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Forecast

Brightwaters (33.1145°S, 151.5459°E, 25m AMSL) set as my default location ›

  1. My MLA

  2. Current condition

    TODAY
    Sunny 23° 24°
    Chance of rain: 5%
    Likely amount: < 1mm
    First
    light
    Sunrise Sunset Last light
    Sunrise Sunset
    5:37am EDT 6:05am EDT 8:05pm EDT 8:32pm EDT
    NOW
    33.2° Feels Like: 30.3°
    Relative Humidity: 22%
    Dew: 8.6°
    Wind: SW 13km/h
    Gust: 17km/h
    Rainfall since 9am: 0.0mm
    Pressure:  
  3. Today Weather

    Brightwaters
    Now
    28.2°c
    Feels Like:
    26.0°
    Wind:
    ESE 24km/h
    Gusts:
    24km/h
    Humidity:
    52%
    Sunny
     
    23°
    Min
    24°
    Max
    Today in Brightwaters
    Sunny. Winds N/NW 15 to 20 km/h tending W/NW 15 to 25 km/h in the morning then becoming light in the evening. Daytime maximum temperatures in the low to mid 30s.
    Tomorrow
    Increasing sunshine
    23°
    Min
    23°
    Max
    Mostly sunny. Light winds becoming NW/NE 15 to 20 km/h in the early afternoon then becoming light in the late evening. Overnight temperatures falling to between 16 and 19 with daytime temperatures reaching 32 to 37.
  4. Radar

  5. Popup Radar

  6. Warnings

    There are no current warnings for Brightwaters

  7. Next 48 Hours


    Next 48 Hours


  8. 7 day forecast

    Today: Sunny. Winds N/NW 15 to 20 km/h tending W/NW 15 to 25 km/h in the morning then becoming light in the evening. Daytime maximum temperatures in the low to mid 30s.

    Forecast for Brightwaters (33.1145°S, 151.5459°E, 25m AMSL)
      Tue Wed Thu Fri Sat Sun Mon
    Summary Sunny Increasing sunshine Mostly sunny Possible shower Mostly sunny Mostly sunny Possible shower
    Minimum 23° 23° 23° 23° 23° 23° 23°
    Maximum 24° 23° 33° 24° 24° 24° 23°
    Chance of rain 5% 5% 20% 50% 30% 30% 30%
    Likely amount < 1mm < 1mm < 1mm 5-10mm < 1mm < 1mm < 1mm
    UV index Extreme Extreme Extreme Extreme Extreme - -
    Frost risk Nil Nil Nil Nil Nil Nil Nil
      9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm
    Wind speed 13
    (km/h)
    17
    (km/h)
    7
    (km/h)
    20
    (km/h)
    24
    (km/h)
    24
    (km/h)
    14
    (km/h)
    15
    (km/h)
    13
    (km/h)
    15
    (km/h)
    7
    (km/h)
    17
    (km/h)
    9
    (km/h)
    16
    (km/h)
    Wind direction NW SE SW E N N SSW SE SSW ESE NW E SW ESE
    Relative humidity 66% 58% 87% 76% 67% 44% 84% 79% 89% 81% 91% 79% 90% 80%
    Dew point 17°C 15°C 21°C 19°C 22°C 19°C 21°C 20°C 21°C 21°C 21°C 20°C 22°C 19°C
  9. 28 Day Rainfall forecast

    Brightwaters Rain Forecast


    Brightwaters 28-day Rainfall Forecast
    SUN
    MON
    TUE
    WED
    THU
    FRI
    SAT
    21
    22
    23
    LOW
    24
    MEDIUM
    25
    LOW
    26
    MEDIUM
    27
    MEDIUM
    28
    LOW
    29
    MEDIUM
    30
    MEDIUM
    31
    MEDIUM
    Feb 1
    MEDIUM
    2
    MEDIUM
    3
    MEDIUM
    4
    LOW
    5
    LOW
    6
    MEDIUM
    7
    MEDIUM
    8
    MEDIUM
    9
    MEDIUM
    10
    LOW
    11
    12
    LOW
    13
    14
    LOW
    15
    LOW
    16
    LOW
    17
    18
    CHANCE OF RAINFALL WITHIN DISTRICT
    NIL < 25%
    LOW 25% to 50%
    MEDIUM 50% to 75%
    HIGH ≥ 75%
    Issued Jan21

    Issue Notes

    The hemispheric long wave pattern has been relatively fast moving in recent weeks. There are five main troughs. Currently the most significant troughs are near the longitudes of South Africa, the Indian Ocean, Western Australia, the south Pacific, and South America.

