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Forecast

Cabarita Beach (28.3321°S, 153.5697°E, 2m AMSL) set as my default location ›

  1. My MLA

  2. Current condition

    TODAY
    Possible shower 17° 25°
    possible shower
    Chance of rain: 60%
    Likely amount: 1-5mm
    First
    light
    Sunrise Sunset Last light
    Sunrise Sunset
    5:52am EST 6:16am EST 5:08pm EST 5:32pm EST
    NOW
    16.2° Feels Like: 18.1°
    Relative Humidity: 98%
    Dew: 15.9°
    Wind: N 0km/h
    Gust: 0km/h
    Rainfall since 9am: 0.0mm
    Pressure: 1016.4hPa
  3. Today Weather

    Cabarita Beach
    Now
    19.2°c
    Feels Like:
    20.7°
    Wind:
    NW 6km/h
    Gusts:
    6km/h
    Humidity:
    90%
    Possible shower
     
    17°
    Min
    25°
    Max
    Today in Cabarita Beach
    Partly cloudy. Areas of morning fog. Medium chance of showers, most likely in the afternoon and evening. The chance of a thunderstorm from the late morning. Light winds. Overnight temperatures falling to around 15 with daytime temperatures reaching the low to mid 20s.
    Tomorrow
    Mostly sunny
    16°
    Min
    26°
    Max
    Partly cloudy. The chance of fog in the morning, mainly in the S. Slight chance of a shower. The chance of a thunderstorm in the afternoon and evening. Light winds. Overnight temperatures falling to around 14 with daytime temperatures reaching the mid 20s.
  4. Radar

  5. Popup Radar

  6. Warnings

    There are no current warnings for Cabarita Beach

  7. Next 48 Hours


    Next 48 Hours


  8. 7 day forecast

    Today: Partly cloudy. Areas of morning fog. Medium chance of showers, most likely in the afternoon and evening. The chance of a thunderstorm from the late morning. Light winds. Overnight temperatures falling to around 15 with daytime temperatures reaching the low to mid 20s.

    Forecast for Cabarita Beach (28.3321°S, 153.5697°E, 2m AMSL)
      Sun Mon Tue Wed Thu Fri Sat
    Summary Possible shower Mostly sunny Possible shower Showers Possible shower Possible shower Possible shower
    Minimum 17° 16° 16° 16° 16° 15° 15°
    Maximum 25° 26° 26° 23° 22° 23° 23°
    Chance of rain 60% 20% 70% 70% 50% 40% 70%
    Likely amount 1-5mm < 1mm 1-5mm 10-20mm 1-5mm 1-5mm 1-5mm
    UV index Moderate Moderate Moderate Moderate - - -
    Frost risk Nil Nil Nil Nil Nil Nil Nil
      9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm
    Wind speed 4
    (km/h)
    7
    (km/h)
    6
    (km/h)
    10
    (km/h)
    7
    (km/h)
    13
    (km/h)
    20
    (km/h)
    22
    (km/h)
    16
    (km/h)
    15
    (km/h)
    11
    (km/h)
    13
    (km/h)
    15
    (km/h)
    15
    (km/h)
    Wind direction WSW E W NE WSW SSE SSW SSE SSW S SW SSE SSW S
    Relative humidity 79% 76% 81% 73% 77% 72% 83% 82% 83% 76% 76% 68% 76% 67%
    Dew point 18°C 20°C 18°C 21°C 18°C 20°C 17°C 19°C 16°C 17°C 15°C 17°C 15°C 16°C
  9. 28 Day Rainfall forecast

    Cabarita Beach Rain Forecast


    Cabarita Beach 28-day Rainfall Forecast
    SUN
    MON
    TUE
    WED
    THU
    FRI
    SAT
    9
    MEDIUM
    10
    LOW
    11
    MEDIUM
    12
    HIGH
    13
    HIGH
    14
    HIGH
    15
    HIGH
    16
    HIGH
    17
    MEDIUM
    18
    MEDIUM
    19
    MEDIUM
    20
    HIGH
    21
    MEDIUM
    22
    HIGH
    23
    MEDIUM
    24
    HIGH
    25
    MEDIUM
    26
    LOW
    27
    28
    LOW
    29
    30
    LOW
    31
    LOW
    Jun 1
    2
    3
    4
    MEDIUM
    5
    LOW
    6
    LOW
    CHANCE OF RAINFALL WITHIN DISTRICT
    NIL < 25%
    LOW 25% to 50%
    MEDIUM 50% to 75%
    HIGH ≥ 75%
    Issued May 8

    Issue Notes

    The hemispheric long wave pattern has remained stable in recent weeks. There are four main troughs. Currently the most significant troughs are near the longitudes of the southwest Indian Ocean, eastern Australia, the southeast Pacific, and the Atlantic Ocean.

