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Forecast

Bulby Brush (31.7934°S, 152.3259°E, 105m AMSL) set as my default location ›

  1. My MLA

  2. Current condition

    TODAY
    Possible shower 15° 22°
    possible shower
    Chance of rain: 60%
    Likely amount: 1-5mm
    First
    light
    Sunrise Sunset Last light
    Sunrise Sunset
    5:42am EST 6:07am EST 5:36pm EST 6:00pm EST
    NOW
    17.2° Feels Like: 18.3°
    Relative Humidity: 97%
    Dew: 16.7°
    Wind: NW 6km/h
    Gust: 7km/h
    Rainfall since 9am: 0.2mm
    Pressure: 1025.3hPa
  3. Today Weather

    Bulby Brush
    Now
    17.0°c
    Feels Like:
    17.9°
    Wind:
    WSW 7km/h
    Gusts:
    7km/h
    Humidity:
    98%
    Possible shower
     
    15°
    Min
    22°
    Max
    Today in Bulby Brush
    Cloudy. High chance of showers. Light winds. Daytime maximum temperatures between 17 and 23.
    Tomorrow
    Late shower
    15°
    Min
    25°
    Max
    Partly cloudy. Areas of morning fog. High chance of showers, most likely in the afternoon and evening. Light winds. Overnight temperatures falling to between 12 and 16 with daytime temperatures reaching between 19 and 25.
  4. Radar

  5. Popup Radar

  6. Warnings

    There are no current warnings for Bulby Brush

  7. Next 48 Hours


    Next 48 Hours


  8. 7 day forecast

    Today: Cloudy. High chance of showers. Light winds. Daytime maximum temperatures between 17 and 23.

    Forecast for Bulby Brush (31.7934°S, 152.3259°E, 105m AMSL)
      Thu Fri Sat Sun Mon Tue Wed
    Summary Possible shower Late shower Sunny Mostly sunny Mostly sunny Sunny Sunny
    Minimum 15° 15° 15° 12° 10° 12° 11°
    Maximum 22° 25° 26° 21° 22° 25° 25°
    Chance of rain 60% 90% 10% 10% 10% 5% 5%
    Likely amount 1-5mm 1-5mm < 1mm < 1mm < 1mm < 1mm < 1mm
    UV index High High High High Moderate - -
    Frost risk Nil Nil Nil Nil Nil Nil Nil
      9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm
    Wind speed 9
    (km/h)
    13
    (km/h)
    9
    (km/h)
    14
    (km/h)
    18
    (km/h)
    23
    (km/h)
    21
    (km/h)
    18
    (km/h)
    8
    (km/h)
    14
    (km/h)
    6
    (km/h)
    13
    (km/h)
    6
    (km/h)
    13
    (km/h)
    Wind direction WSW E NNE NNE WNW WNW WSW SW W ESE W SE W ESE
    Relative humidity 87% 75% 86% 78% 68% 44% 56% 50% 70% 57% 76% 58% 76% 59%
    Dew point 17°C 17°C 18°C 19°C 14°C 12°C 8°C 9°C 11°C 12°C 15°C 15°C 15°C 15°C
  9. 28 Day Rainfall forecast

    Bulby Brush Rain Forecast


    Bulby Brush 28-day Rainfall Forecast
    SUN
    MON
    TUE
    WED
    THU
    FRI
    SAT
    9
    HIGH
    10
    MEDIUM
    11
    12
    13
    LOW
    14
    15
    16
    LOW
    17
    18
    LOW
    19
    LOW
    20
    MEDIUM
    21
    HIGH
    22
    MEDIUM
    23
    24
    LOW
    25
    LOW
    26
    27
    LOW
    28
    LOW
    29
    HIGH
    30
    MEDIUM
    May 1
    2
    3
    LOW
    4
    5
    LOW
    6
    MEDIUM
    7
    MEDIUM
    8
    MEDIUM
    CHANCE OF RAINFALL WITHIN DISTRICT
    NIL < 25%
    LOW 25% to 50%
    MEDIUM 50% to 75%
    HIGH ≥ 75%
    Issued Apr 8

    Issue Notes

    The hemispheric long wave pattern has remained stable in recent weeks. There are five main troughs. Currently the most significant troughs are near the longitudes of South Africa, the southwest Indian Ocean, Western Australia, the southeast Pacific, and the Atlantic Ocean.

