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Forecast

Bruinbun (33.1299°S, 149.4318°E, 430m AMSL) set as my default location ›

  1. My MLA

  2. Current condition

    TODAY
    Possible shower 17° 31°
    possible shower
    Chance of rain: 70%
    Likely amount: 1-5mm
    First
    light
    Sunrise Sunset Last light
    Sunrise Sunset
    5:49am EDT 6:16am EDT 8:11pm EDT 8:38pm EDT
    NOW
    18.6° Feels Like: 21.3°
    Relative Humidity: 95%
    Dew: 17.8°
    Wind: CAL 0km/h
    Gust: 0km/h
    Rainfall since 9am: 0.2mm
    Pressure: 1016.6hPa
  3. Today Weather

    Bruinbun
    Now
    17.1°c
    Feels Like:
    17.7°
    Wind:
    NE 4km/h
    Gusts:
    6km/h
    Humidity:
    84%
    Possible shower
     
    17°
    Min
    31°
    Max
    Today in Bruinbun
    Partly cloudy. Possible morning fog in the east. High chance of a light shower or two about the Blue Mountains, medium chance of a shower elsewhere. Possible smoke haze. The chance of a thunderstorm, more likely in the west in the afternoon and evening. Light winds becoming E/NE 15 to 25 km/h in the late afternoon. Daytime maximum temperatures 26 to 33.
    Tomorrow
    Possible shower
    19°
    Min
    34°
    Max
    Partly cloudy. Possible smoke haze. Medium chance of showers, most likely in the afternoon and evening. The chance of a thunderstorm. Winds NE/SE 15 to 20 km/h tending NW/NE in the morning then tending NE/SE in the late evening. Overnight temperatures falling to between 17 and 22 with daytime temperatures reaching the low to mid 30s.
  4. Radar

  5. Popup Radar

  6. Warnings

    There are no current warnings for Bruinbun

  7. Next 48 Hours


    Next 48 Hours


  8. 7 day forecast

    Today: Partly cloudy. Possible morning fog in the east. High chance of a light shower or two about the Blue Mountains, medium chance of a shower elsewhere. Possible smoke haze. The chance of a thunderstorm, more likely in the west in the afternoon and evening. Light winds becoming E/NE 15 to 25 km/h in the late afternoon. Daytime maximum temperatures 26 to 33.

    Forecast for Bruinbun (33.1299°S, 149.4318°E, 430m AMSL)
      Sat Sun Mon Tue Wed Thu Fri
    Summary Possible shower Possible shower Possible thunderstorm Mostly sunny Mostly sunny Mostly sunny Mostly sunny
    Minimum 17° 19° 19° 20° 18° 16° 17°
    Maximum 31° 34° 32° 33° 32° 33° 36°
    Chance of rain 70% 60% 60% 40% 10% 5% 5%
    Likely amount 1-5mm 1-5mm 1-5mm < 1mm 1-5mm < 1mm < 1mm
    UV index Extreme Extreme Extreme Extreme Extreme - -
    Frost risk Nil Nil Nil Nil Nil Nil Nil
      9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm
    Wind speed 9
    (km/h)
    15
    (km/h)
    7
    (km/h)
    18
    (km/h)
    5
    (km/h)
    15
    (km/h)
    7
    (km/h)
    18
    (km/h)
    6
    (km/h)
    14
    (km/h)
    7
    (km/h)
    12
    (km/h)
    6
    (km/h)
    15
    (km/h)
    Wind direction ENE NNE N NW ENE NNW NW W NE WNW ENE N NNE N
    Relative humidity 73% 41% 82% 46% 75% 45% 74% 30% 73% 30% 67% 26% 54% 15%
    Dew point 16°C 17°C 20°C 21°C 19°C 19°C 19°C 13°C 16°C 12°C 14°C 11°C 14°C 6°C
  9. 28 Day Rainfall forecast

    Bruinbun Rain Forecast


    Bruinbun 28-day Rainfall Forecast
    SUN
    MON
    TUE
    WED
    THU
    FRI
    SAT
    25
    LOW
    26
    MEDIUM
    27
    MEDIUM
    28
    MEDIUM
    29
    LOW
    30
    LOW
    31
    Feb 1
    2
    3
    4
    LOW
    5
    MEDIUM
    6
    MEDIUM
    7
    HIGH
    8
    LOW
    9
    MEDIUM
    10
    MEDIUM
    11
    LOW
    12
    LOW
    13
    LOW
    14
    MEDIUM
    15
    16
    17
    LOW
    18
    19
    20
    21
    22
    CHANCE OF RAINFALL WITHIN DISTRICT
    NIL < 25%
    LOW 25% to 50%
    MEDIUM 50% to 75%
    HIGH ≥ 75%
    Issued Jan24

