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Forecast

Bowraville (30.6419°S, 152.8546°E, 5m AMSL) set as my default location ›

  1. My MLA

  2. Current condition

    TODAY
    Showers 18° 24°
    Chance of rain: 60%
    Likely amount: 1-5mm
    First
    light
    Sunrise Sunset Last light
    Sunrise Sunset
    5:10am EDT 5:38am EDT 7:45pm EDT 8:13pm EDT
    NOW
    20.1° Feels Like: 20.3°
    Relative Humidity: 92%
    Dew: 18.8°
    Wind: WSW 15km/h
    Gust: 18km/h
    Rainfall since 9am: 1.0mm
    Pressure: 1013.0hPa
  3. Today Weather

    Bowraville
    Now
    22.7°c
    Feels Like:
    23.6°
    Wind:
    W 6km/h
    Gusts:
    9km/h
    Humidity:
    66%
    Showers
     
    18°
    Min
    24°
    Max
    Today in Bowraville
    Cloudy. High chance of showers in the north, medium chance elsewhere. Areas of smoke haze. The chance of a thunderstorm in the north this morning. Light winds. Daytime maximum temperatures 20 to 25.
    Tomorrow
    Possible shower
    17°
    Min
    27°
    Max
    Partly cloudy. Medium chance of showers in the north, slight chance elsewhere. Areas of smoke haze. The chance of a thunderstorm in the north in the afternoon and evening. Light winds becoming E/NE 15 to 20 km/h in the early afternoon then becoming light in the late evening. Overnight temperatures falling to between 12 and 17 with daytime temperatures reaching 24 to 30.
  4. Radar

  5. Popup Radar

  6. Warnings

    There are no current warnings for Bowraville

  7. Next 48 Hours


    Next 48 Hours


  8. 7 day forecast

    Today: Cloudy. High chance of showers in the north, medium chance elsewhere. Areas of smoke haze. The chance of a thunderstorm in the north this morning. Light winds. Daytime maximum temperatures 20 to 25.

    Forecast for Bowraville (30.6419°S, 152.8546°E, 5m AMSL)
      Fri Sat Sun Mon Tue Wed Thu
    Summary Showers Possible shower Late shower Mostly sunny Mostly sunny Mostly sunny Mostly sunny
    Minimum 18° 17° 18° 17° 15° 14° 15°
    Maximum 24° 27° 29° 32° 27° 27° 32°
    Chance of rain 60% 50% 40% 5% 5% 5% 60%
    Likely amount 1-5mm < 1mm < 1mm < 1mm < 1mm < 1mm < 1mm
    UV index Extreme Extreme Extreme Extreme Extreme - -
    Frost risk Nil Nil Nil Nil Nil Nil Nil
      9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm
    Wind speed 15
    (km/h)
    16
    (km/h)
    7
    (km/h)
    18
    (km/h)
    14
    (km/h)
    23
    (km/h)
    12
    (km/h)
    29
    (km/h)
    18
    (km/h)
    20
    (km/h)
    6
    (km/h)
    16
    (km/h)
    19
    (km/h)
    26
    (km/h)
    Wind direction SSE SSE ENE ENE NNE NE SW S SSW SSE SSE ENE NNE NE
    Relative humidity 81% 75% 79% 74% 80% 75% 64% 61% 68% 61% 68% 61% 63% 63%
    Dew point 16°C 19°C 18°C 21°C 20°C 24°C 20°C 20°C 15°C 18°C 14°C 19°C 16°C 23°C
  9. 28 Day Rainfall forecast

    Bowraville Rain Forecast


    Bowraville 28-day Rainfall Forecast
    SUN
    MON
    TUE
    WED
    THU
    FRI
    SAT
    13
    MEDIUM
    14
    MEDIUM
    15
    LOW
    16
    17
    18
    19
    LOW
    20
    21
    LOW
    22
    HIGH
    23
    HIGH
    24
    MEDIUM
    25
    MEDIUM
    26
    LOW
    27
    MEDIUM
    28
    LOW
    29
    MEDIUM
    30
    31
    LOW
    Jan 1
    MEDIUM
    2
    LOW
    3
    MEDIUM
    4
    LOW
    5
    LOW
    6
    LOW
    7
    MEDIUM
    8
    MEDIUM
    9
    MEDIUM
    10
    LOW
    CHANCE OF RAINFALL WITHIN DISTRICT
    NIL < 25%
    LOW 25% to 50%
    MEDIUM 50% to 75%
    HIGH ≥ 75%
    Issued Dec13

    Issue Notes

    The hemispheric long wave pattern has remained stable in recent weeks. There are six main troughs. Currently the most significant troughs are near the longitudes of South Africa, the Indian Ocean, Western Australia, New Zealand, the southeast Pacific, and South America.

