Australian Government Bureau of Meteorology
TOP PRIORITY FOR IMMEDIATE BROADCAST
Severe Weather Warning
for Damaging Winds
for parts of South West Slopes, Riverina, Lower Western, Upper Western, Snowy Mountains and Australian Capital Territory Forecast Districts.
Issued at 12:02 pm Tuesday, 21 January 2020.
Strong and gusty winds ahead of a cold front
Weather Situation
Vigorous winds are expected across parts of southern and western New South Wales ahead of a cold front that will enter the state's far southwest on Wednesday evening.
DAMAGING WINDS for the following areas:
South West Slopes, Riverina, Lower Western, Upper Western, Snowy Mountains and Australian Capital Territory
DAMAGING WINDS, averaging 60 to 70 km/h with peak gusts in excess of 90 km/h are possible across parts of the Lower Western, Upper Western and Riverina forecast districts during Wednesday afternoon and evening.
For areas above 1500 metres on the Snowy Mountains, Australian Capital Territory and South West Slopes, DAMAGING WINDS, averaging 80 to 90 km/h with peak gusts in excess of 120 km/h are expected from late Wednesday.
Locations which may be affected include Broken Hill, Menindee, Balranald, Fowlers Gap, Cabramurra, Thredbo and Charlotte Pass.
The State Emergency Service advises that people should:
* Move vehicles under cover or away from trees.
* Secure or put away loose items around your house, yard and balcony.
* Keep at least 8 metres away from fallen power lines or objects that may be energised, such as fences.
* Report fallen power lines to either Ausgrid (131 388), Endeavour Energy (131 003), Essential Energy (132 080) or Evoenergy (131 093) as shown on your power bill.
* For emergency help in floods and storms, ring your local SES Unit on 132 500.
The next Severe Weather Warning will be issued by 5:00 pm AEDT Tuesday.
Warnings are also available through TV and Radio broadcasts, the Bureau's website at www.bom.gov.au or call 1300 659 210. The Bureau and State Emergency Service would appreciate warnings being broadcast regularly.
Forecast
Buddong (35.6761°S, 148.2429°E, 894m AMSL) set as my default location ›
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My MLA
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Current condition
TODAY
11° 24° clearing shower Chance of rain: 60% Likely amount: < 1mm First
light
Last light Sunrise Sunset 5:45am EDT 6:14am EDT 8:24pm EDT 8:53pm EDT NOW11.2° Feels Like: 9.0° Relative Humidity: 100% Dew: 11.2° Wind: WNW 13km/h Gust: 15km/h Rainfall since 9am: 0.2mm Pressure: -
Today Weather
BuddongNow21.9°cFeels Like:19.8°Wind:WNW 15km/hGusts:19km/hHumidity:56%
11°Min24°MaxToday in BuddongPartly cloudy. Medium chance of showers in the south during the morning and afternoon. The chance of a thunderstorm near the Victorian border during this afternoon and early evening. Winds W 20 to 30 km/h becoming light in the evening. Daytime maximum temperatures 22 to 28.Tomorrow
11°Min31°MaxSunny day. The chance of a gusty thunderstorm at night. Light winds becoming N/NW 15 to 25 km/h in the morning then increasing to 25 to 35 km/h in the early afternoon. Overnight temperatures falling to between 12 and 16 with daytime temperatures reaching 28 to 35. -
Radar
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Popup Radar
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Warnings
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Next 48 Hours
Next 48 Hours
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7 day forecast
Today: Partly cloudy. Medium chance of showers in the south during the morning and afternoon. The chance of a thunderstorm near the Victorian border during this afternoon and early evening. Winds W 20 to 30 km/h becoming light in the evening. Daytime maximum temperatures 22 to 28.
