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Forecast

Breakfast Creek (32.677°S, 150.0128°E, 672m AMSL) set as my default location ›

  1. My MLA

  2. Current condition

    TODAY
    Sunny 12° 30°
    Chance of rain: 20%
    Likely amount: < 1mm
    First
    light     		Sunrise Sunset Last light
    Sunrise Sunset
    5:16am EDT 5:44am EDT 8:00pm EDT 8:28pm EDT
    NOW
    27.6° Feels Like: 26.0°
    Relative Humidity: 34%
    Dew: 10.3°
    Wind: NNW 9km/h
    Gust: 9km/h
    Rainfall since 9am: 0.0mm
    Pressure:  

  3. Today Weather

    Breakfast Creek
    Now
    31.4°c
    Feels Like:
    28.5°
    Wind:
    NNW 17km/h
    Gusts:
    19km/h
    Humidity:
    29%
    Sunny
     
    12°
    Min
    30°
    Max
    Today in Breakfast Creek
    Mostly sunny. Areas of smoke haze. The chance of a thunderstorm in the north this afternoon. Winds NE/SE 15 to 20 km/h tending NW/SW 15 to 25 km/h in the middle of the day then tending NE/SE 15 to 20 km/h in the late evening. Daytime maximum temperatures 28 to 37.
    Tomorrow
    Mostly sunny
    12°
    Min
    25°
    Max
    Partly cloudy. Medium chance of showers about the Blue Mountains. Areas of smoke haze. Light winds becoming W/SW 15 to 25 km/h in the early afternoon then tending NE/SE in the evening. Overnight temperatures falling to between 10 and 16 with daytime temperatures reaching 24 to 34.

  4. Radar

  5. Popup Radar

  6. Warnings

  7. Next 48 Hours


    Next 48 Hours

  8. 7 day forecast

    Today: Mostly sunny. Areas of smoke haze. The chance of a thunderstorm in the north this afternoon. Winds NE/SE 15 to 20 km/h tending NW/SW 15 to 25 km/h in the middle of the day then tending NE/SE 15 to 20 km/h in the late evening. Daytime maximum temperatures 28 to 37.

    Forecast for Breakfast Creek (32.677°S, 150.0128°E, 672m AMSL)
      Wed Thu Fri Sat Sun Mon Tue
    Summary Sunny Mostly sunny Mostly sunny Mostly sunny Mostly sunny Mostly sunny Mostly sunny
    Minimum 12° 12° 10° 11° 13° 16° 11°
    Maximum 30° 25° 25° 28° 31° 32° 31°
    Chance of rain 20% 30% 10% 5% 5% 5% 5%
    Likely amount < 1mm < 1mm < 1mm < 1mm < 1mm < 1mm < 1mm
    UV index Extreme Extreme Extreme Extreme Extreme - -
    Frost risk Nil Nil Nil Nil Nil Nil Nil
      9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm
    Wind speed 10
    (km/h)     		8
    (km/h)     		9
    (km/h)     		8
    (km/h)     		10
    (km/h)     		6
    (km/h)     		6
    (km/h)     		8
    (km/h)     		7
    (km/h)     		14
    (km/h)     		8
    (km/h)     		11
    (km/h)     		9
    (km/h)     		12
    (km/h)
    Wind direction SE NE ESE E ESE NNE SW WSW WNW W SW S ESE ESE
    Relative humidity 63% 31% 73% 36% 67% 29% 55% 21% 50% 17% 33% 19% 50% 21%
    Dew point 9°C 11°C 10°C 9°C 8°C 5°C 9°C 4°C 10°C 3°C 5°C 5°C 8°C 6°C

  9. 28 Day Rainfall forecast

    Breakfast Creek Rain Forecast

    Breakfast Creek 28-day Rainfall Forecast
    SUN
    MON
    TUE
    WED
    THU
    FRI
    SAT
    11
    12
    13
    14
    15
    16
    17
    18
    19
    20
    21
    22
    23
    24
    25
    LOW
    26
    27
    LOW
    28
    MEDIUM
    29
    LOW
    30
    31
    LOW
    Jan 1
    LOW
    2
    MEDIUM
    3
    MEDIUM
    4
    MEDIUM
    5
    LOW
    6
    7
    8
    LOW
    CHANCE OF RAINFALL WITHIN DISTRICT
    NIL < 25%
    LOW 25% to 50%
    MEDIUM 50% to 75%
    HIGH ≥ 75%
    Issued Dec11

    Issue Notes

    The hemispheric long wave pattern has remained stable in recent weeks. There are six main troughs. Currently the most significant troughs are near the longitudes of South Africa, the southwest Indian Ocean, Western Australia, eastern Australia, the southeast Pacific, and South America.

