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Forecast

Broughton Vale (34.7573°S, 150.7087°E, 35m AMSL) set as my default location ›

  1. My MLA

  2. Current condition

    TODAY
    Possible shower 21° 25°
    possible shower
    Chance of rain: 50%
    Likely amount: 1-5mm
    First
    light
    Sunrise Sunset Last light
    Sunrise Sunset
    5:41am EDT 6:09am EDT 8:09pm EDT 8:36pm EDT
    NOW
    22.4° Feels Like: 23.4°
    Relative Humidity: 80%
    Dew: 18.9°
    Wind: NNE 11km/h
    Gust: 13km/h
    Rainfall since 9am: 0.2mm
    Pressure:  
  3. Today Weather

    Broughton Vale
    Now
    21.6°c
    Feels Like:
    26.1°
    Wind:
    CAL 0km/h
    Gusts:
    0km/h
    Humidity:
    100%
    Possible shower
     
    21°
    Min
    25°
    Max
    Today in Broughton Vale
    Cloudy. Possible morning fog patches. Medium chance of a light shower or two. Possible smoke haze. Winds NE 15 to 20 km/h becoming E/NE 15 to 25 km/h in the late afternoon. Daytime maximum temperatures in the mid to high 20s.
    Tomorrow
    Possible shower
    22°
    Min
    28°
    Max
    Partly cloudy. Areas of smoke haze. Medium chance of showers. The chance of a thunderstorm inland in the afternoon and evening. Light winds becoming E/NE 20 to 30 km/h in the early afternoon then turning SE 15 to 25 km/h in the late afternoon. Overnight temperatures falling to around 20 with daytime temperatures reaching 29 to 34.
  4. Radar

  5. Popup Radar

  6. Warnings

    There are no current warnings for Broughton Vale

  7. Next 48 Hours


    Next 48 Hours


  8. 7 day forecast

    Today: Cloudy. Possible morning fog patches. Medium chance of a light shower or two. Possible smoke haze. Winds NE 15 to 20 km/h becoming E/NE 15 to 25 km/h in the late afternoon. Daytime maximum temperatures in the mid to high 20s.

    Forecast for Broughton Vale (34.7573°S, 150.7087°E, 35m AMSL)
      Sat Sun Mon Tue Wed Thu Fri
    Summary Possible shower Possible shower Possible shower Possible shower Possible shower Mostly sunny Mostly sunny
    Minimum 21° 22° 22° 22° 20° 19° 20°
    Maximum 25° 28° 27° 25° 23° 25° 29°
    Chance of rain 50% 50% 30% 40% 40% 20% 5%
    Likely amount 1-5mm 5-10mm < 1mm < 1mm < 1mm < 1mm < 1mm
    UV index Extreme Extreme Extreme Extreme Extreme - -
    Frost risk Nil Nil Nil Nil Nil Nil Nil
      9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm
    Wind speed 11
    (km/h)
    20
    (km/h)
    4
    (km/h)
    18
    (km/h)
    13
    (km/h)
    16
    (km/h)
    11
    (km/h)
    20
    (km/h)
    7
    (km/h)
    19
    (km/h)
    7
    (km/h)
    23
    (km/h)
    10
    (km/h)
    24
    (km/h)
    Wind direction ENE ENE NNE ENE SW ESE SSW SSE SSE ESE NNE ENE NNE ENE
    Relative humidity 91% 80% 85% 76% 85% 76% 85% 77% 80% 71% 78% 69% 74% 60%
    Dew point 22°C 21°C 23°C 23°C 22°C 22°C 21°C 20°C 19°C 18°C 19°C 19°C 21°C 20°C
  9. 28 Day Rainfall forecast

    Broughton Vale Rain Forecast


    Broughton Vale 28-day Rainfall Forecast
    SUN
    MON
    TUE
    WED
    THU
    FRI
    SAT
    25
    MEDIUM
    26
    LOW
    27
    LOW
    28
    MEDIUM
    29
    LOW
    30
    LOW
    31
    LOW
    Feb 1
    2
    3
    LOW
    4
    MEDIUM
    5
    MEDIUM
    6
    MEDIUM
    7
    MEDIUM
    8
    MEDIUM
    9
    LOW
    10
    MEDIUM
    11
    LOW
    12
    LOW
    13
    MEDIUM
    14
    MEDIUM
    15
    16
    MEDIUM
    17
    LOW
    18
    19
    20
    LOW
    21
    22
    CHANCE OF RAINFALL WITHIN DISTRICT
    NIL < 25%
    LOW 25% to 50%
    MEDIUM 50% to 75%
    HIGH ≥ 75%
    Issued Jan24

    Issue Notes

    The hemispheric long wave pattern has remained stable in recent weeks. There are six main troughs. Currently the most significant troughs are near the longitudes of South Africa, the southwest Indian Ocean, Western Australia, the southeast Pacific, South America, and the Atlantic Ocean.

