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Forecast

Bolaro (33.9166°S, 148.8333°E, 382m AMSL) set as my default location ›

  1. My MLA

  2. Current condition

    TODAY
    Mostly cloudy 18° 31°
    mostly cloudy
    Chance of rain: 30%
    Likely amount: < 1mm
    First
    light
    Sunrise Sunset Last light
    Sunrise Sunset
    5:44am EDT 6:13am EDT 8:19pm EDT 8:47pm EDT
    NOW
    22.4° Feels Like: 19.9°
    Relative Humidity: 61%
    Dew: 14.5°
    Wind: SE 20km/h
    Gust: 28km/h
    Rainfall since 9am: 0.2mm
    Pressure: 1010.8hPa
  3. Today Weather

    Bolaro
    Now
    20.9°c
    Feels Like:
    17.5°
    Wind:
    ESE 24km/h
    Gusts:
    39km/h
    Humidity:
    65%
    Mostly cloudy
     
    18°
    Min
    31°
    Max
    Today in Bolaro
    Cloudy. High chance of showers about the Blue Mountains, medium chance elsewhere. The chance of a thunderstorm. Winds SE 15 to 25 km/h turning E 15 to 20 km/h during the day. Daytime maximum temperatures 20 to 27.
    Tomorrow
    Showers increasing
    17°
    Min
    31°
    Max
    Partly cloudy. Medium chance of showers, most likely in the afternoon and evening. The chance of a thunderstorm. Winds NE/SE 15 to 20 km/h tending NW/NE in the morning then tending NE/SE in the early afternoon. Overnight temperatures falling to between 12 and 17 with daytime temperatures reaching 24 to 30.
  4. Radar

  5. Popup Radar

  6. Warnings

    There are no current warnings for Bolaro

  7. Next 48 Hours


    Next 48 Hours


  8. 7 day forecast

    Today: Cloudy. High chance of showers about the Blue Mountains, medium chance elsewhere. The chance of a thunderstorm. Winds SE 15 to 25 km/h turning E 15 to 20 km/h during the day. Daytime maximum temperatures 20 to 27.

    Forecast for Bolaro (33.9166°S, 148.8333°E, 382m AMSL)
      Sat Sun Mon Tue Wed Thu Fri
    Summary Mostly cloudy Showers increasing Thunderstorms Mostly sunny Mostly sunny Mostly cloudy Mostly sunny
    Minimum 18° 17° 19° 16° 16° 21° 15°
    Maximum 31° 31° 28° 29° 35° 30° 30°
    Chance of rain 30% 70% 80% 10% 20% 50% 20%
    Likely amount < 1mm 5-10mm 5-10mm < 1mm < 1mm 1-5mm < 1mm
    UV index Extreme Extreme Extreme Extreme Extreme - -
    Frost risk Nil Nil Nil Nil Nil Nil Nil
      9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm
    Wind speed 21
    (km/h)
    20
    (km/h)
    9
    (km/h)
    8
    (km/h)
    11
    (km/h)
    22
    (km/h)
    16
    (km/h)
    25
    (km/h)
    9
    (km/h)
    24
    (km/h)
    23
    (km/h)
    30
    (km/h)
    9
    (km/h)
    19
    (km/h)
    Wind direction SE ESE E ENE NNE NNW NW WNW NE NNW NNW NW W W
    Relative humidity 65% 37% 64% 37% 72% 54% 65% 37% 50% 22% 46% 30% 55% 29%
    Dew point 15°C 14°C 15°C 14°C 17°C 18°C 13°C 13°C 12°C 10°C 12°C 11°C 9°C 9°C
  9. 28 Day Rainfall forecast

    Bolaro Rain Forecast


    Bolaro 28-day Rainfall Forecast
    SUN
    MON
    TUE
    WED
    THU
    FRI
    SAT
    18
    MEDIUM
    19
    MEDIUM
    20
    HIGH
    21
    22
    23
    MEDIUM
    24
    MEDIUM
    25
    26
    27
    28
    29
    LOW
    30
    LOW
    31
    LOW
    Feb 1
    2
    3
    4
    5
    LOW
    6
    7
    8
    LOW
    9
    10
    MEDIUM
    11
    LOW
    12
    LOW
    13
    14
    15
    CHANCE OF RAINFALL WITHIN DISTRICT
    NIL < 25%
    LOW 25% to 50%
    MEDIUM 50% to 75%
    HIGH ≥ 75%
    Issued Jan17

    Issue Notes

    The hemispheric long wave pattern has been relatively fast moving in recent weeks. There are three main troughs. Currently the most significant troughs are near the longitudes of South Africa, Western Australia, and the south Pacific.

