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Forecast

Box Ridge (31.25°S, 148.7833°E, 308m AMSL) set as my default location ›

  1. My MLA

  2. Current condition

    TODAY
    Heavy showers 16° 21°
    heavy showers
    Chance of rain: 90%
    Likely amount: 10-20mm
    First
    light
    Sunrise Sunset Last light
    Sunrise Sunset
    6:50am EDT 7:14am EDT 7:02pm EDT 7:26pm EDT
    NOW
    19.9° Feels Like: 19.0°
    Relative Humidity: 79%
    Dew: 16.2°
    Wind: ENE 15km/h
    Gust: 19km/h
    Rainfall since 9am: 0.0mm
    Pressure: 1014.2hPa
  3. Today Weather

    Box Ridge
    Now
    17.6°c
    Feels Like:
    16.2°
    Wind:
    N 13km/h
    Gusts:
    15km/h
    Humidity:
    77%
    Heavy showers
     
    16°
    Min
    21°
    Max
    Today in Box Ridge
    Cloudy. High chance of showers in the morning and afternoon. The chance of a thunderstorm in the morning and afternoon, possibly severe. Winds NW/NE 15 to 20 km/h becoming light in the late afternoon. Overnight temperatures falling to between 17 and 20 with daytime temperatures reaching 22 to 28.
    Tomorrow
    Late shower
    14°
    Min
    26°
    Max
    Mostly sunny. Areas of fog in the early morning. The chance of a thunderstorm on the northern plains in the afternoon. Light winds. Overnight temperatures falling to between 13 and 17 with daytime temperatures reaching around 30.
  4. Radar

  5. Popup Radar

  6. Warnings

    There are no current warnings for Box Ridge

  7. Next 48 Hours


    Next 48 Hours


  8. 7 day forecast

    Today: Cloudy. High chance of showers in the morning and afternoon. The chance of a thunderstorm in the morning and afternoon, possibly severe. Winds NW/NE 15 to 20 km/h becoming light in the late afternoon. Overnight temperatures falling to between 17 and 20 with daytime temperatures reaching 22 to 28.

    Forecast for Box Ridge (31.25°S, 148.7833°E, 308m AMSL)
      Mon Tue Wed Thu Fri Sat Sun
    Summary Heavy showers Late shower Possible shower Thunderstorms Possible shower Thunderstorms Mostly sunny
    Minimum 16° 14° 15° 16° 16° 16° 11°
    Maximum 21° 26° 25° 21° 21° 22° 18°
    Chance of rain 90% 40% 50% 70% 90% 60% 5%
    Likely amount 10-20mm < 1mm 1-5mm 10-20mm 20-40mm 1-5mm < 1mm
    UV index - - - - - - -
    Frost risk Nil Nil Nil Nil Nil Nil Nil
      9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm
    Wind speed 12
    (km/h)
    10
    (km/h)
    8
    (km/h)
    5
    (km/h)
    12
    (km/h)
    9
    (km/h)
    14
    (km/h)
    14
    (km/h)
    15
    (km/h)
    16
    (km/h)
    10
    (km/h)
    18
    (km/h)
    10
    (km/h)
    15
    (km/h)
    Wind direction NE NNW E WSW E NE NE NNE NNE NNW NW W WSW WSW
    Relative humidity 81% 77% 89% 49% 75% 52% 87% 80% 91% 83% 90% 58% 60% 46%
    Dew point 15°C 17°C 16°C 15°C 14°C 15°C 15°C 17°C 16°C 18°C 16°C 14°C 8°C 7°C
  9. 28 Day Rainfall forecast

    Box Ridge Rain Forecast


    Box Ridge 28-day Rainfall Forecast
    SUN
    MON
    TUE
    WED
    THU
    FRI
    SAT
    30
    HIGH
    31
    LOW
    Apr 1
    MEDIUM
    2
    HIGH
    3
    HIGH
    4
    MEDIUM
    5
    6
    7
    LOW
    8
    LOW
    9
    10
    LOW
    11
    12
    LOW
    13
    14
    15
    16
    LOW
    17
    LOW
    18
    LOW
    19
    20
    21
    22
    23
    24
    25
    26
    27
    28
    CHANCE OF RAINFALL WITHIN DISTRICT
    NIL < 25%
    LOW 25% to 50%
    MEDIUM 50% to 75%
    HIGH ≥ 75%
    Issued Mar29

    Issue Notes

    The hemispheric long wave pattern has remained stable in recent weeks. There are four main troughs. Currently the most significant troughs are near the longitudes of South Africa, the southwest Indian Ocean, Western Australia, and South America.

