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Forecast

Bowmans Creek (32.2829°S, 151.1139°E, 200m AMSL) set as my default location ›

  1. My MLA

  2. Current condition

    TODAY
    Late shower 17° 27°
    late shower
    Chance of rain: 90%
    Likely amount: 5-10mm
    First
    light
    Sunrise Sunset Last light
    Sunrise Sunset
    6:42am EDT 7:07am EDT 6:48pm EDT 7:13pm EDT
    NOW
    23.6° Feels Like: 20.4°
    Relative Humidity: 61%
    Dew: 15.6°
    Wind: NW 26km/h
    Gust: 30km/h
    Rainfall since 9am: 0.0mm
    Pressure: 1013.2hPa
  3. Today Weather

    Bowmans Creek
    Now
    23.7°c
    Feels Like:
    22.2°
    Wind:
    NW 19km/h
    Gusts:
    22km/h
    Humidity:
    65%
    Late shower
     
    17°
    Min
    27°
    Max
    Today in Bowmans Creek
    Becoming cloudy. Patchy morning fog about the Upper Hunter. High chance of rain and the chance of a thunderstorm, most likely late this afternoon and evening. The chance of a thunderstorm during this afternoon and evening. Light winds becoming N/NW 15 to 20 km/h in the middle of the day then becoming light in the late afternoon. Daytime maximum temperatures 22 to 27.
    Tomorrow
    Showers increasing
    17°
    Min
    26°
    Max
    Partly cloudy. Very high chance of rain, most likely in the afternoon and evening. The chance of a thunderstorm. Light winds becoming NW 15 to 20 km/h in the morning then becoming light in the late afternoon. Overnight temperatures falling to around 17 with daytime temperatures reaching 21 to 26.
  4. Radar

  5. Popup Radar

  6. Warnings

  7. Next 48 Hours


    Next 48 Hours


  8. 7 day forecast

    Today: Becoming cloudy. Patchy morning fog about the Upper Hunter. High chance of rain and the chance of a thunderstorm, most likely late this afternoon and evening. The chance of a thunderstorm during this afternoon and evening. Light winds becoming N/NW 15 to 20 km/h in the middle of the day then becoming light in the late afternoon. Daytime maximum temperatures 22 to 27.

    Forecast for Bowmans Creek (32.2829°S, 151.1139°E, 200m AMSL)
      Thu Fri Sat Sun Mon Tue Wed
    Summary Late shower Showers increasing Clearing shower Sunny Mostly sunny Clearing shower Late shower
    Minimum 17° 17° 19° 12° 10° 11° 11°
    Maximum 27° 26° 28° 23° 23° 21° 22°
    Chance of rain 90% 90% 20% 5% 40% 50% 60%
    Likely amount 5-10mm 5-10mm < 1mm < 1mm < 1mm < 1mm < 1mm
    UV index High High High High High - -
    Frost risk Nil Nil Nil Nil Nil Nil Nil
      9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm
    Wind speed 3
    (km/h)
    3
    (km/h)
    5
    (km/h)
    6
    (km/h)
    14
    (km/h)
    20
    (km/h)
    13
    (km/h)
    15
    (km/h)
    10
    (km/h)
    10
    (km/h)
    6
    (km/h)
    9
    (km/h)
    4
    (km/h)
    9
    (km/h)
    Wind direction NW ESE NNW N NW WNW WNW WNW W WSW SSW SSE SSW SSE
    Relative humidity 86% 67% 91% 79% 83% 53% 58% 42% 57% 49% 72% 61% 77% 70%
    Dew point 18°C 20°C 19°C 21°C 20°C 18°C 9°C 9°C 9°C 12°C 11°C 13°C 13°C 16°C
  9. 28 Day Rainfall forecast

    Bowmans Creek Rain Forecast


    Bowmans Creek 28-day Rainfall Forecast
    SUN
    MON
    TUE
    WED
    THU
    FRI
    SAT
    2
    HIGH
    3
    MEDIUM
    4
    LOW
    5
    6
    MEDIUM
    7
    MEDIUM
    8
    MEDIUM
    9
    10
    11
    12
    13
    14
    15
    16
    MEDIUM
    17
    MEDIUM
    18
    LOW
    19
    LOW
    20
    21
    MEDIUM
    22
    HIGH
    23
    HIGH
    24
    25
    LOW
    26
    27
    LOW
    28
    LOW
    29
    30
    LOW
    May 1
    CHANCE OF RAINFALL WITHIN DISTRICT
    NIL < 25%
    LOW 25% to 50%
    MEDIUM 50% to 75%
    HIGH ≥ 75%
    Issued Apr 2

    Issue Notes

    The hemispheric long wave pattern has remained stable in recent weeks. There are six main troughs. Currently the most significant troughs are near the longitudes of South Africa, the southwest Indian Ocean, the Indian Ocean, New Zealand, the southeast Pacific, and the Atlantic Ocean.