    Summary:

    Over southern and eastern Australia the cold front events with potential to bring widespread rain are now expected about 26 January to 30 January, 6 February to 10 February, and 15 February to 19 February. Rain events originating in the tropics and moving south are possible about 29 January to 2 February, 6 February to 10 February, and 21 February to 25 February. Over Western Australia the strongest cold fronts should occur about 12 February to 16 February, and 20 February to 24 February.

    Forecast Explanation

    This forecast is produced by a multi-model ensemble consisting of dynamical atmospheric models, which are forced by the latest observed atmosphere, ocean, land and ice conditions. The models are designed to simulate features of the real atmosphere, including the daily movement of long and short wave patterns in the Southern Hemisphere.

    The future probability of rain in each district is estimated using output from the multi-model ensemble, combined with historical information about the difference between the model forecasts and observed rainfall.

    In this deterministic framework the skill of the forecast tends to decrease with time, however the forecasts are updated daily to provide the latest estimates of rainfall probability out to 28 days.

  10. 12 Month Rainfall Forecast

    Brightwaters Rain Forecast


    Brightwaters 12-month Rainfall Forecast
    Jan
    Feb
    Mar
    Apr
    May
    Jun
    Jul
    Aug
    Sep
    Oct
    Nov
    Dec
    2020
    4
    6
    4
    7
    6
    7
    8
    5
    6
    4
    6
    5
    10
    5
    0
    1
    2 - 3
    4 - 7
    8 - 9
    10
    Well below normal
    Below normal
    Near normal
    Above normal
    Well above normal

    Issue Notes - Issued Jan 14

    ENSO status: Neutral IOD status: Neutral SAM status: Trending neutral Sea surface temperatures (SSTs) across the equatorial central Pacific remained stable throughout December with the Nino3.4 index registering a value of 0.4 throughout the month. On the other hand, the Southern Oscillation Index (SOI) recorded a value of -5.5 in December. The current outlook suggests warmer than average SSTs will persist across the equatorial Pacific Ocean through the coming months, but remaining within neutral values. Six out of eight international models maintain a warmer than average equatorial Pacific Ocean through the first two quarters of 2020, none of these reaching El Nino thresholds. To the west of Australia, the Indian Ocean Dipole (IOD) has now returned to neutral, as waters off Western Australia have warmed up considerably. All six international models maintain neutral values until the austral winter with indications we could see another positive event later this year. In terms of rainfall across Australia, the current outlook favours a clearer below average rainfall signal for Western Australia and the Northern Territory through the remainder of January. This however, excludes any extreme weather events such as tropical cyclones. For the eastern states, there is a wetter than average signal for the coming weeks. Looking further ahead, with no significant signature from ENSO, there are no significant climate drivers tilting the balance towards a drier or wetter February. The current outlook suggests average-to-below average odds for February and March across the eastern states. The northern and western half of the country, however, could see a wet end to summer/start to autumn.

  11. Long range rainfall forecast

    Brightwaters Rain Forecast


    Brightwaters 28-day Rainfall Forecast
    SUN
    MON
    TUE
    WED
    THU
    FRI
    SAT
    21
    22
    23
    LOW
    24
    MEDIUM
    25
    LOW
    26
    MEDIUM
    27
    MEDIUM
    28
    LOW
    29
    MEDIUM
    30
    MEDIUM
    31
    MEDIUM
    Feb 1
    MEDIUM
    2
    MEDIUM
    3
    MEDIUM
    4
    LOW
    5
    LOW
    6
    MEDIUM
    7
    MEDIUM
    8
    MEDIUM
    9
    MEDIUM
    10
    LOW
    11
    12
    LOW
    13
    14
    LOW
    15
    LOW
    16
    LOW
    17
    18
    CHANCE OF RAINFALL WITHIN DISTRICT
    NIL < 25%
    LOW 25% to 50%
    MEDIUM 50% to 75%
    HIGH ≥ 75%
    Issued Jan21

    Issue Notes

    The hemispheric long wave pattern has been relatively fast moving in recent weeks. There are five main troughs. Currently the most significant troughs are near the longitudes of South Africa, the Indian Ocean, Western Australia, the south Pacific, and South America.