    Summary:

    Over southern and eastern Australia the cold front events with potential to bring widespread rain are now expected about 11 April to 15 April, 15 April to 19 April, and 23 April to 27 April. Rain events originating in the tropics and moving south are possible about 27 March to 31 March. Over Western Australia the strongest cold fronts should occur about 9 April to 13 April, 15 April to 19 April, and 23 April to 27 April.

    Forecast Explanation

    This forecast is produced by a multi-model ensemble consisting of dynamical atmospheric models, which are forced by the latest observed atmosphere, ocean, land and ice conditions. The models are designed to simulate features of the real atmosphere, including the daily movement of long and short wave patterns in the Southern Hemisphere.

    The future probability of rain in each district is estimated using output from the multi-model ensemble, combined with historical information about the difference between the model forecasts and observed rainfall.

    In this deterministic framework the skill of the forecast tends to decrease with time, however the forecasts are updated daily to provide the latest estimates of rainfall probability out to 28 days.

  10. 12 Month Rainfall Forecast

    Box Ridge Rain Forecast


    Box Ridge 12-month Rainfall Forecast
    Mar
    Apr
    May
    Jun
    Jul
    Aug
    Sep
    Oct
    Nov
    Dec
    Jan
    Feb
    2020
    2021
    10
    6
    6
    7
    7
    6
    6
    5
    10
    6
    5
    8
    10
    5
    0
    1
    2 - 3
    4 - 7
    8 - 9
    10
    Well below normal
    Below normal
    Near normal
    Above normal
    Well above normal

    Issue Notes - Issued Mar 9

    ENSO status: Neutral IOD status: Neutral SAM status: Trending neutral Sea surface temperatures (SSTs) across the equatorial central Pacific remained stable throughout February with the Nino3.4 index registering a value of 0.3. On the other hand, the Southern Oscillation Index (SOI) recorded a value of -2.2 in February. The current outlook suggests slightly warmer than average SSTs will persist across the equatorial Pacific Ocean through the austral autumn, potentially cooling further by the austral winter. Four out of seven international models maintain a slightly warmer than average equatorial Pacific Ocean through the first half of winter. To the west of Australia, the Indian Ocean Dipole (IOD) remains neutral, normal for this time of the year. All six international models maintain neutral IOD values through to the austral winter. In terms of precipitation across Australia, the current outlook favours below average rainfall for western, central and southeastern parts of the country. Across NSW and Qld, the outlook is for average-to-above average, mainly across the Qld coasts. This excludes any extreme weather events such as tropical cyclones or East Coast Lows. Across the north, the North Australian Monsoon (NAM) has been quiet for most of the wet season, with the current prognosis suggesting below average rainfall for March but above average in April. Looking further ahead, with no significant signature from ENSO, there are no significant climate drivers tilting the balance towards a drier or wetter end of autumn/winter. The current consensus, however, suggests that average to above average rainfall is a possibility across northern, western and parts of the inland south east.

  11. Long range rainfall forecast

    Box Ridge Rain Forecast


    Box Ridge 28-day Rainfall Forecast
    SUN
    MON
    TUE
    WED
    THU
    FRI
    SAT
    30
    HIGH
    31
    LOW
    Apr 1
    MEDIUM
    2
    HIGH
    3
    HIGH
    4
    MEDIUM
    5
    6
    7
    LOW
    8
    LOW
    9
    10
    LOW
    11
    12
    LOW
    13
    14
    15
    16
    LOW
    17
    LOW
    18
    LOW
    19
    20
    21
    22
    23
    24
    25
    26
    27
    28
    CHANCE OF RAINFALL WITHIN DISTRICT
    NIL < 25%
    LOW 25% to 50%
    MEDIUM 50% to 75%
    HIGH ≥ 75%
    Issued Mar29

    Issue Notes

    The hemispheric long wave pattern has remained stable in recent weeks. There are four main troughs. Currently the most significant troughs are near the longitudes of South Africa, the southwest Indian Ocean, Western Australia, and South America.

