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Forecast

Bowmans Creek (32.2829°S, 151.1139°E, 200m AMSL) set as my default location ›

  1. My MLA

  2. Current condition

    TODAY
    Clearing shower 22° 33°
    clearing shower
    Chance of rain: 40%
    Likely amount: < 1mm
    First
    light
    Sunrise Sunset Last light
    Sunrise Sunset
    5:49am EDT 6:16am EDT 7:58pm EDT 8:25pm EDT
    NOW
    21.4° Feels Like: 25.0°
    Relative Humidity: 90%
    Dew: 19.7°
    Wind: N 0km/h
    Gust: 0km/h
    Rainfall since 9am: 0.0mm
    Pressure: 1017.2hPa
  3. Today Weather

    Bowmans Creek
    Now
    20.9°c
    Feels Like:
    21.9°
    Wind:
    S 11km/h
    Gusts:
    15km/h
    Humidity:
    88%
    Clearing shower
     
    22°
    Min
    33°
    Max
    Today in Bowmans Creek
    Partly cloudy. Areas of morning fog about the Upper Hunter. Light winds becoming E/SE 15 to 20 km/h in the middle of the day then becoming light in the late evening. Daytime maximum temperatures 30 to 36.
    Tomorrow
    Sunny
    21°
    Min
    39°
    Max
    Hot and mostly sunny. Light winds becoming E/NE 15 to 25 km/h in the early afternoon. Overnight temperatures falling to around 20 with daytime temperatures reaching 34 to 40.
  4. Radar

  5. Popup Radar

  6. Warnings

  7. Next 48 Hours


    Next 48 Hours


  8. 7 day forecast

    Today: Partly cloudy. Areas of morning fog about the Upper Hunter. Light winds becoming E/SE 15 to 20 km/h in the middle of the day then becoming light in the late evening. Daytime maximum temperatures 30 to 36.

    Forecast for Bowmans Creek (32.2829°S, 151.1139°E, 200m AMSL)
      Thu Fri Sat Sun Mon Tue Wed
    Summary Clearing shower Sunny Sunny Sunny Showers Showers Possible shower
    Minimum 22° 21° 21° 27° 22° 18° 18°
    Maximum 33° 39° 43° 43° 28° 22° 24°
    Chance of rain 40% 5% 5% 70% 90% 90% 90%
    Likely amount < 1mm < 1mm < 1mm 1-5mm 5-10mm 1-5mm 5-10mm
    UV index Extreme Extreme Extreme Extreme Extreme - -
    Frost risk Nil Nil Nil Nil Nil Nil Nil
      9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm
    Wind speed 7
    (km/h)
    10
    (km/h)
    2
    (km/h)
    8
    (km/h)
    7
    (km/h)
    8
    (km/h)
    18
    (km/h)
    14
    (km/h)
    6
    (km/h)
    10
    (km/h)
    11
    (km/h)
    12
    (km/h)
    10
    (km/h)
    12
    (km/h)
    Wind direction ESE ESE E ESE NNW WNW NW NW WSW WSW SE SE SE SE
    Relative humidity 84% 47% 78% 39% 60% 31% 44% 29% 85% 72% 91% 79% 82% 70%
    Dew point 22°C 20°C 24°C 23°C 22°C 22°C 20°C 21°C 22°C 22°C 17°C 18°C 18°C 18°C
  9. 28 Day Rainfall forecast

    Bowmans Creek Rain Forecast


    Bowmans Creek 28-day Rainfall Forecast
    SUN
    MON
    TUE
    WED
    THU
    FRI
    SAT
    30
    31
    Feb 1
    2
    HIGH
    3
    HIGH
    4
    HIGH
    5
    MEDIUM
    6
    MEDIUM
    7
    MEDIUM
    8
    LOW
    9
    MEDIUM
    10
    LOW
    11
    LOW
    12
    LOW
    13
    LOW
    14
    15
    16
    17
    18
    LOW
    19
    20
    21
    LOW
    22
    MEDIUM
    23
    24
    LOW
    25
    LOW
    26
    MEDIUM
    27
    MEDIUM
    CHANCE OF RAINFALL WITHIN DISTRICT
    NIL < 25%
    LOW 25% to 50%
    MEDIUM 50% to 75%
    HIGH ≥ 75%
    Issued Jan29

    Issue Notes

    The hemispheric long wave pattern has remained stable in recent weeks. There are seven main troughs. Currently the most significant troughs are near the longitudes of South Africa, the Indian Ocean, Western Australia, eastern Australia, the southeast Pacific, and South America.

