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Forecast

Bonnells Bay (33.1074°S, 151.5183°E, 13m AMSL) set as my default location ›

  1. My MLA

  2. Current condition

    TODAY
    Increasing sunshine 23° 29°
    increasing sunshine
    Chance of rain: 10%
    Likely amount: < 1mm
    First
    light     		Sunrise Sunset Last light
    Sunrise Sunset
    5:47am EDT 6:14am EDT 8:00pm EDT 8:27pm EDT
    NOW
    19.9° Feels Like: 23.2°
    Relative Humidity: 95%
    Dew: 19.0°
    Wind: CAL 0km/h
    Gust: 0km/h
    Rainfall since 9am: 0.0mm
    Pressure:  

  3. Today Weather

    Bonnells Bay
    Now
    22.2°c
    Feels Like:
    24.6°
    Wind:
    S 7km/h
    Gusts:
    11km/h
    Humidity:
    88%
    Increasing sunshine
     
    23°
    Min
    29°
    Max
    Today in Bonnells Bay
    Partly cloudy. Areas of morning fog about the Upper Hunter. Light winds becoming E/SE 15 to 20 km/h in the middle of the day then becoming light in the late evening. Daytime maximum temperatures 30 to 36.
    Tomorrow
    Windy
    24°
    Min
    24°
    Max
    Hot and mostly sunny. Light winds becoming E/NE 15 to 25 km/h in the early afternoon. Overnight temperatures falling to around 20 with daytime temperatures reaching 34 to 40.

  4. Radar

  5. Popup Radar

  6. Warnings

  7. Next 48 Hours


    Next 48 Hours

  8. 7 day forecast

    Today: Partly cloudy. Areas of morning fog about the Upper Hunter. Light winds becoming E/SE 15 to 20 km/h in the middle of the day then becoming light in the late evening. Daytime maximum temperatures 30 to 36.

    Forecast for Bonnells Bay (33.1074°S, 151.5183°E, 13m AMSL)
      Thu Fri Sat Sun Mon Tue Wed
    Summary Increasing sunshine Windy Sunny Possible thunderstorm Possible thunderstorm Possible shower Possible shower
    Minimum 23° 24° 23° 23° 23° 21° 21°
    Maximum 29° 24° 25° 25° 25° 23° 23°
    Chance of rain 10% 5% 5% 70% 90% 90% 90%
    Likely amount < 1mm < 1mm < 1mm 1-5mm 5-10mm 1-5mm 5-10mm
    UV index Very High Extreme Extreme Extreme Extreme - -
    Frost risk Nil Nil Nil Nil Nil Nil Nil
      9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm
    Wind speed 7
    (km/h)     		20
    (km/h)     		14
    (km/h)     		33
    (km/h)     		20
    (km/h)     		30
    (km/h)     		17
    (km/h)     		19
    (km/h)     		14
    (km/h)     		18
    (km/h)     		27
    (km/h)     		27
    (km/h)     		19
    (km/h)     		24
    (km/h)
    Wind direction SE E NE ENE NE ENE NNW NE SW S SSE SSE ESE ESE
    Relative humidity 83% 78% 91% 76% 79% 66% 59% 60% 92% 78% 79% 74% 75% 73%
    Dew point 23°C 25°C 22°C 20°C 19°C 18°C 16°C 15°C 23°C 21°C 18°C 18°C 17°C 18°C

  9. 28 Day Rainfall forecast

    Bonnells Bay Rain Forecast

    Bonnells Bay 28-day Rainfall Forecast
    SUN
    MON
    TUE
    WED
    THU
    FRI
    SAT
    30
    31
    Feb 1
    2
    HIGH
    3
    HIGH
    4
    HIGH
    5
    MEDIUM
    6
    MEDIUM
    7
    MEDIUM
    8
    LOW
    9
    MEDIUM
    10
    LOW
    11
    LOW
    12
    LOW
    13
    LOW
    14
    15
    16
    17
    18
    LOW
    19
    20
    21
    LOW
    22
    MEDIUM
    23
    24
    LOW
    25
    LOW
    26
    MEDIUM
    27
    MEDIUM
    CHANCE OF RAINFALL WITHIN DISTRICT
    NIL < 25%
    LOW 25% to 50%
    MEDIUM 50% to 75%
    HIGH ≥ 75%
    Issued Jan29

    Issue Notes

    The hemispheric long wave pattern has remained stable in recent weeks. There are seven main troughs. Currently the most significant troughs are near the longitudes of South Africa, the Indian Ocean, Western Australia, eastern Australia, the southeast Pacific, and South America.