    Issue Notes

    The hemispheric long wave pattern has remained stable in recent weeks. There are six main troughs. Currently the most significant troughs are near the longitudes of South Africa, the southwest Indian Ocean, Western Australia, the southeast Pacific, South America, and the Atlantic Ocean.

    Summary:

    Over southern and eastern Australia the cold front events with potential to bring widespread rain are now expected about 2 February to 6 February, 12 February to 16 February, and 26 February to 1 March. Rain events originating in the tropics and moving south are possible about 29 January to 2 February, and 10 February to 14 February. Over Western Australia the strongest cold fronts should occur about 2 February to 6 February, and 10 February to 14 February.

    Forecast Explanation

    This forecast is produced by a multi-model ensemble consisting of dynamical atmospheric models, which are forced by the latest observed atmosphere, ocean, land and ice conditions. The models are designed to simulate features of the real atmosphere, including the daily movement of long and short wave patterns in the Southern Hemisphere.

    The future probability of rain in each district is estimated using output from the multi-model ensemble, combined with historical information about the difference between the model forecasts and observed rainfall.

    In this deterministic framework the skill of the forecast tends to decrease with time, however the forecasts are updated daily to provide the latest estimates of rainfall probability out to 28 days.

  10. 12 Month Rainfall Forecast

    Bruinbun Rain Forecast


    Bruinbun 12-month Rainfall Forecast
    Jan
    Feb
    Mar
    Apr
    May
    Jun
    Jul
    Aug
    Sep
    Oct
    Nov
    Dec
    2020
    5
    6
    5
    7
    6
    8
    7
    4
    5
    3
    5
    6
    10
    5
    0
    1
    2 - 3
    4 - 7
    8 - 9
    10
    Well below normal
    Below normal
    Near normal
    Above normal
    Well above normal

    Issue Notes - Issued Jan 14

    ENSO status: Neutral IOD status: Neutral SAM status: Trending neutral Sea surface temperatures (SSTs) across the equatorial central Pacific remained stable throughout December with the Nino3.4 index registering a value of 0.4 throughout the month. On the other hand, the Southern Oscillation Index (SOI) recorded a value of -5.5 in December. The current outlook suggests warmer than average SSTs will persist across the equatorial Pacific Ocean through the coming months, but remaining within neutral values. Six out of eight international models maintain a warmer than average equatorial Pacific Ocean through the first two quarters of 2020, none of these reaching El Nino thresholds. To the west of Australia, the Indian Ocean Dipole (IOD) has now returned to neutral, as waters off Western Australia have warmed up considerably. All six international models maintain neutral values until the austral winter with indications we could see another positive event later this year. In terms of rainfall across Australia, the current outlook favours a clearer below average rainfall signal for Western Australia and the Northern Territory through the remainder of January. This however, excludes any extreme weather events such as tropical cyclones. For the eastern states, there is a wetter than average signal for the coming weeks. Looking further ahead, with no significant signature from ENSO, there are no significant climate drivers tilting the balance towards a drier or wetter February. The current outlook suggests average-to-below average odds for February and March across the eastern states. The northern and western half of the country, however, could see a wet end to summer/start to autumn.

  11. Long range rainfall forecast

    Bruinbun Rain Forecast


    Bruinbun 28-day Rainfall Forecast
    SUN
    MON
    TUE
    WED
    THU
    FRI
    SAT
    25
    LOW
    26
    MEDIUM
    27
    MEDIUM
    28
    MEDIUM
    29
    LOW
    30
    LOW
    31
    Feb 1
    2
    3
    4
    LOW
    5
    MEDIUM
    6
    MEDIUM
    7
    HIGH
    8
    LOW
    9
    MEDIUM
    10
    MEDIUM
    11
    LOW
    12
    LOW
    13
    LOW
    14
    MEDIUM
    15
    16
    17
    LOW
    18
    19
    20
    21
    22
    CHANCE OF RAINFALL WITHIN DISTRICT
    NIL < 25%
    LOW 25% to 50%
    MEDIUM 50% to 75%
    HIGH ≥ 75%
    Issued Jan24

    Issue Notes

    The hemispheric long wave pattern has remained stable in recent weeks. There are six main troughs. Currently the most significant troughs are near the longitudes of South Africa, the southwest Indian Ocean, Western Australia, the southeast Pacific, South America, and the Atlantic Ocean.