Forecast for Buddong (35.6761°S, 148.2429°E, 894m AMSL) Tue Wed Thu Fri Sat Sun Mon Summary 
Minimum 11° 11° 15° 8° 8° 10° 13° Maximum 24° 31° 26° 25° 29° 32° 33° Chance of rain 60% 10% 40% 5% 5% 5% 50% Likely amount < 1mm 1-5mm 1-5mm < 1mm < 1mm < 1mm 1-5mm UV index Extreme Extreme Extreme Extreme Extreme - - Frost risk Nil Nil Nil Nil Nil Nil Nil 9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm Wind speed 6
(km/h)9
(km/h)8
(km/h)17
(km/h)15
(km/h)15
(km/h)6
(km/h)14
(km/h)3
(km/h)8
(km/h)4
(km/h)10
(km/h)5
(km/h)10
(km/h)Wind direction WNW WNW NNE N NNW NW WNW W S WSW NW W N WNW Relative humidity 85% 58% 59% 29% 52% 62% 56% 33% 55% 31% 55% 31% 50% 27% Dew point 13°C 15°C 12°C 10°C 16°C 15°C 7°C 7°C 8°C 10°C 10°C 12°C 11°C 11°C -
28 Day Rainfall forecast
Buddong Rain Forecast
Buddong 28-day Rainfall ForecastSUNMONTUEWEDTHUFRISAT21
LOW22
LOW23
MEDIUM24
25
26
27
28
29
30
31
Feb 1
MEDIUM2
LOW3
LOW4
5
6
LOW7
MEDIUM8
MEDIUM9
LOW10
11
12
13
LOW14
LOW15
LOW16
MEDIUM17
LOW18
CHANCE OF RAINFALL WITHIN DISTRICTNIL < 25%LOW 25% to 50%MEDIUM 50% to 75%HIGH ≥ 75%Issued Jan21Issue Notes
The hemispheric long wave pattern has been relatively fast moving in recent weeks. There are five main troughs. Currently the most significant troughs are near the longitudes of South Africa, the Indian Ocean, Western Australia, the south Pacific, and South America.
Summary:
Over southern and eastern Australia the cold front events with potential to bring widespread rain are now expected about 26 January to 30 January, 6 February to 10 February, and 15 February to 19 February. Rain events originating in the tropics and moving south are possible about 29 January to 2 February, 6 February to 10 February, and 21 February to 25 February. Over Western Australia the strongest cold fronts should occur about 12 February to 16 February, and 20 February to 24 February.
Forecast ExplanationThis forecast is produced by a multi-model ensemble consisting of dynamical atmospheric models, which are forced by the latest observed atmosphere, ocean, land and ice conditions. The models are designed to simulate features of the real atmosphere, including the daily movement of long and short wave patterns in the Southern Hemisphere.
The future probability of rain in each district is estimated using output from the multi-model ensemble, combined with historical information about the difference between the model forecasts and observed rainfall.
In this deterministic framework the skill of the forecast tends to decrease with time, however the forecasts are updated daily to provide the latest estimates of rainfall probability out to 28 days.
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12 Month Rainfall Forecast
Buddong Rain Forecast
Buddong 12-month Rainfall ForecastJanFebMarAprMayJunJulAugSepOctNovDec2020566768745476105012 - 34 - 78 - 910Well below normalBelow normalNear normalAbove normalWell above normalIssue Notes - Issued Jan 14
ENSO status: Neutral IOD status: Neutral SAM status: Trending neutral Sea surface temperatures (SSTs) across the equatorial central Pacific remained stable throughout December with the Nino3.4 index registering a value of 0.4 throughout the month. On the other hand, the Southern Oscillation Index (SOI) recorded a value of -5.5 in December. The current outlook suggests warmer than average SSTs will persist across the equatorial Pacific Ocean through the coming months, but remaining within neutral values. Six out of eight international models maintain a warmer than average equatorial Pacific Ocean through the first two quarters of 2020, none of these reaching El Nino thresholds. To the west of Australia, the Indian Ocean Dipole (IOD) has now returned to neutral, as waters off Western Australia have warmed up considerably. All six international models maintain neutral values until the austral winter with indications we could see another positive event later this year. In terms of rainfall across Australia, the current outlook favours a clearer below average rainfall signal for Western Australia and the Northern Territory through the remainder of January. This however, excludes any extreme weather events such as tropical cyclones. For the eastern states, there is a wetter than average signal for the coming weeks. Looking further ahead, with no significant signature from ENSO, there are no significant climate drivers tilting the balance towards a drier or wetter February. The current outlook suggests average-to-below average odds for February and March across the eastern states. The northern and western half of the country, however, could see a wet end to summer/start to autumn.
