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Forecast

Bulla Creek (34.122°S, 148.2611°E, 351m AMSL) set as my default location ›

  1. My MLA

  2. Current condition

    TODAY
    Sunny 13° 33°
    Chance of rain: 10%
    Likely amount: < 1mm
    First
    light
    Sunrise Sunset Last light
    Sunrise Sunset
    5:52am EDT 6:20am EDT 8:18pm EDT 8:46pm EDT
    NOW
    11.9° Feels Like: 9.6°
    Relative Humidity: 66%
    Dew: 5.8°
    Wind: SSW 7km/h
    Gust: 7km/h
    Rainfall since 9am: 0.0mm
    Pressure: 1014.5hPa
  3. Today Weather

    Bulla Creek
    Now
    16.7°c
    Feels Like:
    14.5°
    Wind:
    ESE 7km/h
    Gusts:
    9km/h
    Humidity:
    51%
    Sunny
     
    13°
    Min
    33°
    Max
    Today in Bulla Creek
    Mostly sunny. Possible morning fog patches. Areas of smoke haze. Light winds. Daytime maximum temperatures 28 to 34.
    Tomorrow
    Sunny
    16°
    Min
    36°
    Max
    Mostly sunny. Possible smoke haze. Light winds becoming SW 15 to 20 km/h in the evening. Overnight temperatures falling to between 13 and 18 with daytime temperatures reaching 31 to 36.
  4. Radar

  5. Popup Radar

  6. Warnings

    There are no current warnings for Bulla Creek

  7. Next 48 Hours


    Next 48 Hours


  8. 7 day forecast

    Today: Mostly sunny. Possible morning fog patches. Areas of smoke haze. Light winds. Daytime maximum temperatures 28 to 34.

    Forecast for Bulla Creek (34.122°S, 148.2611°E, 351m AMSL)
      Sat Sun Mon Tue Wed Thu Fri
    Summary Sunny Sunny Mostly sunny Sunny Sunny Sunny Sunny
    Minimum 13° 16° 18° 19° 16° 18° 22°
    Maximum 33° 36° 36° 37° 36° 37° 40°
    Chance of rain 10% 40% 20% 5% 5% 5% 5%
    Likely amount < 1mm < 1mm < 1mm < 1mm < 1mm < 1mm < 1mm
    UV index Extreme Extreme Extreme Extreme Extreme - -
    Frost risk Nil Nil Nil Nil Nil Nil Nil
      9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm
    Wind speed 8
    (km/h)
    11
    (km/h)
    3
    (km/h)
    15
    (km/h)
    10
    (km/h)
    15
    (km/h)
    6
    (km/h)
    22
    (km/h)
    8
    (km/h)
    15
    (km/h)
    10
    (km/h)
    8
    (km/h)
    13
    (km/h)
    13
    (km/h)
    Wind direction S W WSW W ENE W WSW WSW E WSW ENE NW NNE N
    Relative humidity 50% 22% 48% 25% 57% 26% 48% 15% 57% 19% 56% 17% 42% 13%
    Dew point 10°C 8°C 14°C 13°C 17°C 13°C 14°C 6°C 15°C 8°C 15°C 8°C 15°C 7°C
  9. 28 Day Rainfall forecast

    Bulla Creek Rain Forecast


    Bulla Creek 28-day Rainfall Forecast
    SUN
    MON
    TUE
    WED
    THU
    FRI
    SAT
    25
    26
    27
    LOW
    28
    29
    30
    31
    Feb 1
    2
    3
    LOW
    4
    MEDIUM
    5
    MEDIUM
    6
    LOW
    7
    LOW
    8
    LOW
    9
    10
    11
    LOW
    12
    LOW
    13
    LOW
    14
    LOW
    15
    LOW
    16
    LOW
    17
    18
    19
    LOW
    20
    LOW
    21
    22
    CHANCE OF RAINFALL WITHIN DISTRICT
    NIL < 25%
    LOW 25% to 50%
    MEDIUM 50% to 75%
    HIGH ≥ 75%
    Issued Jan24

    Issue Notes

    The hemispheric long wave pattern has remained stable in recent weeks. There are six main troughs. Currently the most significant troughs are near the longitudes of South Africa, the southwest Indian Ocean, Western Australia, the southeast Pacific, South America, and the Atlantic Ocean.

