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Forecast

Brungle Creek (35.1635°S, 148.3162°E, 400m AMSL) set as my default location ›

  1. My MLA

  2. Current condition

    TODAY
    Sunny 16°
    Chance of rain: 5%
    Likely amount: < 1mm
    First
    light
    Sunrise Sunset Last light
    Sunrise Sunset
    6:47am EST 7:15am EST 5:03pm EST 5:31pm EST
    NOW
    6.5° Feels Like: 5.3°
    Relative Humidity: 99%
    Dew: 6.3°
    Wind: NE 2km/h
    Gust: 2km/h
    Rainfall since 9am: 0.0mm
    Pressure: &nbsp;
  3. Today Weather

    Brungle Creek
    Now
    6.3°c
    Feels Like:
    2.7°
    Wind:
    W 13km/h
    Gusts:
    17km/h
    Humidity:
    92%
    Sunny
     
    Min
    16°
    Max
    Today in Brungle Creek
    Partly cloudy. Slight chance of a shower near the Victorian border, near zero chance elsewhere. Winds SW 15 to 20 km/h turning SE 15 to 25 km/h in the late morning and afternoon. Overnight temperatures falling to between 2 and 5 with daytime temperatures reaching between 10 and 15.
    Tomorrow
    Fog then sunny
    Min
    15°
    Max
    Mostly sunny. The chance of morning frost. Winds SE 15 to 25 km/h becoming light in the late afternoon. Overnight temperatures falling to between zero and 3 with daytime temperatures reaching between 10 and 15.
  4. Radar

  5. Popup Radar

  6. Warnings

    There are no current warnings for Brungle Creek

  7. Next 48 Hours


    Next 48 Hours


  8. 7 day forecast

    Today: Partly cloudy. Slight chance of a shower near the Victorian border, near zero chance elsewhere. Winds SW 15 to 20 km/h turning SE 15 to 25 km/h in the late morning and afternoon. Overnight temperatures falling to between 2 and 5 with daytime temperatures reaching between 10 and 15.

    Forecast for Brungle Creek (35.1635°S, 148.3162°E, 400m AMSL)
      Sat Sun Mon Tue Wed Thu Fri
    Summary Sunny Fog then sunny Fog then sunny Fog then sunny Mostly cloudy Rain Possible shower
    Minimum
    Maximum 16° 15° 15° 15° 15° 14° 14°
    Chance of rain 5% 5% 5% 20% 90% 90% 80%
    Likely amount < 1mm < 1mm < 1mm < 1mm 1-5mm 10-20mm 5-10mm
    UV index Low Low Low Low - - -
    Frost risk Nil High High Moderate Nil Nil Nil
      9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm
    Wind speed 8
    (km/h)
    14
    (km/h)
    4
    (km/h)
    6
    (km/h)
    4
    (km/h)
    4
    (km/h)
    6
    (km/h)
    6
    (km/h)
    11
    (km/h)
    10
    (km/h)
    13
    (km/h)
    8
    (km/h)
    9
    (km/h)
    10
    (km/h)
    Wind direction SW SW SE WSW ESE SW E NE ENE ENE ENE ENE NE NE
    Relative humidity 88% 64% 81% 62% 82% 64% 87% 68% 85% 75% 91% 90% 91% 83%
    Dew point 7°C 10°C 3°C 8°C 3°C 8°C 5°C 9°C 7°C 10°C 9°C 12°C 9°C 11°C
  9. 28 Day Rainfall forecast

    Brungle Creek Rain Forecast


    Brungle Creek 28-day Rainfall Forecast
    SUN
    MON
    TUE
    WED
    THU
    FRI
    SAT
    19
    20
    21
    22
    23
    HIGH
    24
    HIGH
    25
    LOW
    26
    27
    LOW
    28
    MEDIUM
    29
    LOW
    30
    MEDIUM
    Jul 1
    LOW
    2
    HIGH
    3
    LOW
    4
    LOW
    5
    LOW
    6
    MEDIUM
    7
    LOW
    8
    MEDIUM
    9
    10
    11
    MEDIUM
    12
    LOW
    13
    LOW
    14
    LOW
    15
    LOW
    16
    17
    CHANCE OF RAINFALL WITHIN DISTRICT
    NIL < 25%
    LOW 25% to 50%
    MEDIUM 50% to 75%
    HIGH ≥ 75%
    Issued Jun18

    Issue Notes

    The hemispheric long wave pattern has remained stable in recent weeks. There are four main troughs. Currently the most significant troughs are near the longitudes of South Africa, the Indian Ocean, New Zealand, the south Pacific, and the southeast Pacific.