    Summary:

    Over southern and eastern Australia the cold front events with potential to bring widespread rain are now expected about 22 January to 26 January, 31 January to 4 February, and 5 February to 9 February. Rain events originating in the tropics and moving south are possible about 8 February to 12 February. Over Western Australia the strongest cold fronts should occur about 22 January to 26 January, 31 January to 4 February, and 5 February to 9 February.

    Forecast Explanation

    This forecast is produced by a multi-model ensemble consisting of dynamical atmospheric models, which are forced by the latest observed atmosphere, ocean, land and ice conditions. The models are designed to simulate features of the real atmosphere, including the daily movement of long and short wave patterns in the Southern Hemisphere.

    The future probability of rain in each district is estimated using output from the multi-model ensemble, combined with historical information about the difference between the model forecasts and observed rainfall.

    In this deterministic framework the skill of the forecast tends to decrease with time, however the forecasts are updated daily to provide the latest estimates of rainfall probability out to 28 days.

  10. 12 Month Rainfall Forecast

    Bolaro Rain Forecast


    Bolaro 12-month Rainfall Forecast
    Jan
    Feb
    Mar
    Apr
    May
    Jun
    Jul
    Aug
    Sep
    Oct
    Nov
    Dec
    2020
    5
    6
    5
    7
    6
    8
    7
    4
    5
    3
    5
    6
    10
    5
    0
    1
    2 - 3
    4 - 7
    8 - 9
    10
    Well below normal
    Below normal
    Near normal
    Above normal
    Well above normal

    Issue Notes - Issued Jan 14

    ENSO status: Neutral IOD status: Neutral SAM status: Trending neutral Sea surface temperatures (SSTs) across the equatorial central Pacific remained stable throughout December with the Nino3.4 index registering a value of 0.4 throughout the month. On the other hand, the Southern Oscillation Index (SOI) recorded a value of -5.5 in December. The current outlook suggests warmer than average SSTs will persist across the equatorial Pacific Ocean through the coming months, but remaining within neutral values. Six out of eight international models maintain a warmer than average equatorial Pacific Ocean through the first two quarters of 2020, none of these reaching El Nino thresholds. To the west of Australia, the Indian Ocean Dipole (IOD) has now returned to neutral, as waters off Western Australia have warmed up considerably. All six international models maintain neutral values until the austral winter with indications we could see another positive event later this year. In terms of rainfall across Australia, the current outlook favours a clearer below average rainfall signal for Western Australia and the Northern Territory through the remainder of January. This however, excludes any extreme weather events such as tropical cyclones. For the eastern states, there is a wetter than average signal for the coming weeks. Looking further ahead, with no significant signature from ENSO, there are no significant climate drivers tilting the balance towards a drier or wetter February. The current outlook suggests average-to-below average odds for February and March across the eastern states. The northern and western half of the country, however, could see a wet end to summer/start to autumn.

  11. Long range rainfall forecast

    Bolaro Rain Forecast


    Bolaro 28-day Rainfall Forecast
    SUN
    MON
    TUE
    WED
    THU
    FRI
    SAT
    18
    MEDIUM
    19
    MEDIUM
    20
    HIGH
    21
    22
    23
    MEDIUM
    24
    MEDIUM
    25
    26
    27
    28
    29
    LOW
    30
    LOW
    31
    LOW
    Feb 1
    2
    3
    4
    5
    LOW
    6
    7
    8
    LOW
    9
    10
    MEDIUM
    11
    LOW
    12
    LOW
    13
    14
    15
    CHANCE OF RAINFALL WITHIN DISTRICT
    NIL < 25%
    LOW 25% to 50%
    MEDIUM 50% to 75%
    HIGH ≥ 75%
    Issued Jan17

    Issue Notes

    The hemispheric long wave pattern has been relatively fast moving in recent weeks. There are three main troughs. Currently the most significant troughs are near the longitudes of South Africa, Western Australia, and the south Pacific.