    Summary:

    Over southern and eastern Australia the cold front events with potential to bring widespread rain are now expected about 2 February to 6 February, 12 February to 16 February, and 26 February to 1 March. Rain events originating in the tropics and moving south are possible about 29 January to 2 February, and 10 February to 14 February. Over Western Australia the strongest cold fronts should occur about 2 February to 6 February, and 10 February to 14 February.

    Forecast Explanation

    This forecast is produced by a multi-model ensemble consisting of dynamical atmospheric models, which are forced by the latest observed atmosphere, ocean, land and ice conditions. The models are designed to simulate features of the real atmosphere, including the daily movement of long and short wave patterns in the Southern Hemisphere.

    The future probability of rain in each district is estimated using output from the multi-model ensemble, combined with historical information about the difference between the model forecasts and observed rainfall.

    In this deterministic framework the skill of the forecast tends to decrease with time, however the forecasts are updated daily to provide the latest estimates of rainfall probability out to 28 days.

  10. 12 Month Rainfall Forecast

    Bulla Creek Rain Forecast


    Bulla Creek 12-month Rainfall Forecast
    Jan
    Feb
    Mar
    Apr
    May
    Jun
    Jul
    Aug
    Sep
    Oct
    Nov
    Dec
    2020
    5
    6
    6
    7
    6
    8
    7
    4
    5
    4
    7
    6
    10
    5
    0
    1
    2 - 3
    4 - 7
    8 - 9
    10
    Well below normal
    Below normal
    Near normal
    Above normal
    Well above normal

    Issue Notes - Issued Jan 14

    ENSO status: Neutral IOD status: Neutral SAM status: Trending neutral Sea surface temperatures (SSTs) across the equatorial central Pacific remained stable throughout December with the Nino3.4 index registering a value of 0.4 throughout the month. On the other hand, the Southern Oscillation Index (SOI) recorded a value of -5.5 in December. The current outlook suggests warmer than average SSTs will persist across the equatorial Pacific Ocean through the coming months, but remaining within neutral values. Six out of eight international models maintain a warmer than average equatorial Pacific Ocean through the first two quarters of 2020, none of these reaching El Nino thresholds. To the west of Australia, the Indian Ocean Dipole (IOD) has now returned to neutral, as waters off Western Australia have warmed up considerably. All six international models maintain neutral values until the austral winter with indications we could see another positive event later this year. In terms of rainfall across Australia, the current outlook favours a clearer below average rainfall signal for Western Australia and the Northern Territory through the remainder of January. This however, excludes any extreme weather events such as tropical cyclones. For the eastern states, there is a wetter than average signal for the coming weeks. Looking further ahead, with no significant signature from ENSO, there are no significant climate drivers tilting the balance towards a drier or wetter February. The current outlook suggests average-to-below average odds for February and March across the eastern states. The northern and western half of the country, however, could see a wet end to summer/start to autumn.

  11. Long range rainfall forecast

    Bulla Creek Rain Forecast


    Bulla Creek 28-day Rainfall Forecast
    SUN
    MON
    TUE
    WED
    THU
    FRI
    SAT
    25
    26
    27
    LOW
    28
    29
    30
    31
    Feb 1
    2
    3
    LOW
    4
    MEDIUM
    5
    MEDIUM
    6
    LOW
    7
    LOW
    8
    LOW
    9
    10
    11
    LOW
    12
    LOW
    13
    LOW
    14
    LOW
    15
    LOW
    16
    LOW
    17
    18
    19
    LOW
    20
    LOW
    21
    22
    CHANCE OF RAINFALL WITHIN DISTRICT
    NIL < 25%
    LOW 25% to 50%
    MEDIUM 50% to 75%
    HIGH ≥ 75%
    Issued Jan24

    Issue Notes

    The hemispheric long wave pattern has remained stable in recent weeks. There are six main troughs. Currently the most significant troughs are near the longitudes of South Africa, the southwest Indian Ocean, Western Australia, the southeast Pacific, South America, and the Atlantic Ocean.