    Summary:

    Over southern and eastern Australia the cold front events with potential to bring widespread rain are now expected about 28 June to 2 July, 3 July to 7 July, and 18 July to 22 July. Rain events originating in the tropics and moving south are possible about 24 June to 28 June, and 21 July to 25 July. Over Western Australia the strongest cold fronts should occur about 23 June to 27 June, 28 June to 2 July, and 3 July to 7 July.

    Forecast Explanation

    This forecast is produced by a multi-model ensemble consisting of dynamical atmospheric models, which are forced by the latest observed atmosphere, ocean, land and ice conditions. The models are designed to simulate features of the real atmosphere, including the daily movement of long and short wave patterns in the Southern Hemisphere.

    The future probability of rain in each district is estimated using output from the multi-model ensemble, combined with historical information about the difference between the model forecasts and observed rainfall.

    In this deterministic framework the skill of the forecast tends to decrease with time, however the forecasts are updated daily to provide the latest estimates of rainfall probability out to 28 days.

  10. 12 Month Rainfall Forecast

    Brungle Creek Rain Forecast


    Brungle Creek 12-month Rainfall Forecast
    Jun
    Jul
    Aug
    Sep
    Oct
    Nov
    Dec
    Jan
    Feb
    Mar
    Apr
    May
    2021
    2022
    9
    6
    6
    8
    8
    8
    6
    9
    8
    7
    5
    4
    10
    5
    0
    1
    2 - 3
    4 - 7
    8 - 9
    10
    Well below normal
    Below normal
    Near normal
    Above normal
    Well above normal

    Issue Notes - Issued Jun 15

    ENSO status: Neutral. IOD status: Neutral, although during the past three weeks it has been negative. SAM status: Positive. The El Niño–Southern Oscillation (ENSO) is currently neutral, which is predicted to continue until at least October. The Indian Ocean Dipole (IOD) is currently neutral. although the last 3 weekly values have been negative.The negative value would need to continue for another 5 weeks for a negative IOD to be declared. While a negative IOD has not been officially declared, the negative weekly value may enhance rainfall across central and southern Australia. A negative IOD is forecast during winter or early spring by 3 out of 5 climate models. However, the confidence in the IOD forecast at this time of the year is low, specifically because the models are showing a range of outcomes from mid winter onwards. During winter, much of the Australia is likely to be wetter than normal, apart from far southern WA and SA, southern VIC and much of TAS. The weekly negative IOD valuesmay be influencing this outlook, potentially feeding moisture into cold fronts sweeping across central and southern Australia. Therefore a normal to above normal snow season is forecast. Springs rainfall at this stage is forecast to be above normal for much of the Australia, apart from western TAS. Again, the negative IOD values may be playing a role in this outlook.

  11. Long range rainfall forecast

    Brungle Creek Rain Forecast


    Brungle Creek 28-day Rainfall Forecast
    SUN
    MON
    TUE
    WED
    THU
    FRI
    SAT
    19
    20
    21
    22
    23
    HIGH
    24
    HIGH
    25
    LOW
    26
    27
    LOW
    28
    MEDIUM
    29
    LOW
    30
    MEDIUM
    Jul 1
    LOW
    2
    HIGH
    3
    LOW
    4
    LOW
    5
    LOW
    6
    MEDIUM
    7
    LOW
    8
    MEDIUM
    9
    10
    11
    MEDIUM
    12
    LOW
    13
    LOW
    14
    LOW
    15
    LOW
    16
    17
    CHANCE OF RAINFALL WITHIN DISTRICT
    NIL < 25%
    LOW 25% to 50%
    MEDIUM 50% to 75%
    HIGH ≥ 75%
    Issued Jun18

    Issue Notes

    The hemispheric long wave pattern has remained stable in recent weeks. There are four main troughs. Currently the most significant troughs are near the longitudes of South Africa, the Indian Ocean, New Zealand, the south Pacific, and the southeast Pacific.