    Summary:

    Over southern and eastern Australia the cold front events with potential to bring widespread rain are now expected about 15 April to 19 April, 26 April to 30 April, and 30 April to 4 May. Rain events originating in the tropics and moving south are possible about 6 April to 10 April. Over Western Australia the strongest cold fronts should occur about 15 April to 19 April, 29 April to 3 May, and 8 May to 12 May.

    Forecast Explanation

    This forecast is produced by a multi-model ensemble consisting of dynamical atmospheric models, which are forced by the latest observed atmosphere, ocean, land and ice conditions. The models are designed to simulate features of the real atmosphere, including the daily movement of long and short wave patterns in the Southern Hemisphere.

    The future probability of rain in each district is estimated using output from the multi-model ensemble, combined with historical information about the difference between the model forecasts and observed rainfall.

    In this deterministic framework the skill of the forecast tends to decrease with time, however the forecasts are updated daily to provide the latest estimates of rainfall probability out to 28 days.

  10. 12 Month Rainfall Forecast

    Bulby Brush Rain Forecast


    Bulby Brush 12-month Rainfall Forecast
    Apr
    May
    Jun
    Jul
    Aug
    Sep
    Oct
    Nov
    Dec
    Jan
    Feb
    2020
    2021
    7
    6
    5
    8
    6
    6
    5
    9
    4
    4
    8
    10
    5
    0
    1
    2 - 3
    4 - 7
    8 - 9
    10
    Well below normal
    Below normal
    Near normal
    Above normal
    Well above normal

    Issue Notes - Issued Mar 9

    ENSO status: Neutral IOD status: Neutral SAM status: Trending neutral Sea surface temperatures (SSTs) across the equatorial central Pacific remained stable throughout February with the Nino3.4 index registering a value of 0.3. On the other hand, the Southern Oscillation Index (SOI) recorded a value of -2.2 in February. The current outlook suggests slightly warmer than average SSTs will persist across the equatorial Pacific Ocean through the austral autumn, potentially cooling further by the austral winter. Four out of seven international models maintain a slightly warmer than average equatorial Pacific Ocean through the first half of winter. To the west of Australia, the Indian Ocean Dipole (IOD) remains neutral, normal for this time of the year. All six international models maintain neutral IOD values through to the austral winter. In terms of precipitation across Australia, the current outlook favours below average rainfall for western, central and southeastern parts of the country. Across NSW and Qld, the outlook is for average-to-above average, mainly across the Qld coasts. This excludes any extreme weather events such as tropical cyclones or East Coast Lows. Across the north, the North Australian Monsoon (NAM) has been quiet for most of the wet season, with the current prognosis suggesting below average rainfall for March but above average in April. Looking further ahead, with no significant signature from ENSO, there are no significant climate drivers tilting the balance towards a drier or wetter end of autumn/winter. The current consensus, however, suggests that average to above average rainfall is a possibility across northern, western and parts of the inland south east.

  11. Long range rainfall forecast

    Bulby Brush Rain Forecast


    Bulby Brush 28-day Rainfall Forecast
    SUN
    MON
    TUE
    WED
    THU
    FRI
    SAT
    9
    HIGH
    10
    MEDIUM
    11
    12
    13
    LOW
    14
    15
    16
    LOW
    17
    18
    LOW
    19
    LOW
    20
    MEDIUM
    21
    HIGH
    22
    MEDIUM
    23
    24
    LOW
    25
    LOW
    26
    27
    LOW
    28
    LOW
    29
    HIGH
    30
    MEDIUM
    May 1
    2
    3
    LOW
    4
    5
    LOW
    6
    MEDIUM
    7
    MEDIUM
    8
    MEDIUM
    CHANCE OF RAINFALL WITHIN DISTRICT
    NIL < 25%
    LOW 25% to 50%
    MEDIUM 50% to 75%
    HIGH ≥ 75%
    Issued Apr 8

    Issue Notes

    The hemispheric long wave pattern has remained stable in recent weeks. There are five main troughs. Currently the most significant troughs are near the longitudes of South Africa, the southwest Indian Ocean, Western Australia, the southeast Pacific, and the Atlantic Ocean.