    Summary:

    Over southern and eastern Australia the cold front events with potential to bring widespread rain are now expected about 2 February to 6 February, 12 February to 16 February, and 26 February to 1 March. Rain events originating in the tropics and moving south are possible about 29 January to 2 February, and 10 February to 14 February. Over Western Australia the strongest cold fronts should occur about 2 February to 6 February, and 10 February to 14 February.

    Forecast Explanation

    This forecast is produced by a multi-model ensemble consisting of dynamical atmospheric models, which are forced by the latest observed atmosphere, ocean, land and ice conditions. The models are designed to simulate features of the real atmosphere, including the daily movement of long and short wave patterns in the Southern Hemisphere.

    The future probability of rain in each district is estimated using output from the multi-model ensemble, combined with historical information about the difference between the model forecasts and observed rainfall.

    In this deterministic framework the skill of the forecast tends to decrease with time, however the forecasts are updated daily to provide the latest estimates of rainfall probability out to 28 days.

  12. Popup - Daily historical

  13. Past 5 Days

    Bulla Creek Past 5 Days

    This Month
    Minimum Maximum Rainfall
    Monday
    Jan 20
    17.6 °C 26.9 °C
    2.0 mm
    Tuesday
    Jan 21
    13.8 °C 27.9 °C
    1.8 mm
    Wednesday
    Jan 22
    12.7 °C 35.7 °C
    0.0 mm
    Thursday
    Jan 23
    17.5 °C 33.5 °C
    0.0 mm
    Friday
    Jan 24
    14.5 °C 28 °C
    0.6 mm
    Legend
  14. Almanac

    Almanac


    Bulla Creek minimum temp history (34.122°S, 148.2611°E, 351m AMSL)
    MAXIMUM TEMPERATURE MINIMUM TEMPERATURE
    Hottest this month 44.9° 04/01/2020 Coldest this month 12.7° 22/01/2020
    Hottest on record 42.6 18/01/2013 Coldest on record 1.4 03/01/2002
    Hottest this year 44.9° 04/01/2020 Coldest this year 12.7° 22/01/2020
    Long term average 31.9° Long term average 14.7°
    Average this month 34.0° Average this month 17.1°
    Hottest January On Record Avg. max. temp. 35.0° 2013 Coldest January on record Avg. min. temp. 11.9° 2000
    Bulla Creek rainfall history (34.122°S, 148.2611°E, 351m AMSL)
    RAINFALL
    Wettest This Month 13.6mm 17/01/2020 Total This Month 20.0mm
    6.0 days
    Long Term Average 42.4mm 6.9 days Wettest January on record 92.2mm 2013
  15. Popup - Radar

    Weather Radar for NSW/ACT

  16. Year to Date

    Bulla Creek Year To Date

    Average Rainfall To Jan 42.4mm 6.9 day(s)
    Total For 2020 20.0mm 6.0 day(s)
    Total To This Day 2019 87.4mm 11.0 day(s)
    Wettest Day 13.6mm Jan17
    Lowest Temperature 12.7°C Jan22
    Highest Temperature 44.9°C Jan 4
  17. Popup - Monthly historical

  18. Climatology

    Climate History

    Bulla Creek Climatology

    Long-Term Averages
    Jan Feb Mar Apr May Jun Jul Aug Sep Oct Nov Dec Ann
    Mean Max (°C) 31.9 30.6 27.2 22.7 17.8 13.9 12.8 14.4 17.7 22.0 26.1 29.3 22.2
    Mean Min (°C) 14.7 14.7 11.2 6.6 3.3 2.6 1.2 1.5 3.1 5.3 9.2 11.9 7.1
    Mean Rain (mm) 42.4 52.8 47.5 33.7 41.7 67.4 63.8 53.0 57.2 47.8 66.4 61.8 635.5
    Mean Rain Days 6.9 7.3 6.8 5.7 9.8 14.9 17.5 14.7 11.6 9.1 8.5 7.2 114.6