    Summary:

    Over southern and eastern Australia the cold front events with potential to bring widespread rain are now expected about 2 February to 6 February, 12 February to 16 February, and 26 February to 1 March. Rain events originating in the tropics and moving south are possible about 29 January to 2 February, and 10 February to 14 February. Over Western Australia the strongest cold fronts should occur about 2 February to 6 February, and 10 February to 14 February.

    Forecast Explanation

    This forecast is produced by a multi-model ensemble consisting of dynamical atmospheric models, which are forced by the latest observed atmosphere, ocean, land and ice conditions. The models are designed to simulate features of the real atmosphere, including the daily movement of long and short wave patterns in the Southern Hemisphere.

    The future probability of rain in each district is estimated using output from the multi-model ensemble, combined with historical information about the difference between the model forecasts and observed rainfall.

    In this deterministic framework the skill of the forecast tends to decrease with time, however the forecasts are updated daily to provide the latest estimates of rainfall probability out to 28 days.

  10. 12 Month Rainfall Forecast

    Broughton Vale Rain Forecast


    Broughton Vale 12-month Rainfall Forecast
    Jan
    Feb
    Mar
    Apr
    May
    Jun
    Jul
    Aug
    Sep
    Oct
    Nov
    Dec
    2020
    4
    6
    4
    7
    7
    7
    8
    6
    6
    3
    2
    4
    10
    5
    0
    1
    2 - 3
    4 - 7
    8 - 9
    10
    Well below normal
    Below normal
    Near normal
    Above normal
    Well above normal

    Issue Notes - Issued Jan 14

    ENSO status: Neutral IOD status: Neutral SAM status: Trending neutral Sea surface temperatures (SSTs) across the equatorial central Pacific remained stable throughout December with the Nino3.4 index registering a value of 0.4 throughout the month. On the other hand, the Southern Oscillation Index (SOI) recorded a value of -5.5 in December. The current outlook suggests warmer than average SSTs will persist across the equatorial Pacific Ocean through the coming months, but remaining within neutral values. Six out of eight international models maintain a warmer than average equatorial Pacific Ocean through the first two quarters of 2020, none of these reaching El Nino thresholds. To the west of Australia, the Indian Ocean Dipole (IOD) has now returned to neutral, as waters off Western Australia have warmed up considerably. All six international models maintain neutral values until the austral winter with indications we could see another positive event later this year. In terms of rainfall across Australia, the current outlook favours a clearer below average rainfall signal for Western Australia and the Northern Territory through the remainder of January. This however, excludes any extreme weather events such as tropical cyclones. For the eastern states, there is a wetter than average signal for the coming weeks. Looking further ahead, with no significant signature from ENSO, there are no significant climate drivers tilting the balance towards a drier or wetter February. The current outlook suggests average-to-below average odds for February and March across the eastern states. The northern and western half of the country, however, could see a wet end to summer/start to autumn.

  11. Long range rainfall forecast

    Broughton Vale Rain Forecast


    Broughton Vale 28-day Rainfall Forecast
    SUN
    MON
    TUE
    WED
    THU
    FRI
    SAT
    25
    MEDIUM
    26
    LOW
    27
    LOW
    28
    MEDIUM
    29
    LOW
    30
    LOW
    31
    LOW
    Feb 1
    2
    3
    LOW
    4
    MEDIUM
    5
    MEDIUM
    6
    MEDIUM
    7
    MEDIUM
    8
    MEDIUM
    9
    LOW
    10
    MEDIUM
    11
    LOW
    12
    LOW
    13
    MEDIUM
    14
    MEDIUM
    15
    16
    MEDIUM
    17
    LOW
    18
    19
    20
    LOW
    21
    22
    CHANCE OF RAINFALL WITHIN DISTRICT
    NIL < 25%
    LOW 25% to 50%
    MEDIUM 50% to 75%
    HIGH ≥ 75%
    Issued Jan24

    Issue Notes

    The hemispheric long wave pattern has remained stable in recent weeks. There are six main troughs. Currently the most significant troughs are near the longitudes of South Africa, the southwest Indian Ocean, Western Australia, the southeast Pacific, South America, and the Atlantic Ocean.