    Summary:

    Over southern and eastern Australia the cold front events with potential to bring widespread rain are now expected about 26 January to 30 January, 6 February to 10 February, and 15 February to 19 February. Rain events originating in the tropics and moving south are possible about 29 January to 2 February, 6 February to 10 February, and 21 February to 25 February. Over Western Australia the strongest cold fronts should occur about 12 February to 16 February, and 20 February to 24 February.

    Forecast Explanation

    This forecast is produced by a multi-model ensemble consisting of dynamical atmospheric models, which are forced by the latest observed atmosphere, ocean, land and ice conditions. The models are designed to simulate features of the real atmosphere, including the daily movement of long and short wave patterns in the Southern Hemisphere.

    The future probability of rain in each district is estimated using output from the multi-model ensemble, combined with historical information about the difference between the model forecasts and observed rainfall.

    In this deterministic framework the skill of the forecast tends to decrease with time, however the forecasts are updated daily to provide the latest estimates of rainfall probability out to 28 days.

  12. Popup - Daily historical

  13. Past 5 Days

    Brightwaters Past 5 Days

    This Month
    Minimum Maximum Rainfall
    Friday
    Jan 17
    19.9 °C 25.1 °C
    0.0 mm
    Saturday
    Jan 18
    19.6 °C 23.3 °C
    65.4 mm
    Sunday
    Jan 19
    19.2 °C 27.2 °C
    1.6 mm
    Monday
    Jan 20
    18.5 °C 33 °C
    1.8 mm
    Tuesday
    Jan 21
    16 °C -
    0.6 mm
    Legend
  14. Almanac

    Almanac


    Brightwaters minimum temp history (33.1145°S, 151.5459°E, 25m AMSL)
    MAXIMUM TEMPERATURE MINIMUM TEMPERATURE
    Hottest this month 31.0° 20/01/2020 Coldest this month 19.0° 12/01/2020
    Hottest on record 44.0 18/01/2013 Coldest on record 14.5 02/01/1997
    Hottest this year 31.0° 20/01/2020 Coldest this year 19.0° 12/01/2020
    Long term average 26.1° Long term average 19.7°
    Average this month 26.1° Average this month 20.4°
    Hottest January On Record Avg. max. temp. 28.8° 2017 Coldest January on record Avg. min. temp. 17.8° 1997
    Brightwaters rainfall history (33.1145°S, 151.5459°E, 25m AMSL)
    RAINFALL
    Wettest This Month 25.0mm 18/01/2020 Total This Month 36.2mm
    8.0 days
    Long Term Average 89.7mm 12.3 days Wettest January on record 232.2mm 2017
  15. Popup - Radar

    Weather Radar for NSW/ACT

  16. Year to Date

    Brightwaters Year To Date

    Average Rainfall To Jan 89.7mm 12.3 day(s)
    Total For 2020 36.2mm 8.0 day(s)
    Total To This Day 2019 84.2mm 14.0 day(s)
    Wettest Day 25.0mm Jan18
    Lowest Temperature 19.0°C Jan12
    Highest Temperature 31.0°C Jan20
  17. Popup - Monthly historical

  18. Climatology

    Climate History

    Brightwaters Climatology

    Long-Term Averages
    Jan Feb Mar Apr May Jun Jul Aug Sep Oct Nov Dec Ann
    Mean Max (°C) 26.1 26.0 25.1 22.9 20.3 18.0 17.3 18.8 21.0 22.7 23.7 24.9 22.2
    Mean Min (°C) 19.7 20.0 18.9 15.9 13.1 11.1 9.7 10.5 12.8 14.8 16.8 18.4 15.1
    Mean Rain (mm) 89.7 115.3 123.8 139.3 141.7 148.4 89.4 73.6 72.7 58.4 96.3 70.3 1223.3
    Mean Rain Days 12.3 12.0 13.3 13.8 13.6 13.5 11.4 9.0 11.5 10.5 12.5 11.3 140.7