    Summary:

    Over southern and eastern Australia the cold front events with potential to bring widespread rain are now expected about 29 December to 2 January, 2 January to 6 January, and 11 January to 15 January. Rain events originating in the tropics and moving south are possible about 27 December to 31 December, and 1 January to 5 January. Over Western Australia the strongest cold fronts should occur about 2 January to 6 January, 6 January to 10 January, and 11 January to 15 January.

    Forecast Explanation

    This forecast is produced by a multi-model ensemble consisting of dynamical atmospheric models, which are forced by the latest observed atmosphere, ocean, land and ice conditions. The models are designed to simulate features of the real atmosphere, including the daily movement of long and short wave patterns in the Southern Hemisphere.

    The future probability of rain in each district is estimated using output from the multi-model ensemble, combined with historical information about the difference between the model forecasts and observed rainfall.

    In this deterministic framework the skill of the forecast tends to decrease with time, however the forecasts are updated daily to provide the latest estimates of rainfall probability out to 28 days.

  10. 12 Month Rainfall Forecast

    Breakfast Creek Rain Forecast

    Breakfast Creek 12-month Rainfall Forecast
    Dec
    Jan
    Feb
    Mar
    Apr
    May
    Jun
    Jul
    Aug
    Sep
    Oct
    Nov
    2019
    2020
    2
    3
    6
    6
    6
    4
    7
    5
    4
    5
    1
    6
    10
    5
    0
    1
    2 - 3
    4 - 7
    8 - 9
    10
    Well below normal
    Below normal
    Near normal
    Above normal
    Well above normal

    Issue Notes - Issued Nov 8

    ENSO status: Neutral IOD status: Positive Sea surface temperatures (SSTs) across the equatorial central Pacific warmed up slightly over the past few weeks. As a reflection, the Nino3.4 index lingered between 0.5 and 0.7 throughout the month of October. The Southern Oscillation Index (SOI) recorded a value of -5.6 during the past month. The current outlook consensus suggests warmer than average SSTs will persist across the equatorial Pacific Ocean through the coming months, but remaining within neutral values. Five out of eight international models maintain a warmer than average Pacific Ocean through the end of 2019 and first quarter of 2020, however, none of these reaching El Nino thresholds. The IRI ENSO forecast continues to suggest less than 40% of another El Nino developing over the next 12 months, with a neutral ENSO the most likely outcome. To the west of Australia, the Indian Ocean Dipole (IOD) remains strongly positive, with the highest positive value since the early 2000s. All six international models maintain a strong positive event until December. In terms of rainfall, there is little variation to the outlook issued last month. The climate outlook for October continues to favour below average rainfall for most of Australia, in particular the eastern half of the continent. During Positive IODs, central and southeastern Australia tend to see a reduction in rainfall during spring, due to a reduction of moisture streaming from the northwest. For northern Australia, the current outlook is for a late onset of the wet season across the Northern Territory and Queensland. Thus far, Darwin and South Eastern Qld have seen the onset of the wet season this year though a week later than usual. Further south, a negative trend in the Southern Annular Mode (SAM) will continue to enhance frontal activity over the far south during October and early. This is likely to offset the Positive IOD in far southern Victoria and western Tasmania, which could see average-to-above average rainfall during October and early December. Looking further ahead, with no significant signature from ENSO, there are no significant climate drivers tilting the balance towards a drier or wetter summer. The current outlook suggest neutral odds.

  11. Long range rainfall forecast

    Breakfast Creek Rain Forecast

    Breakfast Creek 28-day Rainfall Forecast
    SUN
    MON
    TUE
    WED
    THU
    FRI
    SAT
    11
    12
    13
    14
    15
    16
    17
    18
    19
    20
    21
    22
    23
    24
    25
    LOW
    26
    27
    LOW
    28
    MEDIUM
    29
    LOW
    30
    31
    LOW
    Jan 1
    LOW
    2
    MEDIUM
    3
    MEDIUM
    4
    MEDIUM
    5
    LOW
    6
    7
    8
    LOW
    CHANCE OF RAINFALL WITHIN DISTRICT
    NIL < 25%
    LOW 25% to 50%
    MEDIUM 50% to 75%
    HIGH ≥ 75%
    Issued Dec11

    Issue Notes

    The hemispheric long wave pattern has remained stable in recent weeks. There are six main troughs. Currently the most significant troughs are near the longitudes of South Africa, the southwest Indian Ocean, Western Australia, eastern Australia, the southeast Pacific, and South America.