    Summary:

    Over southern and eastern Australia the cold front events with potential to bring widespread rain are now expected about 2 February to 6 February, 12 February to 16 February, and 26 February to 1 March. Rain events originating in the tropics and moving south are possible about 29 January to 2 February, and 10 February to 14 February. Over Western Australia the strongest cold fronts should occur about 2 February to 6 February, and 10 February to 14 February.

    Forecast Explanation

    This forecast is produced by a multi-model ensemble consisting of dynamical atmospheric models, which are forced by the latest observed atmosphere, ocean, land and ice conditions. The models are designed to simulate features of the real atmosphere, including the daily movement of long and short wave patterns in the Southern Hemisphere.

    The future probability of rain in each district is estimated using output from the multi-model ensemble, combined with historical information about the difference between the model forecasts and observed rainfall.

    In this deterministic framework the skill of the forecast tends to decrease with time, however the forecasts are updated daily to provide the latest estimates of rainfall probability out to 28 days.

  12. Popup - Daily historical

  13. Past 5 Days

    Bruinbun Past 5 Days

    This Month
    Minimum Maximum Rainfall
    Monday
    Jan 20
    16.0 °C 29.5 °C
    13.6 mm
    Tuesday
    Jan 21
    13.5 °C 27.2 °C
    0.6 mm
    Wednesday
    Jan 22
    12.6 °C 33.0 °C
    0.0 mm
    Thursday
    Jan 23
    13.8 °C 35.3 °C
    0.0 mm
    Friday
    Jan 24
    17.0 °C 28 °C
    4.6 mm
    Legend
  14. Almanac

    Almanac


    Bruinbun minimum temp history (33.1299°S, 149.4318°E, 430m AMSL)
    MAXIMUM TEMPERATURE MINIMUM TEMPERATURE
    Hottest this month 41.0° 04/01/2020 Coldest this month 12.6° 22/01/2020
    Hottest on record 40.2 12/01/2013 Coldest on record 1.8 02/01/1968
    Hottest this year 41.0° 04/01/2020 Coldest this year 12.6° 22/01/2020
    Long term average 28.4° Long term average 13.4°
    Average this month 31.8° Average this month 16.4°
    Hottest January On Record Avg. max. temp. 32.6° 2017 Coldest January on record Avg. min. temp. 10.4° 1986
    Bruinbun rainfall history (33.1299°S, 149.4318°E, 430m AMSL)
    RAINFALL
    Wettest This Month 14.0mm 17/01/2020 Total This Month 48.6mm
    8.0 days
    Long Term Average 67.8mm 7.4 days Wettest January on record 223.7mm 2017
  15. Popup - Radar

    Weather Radar for NSW/ACT

  16. Year to Date

    Bruinbun Year To Date

    Average Rainfall To Jan 67.8mm 7.4 day(s)
    Total For 2020 48.6mm 8.0 day(s)
    Total To This Day 2019 106.1mm 9.0 day(s)
    Wettest Day 14.0mm Jan17
    Lowest Temperature 12.6°C Jan22
    Highest Temperature 41.0°C Jan 4
  17. Popup - Monthly historical

  18. Climatology

    Climate History

    Bruinbun Climatology

    Long-Term Averages
    Jan Feb Mar Apr May Jun Jul Aug Sep Oct Nov Dec Ann
    Mean Max (°C) 28.4 27.4 24.7 20.7 16.1 12.5 11.6 13.3 16.4 20.1 23.4 26.5 20.1
    Mean Min (°C) 13.4 13.2 10.5 6.3 3.2 1.5 0.3 1.0 3.1 5.8 8.7 11.2 6.5
    Mean Rain (mm) 67.8 57.6 51.4 41.1 41.4 44.7 48.9 50.0 46.8 59.0 61.2 65.3 635.1
    Mean Rain Days 7.4 6.9 6.3 6.3 8.5 10.8 11.6 11.1 9.3 9.2 8.5 8.0 102.2