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Forecast

Bullio (34.3446°S, 150.1686°E, 698m AMSL) set as my default location ›

  1. My MLA

  2. Current condition

    TOMORROW
    Possible shower 20° 33°
    possible shower
    Chance of rain: 60%
    Likely amount: 1-5mm
    First
    light
    Sunrise Sunset Last light
    Sunrise Sunset
    5:46am EDT 6:14am EDT 8:08pm EDT 8:36pm EDT
    NOW
    27.2° Feels Like: 24.2°
    Relative Humidity: 58%
    Dew: 18.4°
    Wind: NE 30km/h
    Gust: 33km/h
    Rainfall since 9am: 0.0mm
    Pressure:  
  3. Today Weather

    Bullio
    Now
    27.6°c
    Feels Like:
    26.3°
    Wind:
    NNE 26km/h
    Gusts:
    32km/h
    Humidity:
    64%
    Possible shower
     
    20°
    Min
    33°
    Max
    Today in Bullio
    Partly cloudy. Medium chance of showers, most likely in the afternoon and evening. The chance of a thunderstorm in the north in the afternoon and evening. Areas of smoke haze, mainly in the evening. Light winds becoming S/SE 20 to 30 km/h in the morning. Overnight temperatures falling to between 19 and 22 with daytime temperatures reaching 28 to 34.
    Tomorrow
    Possible shower
    20°
    Min
    33°
    Max
    Partly cloudy. Areas of smoke haze, mainly in the south. Winds S/SE 15 to 20 km/h becoming light before dawn then becoming E 15 to 20 km/h in the late afternoon. Overnight temperatures falling to between 15 and 19 with daytime temperatures reaching 25 to 31.
  4. Radar

  5. Popup Radar

  6. Warnings

  7. Next 48 Hours


    Next 48 Hours


  8. 7 day forecast

    Today: Partly cloudy. Medium chance of showers, most likely in the afternoon and evening. The chance of a thunderstorm in the north in the afternoon and evening. Areas of smoke haze, mainly in the evening. Light winds becoming S/SE 20 to 30 km/h in the morning. Overnight temperatures falling to between 19 and 22 with daytime temperatures reaching 28 to 34.

    Forecast for Bullio (34.3446°S, 150.1686°E, 698m AMSL)
      Tue Wed Thu Fri Sat Sun Mon
    Summary Possible shower Hazy Mostly sunny Mostly sunny Sunny Possible shower Possible shower
    Minimum 20° 16° 15° 18° 21° 23° 14°
    Maximum 33° 29° 32° 36° 39° 33° 24°
    Chance of rain 60% 5% 5% 5% 10% 90% 90%
    Likely amount 1-5mm < 1mm < 1mm < 1mm < 1mm 10-20mm 1-5mm
    UV index Extreme Extreme Extreme Extreme - - -
    Frost risk Nil Nil Nil Nil Nil Nil Nil
      9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm
    Wind speed 12
    (km/h)
    18
    (km/h)
    13
    (km/h)
    21
    (km/h)
    17
    (km/h)
    23
    (km/h)
    18
    (km/h)
    22
    (km/h)
    21
    (km/h)
    22
    (km/h)
    26
    (km/h)
    25
    (km/h)
    16
    (km/h)
    23
    (km/h)
    Wind direction NNW SE E ESE NNE NE NNE NNE NW NNW WNW W SSW SSW
    Relative humidity 85% 46% 74% 48% 71% 38% 71% 36% 51% 27% 46% 41% 89% 61%
    Dew point 21°C 19°C 15°C 17°C 15°C 16°C 18°C 19°C 18°C 17°C 15°C 17°C 14°C 16°C
  9. 28 Day Rainfall forecast

    Bullio Rain Forecast


    Bullio 28-day Rainfall Forecast
    SUN
    MON
    TUE
    WED
    THU
    FRI
    SAT
    27
    LOW
    28
    MEDIUM
    29
    30
    31
    Feb 1
    2
    HIGH
    3
    HIGH
    4
    MEDIUM
    5
    MEDIUM
    6
    MEDIUM
    7
    LOW
    8
    MEDIUM
    9
    LOW
    10
    LOW
    11
    MEDIUM
    12
    LOW
    13
    14
    MEDIUM
    15
    LOW
    16
    LOW
    17
    LOW
    18
    MEDIUM
    19
    LOW
    20
    HIGH
    21
    LOW
    22
    LOW
    23
    MEDIUM
    24
    LOW
    CHANCE OF RAINFALL WITHIN DISTRICT
    NIL < 25%
    LOW 25% to 50%
    MEDIUM 50% to 75%
    HIGH ≥ 75%
    Issued Jan27

    Issue Notes

    The hemispheric long wave pattern has remained stable in recent weeks. There are six main troughs. Currently the most significant troughs are near the longitudes of South Africa, the Indian Ocean, eastern Australia, the south Pacific, South America, and the Atlantic Ocean.