    Summary:

    Over southern and eastern Australia the cold front events with potential to bring widespread rain are now expected about 22 May to 26 May, 1 June to 5 June, and 6 June to 10 June. Rain events originating in the tropics and moving south are possible about 13 May to 17 May, and 17 May to 21 May. Over Western Australia the strongest cold fronts should occur about 21 May to 25 May, 1 June to 5 June, and 8 June to 12 June.

    Forecast Explanation

    This forecast is produced by a multi-model ensemble consisting of dynamical atmospheric models, which are forced by the latest observed atmosphere, ocean, land and ice conditions. The models are designed to simulate features of the real atmosphere, including the daily movement of long and short wave patterns in the Southern Hemisphere.

    The future probability of rain in each district is estimated using output from the multi-model ensemble, combined with historical information about the difference between the model forecasts and observed rainfall.

    In this deterministic framework the skill of the forecast tends to decrease with time, however the forecasts are updated daily to provide the latest estimates of rainfall probability out to 28 days.

  10. 12 Month Rainfall Forecast

    Cabarita Beach Rain Forecast


    Cabarita Beach 12-month Rainfall Forecast
    May
    Jun
    Jul
    Aug
    Sep
    Oct
    Nov
    Dec
    Jan
    Feb
    Mar
    Apr
    2021
    2022
    8
    6
    6
    7
    7
    6
    7
    5
    7
    7
    6
    7
    10
    5
    0
    1
    2 - 3
    4 - 7
    8 - 9
    10
    Well below normal
    Below normal
    Near normal
    Above normal
    Well above normal

    Issue Notes - Issued Apr 14

    ENSO status: Neutral. IOD status: Neutral, potentially trending negative during winter. SAM status: Positive. La Niña has concluded, with neutral conditions expected until at least the end of Autumn. A few models are predicting La Niña conditions to return later this year, while the majority of models predict neutral conditions. While La Niña has returned to neutral, the oceans around northern Australia are warmer than normal. This is expected to generate above normal rainfall for much of Australia during the next month or so. Some models are suggesting a negative Indian Ocean Dipole (IOD) may develop during winter, which would increase rainfall across parts of Australia during winter. During Autumn, many parts of Australia are likely to be wetter than normal, due to warmer waters off the northern coast of Australia. Southern parts of SA, VIC, most of TAS and southwest WA are likely to observe normal precipitation for the time of year. During winter, much of the Australia is likely to bewetter than normal, apart from far southwestern WA, southern VIC and much of TAS. The negative IOD may be playing a part in this, potentially feeding moisture into cold fronts sweeping across Australia's snowfields. Therefore a normal to above normal snow season is forecast.

  11. Long range rainfall forecast

    Cabarita Beach Rain Forecast


    Cabarita Beach 28-day Rainfall Forecast
    SUN
    MON
    TUE
    WED
    THU
    FRI
    SAT
    9
    MEDIUM
    10
    LOW
    11
    MEDIUM
    12
    HIGH
    13
    HIGH
    14
    HIGH
    15
    HIGH
    16
    HIGH
    17
    MEDIUM
    18
    MEDIUM
    19
    MEDIUM
    20
    HIGH
    21
    MEDIUM
    22
    HIGH
    23
    MEDIUM
    24
    HIGH
    25
    MEDIUM
    26
    LOW
    27
    28
    LOW
    29
    30
    LOW
    31
    LOW
    Jun 1
    2
    3
    4
    MEDIUM
    5
    LOW
    6
    LOW
    CHANCE OF RAINFALL WITHIN DISTRICT
    NIL < 25%
    LOW 25% to 50%
    MEDIUM 50% to 75%
    HIGH ≥ 75%
    Issued May 8

    Issue Notes

    The hemispheric long wave pattern has remained stable in recent weeks. There are four main troughs. Currently the most significant troughs are near the longitudes of the southwest Indian Ocean, eastern Australia, the southeast Pacific, and the Atlantic Ocean.