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Long range rainfall forecast
Buddong Rain Forecast
Buddong 28-day Rainfall ForecastSUNMONTUEWEDTHUFRISAT21
LOW22
LOW23
MEDIUM24
25
26
27
28
29
30
31
Feb 1
MEDIUM2
LOW3
LOW4
5
6
LOW7
MEDIUM8
MEDIUM9
LOW10
11
12
13
LOW14
LOW15
LOW16
MEDIUM17
LOW18
CHANCE OF RAINFALL WITHIN DISTRICTNIL < 25%LOW 25% to 50%MEDIUM 50% to 75%HIGH ≥ 75%Issued Jan21Issue Notes
The hemispheric long wave pattern has been relatively fast moving in recent weeks. There are five main troughs. Currently the most significant troughs are near the longitudes of South Africa, the Indian Ocean, Western Australia, the south Pacific, and South America.
Summary:
Over southern and eastern Australia the cold front events with potential to bring widespread rain are now expected about 26 January to 30 January, 6 February to 10 February, and 15 February to 19 February. Rain events originating in the tropics and moving south are possible about 29 January to 2 February, 6 February to 10 February, and 21 February to 25 February. Over Western Australia the strongest cold fronts should occur about 12 February to 16 February, and 20 February to 24 February.
Forecast ExplanationThis forecast is produced by a multi-model ensemble consisting of dynamical atmospheric models, which are forced by the latest observed atmosphere, ocean, land and ice conditions. The models are designed to simulate features of the real atmosphere, including the daily movement of long and short wave patterns in the Southern Hemisphere.
The future probability of rain in each district is estimated using output from the multi-model ensemble, combined with historical information about the difference between the model forecasts and observed rainfall.
In this deterministic framework the skill of the forecast tends to decrease with time, however the forecasts are updated daily to provide the latest estimates of rainfall probability out to 28 days.
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Popup - Daily historical
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Past 5 Days
Buddong Past 5 Days
This MonthMinimum Maximum Rainfall Friday
Jan 1713.5 °C 29.8 °C 6.0 mmSaturday
Jan 1814.0 °C 31.9 °C 0.0 mmSunday
Jan 1915.8 °C 31.7 °C 6.0 mmMonday
Jan 2013.3 °C 22 °C 14.2 mmTuesday
Jan 2113 °C - 22.0 mmLegend -
Almanac
Almanac
Buddong minimum temp history (35.6761°S, 148.2429°E, 894m AMSL) MAXIMUM TEMPERATURE MINIMUM TEMPERATURE Hottest this month 42.0° 04/01/2020 Coldest this month 8.8° 02/01/2020 Hottest on record 40.5 16/01/2014 Coldest on record 1.6 13/01/1983 Hottest this year 42.0° 04/01/2020 Coldest this year 8.8° 02/01/2020 Long term average 28.9° Long term average 12.2° Average this month 31.3° Average this month 13.3° Hottest January On Record Avg. max. temp. 32.1° 2013 Coldest January on record Avg. min. temp. 9.7° 1970 Buddong rainfall history (35.6761°S, 148.2429°E, 894m AMSL) RAINFALL Wettest This Month 22.0mm 21/01/2020 Total This Month 53.4mm
7.0 daysLong Term Average 58.4mm 5.6 days Wettest January on record 203.2mm 2013 -
Popup - Radar
Weather Radar for NSW/ACT
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Year to Date
Buddong Year To Date
Average Rainfall To Jan 58.4mm 5.6 day(s) Total For 2020 53.4mm 7.0 day(s) Total To This Day 2019 42.8mm 7.0 day(s) Wettest Day 22.0mm Jan21 Lowest Temperature 8.8°C Jan 2 Highest Temperature 42.0°C Jan 4 -
Popup - Monthly historical
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Climatology
Climate History
Buddong Climatology
Buddong Long-Term Averages
Long-Term Averages Jan Feb Mar Apr May Jun Jul Aug Sep Oct Nov Dec Ann Mean Max (°C) 28.9 28.4 25.1 20.0 15.2 11.8 10.7 12.3 15.4 19.4 22.8 26.0 19.5 Mean Min (°C) 12.2 12.1 8.9 5.1 2.4 0.3 -0.1 0.9 3.1 5.3 7.8 9.8 5.6 Mean Rain (mm) 58.4 52.4 63.8 62.5 79.6 98.9 100.0 100.6 86.9 90.0 72.5 66.8 930.4 Mean Rain Days 5.6 5.4 6.2 6.8 9.0 11.8 13.2 12.7 10.7 9.6 7.8 6.8 104.4