    Summary:

    Over southern and eastern Australia the cold front events with potential to bring widespread rain are now expected about 11 April to 15 April, 15 April to 19 April, and 23 April to 27 April. Rain events originating in the tropics and moving south are possible about 27 March to 31 March. Over Western Australia the strongest cold fronts should occur about 9 April to 13 April, 15 April to 19 April, and 23 April to 27 April.

    Forecast Explanation

    This forecast is produced by a multi-model ensemble consisting of dynamical atmospheric models, which are forced by the latest observed atmosphere, ocean, land and ice conditions. The models are designed to simulate features of the real atmosphere, including the daily movement of long and short wave patterns in the Southern Hemisphere.

    The future probability of rain in each district is estimated using output from the multi-model ensemble, combined with historical information about the difference between the model forecasts and observed rainfall.

    In this deterministic framework the skill of the forecast tends to decrease with time, however the forecasts are updated daily to provide the latest estimates of rainfall probability out to 28 days.

  12. Popup - Daily historical

  13. Past 5 Days

    Box Ridge Past 5 Days

    This Month
    Minimum Maximum Rainfall
    Wednesday
    Mar 25
    19.3 °C 25.2 °C
    0.0 mm
    Thursday
    Mar 26
    15.0 °C 25.2 °C
    21.6 mm
    Friday
    Mar 27
    15.4 °C 26.8 °C
    0.0 mm
    Saturday
    Mar 28
    14.6 °C 27.8 °C
    0.0 mm
    Sunday
    Mar 29
    16.0 °C 30 °C
    0.0 mm
    Legend
  14. Almanac

    Almanac


    Box Ridge minimum temp history (31.25°S, 148.7833°E, 308m AMSL)
    MAXIMUM TEMPERATURE MINIMUM TEMPERATURE
    Hottest this month 36.4° 02/03/2020 Coldest this month 12.1° 15/03/2020
    Hottest on record 42.0 19/03/2002 Coldest on record 4.8 30/03/2008
    Hottest this year 44.6° 02/01/2020 Coldest this year 12.1° 15/03/2020
    Long term average 31.0° Long term average 16.8°
    Average this month 28.4° Average this month 16.0°
    Hottest March On Record Avg. max. temp. 34.4° 1998 Coldest March on record Avg. min. temp. 14.3° 2008
    Box Ridge rainfall history (31.25°S, 148.7833°E, 308m AMSL)
    RAINFALL
    Wettest This Month 35.0mm 06/03/2020 Total This Month 87.2mm
    7.0 days
    Long Term Average 47.8mm 6.0 days Wettest March on record 158.4mm 2000
    Driest on record 1.2mm 2015
  15. Popup - Radar

    Weather Radar for NSW/ACT

  16. Year to Date

    Box Ridge Year To Date

    Average Rainfall To Mar 152.2mm 18.1 day(s)
    Total For 2020 248.8mm 25.0 day(s)
    Total To This Day 2019 61.8mm 9.0 day(s)
    Wettest Day 68.6mm Feb18
    Lowest Temperature 12.1°C Mar15
    Highest Temperature 44.6°C Jan 2
  17. Popup - Monthly historical

  18. Climatology

    Climate History

    Box Ridge Climatology

    Long-Term Averages
    Jan Feb Mar Apr May Jun Jul Aug Sep Oct Nov Dec Ann
    Mean Max (°C) 35.0 33.9 31.0 26.3 21.6 17.7 17.0 19.2 23.6 27.6 31.1 33.1 26.5
    Mean Min (°C) 20.2 19.5 16.8 11.9 7.3 5.1 3.7 4.0 7.3 11.1 15.5 17.9 11.7
    Mean Rain (mm) 47.8 56.6 47.8 39.3 36.8 54.7 35.7 26.2 37.0 41.1 54.9 65.4 544.5
    Mean Rain Days 6.0 6.1 6.0 4.1 5.1 8.6 7.3 5.2 5.3 5.8 6.9 6.6 68.3