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Forecast

Breakfast Creek (32.677°S, 150.0128°E, 672m AMSL) set as my default location ›

  1. My MLA

  2. Current condition

    TODAY
    Late shower 14°
    late shower
    Chance of rain: 80%
    Likely amount: 1-5mm
    First
    light
    Sunrise Sunset Last light
    Sunrise Sunset
    5:52am EST 6:17am EST 5:44pm EST 6:09pm EST
    NOW
    9.6° Feels Like: 5.2°
    Relative Humidity: 100%
    Dew: 9.6°
    Wind: NNE 22km/h
    Gust: 31km/h
    Rainfall since 9am: 0.4mm
    Pressure:  
  3. Today Weather

    Breakfast Creek
    Now
    15.0°c
    Feels Like:
    13.0°
    Wind:
    SE 13km/h
    Gusts:
    20km/h
    Humidity:
    80%
    Late shower
     
    Min
    14°
    Max
    Today in Breakfast Creek
    Mostly cloudy. High chance of showers about the Blue Mountains, medium chance elsewhere. Winds E 15 to 25 km/h. Daytime maximum temperatures between 15 and 20.
    Tomorrow
    Rain
    10°
    Min
    13°
    Max
    Cloudy. Areas of fog on and east of the ranges in the early morning. Very high chance of showers. The chance of a thunderstorm in the west. Light winds becoming N/NW 15 to 25 km/h in the morning. Overnight temperatures falling to between 10 and 14 with daytime temperatures reaching between 16 and 20.
  4. Radar

  5. Popup Radar

  6. Warnings

    There are no current warnings for Breakfast Creek

  7. Next 48 Hours


    Next 48 Hours


  8. 7 day forecast

    Today: Mostly cloudy. High chance of showers about the Blue Mountains, medium chance elsewhere. Winds E 15 to 25 km/h. Daytime maximum temperatures between 15 and 20.

    Forecast for Breakfast Creek (32.677°S, 150.0128°E, 672m AMSL)
      Thu Fri Sat Sun Mon Tue Wed
    Summary Late shower Rain Windy Sunny Mostly sunny Mostly sunny Mostly sunny
    Minimum 10°
    Maximum 14° 13° 15° 14° 15° 18° 19°
    Chance of rain 80% 90% 20% 5% 5% 5% 5%
    Likely amount 1-5mm 10-20mm < 1mm < 1mm < 1mm < 1mm < 1mm
    UV index High High High Moderate Moderate - -
    Frost risk Nil Nil Nil Slight Slight Nil Nil
      9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm
    Wind speed 18
    (km/h)
    11
    (km/h)
    13
    (km/h)
    12
    (km/h)
    25
    (km/h)
    29
    (km/h)
    11
    (km/h)
    8
    (km/h)
    8
    (km/h)
    8
    (km/h)
    7
    (km/h)
    7
    (km/h)
    7
    (km/h)
    7
    (km/h)
    Wind direction ESE ESE NNE N WNW W SW W E NNE WSW W NNE NNE
    Relative humidity 100% 89% 100% 100% 87% 68% 71% 52% 82% 64% 80% 58% 80% 62%
    Dew point 10°C 11°C 11°C 12°C 9°C 8°C 3°C 4°C 7°C 8°C 8°C 9°C 10°C 10°C
  9. 28 Day Rainfall forecast

    Breakfast Creek Rain Forecast


    Breakfast Creek 28-day Rainfall Forecast
    SUN
    MON
    TUE
    WED
    THU
    FRI
    SAT
    9
    MEDIUM
    10
    HIGH
    11
    LOW
    12
    13
    14
    15
    16
    17
    18
    MEDIUM
    19
    MEDIUM
    20
    MEDIUM
    21
    LOW
    22
    LOW
    23
    24
    25
    26
    LOW
    27
    LOW
    28
    29
    LOW
    30
    May 1
    LOW
    2
    MEDIUM
    3
    4
    5
    LOW
    6
    LOW
    7
    MEDIUM
    8
    CHANCE OF RAINFALL WITHIN DISTRICT
    NIL < 25%
    LOW 25% to 50%
    MEDIUM 50% to 75%
    HIGH ≥ 75%
    Issued Apr 8

    Issue Notes

    The hemispheric long wave pattern has remained stable in recent weeks. There are five main troughs. Currently the most significant troughs are near the longitudes of South Africa, the southwest Indian Ocean, Western Australia, the southeast Pacific, and the Atlantic Ocean.