    Summary:

    Over southern and eastern Australia the cold front events with potential to bring widespread rain are now expected about 7 February to 11 February, 19 February to 23 February, and 2 March to 6 March. Rain events originating in the tropics and moving south are possible about 7 February to 11 February, 25 February to 29 February, and 29 February to 4 March. Over Western Australia the strongest cold fronts should occur about 5 February to 9 February, and 14 February to 18 February.

    Forecast Explanation

    This forecast is produced by a multi-model ensemble consisting of dynamical atmospheric models, which are forced by the latest observed atmosphere, ocean, land and ice conditions. The models are designed to simulate features of the real atmosphere, including the daily movement of long and short wave patterns in the Southern Hemisphere.

    The future probability of rain in each district is estimated using output from the multi-model ensemble, combined with historical information about the difference between the model forecasts and observed rainfall.

    In this deterministic framework the skill of the forecast tends to decrease with time, however the forecasts are updated daily to provide the latest estimates of rainfall probability out to 28 days.

  10. 12 Month Rainfall Forecast

    Bowmans Creek Rain Forecast


    Bowmans Creek 12-month Rainfall Forecast
    Jan
    Feb
    Mar
    Apr
    May
    Jun
    Jul
    Aug
    Sep
    Oct
    Nov
    Dec
    2020
    4
    6
    4
    7
    6
    7
    8
    5
    6
    4
    6
    5
    10
    5
    0
    1
    2 - 3
    4 - 7
    8 - 9
    10
    Well below normal
    Below normal
    Near normal
    Above normal
    Well above normal

    Issue Notes - Issued Jan 14

    ENSO status: Neutral IOD status: Neutral SAM status: Trending neutral Sea surface temperatures (SSTs) across the equatorial central Pacific remained stable throughout December with the Nino3.4 index registering a value of 0.4 throughout the month. On the other hand, the Southern Oscillation Index (SOI) recorded a value of -5.5 in December. The current outlook suggests warmer than average SSTs will persist across the equatorial Pacific Ocean through the coming months, but remaining within neutral values. Six out of eight international models maintain a warmer than average equatorial Pacific Ocean through the first two quarters of 2020, none of these reaching El Nino thresholds. To the west of Australia, the Indian Ocean Dipole (IOD) has now returned to neutral, as waters off Western Australia have warmed up considerably. All six international models maintain neutral values until the austral winter with indications we could see another positive event later this year. In terms of rainfall across Australia, the current outlook favours a clearer below average rainfall signal for Western Australia and the Northern Territory through the remainder of January. This however, excludes any extreme weather events such as tropical cyclones. For the eastern states, there is a wetter than average signal for the coming weeks. Looking further ahead, with no significant signature from ENSO, there are no significant climate drivers tilting the balance towards a drier or wetter February. The current outlook suggests average-to-below average odds for February and March across the eastern states. The northern and western half of the country, however, could see a wet end to summer/start to autumn.

  11. Long range rainfall forecast

    Bowmans Creek Rain Forecast


    Bowmans Creek 28-day Rainfall Forecast
    SUN
    MON
    TUE
    WED
    THU
    FRI
    SAT
    30
    31
    Feb 1
    2
    HIGH
    3
    HIGH
    4
    HIGH
    5
    MEDIUM
    6
    MEDIUM
    7
    MEDIUM
    8
    LOW
    9
    MEDIUM
    10
    LOW
    11
    LOW
    12
    LOW
    13
    LOW
    14
    15
    16
    17
    18
    LOW
    19
    20
    21
    LOW
    22
    MEDIUM
    23
    24
    LOW
    25
    LOW
    26
    MEDIUM
    27
    MEDIUM
    CHANCE OF RAINFALL WITHIN DISTRICT
    NIL < 25%
    LOW 25% to 50%
    MEDIUM 50% to 75%
    HIGH ≥ 75%
    Issued Jan29

    Issue Notes

    The hemispheric long wave pattern has remained stable in recent weeks. There are seven main troughs. Currently the most significant troughs are near the longitudes of South Africa, the Indian Ocean, Western Australia, eastern Australia, the southeast Pacific, and South America.