    Summary:

    Over southern and eastern Australia the cold front events with potential to bring widespread rain are now expected about 7 February to 11 February, 19 February to 23 February, and 2 March to 6 March. Rain events originating in the tropics and moving south are possible about 7 February to 11 February, 25 February to 29 February, and 29 February to 4 March. Over Western Australia the strongest cold fronts should occur about 5 February to 9 February, and 14 February to 18 February.

    Forecast Explanation

    This forecast is produced by a multi-model ensemble consisting of dynamical atmospheric models, which are forced by the latest observed atmosphere, ocean, land and ice conditions. The models are designed to simulate features of the real atmosphere, including the daily movement of long and short wave patterns in the Southern Hemisphere.

    The future probability of rain in each district is estimated using output from the multi-model ensemble, combined with historical information about the difference between the model forecasts and observed rainfall.

    In this deterministic framework the skill of the forecast tends to decrease with time, however the forecasts are updated daily to provide the latest estimates of rainfall probability out to 28 days.

  10. 12 Month Rainfall Forecast

    Bonnells Bay Rain Forecast

    Bonnells Bay 12-month Rainfall Forecast
    Jan
    Feb
    Mar
    Apr
    May
    Jun
    Jul
    Aug
    Sep
    Oct
    Nov
    Dec
    2020
    4
    6
    4
    7
    6
    7
    8
    5
    6
    4
    6
    5
    10
    5
    0
    1
    2 - 3
    4 - 7
    8 - 9
    10
    Well below normal
    Below normal
    Near normal
    Above normal
    Well above normal

    Issue Notes - Issued Jan 14

    ENSO status: Neutral IOD status: Neutral SAM status: Trending neutral Sea surface temperatures (SSTs) across the equatorial central Pacific remained stable throughout December with the Nino3.4 index registering a value of 0.4 throughout the month. On the other hand, the Southern Oscillation Index (SOI) recorded a value of -5.5 in December. The current outlook suggests warmer than average SSTs will persist across the equatorial Pacific Ocean through the coming months, but remaining within neutral values. Six out of eight international models maintain a warmer than average equatorial Pacific Ocean through the first two quarters of 2020, none of these reaching El Nino thresholds. To the west of Australia, the Indian Ocean Dipole (IOD) has now returned to neutral, as waters off Western Australia have warmed up considerably. All six international models maintain neutral values until the austral winter with indications we could see another positive event later this year. In terms of rainfall across Australia, the current outlook favours a clearer below average rainfall signal for Western Australia and the Northern Territory through the remainder of January. This however, excludes any extreme weather events such as tropical cyclones. For the eastern states, there is a wetter than average signal for the coming weeks. Looking further ahead, with no significant signature from ENSO, there are no significant climate drivers tilting the balance towards a drier or wetter February. The current outlook suggests average-to-below average odds for February and March across the eastern states. The northern and western half of the country, however, could see a wet end to summer/start to autumn.

  11. Long range rainfall forecast

    Bonnells Bay Rain Forecast

    Bonnells Bay 28-day Rainfall Forecast
    SUN
    MON
    TUE
    WED
    THU
    FRI
    SAT
    30
    31
    Feb 1
    2
    HIGH
    3
    HIGH
    4
    HIGH
    5
    MEDIUM
    6
    MEDIUM
    7
    MEDIUM
    8
    LOW
    9
    MEDIUM
    10
    LOW
    11
    LOW
    12
    LOW
    13
    LOW
    14
    15
    16
    17
    18
    LOW
    19
    20
    21
    LOW
    22
    MEDIUM
    23
    24
    LOW
    25
    LOW
    26
    MEDIUM
    27
    MEDIUM
    CHANCE OF RAINFALL WITHIN DISTRICT
    NIL < 25%
    LOW 25% to 50%
    MEDIUM 50% to 75%
    HIGH ≥ 75%
    Issued Jan29

    Issue Notes

    The hemispheric long wave pattern has remained stable in recent weeks. There are seven main troughs. Currently the most significant troughs are near the longitudes of South Africa, the Indian Ocean, Western Australia, eastern Australia, the southeast Pacific, and South America.