    Summary:

    Over southern and eastern Australia the cold front events with potential to bring widespread rain are now expected about 2 February to 6 February, 12 February to 16 February, and 26 February to 1 March. Rain events originating in the tropics and moving south are possible about 29 January to 2 February, and 10 February to 14 February. Over Western Australia the strongest cold fronts should occur about 2 February to 6 February, and 10 February to 14 February.

    Forecast Explanation

    This forecast is produced by a multi-model ensemble consisting of dynamical atmospheric models, which are forced by the latest observed atmosphere, ocean, land and ice conditions. The models are designed to simulate features of the real atmosphere, including the daily movement of long and short wave patterns in the Southern Hemisphere.

    The future probability of rain in each district is estimated using output from the multi-model ensemble, combined with historical information about the difference between the model forecasts and observed rainfall.

    In this deterministic framework the skill of the forecast tends to decrease with time, however the forecasts are updated daily to provide the latest estimates of rainfall probability out to 28 days.

  12. Popup - Daily historical

  13. Past 5 Days

    Broughton Vale Past 5 Days

    This Month
    Minimum Maximum Rainfall
    Monday
    Jan 20
    19.4 °C 26.0 °C
    2.2 mm
    Tuesday
    Jan 21
    18.4 °C 27.6 °C
    12.6 mm
    Wednesday
    Jan 22
    19.9 °C 28.5 °C
    0.0 mm
    Thursday
    Jan 23
    19.6 °C 41.4 °C
    0.0 mm
    Friday
    Jan 24
    21.0 °C 26 °C
    3.6 mm
    Legend
  14. Almanac

    Almanac


    Broughton Vale minimum temp history (34.7573°S, 150.7087°E, 35m AMSL)
    MAXIMUM TEMPERATURE MINIMUM TEMPERATURE
    Hottest this month 41.0° 23/01/2020 Coldest this month 16.7° 13/01/2020
    Hottest on record 45.0 18/01/2013 Coldest on record 13.1 19/01/2010
    Hottest this year 41.0° 23/01/2020 Coldest this year 16.7° 13/01/2020
    Long term average 25.1° Long term average 18.9°
    Average this month 25.3° Average this month 19.2°
    Hottest January On Record Avg. max. temp. 27.0° 2017 Coldest January on record Avg. min. temp. 18.1° 2009
    Broughton Vale rainfall history (34.7573°S, 150.7087°E, 35m AMSL)
    RAINFALL
    Wettest This Month 16.2mm 17/01/2020 Total This Month 45.0mm
    14.0 days
    Long Term Average 87.3mm 11.6 days Wettest January on record 208.0mm 2017
  15. Popup - Radar

    Weather Radar for NSW/ACT

  16. Year to Date

    Broughton Vale Year To Date

    Average Rainfall To Jan 87.3mm 11.6 day(s)
    Total For 2020 45.0mm 14.0 day(s)
    Total To This Day 2019 106.4mm 8.0 day(s)
    Wettest Day 16.2mm Jan17
    Lowest Temperature 16.7°C Jan13
    Highest Temperature 41.0°C Jan23
  17. Popup - Monthly historical

  18. Climatology

    Climate History

    Broughton Vale Climatology

    Long-Term Averages
    Jan Feb Mar Apr May Jun Jul Aug Sep Oct Nov Dec Ann
    Mean Max (°C) 25.1 24.5 23.8 22.0 19.8 17.7 17.0 18.0 20.2 21.6 22.7 23.6 21.4
    Mean Min (°C) 18.9 18.8 17.8 15.5 13.1 11.4 10.0 10.6 12.2 13.8 15.9 17.2 14.7
    Mean Rain (mm) 87.3 158.6 147.7 104.1 45.5 116.2 74.7 77.0 58.6 81.8 70.0 89.1 1120.7
    Mean Rain Days 11.6 13.9 13.8 12.6 6.3 11.4 9.8 8.0 9.7 11.6 10.9 12.2 99.0