    Summary:

    Over southern and eastern Australia the cold front events with potential to bring widespread rain are now expected about 11 February to 15 February, 20 February to 24 February, and 25 February to 29 February. Rain events originating in the tropics and moving south are possible about 4 February to 8 February, and 17 February to 21 February. Over Western Australia the strongest cold fronts should occur about 11 February to 15 February, 18 February to 22 February, and 25 February to 29 February.

    Forecast Explanation

    This forecast is produced by a multi-model ensemble consisting of dynamical atmospheric models, which are forced by the latest observed atmosphere, ocean, land and ice conditions. The models are designed to simulate features of the real atmosphere, including the daily movement of long and short wave patterns in the Southern Hemisphere.

    The future probability of rain in each district is estimated using output from the multi-model ensemble, combined with historical information about the difference between the model forecasts and observed rainfall.

    In this deterministic framework the skill of the forecast tends to decrease with time, however the forecasts are updated daily to provide the latest estimates of rainfall probability out to 28 days.

  10. 12 Month Rainfall Forecast

    Bullio Rain Forecast


    Bullio 12-month Rainfall Forecast
    Jan
    Feb
    Mar
    Apr
    May
    Jun
    Jul
    Aug
    Sep
    Oct
    Nov
    Dec
    2020
    4
    6
    4
    7
    7
    7
    8
    6
    6
    3
    2
    4
    10
    5
    0
    1
    2 - 3
    4 - 7
    8 - 9
    10
    Well below normal
    Below normal
    Near normal
    Above normal
    Well above normal

    Issue Notes - Issued Jan 14

    ENSO status: Neutral IOD status: Neutral SAM status: Trending neutral Sea surface temperatures (SSTs) across the equatorial central Pacific remained stable throughout December with the Nino3.4 index registering a value of 0.4 throughout the month. On the other hand, the Southern Oscillation Index (SOI) recorded a value of -5.5 in December. The current outlook suggests warmer than average SSTs will persist across the equatorial Pacific Ocean through the coming months, but remaining within neutral values. Six out of eight international models maintain a warmer than average equatorial Pacific Ocean through the first two quarters of 2020, none of these reaching El Nino thresholds. To the west of Australia, the Indian Ocean Dipole (IOD) has now returned to neutral, as waters off Western Australia have warmed up considerably. All six international models maintain neutral values until the austral winter with indications we could see another positive event later this year. In terms of rainfall across Australia, the current outlook favours a clearer below average rainfall signal for Western Australia and the Northern Territory through the remainder of January. This however, excludes any extreme weather events such as tropical cyclones. For the eastern states, there is a wetter than average signal for the coming weeks. Looking further ahead, with no significant signature from ENSO, there are no significant climate drivers tilting the balance towards a drier or wetter February. The current outlook suggests average-to-below average odds for February and March across the eastern states. The northern and western half of the country, however, could see a wet end to summer/start to autumn.

  11. Long range rainfall forecast

    Bullio Rain Forecast


    Bullio 28-day Rainfall Forecast
    SUN
    MON
    TUE
    WED
    THU
    FRI
    SAT
    27
    LOW
    28
    MEDIUM
    29
    30
    31
    Feb 1
    2
    HIGH
    3
    HIGH
    4
    MEDIUM
    5
    MEDIUM
    6
    MEDIUM
    7
    LOW
    8
    MEDIUM
    9
    LOW
    10
    LOW
    11
    MEDIUM
    12
    LOW
    13
    14
    MEDIUM
    15
    LOW
    16
    LOW
    17
    LOW
    18
    MEDIUM
    19
    LOW
    20
    HIGH
    21
    LOW
    22
    LOW
    23
    MEDIUM
    24
    LOW
    CHANCE OF RAINFALL WITHIN DISTRICT
    NIL < 25%
    LOW 25% to 50%
    MEDIUM 50% to 75%
    HIGH ≥ 75%
    Issued Jan27

    Issue Notes

    The hemispheric long wave pattern has remained stable in recent weeks. There are six main troughs. Currently the most significant troughs are near the longitudes of South Africa, the Indian Ocean, eastern Australia, the south Pacific, South America, and the Atlantic Ocean.