    Summary:

    Over southern and eastern Australia the cold front events with potential to bring widespread rain are now expected about 7 February to 11 February, 19 February to 23 February, and 2 March to 6 March. Rain events originating in the tropics and moving south are possible about 7 February to 11 February, 25 February to 29 February, and 29 February to 4 March. Over Western Australia the strongest cold fronts should occur about 5 February to 9 February, and 14 February to 18 February.

    Forecast Explanation

    This forecast is produced by a multi-model ensemble consisting of dynamical atmospheric models, which are forced by the latest observed atmosphere, ocean, land and ice conditions. The models are designed to simulate features of the real atmosphere, including the daily movement of long and short wave patterns in the Southern Hemisphere.

    The future probability of rain in each district is estimated using output from the multi-model ensemble, combined with historical information about the difference between the model forecasts and observed rainfall.

    In this deterministic framework the skill of the forecast tends to decrease with time, however the forecasts are updated daily to provide the latest estimates of rainfall probability out to 28 days.

  12. Popup - Daily historical

  13. Past 5 Days

    Bonnells Bay Past 5 Days

    This Month
    Minimum Maximum Rainfall
    Saturday
    Jan 25     		22.9 °C 28.5 °C
    0.0 mm
    Sunday
    Jan 26     		22.8 °C 34.2 °C
    0.8 mm
    Monday
    Jan 27     		21.1 °C 30.3 °C
    2.4 mm
    Tuesday
    Jan 28     		19.7 °C 32.1 °C
    0.0 mm
    Wednesday
    Jan 29     		23.0 °C 28 °C
    2.8 mm
    Legend

  14. Almanac

    Almanac

    Bonnells Bay minimum temp history (33.1074°S, 151.5183°E, 13m AMSL)
    MAXIMUM TEMPERATURE MINIMUM TEMPERATURE
    Hottest this month 40.7° 23/01/2020 Coldest this month 19.0° 12/01/2020
    Hottest on record 44.0 18/01/2013 Coldest on record 14.5 02/01/1997
    Hottest this year 40.7° 23/01/2020 Coldest this year 19.0° 12/01/2020
    Long term average 26.1° Long term average 19.7°
    Average this month 27.5° Average this month 21.1°
    Hottest January On Record Avg. max. temp. 28.8° 2017 Coldest January on record Avg. min. temp. 17.8° 1997
    Bonnells Bay rainfall history (33.1074°S, 151.5183°E, 13m AMSL)
    RAINFALL
    Wettest This Month 25.0mm 18/01/2020 Total This Month 36.0mm
    8.0 days
    Long Term Average 89.7mm 12.3 days Wettest January on record 232.2mm 2017

  15. Popup - Radar

    Weather Radar for NSW/ACT

  16. Year to Date

    Bonnells Bay Year To Date

    Average Rainfall To Jan 89.7mm 12.3 day(s)
    Total For 2020 36.0mm 8.0 day(s)
    Total To This Day 2019 85.8mm 20.0 day(s)
    Wettest Day 25.0mm Jan18
    Lowest Temperature 19.0°C Jan12
    Highest Temperature 40.7°C Jan23

  17. Popup - Monthly historical

  18. Climatology

    Climate History

    Bonnells Bay Climatology

    Long-Term Averages
    Jan Feb Mar Apr May Jun Jul Aug Sep Oct Nov Dec Ann
    Mean Max (°C) 26.1 26.0 25.1 22.9 20.3 18.0 17.3 18.8 21.0 22.7 23.7 24.9 22.2
    Mean Min (°C) 19.7 20.0 18.9 15.9 13.1 11.1 9.7 10.5 12.8 14.8 16.8 18.4 15.1
    Mean Rain (mm) 89.7 115.3 123.8 139.3 141.7 148.4 89.4 73.6 72.7 58.4 96.3 70.3 1223.3
    Mean Rain Days 12.3 12.0 13.3 13.8 13.6 13.5 11.4 9.0 11.5 10.5 12.5 11.3 140.7

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