    Summary:

    Over southern and eastern Australia the cold front events with potential to bring widespread rain are now expected about 22 January to 26 January, 31 January to 4 February, and 5 February to 9 February. Rain events originating in the tropics and moving south are possible about 8 February to 12 February. Over Western Australia the strongest cold fronts should occur about 22 January to 26 January, 31 January to 4 February, and 5 February to 9 February.

    Forecast Explanation

    This forecast is produced by a multi-model ensemble consisting of dynamical atmospheric models, which are forced by the latest observed atmosphere, ocean, land and ice conditions. The models are designed to simulate features of the real atmosphere, including the daily movement of long and short wave patterns in the Southern Hemisphere.

    The future probability of rain in each district is estimated using output from the multi-model ensemble, combined with historical information about the difference between the model forecasts and observed rainfall.

    In this deterministic framework the skill of the forecast tends to decrease with time, however the forecasts are updated daily to provide the latest estimates of rainfall probability out to 28 days.

  12. Popup - Daily historical

  13. Past 5 Days

    Bolaro Past 5 Days

    This Month
    Minimum Maximum Rainfall
    Monday
    Jan 13
    17.9 °C 33.5 °C
    0.0 mm
    Tuesday
    Jan 14
    19.0 °C 35.4 °C
    0.0 mm
    Wednesday
    Jan 15
    21.4 °C 34.0 °C
    0.0 mm
    Thursday
    Jan 16
    21.4 °C 32.0 °C
    0.0 mm
    Friday
    Jan 17
    16.2 °C 28 °C
    33.6 mm
    Legend
  14. Almanac

    Almanac


    Bolaro minimum temp history (33.9166°S, 148.8333°E, 382m AMSL)
    MAXIMUM TEMPERATURE MINIMUM TEMPERATURE
    Hottest this month 44.6° 04/01/2020 Coldest this month 11.3° 11/01/2020
    Hottest on record 44.8 18/01/2013 Coldest on record 2.3 12/01/2012
    Hottest this year 44.6° 04/01/2020 Coldest this year 11.3° 11/01/2020
    Long term average 33.6° Long term average 17.0°
    Average this month 37.0° Average this month 19.6°
    Hottest January On Record Avg. max. temp. 36.1° 2013 Coldest January on record Avg. min. temp. 15.0° 2012
    Bolaro rainfall history (33.9166°S, 148.8333°E, 382m AMSL)
    RAINFALL
    Wettest This Month 34.0mm 17/01/2020 Total This Month 36.0mm
    3.0 days
    Long Term Average 36.3mm 7.1 days Wettest January on record 83.8mm 2013
  15. Popup - Radar

    Weather Radar for NSW/ACT

  16. Year to Date

    Bolaro Year To Date

    Average Rainfall To Jan 36.3mm 7.1 day(s)
    Total For 2020 36.0mm 3.0 day(s)
    Total To This Day 2019 53.8mm 8.0 day(s)
    Wettest Day 34.0mm Jan17
    Lowest Temperature 11.3°C Jan11
    Highest Temperature 44.6°C Jan 4
  17. Popup - Monthly historical

  18. Climatology

    Climate History

    Bolaro Climatology

    Long-Term Averages
    Jan Feb Mar Apr May Jun Jul Aug Sep Oct Nov Dec Ann
    Mean Max (°C) 33.6 31.7 28.5 23.7 19.0 15.0 14.0 16.0 19.7 24.2 28.0 30.6 23.6
    Mean Min (°C) 17.0 16.2 13.5 8.5 4.5 3.9 2.5 2.5 4.1 6.8 11.3 14.2 8.7
    Mean Rain (mm) 36.3 59.0 57.3 32.3 31.7 59.3 54.1 35.4 48.7 37.1 67.5 70.4 585.7
    Mean Rain Days 7.1 6.5 7.4 5.4 6.5 14.3 15.2 10.7 8.2 7.4 9.0 8.4 96.6