    Summary:

    Over southern and eastern Australia the cold front events with potential to bring widespread rain are now expected about 28 June to 2 July, 3 July to 7 July, and 18 July to 22 July. Rain events originating in the tropics and moving south are possible about 24 June to 28 June, and 21 July to 25 July. Over Western Australia the strongest cold fronts should occur about 23 June to 27 June, 28 June to 2 July, and 3 July to 7 July.

    Forecast Explanation

    This forecast is produced by a multi-model ensemble consisting of dynamical atmospheric models, which are forced by the latest observed atmosphere, ocean, land and ice conditions. The models are designed to simulate features of the real atmosphere, including the daily movement of long and short wave patterns in the Southern Hemisphere.

    The future probability of rain in each district is estimated using output from the multi-model ensemble, combined with historical information about the difference between the model forecasts and observed rainfall.

    In this deterministic framework the skill of the forecast tends to decrease with time, however the forecasts are updated daily to provide the latest estimates of rainfall probability out to 28 days.

  12. Popup - Daily historical

    Brungle Creek Observations History

    We're sorry, but there are no daily observations available for Brungle Creek

  13. Past 5 Days

    Brungle Creek Past 5 Days

    This Month
    Minimum Maximum Rainfall
    Monday
    Jun 14
    8.0 °C 13.3 °C
    0.0 mm
    Tuesday
    Jun 15
    3.0 °C 14.5 °C
    0.0 mm
    Wednesday
    Jun 16
    3.0 °C 13.4 °C
    0.0 mm
    Thursday
    Jun 17
    4.0 °C 13.4 °C
    7.0 mm
    Friday
    Jun 18
    6.2 °C -
    0.0 mm
    Legend
  14. Almanac

    Almanac


    Brungle Creek minimum temp history (35.1635°S, 148.3162°E, 400m AMSL)
    MAXIMUM TEMPERATURE MINIMUM TEMPERATURE
    Hottest this month 18.0° 02/06/2021 Coldest this month -2.5° 03/06/2021
    Hottest on record 21.9 09/06/1995 Coldest on record -4.6 14/06/2006
    Hottest this year 39.5° 24/01/2021 Coldest this year -2.5° 03/06/2021
    Long term average 14.1° Long term average 3.2°
    Average this month 13.7° Average this month 3.9°
    Hottest June On Record Avg. max. temp. 16.3° 2005 Coldest June on record Avg. min. temp. 0.7° 2006
    Brungle Creek rainfall history (35.1635°S, 148.3162°E, 400m AMSL)
    RAINFALL
    Wettest This Month 24.2mm 09/06/2021 Total This Month 49.8mm
    6.0 days
    Long Term Average 61.6mm 14.9 days Wettest June on record 111.6mm 1998
    Driest on record 4.6mm 2017
  15. Popup - Radar

    Weather Radar for Australia

  16. Year to Date

    Brungle Creek Year To Date

    Average Rainfall To Jun 273.2mm 47.3 day(s)
    Total For 2021 343.3mm 31.0 day(s)
    Total To This Day 2020 315.3mm 40.0 day(s)
    Wettest Day 47.2mm Feb 6
    Lowest Temperature -2.5°C Jun 3
    Highest Temperature 39.5°C Jan24
  17. Popup - Monthly historical

  18. Climatology

    Climate History

    Brungle Creek Climatology

    Long-Term Averages
    Jan Feb Mar Apr May Jun Jul Aug Sep Oct Nov Dec Ann
    Mean Max (°C) 32.8 31.2 27.9 23.2 17.8 14.1 13.1 14.9 18.5 22.7 26.7 30.0 22.8
    Mean Min (°C) 17.0 16.5 13.3 8.8 4.9 3.2 2.6 3.1 5.3 8.2 11.8 14.3 9.0
    Mean Rain (mm) 41.6 49.6 51.3 30.2 38.9 61.6 61.6 56.5 59.2 52.0 66.9 59.7 615.6
    Mean Rain Days 6.1 5.7 6.3 5.3 9.0 14.9 17.5 13.0 10.4 8.6 7.8 7.0 109.5