    Summary:

    Over southern and eastern Australia the cold front events with potential to bring widespread rain are now expected about 15 April to 19 April, 26 April to 30 April, and 30 April to 4 May. Rain events originating in the tropics and moving south are possible about 6 April to 10 April. Over Western Australia the strongest cold fronts should occur about 15 April to 19 April, 29 April to 3 May, and 8 May to 12 May.

    Forecast Explanation

    This forecast is produced by a multi-model ensemble consisting of dynamical atmospheric models, which are forced by the latest observed atmosphere, ocean, land and ice conditions. The models are designed to simulate features of the real atmosphere, including the daily movement of long and short wave patterns in the Southern Hemisphere.

    The future probability of rain in each district is estimated using output from the multi-model ensemble, combined with historical information about the difference between the model forecasts and observed rainfall.

    In this deterministic framework the skill of the forecast tends to decrease with time, however the forecasts are updated daily to provide the latest estimates of rainfall probability out to 28 days.

  10. 12 Month Rainfall Forecast

    Breakfast Creek Rain Forecast


    Breakfast Creek 12-month Rainfall Forecast
    Apr
    May
    Jun
    Jul
    Aug
    Sep
    Oct
    Nov
    Dec
    Jan
    Feb
    2020
    2021
    6
    6
    7
    7
    6
    5
    3
    9
    5
    5
    7
    10
    5
    0
    1
    2 - 3
    4 - 7
    8 - 9
    10
    Well below normal
    Below normal
    Near normal
    Above normal
    Well above normal

    Issue Notes - Issued Mar 9

    ENSO status: Neutral IOD status: Neutral SAM status: Trending neutral Sea surface temperatures (SSTs) across the equatorial central Pacific remained stable throughout February with the Nino3.4 index registering a value of 0.3. On the other hand, the Southern Oscillation Index (SOI) recorded a value of -2.2 in February. The current outlook suggests slightly warmer than average SSTs will persist across the equatorial Pacific Ocean through the austral autumn, potentially cooling further by the austral winter. Four out of seven international models maintain a slightly warmer than average equatorial Pacific Ocean through the first half of winter. To the west of Australia, the Indian Ocean Dipole (IOD) remains neutral, normal for this time of the year. All six international models maintain neutral IOD values through to the austral winter. In terms of precipitation across Australia, the current outlook favours below average rainfall for western, central and southeastern parts of the country. Across NSW and Qld, the outlook is for average-to-above average, mainly across the Qld coasts. This excludes any extreme weather events such as tropical cyclones or East Coast Lows. Across the north, the North Australian Monsoon (NAM) has been quiet for most of the wet season, with the current prognosis suggesting below average rainfall for March but above average in April. Looking further ahead, with no significant signature from ENSO, there are no significant climate drivers tilting the balance towards a drier or wetter end of autumn/winter. The current consensus, however, suggests that average to above average rainfall is a possibility across northern, western and parts of the inland south east.

  11. Long range rainfall forecast

    Breakfast Creek Rain Forecast


    Breakfast Creek 28-day Rainfall Forecast
    SUN
    MON
    TUE
    WED
    THU
    FRI
    SAT
    9
    MEDIUM
    10
    HIGH
    11
    LOW
    12
    13
    14
    15
    16
    17
    18
    MEDIUM
    19
    MEDIUM
    20
    MEDIUM
    21
    LOW
    22
    LOW
    23
    24
    25
    26
    LOW
    27
    LOW
    28
    29
    LOW
    30
    May 1
    LOW
    2
    MEDIUM
    3
    4
    5
    LOW
    6
    LOW
    7
    MEDIUM
    8
    CHANCE OF RAINFALL WITHIN DISTRICT
    NIL < 25%
    LOW 25% to 50%
    MEDIUM 50% to 75%
    HIGH ≥ 75%
    Issued Apr 8

    Issue Notes

    The hemispheric long wave pattern has remained stable in recent weeks. There are five main troughs. Currently the most significant troughs are near the longitudes of South Africa, the southwest Indian Ocean, Western Australia, the southeast Pacific, and the Atlantic Ocean.