    Summary:

    Over southern and eastern Australia the cold front events with potential to bring widespread rain are now expected about 11 February to 15 February, 20 February to 24 February, and 25 February to 29 February. Rain events originating in the tropics and moving south are possible about 4 February to 8 February, and 17 February to 21 February. Over Western Australia the strongest cold fronts should occur about 11 February to 15 February, 18 February to 22 February, and 25 February to 29 February.

    Forecast Explanation

    This forecast is produced by a multi-model ensemble consisting of dynamical atmospheric models, which are forced by the latest observed atmosphere, ocean, land and ice conditions. The models are designed to simulate features of the real atmosphere, including the daily movement of long and short wave patterns in the Southern Hemisphere.

    The future probability of rain in each district is estimated using output from the multi-model ensemble, combined with historical information about the difference between the model forecasts and observed rainfall.

    In this deterministic framework the skill of the forecast tends to decrease with time, however the forecasts are updated daily to provide the latest estimates of rainfall probability out to 28 days.

  12. Popup - Daily historical

  13. Past 5 Days

    Bullio Past 5 Days

    This Month
    Minimum Maximum Rainfall
    Thursday
    Jan 23
    18.6 °C 35.1 °C
    0.0 mm
    Friday
    Jan 24
    15.6 °C 29.7 °C
    0.2 mm
    Saturday
    Jan 25
    17.1 °C 26.6 °C
    1.2 mm
    Sunday
    Jan 26
    16.5 °C 34.4 °C
    0.0 mm
    Monday
    Jan 27
    17.2 °C -
    0.0 mm
    Legend
  14. Almanac

    Almanac


    Bullio minimum temp history (34.3446°S, 150.1686°E, 698m AMSL)
    MAXIMUM TEMPERATURE MINIMUM TEMPERATURE
    Hottest this month 40.9° 04/01/2020 Coldest this month 11.5° 01/01/2020
    Hottest on record 40.0 30/01/2003 Coldest on record 4.1 13/01/2012
    Hottest this year 40.9° 04/01/2020 Coldest this year 11.5° 01/01/2020
    Long term average 26.1° Long term average 14.0°
    Average this month 26.5° Average this month 15.1°
    Hottest January On Record Avg. max. temp. 28.8° 2017 Coldest January on record Avg. min. temp. 12.7° 2002
    Bullio rainfall history (34.3446°S, 150.1686°E, 698m AMSL)
    RAINFALL
    Wettest This Month 12.8mm 18/01/2020 Total This Month 31.2mm
    13.0 days
    Long Term Average 62.6mm 12.6 days Wettest January on record 136.8mm 2017
  15. Popup - Radar

    Weather Radar for NSW/ACT

  16. Year to Date

    Bullio Year To Date

    Average Rainfall To Jan 62.6mm 12.6 day(s)
    Total For 2020 31.2mm 13.0 day(s)
    Total To This Day 2019 53.8mm 13.0 day(s)
    Wettest Day 12.8mm Jan18
    Lowest Temperature 11.5°C Jan 1
    Highest Temperature 40.9°C Jan 4
  17. Popup - Monthly historical

  18. Climatology

    Climate History

    Bullio Climatology

    Long-Term Averages
    Jan Feb Mar Apr May Jun Jul Aug Sep Oct Nov Dec Ann
    Mean Max (°C) 26.1 24.2 22.0 18.9 15.5 12.6 11.7 13.4 16.6 19.5 22.2 24.0 18.9
    Mean Min (°C) 14.0 13.9 12.0 8.5 4.7 3.5 2.4 2.9 5.5 7.7 10.6 12.1 8.1
    Mean Rain (mm) 62.6 104.8 83.9 55.4 41.9 90.0 48.1 51.4 42.2 44.9 66.3 59.4 751.5
    Mean Rain Days 12.6 14.2 16.1 16.9 14.6 17.0 13.7 11.9 11.3 11.4 14.5 12.4 160.4