Forecast
Burra Creek (35.5501°S, 149.2276°E, 754m AMSL) set as my default location ›
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My MLA
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Current condition
TODAY12° 26° Chance of rain: 40% Likely amount: < 1mm First
lightLast light Sunrise Sunset 5:12am EDT 5:42am EDT 8:13pm EDT 8:43pm EDT NOW22.3° Feels Like: 18.8° Relative Humidity: 38% Dew: 7.3° Wind: N 15km/h Gust: 26km/h Rainfall since 9am: 0.0mm Pressure: 1013.4hPa -
Today Weather
Burra CreekNow22.4°cFeels Like:19.0°Wind:N 13km/hGusts:26km/hHumidity:35%12°Min26°MaxToday in Burra CreekPartly cloudy. Medium chance of showers in the southeast during the morning and afternoon. Areas of smoke haze. Light winds becoming NE/SE 15 to 25 km/h in the middle of the day. Daytime maximum temperatures between 19 and 29.Tomorrow11°Min30°MaxMostly sunny. Slight chance of a shower in the southeast, near zero chance elsewhere. Areas of smoke haze. Winds NE/SE 15 to 20 km/h tending NW/SW 25 to 35 km/h early in the morning then tending NE/SE 15 to 25 km/h in the late evening. Overnight temperatures falling to between 8 and 11 with daytime temperatures reaching 26 to 31. -
Radar
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Popup Radar
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Warnings
There are no current warnings for Burra Creek
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7 day forecast
Today: Partly cloudy. Medium chance of showers in the southeast during the morning and afternoon. Areas of smoke haze. Light winds becoming NE/SE 15 to 25 km/h in the middle of the day. Daytime maximum temperatures between 19 and 29.
Forecast for Burra Creek (35.5501°S, 149.2276°E, 754m AMSL) Fri Sat Sun Mon Tue Wed Thu Summary Minimum 12° 11° 13° 13° 11° 16° 16° Maximum 26° 30° 30° 32° 35° 38° 40° Chance of rain 40% 30% 5% 5% 5% 10% 30% Likely amount < 1mm < 1mm < 1mm < 1mm < 1mm < 1mm < 1mm UV index Extreme Extreme Extreme Extreme Extreme - - Frost risk Nil Nil Nil Nil Nil Nil Nil 9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm Wind speed 7
(km/h)13
(km/h)7
(km/h)22
(km/h)9
(km/h)25
(km/h)8
(km/h)16
(km/h)4
(km/h)12
(km/h)5
(km/h)18
(km/h)9
(km/h)19
(km/h)Wind direction NE NW NNW W NNW W WSW SSW ESE ENE N WNW NNW W Relative humidity 68% 32% 54% 22% 52% 18% 26% 18% 45% 15% 33% 13% 25% 9% Dew point 10°C 8°C 10°C 6°C 10°C 3°C 2°C 5°C 9°C 5°C 9°C 5°C 6°C 2°C -
28 Day Rainfall forecast
Burra Creek Rain Forecast
Burra Creek 28-day Rainfall ForecastSUNMONTUEWEDTHUFRISAT13
14
15
16
17
18
19
20
21
MEDIUM22
HIGH23
LOW24
HIGH25
LOW26
LOW27
LOW28
LOW29
MEDIUM30
31
LOWJan 1
MEDIUM2
LOW3
MEDIUM4
LOW5
LOW6
MEDIUM7
LOW8
9
LOW10
LOWCHANCE OF RAINFALL WITHIN DISTRICTNIL < 25%LOW 25% to 50%MEDIUM 50% to 75%HIGH ≥ 75%Issued Dec13Issue Notes
The hemispheric long wave pattern has remained stable in recent weeks. There are six main troughs. Currently the most significant troughs are near the longitudes of South Africa, the Indian Ocean, Western Australia, New Zealand, the southeast Pacific, and South America.