    Summary:

    Over southern and eastern Australia the cold front events with potential to bring widespread rain are now expected about 22 May to 26 May, 1 June to 5 June, and 6 June to 10 June. Rain events originating in the tropics and moving south are possible about 13 May to 17 May, and 17 May to 21 May. Over Western Australia the strongest cold fronts should occur about 21 May to 25 May, 1 June to 5 June, and 8 June to 12 June.

    Forecast Explanation

    This forecast is produced by a multi-model ensemble consisting of dynamical atmospheric models, which are forced by the latest observed atmosphere, ocean, land and ice conditions. The models are designed to simulate features of the real atmosphere, including the daily movement of long and short wave patterns in the Southern Hemisphere.

    The future probability of rain in each district is estimated using output from the multi-model ensemble, combined with historical information about the difference between the model forecasts and observed rainfall.

    In this deterministic framework the skill of the forecast tends to decrease with time, however the forecasts are updated daily to provide the latest estimates of rainfall probability out to 28 days.

  12. Popup - Daily historical

  13. Past 5 Days

    Cabarita Beach Past 5 Days

    This Month
    Minimum Maximum Rainfall
    Tuesday
    May 04
    12.7 °C 25.6 °C
    -
    Wednesday
    May 05
    14.5 °C 17.8 °C
    3.5 mm
    Thursday
    May 06
    - 23.0 °C
    17.0 mm
    Friday
    May 07
    11.6 °C 26.4 °C
    0.0 mm
    Saturday
    May 08
    14.3 °C -
    0.0 mm
    Legend
  14. Almanac

    Almanac


    Cabarita Beach minimum temp history (28.3321°S, 153.5697°E, 2m AMSL)
    MAXIMUM TEMPERATURE MINIMUM TEMPERATURE
    Hottest this month 25.6° 04/05/2021 Coldest this month 11.6° 07/05/2021
    Hottest on record 31.9 04/05/2007 Coldest on record 2.2 25/05/2016
    Hottest this year 34.0° 02/03/2021 Coldest this year 8.5° 23/04/2021
    Long term average 23.6° Long term average 12.6°
    Average this month 22.9° Average this month 14.7°
    Hottest May On Record Avg. max. temp. 26.1° 2016 Coldest May on record Avg. min. temp. 9.9° 1982
    Cabarita Beach rainfall history (28.3321°S, 153.5697°E, 2m AMSL)
    RAINFALL
    Wettest This Month 51.5mm 01/05/2021 Total This Month 87.0mm
    5.0 days
    Long Term Average 127.0mm 12.5 days Wettest May on record 543.0mm 1980
    Driest on record 2.4mm 2004
  15. Popup - Radar

    Weather Radar for Australia

  16. Year to Date

    Cabarita Beach Year To Date

    Average Rainfall To May 932.8mm 74.1 day(s)
    Total For 2021 1076.2mm 66.0 day(s)
    Total To This Day 2020 1111.0mm 48.0 day(s)
    Wettest Day 84.0mm Mar22
    Lowest Temperature 8.5°C Apr23
    Highest Temperature 34.0°C Mar 2
  17. Popup - Monthly historical

  18. Climatology

    Climate History

    Cabarita Beach Climatology

    Long-Term Averages
    Jan Feb Mar Apr May Jun Jul Aug Sep Oct Nov Dec Ann
    Mean Max (°C) 29.6 29.0 28.1 26.2 23.6 21.2 21.1 22.5 25.1 26.5 27.8 29.2 25.8
    Mean Min (°C) 19.7 19.7 18.4 15.7 12.6 10.0 8.5 8.7 11.5 14.2 16.6 18.6 14.5
    Mean Rain (mm) 204.7 226.9 223.6 150.6 127.0 106.5 62.0 52.5 39.7 98.3 118.4 175.8 1581.6
    Mean Rain Days 14.6 15.9 17.0 14.1 12.5 11.0 8.6 7.4 7.8 10.5 12.3 13.6 145.1