    Summary:

    Over southern and eastern Australia the cold front events with potential to bring widespread rain are now expected about 23 April to 27 April, 27 April to 1 May, and 6 May to 10 May. Rain events originating in the tropics and moving south are possible about 21 April to 25 April, and 6 May to 10 May. Over Western Australia the strongest cold fronts should occur about 19 April to 23 April, 23 April to 27 April, and 4 May to 8 May.

    Forecast Explanation

    This forecast is produced by a multi-model ensemble consisting of dynamical atmospheric models, which are forced by the latest observed atmosphere, ocean, land and ice conditions. The models are designed to simulate features of the real atmosphere, including the daily movement of long and short wave patterns in the Southern Hemisphere.

    The future probability of rain in each district is estimated using output from the multi-model ensemble, combined with historical information about the difference between the model forecasts and observed rainfall.

    In this deterministic framework the skill of the forecast tends to decrease with time, however the forecasts are updated daily to provide the latest estimates of rainfall probability out to 28 days.

  10. 12 Month Rainfall Forecast

    Bowmans Creek Rain Forecast


    Bowmans Creek 12-month Rainfall Forecast
    Apr
    May
    Jun
    Jul
    Aug
    Sep
    Oct
    Nov
    Dec
    Jan
    Feb
    2020
    2021
    7
    6
    6
    7
    6
    6
    4
    10
    4
    4
    7
    10
    5
    0
    1
    2 - 3
    4 - 7
    8 - 9
    10
    Well below normal
    Below normal
    Near normal
    Above normal
    Well above normal

    Issue Notes - Issued Mar 9

    ENSO status: Neutral IOD status: Neutral SAM status: Trending neutral Sea surface temperatures (SSTs) across the equatorial central Pacific remained stable throughout February with the Nino3.4 index registering a value of 0.3. On the other hand, the Southern Oscillation Index (SOI) recorded a value of -2.2 in February. The current outlook suggests slightly warmer than average SSTs will persist across the equatorial Pacific Ocean through the austral autumn, potentially cooling further by the austral winter. Four out of seven international models maintain a slightly warmer than average equatorial Pacific Ocean through the first half of winter. To the west of Australia, the Indian Ocean Dipole (IOD) remains neutral, normal for this time of the year. All six international models maintain neutral IOD values through to the austral winter. In terms of precipitation across Australia, the current outlook favours below average rainfall for western, central and southeastern parts of the country. Across NSW and Qld, the outlook is for average-to-above average, mainly across the Qld coasts. This excludes any extreme weather events such as tropical cyclones or East Coast Lows. Across the north, the North Australian Monsoon (NAM) has been quiet for most of the wet season, with the current prognosis suggesting below average rainfall for March but above average in April. Looking further ahead, with no significant signature from ENSO, there are no significant climate drivers tilting the balance towards a drier or wetter end of autumn/winter. The current consensus, however, suggests that average to above average rainfall is a possibility across northern, western and parts of the inland south east.

  11. Long range rainfall forecast

    Bowmans Creek Rain Forecast


    Bowmans Creek 28-day Rainfall Forecast
    SUN
    MON
    TUE
    WED
    THU
    FRI
    SAT
    2
    HIGH
    3
    MEDIUM
    4
    LOW
    5
    6
    MEDIUM
    7
    MEDIUM
    8
    MEDIUM
    9
    10
    11
    12
    13
    14
    15
    16
    MEDIUM
    17
    MEDIUM
    18
    LOW
    19
    LOW
    20
    21
    MEDIUM
    22
    HIGH
    23
    HIGH
    24
    25
    LOW
    26
    27
    LOW
    28
    LOW
    29
    30
    LOW
    May 1
    CHANCE OF RAINFALL WITHIN DISTRICT
    NIL < 25%
    LOW 25% to 50%
    MEDIUM 50% to 75%
    HIGH ≥ 75%
    Issued Apr 2

    Issue Notes

    The hemispheric long wave pattern has remained stable in recent weeks. There are six main troughs. Currently the most significant troughs are near the longitudes of South Africa, the southwest Indian Ocean, the Indian Ocean, New Zealand, the southeast Pacific, and the Atlantic Ocean.