    Summary:

    Over southern and eastern Australia the cold front events with potential to bring widespread rain are now expected about 29 December to 2 January, 2 January to 6 January, and 11 January to 15 January. Rain events originating in the tropics and moving south are possible about 27 December to 31 December, and 1 January to 5 January. Over Western Australia the strongest cold fronts should occur about 2 January to 6 January, 6 January to 10 January, and 11 January to 15 January.

    Forecast Explanation

    This forecast is produced by a multi-model ensemble consisting of dynamical atmospheric models, which are forced by the latest observed atmosphere, ocean, land and ice conditions. The models are designed to simulate features of the real atmosphere, including the daily movement of long and short wave patterns in the Southern Hemisphere.

    The future probability of rain in each district is estimated using output from the multi-model ensemble, combined with historical information about the difference between the model forecasts and observed rainfall.

    In this deterministic framework the skill of the forecast tends to decrease with time, however the forecasts are updated daily to provide the latest estimates of rainfall probability out to 28 days.

  12. Popup - Daily historical

  13. Past 5 Days

    Breakfast Creek Past 5 Days

    This Month
    Minimum Maximum Rainfall
    Saturday
    Dec 07     		11.7 °C 27.5 °C
    0.0 mm
    Sunday
    Dec 08     		11.0 °C 24.5 °C
    0.0 mm
    Monday
    Dec 09     		12.4 °C 29.8 °C
    0.0 mm
    Tuesday
    Dec 10     		19.1 °C 34 °C
    0.0 mm
    Wednesday
    Dec 11     		11 °C -
    0.0 mm
    Legend

  14. Almanac

    Almanac

    Breakfast Creek minimum temp history (32.677°S, 150.0128°E, 672m AMSL)
    MAXIMUM TEMPERATURE MINIMUM TEMPERATURE
    Hottest this month 34.0° 10/12/2019 Coldest this month 5.0° 02/12/2019
    Hottest on record 32.7 31/12/2005 Coldest on record -0.6 16/12/1996
    Hottest this year 34.6° 16/01/2019 Coldest this year -2.0° 21/06/2019
    Long term average 22.4° Long term average 11.8°
    Average this month 24.5° Average this month 10.9°
    Hottest December On Record Avg. max. temp. 26.6° 1990 Coldest December on record Avg. min. temp. 9.1° 2011
    Breakfast Creek rainfall history (32.677°S, 150.0128°E, 672m AMSL)
    RAINFALL
    Wettest This Month 2.6mm 03/12/2019 Total This Month 4.0mm
    2.0 days
    Long Term Average 95.3mm 10.8 days Wettest December on record 234.6mm 1990

  15. Popup - Radar

    Weather Radar for NSW/ACT

  16. Year to Date

    Breakfast Creek Year To Date

    Average Rainfall To Dec 991.1mm 145.8 day(s)
    Total For 2019 581.4mm 116.0 day(s)
    Total To This Day 2018 615.2mm 118.0 day(s)
    Wettest Day 47.2mm Jan24
    Lowest Temperature -2.0°C Jun21
    Highest Temperature 34.6°C Jan16

  17. Popup - Monthly historical

  18. Climatology

    Breakfast Creek Climatology

    Long-Term Averages
    Jan Feb Mar Apr May Jun Jul Aug Sep Oct Nov Dec Ann
    Mean Max (°C) 24.1 22.9 20.2 16.8 12.9 9.7 9.0 10.8 14.1 17.4 19.9 22.4 16.6
    Mean Min (°C) 13.6 13.3 11.4 8.5 5.8 3.5 2.4 3.0 5.4 7.7 10.0 11.8 8.0
    Mean Rain (mm) 104.6 103.2 96.7 61.3 59.6 87.0 68.0 58.8 76.4 73.9 106.3 95.3 990.5
    Mean Rain Days 11.0 11.9 13.3 11.8 12.4 16.0 15.5 10.9 10.4 9.4 12.4 10.8 139.8

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