    Summary:

    Over southern and eastern Australia the cold front events with potential to bring widespread rain are now expected about 15 April to 19 April, 26 April to 30 April, and 30 April to 4 May. Rain events originating in the tropics and moving south are possible about 6 April to 10 April. Over Western Australia the strongest cold fronts should occur about 15 April to 19 April, 29 April to 3 May, and 8 May to 12 May.

    Forecast Explanation

    This forecast is produced by a multi-model ensemble consisting of dynamical atmospheric models, which are forced by the latest observed atmosphere, ocean, land and ice conditions. The models are designed to simulate features of the real atmosphere, including the daily movement of long and short wave patterns in the Southern Hemisphere.

    The future probability of rain in each district is estimated using output from the multi-model ensemble, combined with historical information about the difference between the model forecasts and observed rainfall.

    In this deterministic framework the skill of the forecast tends to decrease with time, however the forecasts are updated daily to provide the latest estimates of rainfall probability out to 28 days.

  12. Popup - Daily historical

  13. Past 5 Days

    Breakfast Creek Past 5 Days

    This Month
    Minimum Maximum Rainfall
    Saturday
    Apr 04
    13.2 °C 15.6 °C
    67.2 mm
    Sunday
    Apr 05
    5.7 °C 14.3 °C
    0.0 mm
    Monday
    Apr 06
    6.6 °C 14.4 °C
    0.0 mm
    Tuesday
    Apr 07
    8.4 °C 13.0 °C
    1.0 mm
    Wednesday
    Apr 08
    8.3 °C 12 °C
    0.0 mm
    Legend
  14. Almanac

    Almanac


    Breakfast Creek minimum temp history (32.677°S, 150.0128°E, 672m AMSL)
    MAXIMUM TEMPERATURE MINIMUM TEMPERATURE
    Hottest this month 20.3° 01/04/2020 Coldest this month 5.7° 05/04/2020
    Hottest on record 27.7 08/04/1994 Coldest on record -4.5 02/04/1993
    Hottest this year 37.3° 04/01/2020 Coldest this year 5.7° 05/04/2020
    Long term average 16.8° Long term average 8.5°
    Average this month 15.8° Average this month 9.9°
    Hottest April On Record Avg. max. temp. 19.5° 2005 Coldest April on record Avg. min. temp. 6.5° 1995
    Breakfast Creek rainfall history (32.677°S, 150.0128°E, 672m AMSL)
    RAINFALL
    Wettest This Month 67.2mm 04/04/2020 Total This Month 80.0mm
    4.0 days
    Long Term Average 61.3mm 11.8 days Wettest April on record 156.6mm 2015
    Driest on record 1.8mm 1997
  15. Popup - Radar

    Weather Radar for NSW/ACT

  16. Year to Date

    Breakfast Creek Year To Date

    Average Rainfall To Apr 365.8mm 48.0 day(s)
    Total For 2020 504.8mm 50.0 day(s)
    Total To This Day 2019 368.4mm 41.0 day(s)
    Wettest Day 67.2mm Apr 4
    Lowest Temperature 5.7°C Apr 5
    Highest Temperature 37.3°C Jan 4
  17. Popup - Monthly historical

  18. Climatology

    Climate History

    Breakfast Creek Climatology

    Long-Term Averages
    Jan Feb Mar Apr May Jun Jul Aug Sep Oct Nov Dec Ann
    Mean Max (°C) 24.1 22.9 20.2 16.8 12.9 9.7 9.0 10.8 14.1 17.4 19.9 22.4 16.6
    Mean Min (°C) 13.6 13.3 11.4 8.5 5.8 3.5 2.4 3.0 5.4 7.7 10.0 11.8 8.0
    Mean Rain (mm) 104.6 103.2 96.7 61.3 59.6 87.0 68.0 58.8 76.4 73.9 106.3 95.3 990.5
    Mean Rain Days 11.0 11.9 13.3 11.8 12.4 16.0 15.5 10.9 10.4 9.4 12.4 10.8 139.8