    Summary:

    Over southern and eastern Australia the cold front events with potential to bring widespread rain are now expected about 7 February to 11 February, 19 February to 23 February, and 2 March to 6 March. Rain events originating in the tropics and moving south are possible about 7 February to 11 February, 25 February to 29 February, and 29 February to 4 March. Over Western Australia the strongest cold fronts should occur about 5 February to 9 February, and 14 February to 18 February.

    Forecast Explanation

    This forecast is produced by a multi-model ensemble consisting of dynamical atmospheric models, which are forced by the latest observed atmosphere, ocean, land and ice conditions. The models are designed to simulate features of the real atmosphere, including the daily movement of long and short wave patterns in the Southern Hemisphere.

    The future probability of rain in each district is estimated using output from the multi-model ensemble, combined with historical information about the difference between the model forecasts and observed rainfall.

    In this deterministic framework the skill of the forecast tends to decrease with time, however the forecasts are updated daily to provide the latest estimates of rainfall probability out to 28 days.

  12. Popup - Daily historical

  13. Past 5 Days

    Bowmans Creek Past 5 Days

    This Month
    Minimum Maximum Rainfall
    Saturday
    Jan 25
    - -
    -
    Sunday
    Jan 26
    - -
    -
    Monday
    Jan 27
    - 34.0 °C
    -
    Tuesday
    Jan 28
    20.6 °C 38.5 °C
    13.0 mm
    Wednesday
    Jan 29
    22.5 °C -
    10.2 mm
    Legend
  14. Almanac

    Almanac


    Bowmans Creek minimum temp history (32.2829°S, 151.1139°E, 200m AMSL)
    MAXIMUM TEMPERATURE MINIMUM TEMPERATURE
    Hottest this month 44.4° 05/01/2020 Coldest this month 15.8° 14/01/2020
    Hottest on record 43.5 13/01/2013 Coldest on record 9.2 01/01/1972
    Hottest this year 44.4° 05/01/2020 Coldest this year 15.8° 14/01/2020
    Long term average 29.4° Long term average 17.2°
    Average this month 34.8° Average this month 18.8°
    Hottest January On Record Avg. max. temp. 32.9° 2001 Coldest January on record Avg. min. temp. 15.3° 1972
    Bowmans Creek rainfall history (32.2829°S, 151.1139°E, 200m AMSL)
    RAINFALL
    Wettest This Month 27.8mm 20/01/2020 Total This Month 61.8mm
    11.0 days
    Long Term Average 128.9mm 12.5 days Wettest January on record 413.8mm 2001
  15. Popup - Radar

    Weather Radar for NSW/ACT

  16. Year to Date

    Bowmans Creek Year To Date

    Average Rainfall To Jan 128.9mm 12.5 day(s)
    Total For 2020 61.8mm 11.0 day(s)
    Total To This Day 2019 55.8mm 8.0 day(s)
    Wettest Day 27.8mm Jan20
    Lowest Temperature 15.8°C Jan14
    Highest Temperature 44.4°C Jan 5
  17. Popup - Monthly historical

  18. Climatology

    Climate History

    Bowmans Creek Climatology

    Long-Term Averages
    Jan Feb Mar Apr May Jun Jul Aug Sep Oct Nov Dec Ann
    Mean Max (°C) 29.4 28.5 26.6 23.6 20.0 17.0 16.5 18.4 21.6 24.5 26.5 28.8 23.5
    Mean Min (°C) 17.2 17.2 15.4 12.6 10.0 7.7 6.5 6.9 9.3 11.8 13.9 16.0 12.0
    Mean Rain (mm) 128.9 126.2 124.4 77.6 69.6 69.3 40.3 37.8 50.3 65.5 93.1 97.6 983.1
    Mean Rain Days 12.5 11.8 12.7 10.8 11.9 12.5 11.3 9.1 9.4 10.5 12.4 11.5 132.3