    Summary:

    Over southern and eastern Australia the cold front events with potential to bring widespread rain are now expected about 23 April to 27 April, 27 April to 1 May, and 6 May to 10 May. Rain events originating in the tropics and moving south are possible about 21 April to 25 April, and 6 May to 10 May. Over Western Australia the strongest cold fronts should occur about 19 April to 23 April, 23 April to 27 April, and 4 May to 8 May.

    Forecast Explanation

    This forecast is produced by a multi-model ensemble consisting of dynamical atmospheric models, which are forced by the latest observed atmosphere, ocean, land and ice conditions. The models are designed to simulate features of the real atmosphere, including the daily movement of long and short wave patterns in the Southern Hemisphere.

    The future probability of rain in each district is estimated using output from the multi-model ensemble, combined with historical information about the difference between the model forecasts and observed rainfall.

    In this deterministic framework the skill of the forecast tends to decrease with time, however the forecasts are updated daily to provide the latest estimates of rainfall probability out to 28 days.

  12. Popup - Daily historical

  13. Past 5 Days

    Bowmans Creek Past 5 Days

    This Month
    Minimum Maximum Rainfall
    Sunday
    Mar 29
    - 26.3 °C
    -
    Monday
    Mar 30
    11.0 °C 22.8 °C
    2.4 mm
    Tuesday
    Mar 31
    16.4 °C 27.8 °C
    3.0 mm
    Wednesday
    Apr 01
    14.5 °C 21.3 °C
    0.0 mm
    Thursday
    Apr 02
    14.5 °C -
    0.0 mm
    Legend
  14. Almanac

    Almanac


    Bowmans Creek minimum temp history (32.2829°S, 151.1139°E, 200m AMSL)
    MAXIMUM TEMPERATURE MINIMUM TEMPERATURE
    Hottest this month 21.3° 01/04/2020 Coldest this month 14.5° 01/04/2020
    Hottest on record 36.7 04/04/1986 Coldest on record 3.6 29/04/1970
    Hottest this year 44.4° 05/01/2020 Coldest this year 11.0° 30/03/2020
    Long term average 23.6° Long term average 12.6°
    Average this month 21.3° Average this month 14.5°
    Hottest April On Record Avg. max. temp. 27.1° 1986 Coldest April on record Avg. min. temp. 10.9° 1995
    Bowmans Creek rainfall history (32.2829°S, 151.1139°E, 200m AMSL)
    RAINFALL
    Wettest This Month 0.0mm 01/04/2020 Total This Month 0.0mm
    0.0 days
    Long Term Average 77.6mm 10.8 days Wettest April on record 327.4mm 2015
    Driest on record 0.6mm 1980
  15. Popup - Radar

    Weather Radar for NSW/ACT

  16. Year to Date

    Bowmans Creek Year To Date

    Average Rainfall To Apr 457.1mm 47.8 day(s)
    Total For 2020 372.8mm 39.0 day(s)
    Total To This Day 2019 255.0mm 22.0 day(s)
    Wettest Day 92.8mm Feb10
    Lowest Temperature 11.0°C Mar30
    Highest Temperature 44.4°C Jan 5
  17. Popup - Monthly historical

  18. Climatology

    Climate History

    Bowmans Creek Climatology

    Long-Term Averages
    Jan Feb Mar Apr May Jun Jul Aug Sep Oct Nov Dec Ann
    Mean Max (°C) 29.4 28.5 26.6 23.6 20.0 17.0 16.5 18.4 21.6 24.5 26.5 28.8 23.5
    Mean Min (°C) 17.2 17.2 15.4 12.6 10.0 7.7 6.5 6.9 9.3 11.8 13.9 16.0 12.0
    Mean Rain (mm) 128.9 126.2 124.4 77.6 69.6 69.3 40.3 37.8 50.3 65.5 93.1 97.6 983.1
    Mean Rain Days 12.5 11.8 12.7 10.8 11.9 12.5 11.3 9.1 9.4 10.5 12.4 11.5 132.3