    Summary:

    Over southern and eastern Australia the cold front events with potential to bring widespread rain are now expected about 24 December to 28 December, 30 December to 3 January, and 3 January to 7 January. Rain events originating in the tropics and moving south are possible about 22 December to 26 December, 26 December to 30 December, and 7 January to 11 January. Over Western Australia the strongest cold fronts should occur about 18 December to 22 December, 30 December to 3 January, and 8 January to 12 January.

    Forecast Explanation

    This forecast is produced by a multi-model ensemble consisting of dynamical atmospheric models, which are forced by the latest observed atmosphere, ocean, land and ice conditions. The models are designed to simulate features of the real atmosphere, including the daily movement of long and short wave patterns in the Southern Hemisphere.

    The future probability of rain in each district is estimated using output from the multi-model ensemble, combined with historical information about the difference between the model forecasts and observed rainfall.

    In this deterministic framework the skill of the forecast tends to decrease with time, however the forecasts are updated daily to provide the latest estimates of rainfall probability out to 28 days.

  10. 12 Month Rainfall Forecast

    Bowraville Rain Forecast


    Bowraville 12-month Rainfall Forecast
    Dec
    Jan
    Feb
    Mar
    Apr
    May
    Jun
    Jul
    Aug
    Sep
    Oct
    Nov
    2019
    2020
    2
    3
    6
    6
    7
    6
    6
    5
    6
    6
    4
    8
    10
    5
    0
    1
    2 - 3
    4 - 7
    8 - 9
    10
    Well below normal
    Below normal
    Near normal
    Above normal
    Well above normal

    Issue Notes - Issued Dec 11

    ENSO status: Neutral IOD status: Positive SAM status: Negative Sea surface temperatures (SSTs) across the equatorial central Pacific continued to exhibit a slight warming during November. The Nino3.4 index lingered between 0.6 and 0.7 throughout the month of November. However, this has dropped to 0.4 since early December. On the other hand, the Southern Oscillation Index (SOI) recorded a value of -9.3 in November. The current outlook continues to suggest warmer than average SSTs will persist across the equatorial Pacific Ocean through the coming months, but remaining within neutral values. Seven out of eight international models maintain a warmer than average equatorial Pacific Ocean through the first quarter of 2020, none of these reaching El Nino thresholds. The IRI ENSO forecast continues to suggest a less than 40% chance of another El Nino developing over the next 6 months, with a neutral ENSO the most likely outcome. To the west of Australia, the Indian Ocean Dipole (IOD) remains in the positive side of neutral, though it has significant strength after peaking in October . All six international models maintain a positive event until January. In terms of rainfall across Australia, there is little variation to the outlook issued last month across the west. However, the climate outlook for the eastern states has seen a significant drying over the past 2 months. The current outlook now favours a clearer below average rainfall signal for the eastern states. This however, excludes any extreme weather events such as tropical cyclones in Qld or East Coast Lows. For northern Australia, the current outlook favours a late onset of the North Australian Monsoon (NAM) across the Northern Territory and Queensland. Usually, Darwin tends to see the onset of NAM around christmas day. Further south, a negative trend in the Southern Annular Mode (SAM) continues to enhance frontal activity over southern SA, Victoria, Tasmania and southern NSW. This has offset the Positive IOD in far southern Victoria and western Tasmania, which continue to see average-to-above average rainfall odds through December and early January. Looking further ahead, with no significant signature from ENSO, there are no significant climate drivers tilting the balance towards a drier or wetter summer. The current outlook suggests neutral odds for the second half of summer.

  11. Long range rainfall forecast

    Bowraville Rain Forecast


    Bowraville 28-day Rainfall Forecast
    SUN
    MON
    TUE
    WED
    THU
    FRI
    SAT
    13
    MEDIUM
    14
    MEDIUM
    15
    LOW
    16
    17
    18
    19
    LOW
    20
    21
    LOW
    22
    HIGH
    23
    HIGH
    24
    MEDIUM
    25
    MEDIUM
    26
    LOW
    27
    MEDIUM
    28
    LOW
    29
    MEDIUM
    30
    31
    LOW
    Jan 1
    MEDIUM
    2
    LOW
    3
    MEDIUM
    4
    LOW
    5
    LOW
    6
    LOW
    7
    MEDIUM
    8
    MEDIUM
    9
    MEDIUM
    10
    LOW
    CHANCE OF RAINFALL WITHIN DISTRICT
    NIL < 25%
    LOW 25% to 50%
    MEDIUM 50% to 75%
    HIGH ≥ 75%
    Issued Dec13

    Issue Notes

    The hemispheric long wave pattern has remained stable in recent weeks. There are six main troughs. Currently the most significant troughs are near the longitudes of South Africa, the Indian Ocean, Western Australia, New Zealand, the southeast Pacific, and South America.

