict that La Niña will continue through February, with 3 of 8 predicting to March and most of the models indicating a return to neutral conditions (neither El Niño nor La Niña) in April. Neutral conditions are predicted to continue into the Australian winter. La Nina typically brings above normal rainfall across much of Australia. While La Niña is expected to weaken, above normal rainfall and typical La Niña impacts are still expected. La Niña typically favours periods of positive SAM, which can increase the amount of precipitation along the eastern half of the country, due to prevailing onshore winds. During summer, much of the country is likely to remain wetter than normal, however normal rainfall is expected for western TAS. La Niña typically increases the number of cyclones and brought anearly start to the wet season. During Autumn, many parts of Australia are likely to be wetter than normal, due to warmer waters off the northeast coast of Australia. Southern parts of SA, VIC and most of TAS are likely to observe normal precipitation for the time of year.
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Long range rainfall forecast
Callaghans Creeks Rain Forecast
Callaghans Creeks 28-day Rainfall ForecastSUNMONTUEWEDTHUFRISAT27
HIGH28
HIGH29
HIGH30
MEDIUM31
MEDIUMFeb 1
MEDIUM2
HIGH3
HIGH4
MEDIUM5
6
MEDIUM7
HIGH8
MEDIUM9
LOW10
MEDIUM11
MEDIUM12
MEDIUM13
14
15
LOW16
LOW17
LOW18
LOW19
LOW20
LOW21
22
LOW23
LOW24
MEDIUMCHANCE OF RAINFALL WITHIN DISTRICTNIL < 25%LOW 25% to 50%MEDIUM 50% to 75%HIGH ≥ 75%Issued Jan27Issue Notes
The hemispheric long wave pattern has remained stable in recent weeks. There are five main troughs. Currently the most significant troughs are near the longitudes of South Africa, the southwest Indian Ocean, Western Australia, eastern Australia, the south Pacific, and South America.
Summary:
Over southern and eastern Australia the cold front events with potential to bring widespread rain are now expected about 3 February to 7 February, 12 February to 16 February, and 21 February to 25 February. Rain events originating in the tropics and moving south are possible about 27 February to 3 March. Over Western Australia the strongest cold fronts should occur about 3 February to 7 February, 12 February to 16 February, and 19 February to 23 February.
Forecast ExplanationThis forecast is produced by a multi-model ensemble consisting of dynamical atmospheric models, which are forced by the latest observed atmosphere, ocean, land and ice conditions. The models are designed to simulate features of the real atmosphere, including the daily movement of long and short wave patterns in the Southern Hemisphere.
The future probability of rain in each district is estimated using output from the multi-model ensemble, combined with historical information about the difference between the model forecasts and observed rainfall.
In this deterministic framework the skill of the forecast tends to decrease with time, however the forecasts are updated daily to provide the latest estimates of rainfall probability out to 28 days.
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Popup - Daily historical
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Past 5 Days
Callaghans Creeks Past 5 Days
This MonthMinimum Maximum Rainfall Friday
Jan 22- - -Saturday
Jan 23- - 0.0 mmSunday
Jan 24- - 0.0 mmMonday
Jan 25- 36.0 °C 0.0 mmTuesday
Jan 2618.4 °C - 0.0 mmLegend -
Almanac
Almanac
Callaghans Creeks minimum temp history (31.9345°S, 151.8732°E, 147m AMSL) MAXIMUM TEMPERATURE MINIMUM TEMPERATURE Hottest this month 36.0° 25/01/2021 Coldest this month 13.0° 18/01/2021 Hottest on record 43.5 13/01/2013 Coldest on record 9.2 01/01/1972 Hottest this year 36.0° 25/01/2021 Coldest this year 13.0° 18/01/2021 Long term average 29.3° Long term average 17.2° Average this month 28.8° Average this month 15.9° Hottest January On Record Avg. max. temp. 32.9° 2001 Coldest January on record Avg. min. temp. 15.3° 1972 Callaghans Creeks rainfall history (31.9345°S, 151.8732°E, 147m AMSL) RAINFALL Wettest This Month 42.4mm 04/01/2021 Total This Month 95.6mm
8.0 daysLong Term Average 123.8mm 12.3 days Wettest January on record 413.8mm 1972 Driest on record 8.8mm 2014 -
Popup - Radar
Weather Radar for Australia
Australia Radars
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- Dampier
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- Emerald
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Year to Date
Callaghans Creeks Year To Date
Average Rainfall To Jan 123.8mm 12.3 day(s) Total For 2021 95.6mm 8.0 day(s) Total To This Day 2020 42.6mm 10.0 day(s) Wettest Day 42.4mm Jan 4 Lowest Temperature 13.0°C Jan18 Highest Temperature 36.0°C Jan25 -
Popup - Monthly historical
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Climatology
Climate History
Callaghans Creeks Climatology
Callaghans Creeks Long-Term Averages
Long-Term Averages Jan Feb Mar Apr May Jun Jul Aug Sep Oct Nov Dec Ann Mean Max (°C) 29.3 28.3 26.4 23.5 19.9 16.9 16.4 18.3 21.4 24.3 26.2 28.8 23.3 Mean Min (°C) 17.2 17.2 15.3 12.7 10.0 7.7 6.4 6.9 9.3 11.9 13.9 16.0 12.0 Mean Rain (mm) 123.8 122.5 123.1 75.1 69.3 67.9 37.5 34.5 49.1 64.6 88.2 94.9 953.0 Mean Rain Days 12.3 11.7 12.7 10.7 11.7 12.8 10.9 8.9 9.2 10.4 12.1 11.4 134.7