Summary:
Over southern and eastern Australia the cold front events with potential to bring widespread rain are now expected about 24 December to 28 December, 30 December to 3 January, and 3 January to 7 January. Rain events originating in the tropics and moving south are possible about 22 December to 26 December, 26 December to 30 December, and 7 January to 11 January. Over Western Australia the strongest cold fronts should occur about 18 December to 22 December, 30 December to 3 January, and 8 January to 12 January.
Forecast ExplanationThis forecast is produced by a multi-model ensemble consisting of dynamical atmospheric models, which are forced by the latest observed atmosphere, ocean, land and ice conditions. The models are designed to simulate features of the real atmosphere, including the daily movement of long and short wave patterns in the Southern Hemisphere.
The future probability of rain in each district is estimated using output from the multi-model ensemble, combined with historical information about the difference between the model forecasts and observed rainfall.
In this deterministic framework the skill of the forecast tends to decrease with time, however the forecasts are updated daily to provide the latest estimates of rainfall probability out to 28 days.
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12 Month Rainfall Forecast
Burra Creek Rain Forecast
Burra Creek 12-month Rainfall ForecastDecJanFebMarAprMayJunJulAugSepOctNov20192020245764763436105012 - 34 - 78 - 910Well below normalBelow normalNear normalAbove normalWell above normalIssue Notes - Issued Dec 11
ENSO status: Neutral IOD status: Positive SAM status: Negative Sea surface temperatures (SSTs) across the equatorial central Pacific continued to exhibit a slight warming during November. The Nino3.4 index lingered between 0.6 and 0.7 throughout the month of November. However, this has dropped to 0.4 since early December. On the other hand, the Southern Oscillation Index (SOI) recorded a value of -9.3 in November. The current outlook continues to suggest warmer than average SSTs will persist across the equatorial Pacific Ocean through the coming months, but remaining within neutral values. Seven out of eight international models maintain a warmer than average equatorial Pacific Ocean through the first quarter of 2020, none of these reaching El Nino thresholds. The IRI ENSO forecast continues to suggest a less than 40% chance of another El Nino developing over the next 6 months, with a neutral ENSO the most likely outcome. To the west of Australia, the Indian Ocean Dipole (IOD) remains in the positive side of neutral, though it has significant strength after peaking in October . All six international models maintain a positive event until January. In terms of rainfall across Australia, there is little variation to the outlook issued last month across the west. However, the climate outlook for the eastern states has seen a significant drying over the past 2 months. The current outlook now favours a clearer below average rainfall signal for the eastern states. This however, excludes any extreme weather events such as tropical cyclones in Qld or East Coast Lows. For northern Australia, the current outlook favours a late onset of the North Australian Monsoon (NAM) across the Northern Territory and Queensland. Usually, Darwin tends to see the onset of NAM around christmas day. Further south, a negative trend in the Southern Annular Mode (SAM) continues to enhance frontal activity over southern SA, Victoria, Tasmania and southern NSW. This has offset the Positive IOD in far southern Victoria and western Tasmania, which continue to see average-to-above average rainfall odds through December and early January. Looking further ahead, with no significant signature from ENSO, there are no significant climate drivers tilting the balance towards a drier or wetter summer. The current outlook suggests neutral odds for the second half of summer.
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Long range rainfall forecast
Burra Creek Rain Forecast
Burra Creek 28-day Rainfall ForecastSUNMONTUEWEDTHUFRISAT13
14
15
16
17
18
19
20
21
MEDIUM22
HIGH23
LOW24
HIGH25
LOW26
LOW27
LOW28
LOW29
MEDIUM30
31
LOWJan 1
MEDIUM2
LOW3
MEDIUM4
LOW5
LOW6
MEDIUM7
LOW8
9
LOW10
LOWCHANCE OF RAINFALL WITHIN DISTRICTNIL < 25%LOW 25% to 50%MEDIUM 50% to 75%HIGH ≥ 75%Issued Dec13Issue Notes
The hemispheric long wave pattern has remained stable in recent weeks. There are six main troughs. Currently the most significant troughs are near the longitudes of South Africa, the Indian Ocean, Western Australia, New Zealand, the southeast Pacific, and South America.