    Summary:

    Over southern and eastern Australia the cold front events with potential to bring widespread rain are now expected about 24 December to 28 December, 30 December to 3 January, and 3 January to 7 January. Rain events originating in the tropics and moving south are possible about 22 December to 26 December, 26 December to 30 December, and 7 January to 11 January. Over Western Australia the strongest cold fronts should occur about 18 December to 22 December, 30 December to 3 January, and 8 January to 12 January.

    Forecast Explanation

    This forecast is produced by a multi-model ensemble consisting of dynamical atmospheric models, which are forced by the latest observed atmosphere, ocean, land and ice conditions. The models are designed to simulate features of the real atmosphere, including the daily movement of long and short wave patterns in the Southern Hemisphere.

    The future probability of rain in each district is estimated using output from the multi-model ensemble, combined with historical information about the difference between the model forecasts and observed rainfall.

    In this deterministic framework the skill of the forecast tends to decrease with time, however the forecasts are updated daily to provide the latest estimates of rainfall probability out to 28 days.

  12. Popup - Daily historical

  13. Past 5 Days

    Bowraville Past 5 Days

    This Month
    Minimum Maximum Rainfall
    Monday
    Dec 09
    16.4 °C 27.7 °C
    0.0 mm
    Tuesday
    Dec 10
    23.3 °C 29.5 °C
    0.0 mm
    Wednesday
    Dec 11
    21.8 °C 24.0 °C
    0.0 mm
    Thursday
    Dec 12
    21.0 °C 26 °C
    0.0 mm
    Friday
    Dec 13
    19 °C -
    32.0 mm
    Legend
  14. Almanac

    Almanac


    Bowraville minimum temp history (30.6419°S, 152.8546°E, 5m AMSL)
    MAXIMUM TEMPERATURE MINIMUM TEMPERATURE
    Hottest this month 33.4° 08/12/2019 Coldest this month 14.5° 04/12/2019
    Hottest on record 39.5 02/12/1979 Coldest on record 8.0 02/12/2009
    Hottest this year 33.6° 05/02/2019 Coldest this year 7.2° 13/08/2019
    Long term average 26.1° Long term average 18.5°
    Average this month 29.4° Average this month 17.9°
    Hottest December On Record Avg. max. temp. 28.8° 2001 Coldest December on record Avg. min. temp. 16.1° 1962
    Bowraville rainfall history (30.6419°S, 152.8546°E, 5m AMSL)
    RAINFALL
    Wettest This Month 4.0mm 13/12/2019 Total This Month 4.0mm
    1.0 days
    Long Term Average 117.7mm 12.7 days Wettest December on record 466.0mm 2001
  15. Popup - Radar

    Weather Radar for NSW/ACT

  16. Year to Date

    Bowraville Year To Date

    Average Rainfall To Dec 1483.6mm 137.4 day(s)
    Total For 2019 803.4mm 89.0 day(s)
    Total To This Day 2018 1168.3mm 100.0 day(s)
    Wettest Day 74.0mm Mar 8
    Lowest Temperature 7.2°C Aug13
    Highest Temperature 33.6°C Feb 5
  17. Popup - Monthly historical

  18. Climatology

    Bowraville Climatology

    Long-Term Averages
    Jan Feb Mar Apr May Jun Jul Aug Sep Oct Nov Dec Ann
    Mean Max (°C) 27.1 27.2 26.3 24.3 21.7 19.4 18.9 20.1 22.0 23.5 24.6 26.1 23.4
    Mean Min (°C) 19.7 19.8 18.8 16.7 14.5 12.3 11.3 11.9 13.6 15.2 16.8 18.5 15.7
    Mean Rain (mm) 146.8 170.6 187.1 169.6 132.0 138.2 76.8 82.0 56.6 90.3 115.9 117.7 1485.9
    Mean Rain Days 13.5 13.9 15.5 12.9 11.2 10.4 8.2 8.1 8.4 10.9 11.7 12.7 136.7