    Summary:

    Over southern and eastern Australia the cold front events with potential to bring widespread rain are now expected about 15 April to 19 April, 26 April to 30 April, and 30 April to 4 May. Rain events originating in the tropics and moving south are possible about 6 April to 10 April. Over Western Australia the strongest cold fronts should occur about 15 April to 19 April, 29 April to 3 May, and 8 May to 12 May.

    Forecast Explanation

    This forecast is produced by a multi-model ensemble consisting of dynamical atmospheric models, which are forced by the latest observed atmosphere, ocean, land and ice conditions. The models are designed to simulate features of the real atmosphere, including the daily movement of long and short wave patterns in the Southern Hemisphere.

    The future probability of rain in each district is estimated using output from the multi-model ensemble, combined with historical information about the difference between the model forecasts and observed rainfall.

    In this deterministic framework the skill of the forecast tends to decrease with time, however the forecasts are updated daily to provide the latest estimates of rainfall probability out to 28 days.

  12. Popup - Daily historical

  13. Past 5 Days

    Bulby Brush Past 5 Days

    This Month
    Minimum Maximum Rainfall
    Saturday
    Apr 04
    18.6 °C 29.2 °C
    6.0 mm
    Sunday
    Apr 05
    12.7 °C 24.2 °C
    0.0 mm
    Monday
    Apr 06
    11.8 °C 24.1 °C
    0.0 mm
    Tuesday
    Apr 07
    15.8 °C 21.6 °C
    0.0 mm
    Wednesday
    Apr 08
    14.1 °C 24 °C
    0.8 mm
    Legend
  14. Almanac

    Almanac


    Bulby Brush minimum temp history (31.7934°S, 152.3259°E, 105m AMSL)
    MAXIMUM TEMPERATURE MINIMUM TEMPERATURE
    Hottest this month 29.2° 04/04/2020 Coldest this month 11.8° 06/04/2020
    Hottest on record 33.0 12/04/2006 Coldest on record 4.0 23/04/2006
    Hottest this year 40.4° 02/02/2020 Coldest this year 11.8° 06/04/2020
    Long term average 24.3° Long term average 13.7°
    Average this month 25.8° Average this month 15.5°
    Hottest April On Record Avg. max. temp. 26.0° 2016 Coldest April on record Avg. min. temp. 11.4° 2006
    Bulby Brush rainfall history (31.7934°S, 152.3259°E, 105m AMSL)
    RAINFALL
    Wettest This Month 6.0mm 04/04/2020 Total This Month 11.0mm
    4.0 days
    Long Term Average 102.6mm 13.7 days Wettest April on record 504.1mm 2008
    Driest on record 12.4mm 2004
  15. Popup - Radar

    Weather Radar for NSW/ACT

  16. Year to Date

    Bulby Brush Year To Date

    Average Rainfall To Apr 493.9mm 54.0 day(s)
    Total For 2020 725.4mm 57.0 day(s)
    Total To This Day 2019 174.4mm 42.0 day(s)
    Wettest Day 158.8mm Feb 9
    Lowest Temperature 11.8°C Apr 6
    Highest Temperature 40.4°C Feb 2
  17. Popup - Monthly historical

  18. Climatology

    Climate History

    Bulby Brush Climatology

    Long-Term Averages
    Jan Feb Mar Apr May Jun Jul Aug Sep Oct Nov Dec Ann
    Mean Max (°C) 28.9 28.4 26.9 24.3 21.5 19.0 18.5 20.1 23.0 24.8 26.0 27.7 24.1
    Mean Min (°C) 18.3 18.2 16.7 13.7 10.1 8.1 6.8 6.8 9.4 11.8 15.2 16.7 12.7
    Mean Rain (mm) 97.7 135.1 158.5 102.6 91.1 103.3 59.1 54.6 51.1 73.8 114.9 79.1 1122.6
    Mean Rain Days 12.8 13.3 14.2 13.7 12.3 12.9 11.4 10.1 9.6 10.1 13.0 12.2 137.6