Summary:
Over southern and eastern Australia the cold front events with potential to bring widespread rain are now expected about 24 December to 28 December, 30 December to 3 January, and 3 January to 7 January. Rain events originating in the tropics and moving south are possible about 22 December to 26 December, 26 December to 30 December, and 7 January to 11 January. Over Western Australia the strongest cold fronts should occur about 18 December to 22 December, 30 December to 3 January, and 8 January to 12 January.
Forecast ExplanationThis forecast is produced by a multi-model ensemble consisting of dynamical atmospheric models, which are forced by the latest observed atmosphere, ocean, land and ice conditions. The models are designed to simulate features of the real atmosphere, including the daily movement of long and short wave patterns in the Southern Hemisphere.
The future probability of rain in each district is estimated using output from the multi-model ensemble, combined with historical information about the difference between the model forecasts and observed rainfall.
In this deterministic framework the skill of the forecast tends to decrease with time, however the forecasts are updated daily to provide the latest estimates of rainfall probability out to 28 days.
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Popup - Daily historical
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Past 5 Days
Burra Creek Past 5 Days
This MonthMinimum Maximum Rainfall Monday
Dec 0917.0 °C 34.1 °C 0.0 mmTuesday
Dec 1011.4 °C 37.7 °C 0.0 mmWednesday
Dec 1112.7 °C 32.2 °C 0.0 mmThursday
Dec 1214.0 °C 30 °C 0.0 mmFriday
Dec 1313 °C - 0.0 mmLegend -
Almanac
Almanac
Burra Creek minimum temp history (35.5501°S, 149.2276°E, 754m AMSL) MAXIMUM TEMPERATURE MINIMUM TEMPERATURE Hottest this month 37.7° 10/12/2019 Coldest this month 5.4° 01/12/2019 Hottest on record 38.3 31/12/2005 Coldest on record 1.2 27/12/2001 Hottest this year 40.8° 17/01/2019 Coldest this year -5.9° 24/08/2019 Long term average 27.1° Long term average 12.2° Average this month 27.4° Average this month 11.4° Hottest December On Record Avg. max. temp. 29.9° 1997 Coldest December on record Avg. min. temp. 10.6° 2001 Burra Creek rainfall history (35.5501°S, 149.2276°E, 754m AMSL) RAINFALL Wettest This Month 0.6mm 03/12/2019 Total This Month 0.6mm
1.0 daysLong Term Average 68.7mm 8.1 days Wettest December on record 253.4mm 1997 -
Popup - Radar
Weather Radar for NSW/ACT
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Year to Date
Burra Creek Year To Date
Average Rainfall To Dec 665.9mm 99.2 day(s) Total For 2019 350.0mm 78.0 day(s) Total To This Day 2018 322.2mm 77.0 day(s) Wettest Day 43.6mm Mar30 Lowest Temperature -5.9°C Aug24 Highest Temperature 40.8°C Jan17 -
Popup - Monthly historical
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Climatology
Burra Creek Climatology
Burra Creek Long-Term Averages
Long-Term Averages Jan Feb Mar Apr May Jun Jul Aug Sep Oct Nov Dec Ann Mean Max (°C) 29.5 28.1 25.3 20.9 16.6 13.0 12.2 14.1 17.6 20.8 24.3 27.1 20.8 Mean Min (°C) 14.3 14.2 11.4 6.8 2.7 1.4 0.1 0.9 3.8 6.3 9.8 12.2 7.0 Mean Rain (mm) 56.0 81.2 54.9 35.4 25.4 59.9 43.4 48.8 64.3 53.3 74.6 68.7 666.0 Mean Rain Days 7.3 7.4 7.0 6.1 6.0 10.4 11.1 9.2 8.7 8.4 9.5 8.1 95.0