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Forecast

Bogong Peaks Wilderness (35.5372°S, 148.3925°E, 1196m AMSL) set as my default location ›

  1. My MLA

  2. Current condition

    TOMORROW
    Possible thunderstorm 11° 16°
    possible thunderstorm
    Chance of rain: 90%
    Likely amount: 1-5mm
    First
    light
    Sunrise Sunset Last light
    Sunrise Sunset
    6:53am EDT 7:18am EDT 7:03pm EDT 7:29pm EDT
    NOW
    11.0° Feels Like: 8.8°
    Relative Humidity: 100%
    Dew: 11.0°
    Wind: NW 13km/h
    Gust: 20km/h
    Rainfall since 9am: 10.2mm
    Pressure:  
  3. Today Weather

    Bogong Peaks Wilderness
    Now
    9.3°c
    Feels Like:
    6.6°
    Wind:
    NW 13km/h
    Gusts:
    22km/h
    Humidity:
    99%
    Possible thunderstorm
     
    11°
    Min
    16°
    Max
    Today in Bogong Peaks Wilderness
    Cloudy. Areas of fog near the Victorian border in the early morning. Very high chance of showers in the morning and afternoon. The chance of a thunderstorm in the morning and afternoon, possibly severe. Winds N/NW 15 to 20 km/h tending W/NW 15 to 25 km/h in the middle of the day then becoming light in the evening. Overnight temperatures falling to between 13 and 16 with daytime temperatures reaching between 19 and 27.
    Tomorrow
    Possible thunderstorm
    11°
    Min
    16°
    Max
    Mostly sunny. Areas of fog in the north in the early morning. Light winds. Overnight temperatures falling to between 9 and 13 with daytime temperatures reaching 21 to 26.
  4. Radar

  5. Popup Radar

  6. Warnings

    There are no current warnings for Bogong Peaks Wilderness

  7. Next 48 Hours


    Next 48 Hours


  8. 7 day forecast

    Today: Cloudy. Areas of fog near the Victorian border in the early morning. Very high chance of showers in the morning and afternoon. The chance of a thunderstorm in the morning and afternoon, possibly severe. Winds N/NW 15 to 20 km/h tending W/NW 15 to 25 km/h in the middle of the day then becoming light in the evening. Overnight temperatures falling to between 13 and 16 with daytime temperatures reaching between 19 and 27.

    Forecast for Bogong Peaks Wilderness (35.5372°S, 148.3925°E, 1196m AMSL)
      Mon Tue Wed Thu Fri Sat Sun
    Summary Possible thunderstorm Mostly sunny Sunny Showers Showers increasing Possible shower Possible shower
    Minimum 11° 11° 11°
    Maximum 16° 17° 18° 13° 14° 12°
    Chance of rain 90% 5% 80% 90% 90% 80% 80%
    Likely amount 1-5mm < 1mm 1-5mm 10-20mm 20-40mm 5-10mm 5-10mm
    UV index High High High High - - -
    Frost risk Nil Nil Nil Nil Nil Nil Slight
      9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm
    Wind speed 17
    (km/h)
    20
    (km/h)
    13
    (km/h)
    18
    (km/h)
    15
    (km/h)
    18
    (km/h)
    18
    (km/h)
    21
    (km/h)
    18
    (km/h)
    20
    (km/h)
    23
    (km/h)
    30
    (km/h)
    25
    (km/h)
    27
    (km/h)
    Wind direction NNW NW N WNW ENE NW NE N NNW NW NW NW WNW WNW
    Relative humidity 96% 80% 78% 48% 75% 54% 91% 90% 92% 83% 91% 81% 82% 74%
    Dew point 11°C 11°C 5°C 5°C 6°C 7°C 11°C 10°C 11°C 10°C 9°C 8°C 3°C 1°C
  9. 28 Day Rainfall forecast

    Bogong Peaks Wilderness Rain Forecast


    Bogong Peaks Wilderness 28-day Rainfall Forecast
    SUN
    MON
    TUE
    WED
    THU
    FRI
    SAT
    29
    HIGH
    30
    MEDIUM
    31
    Apr 1
    MEDIUM
    2
    HIGH
    3
    HIGH
    4
    MEDIUM
    5
    LOW
    6
    LOW
    7
    LOW
    8
    LOW
    9
    MEDIUM
    10
    MEDIUM
    11
    MEDIUM
    12
    LOW
    13
    14
    15
    LOW
    16
    17
    LOW
    18
    LOW
    19
    LOW
    20
    21
    22
    23
    LOW
    24
    LOW
    25
    26
    LOW
    27
    LOW
    CHANCE OF RAINFALL WITHIN DISTRICT
    NIL < 25%
    LOW 25% to 50%
    MEDIUM 50% to 75%
    HIGH ≥ 75%
    Issued Mar29

    Issue Notes

    The hemispheric long wave pattern has remained stable in recent weeks. There are four main troughs. Currently the most significant troughs are near the longitudes of South Africa, the southwest Indian Ocean, Western Australia, and South America.

    Summary:

    Over southern and eastern Australia the cold front events with potential to bring widespread rain are now expected about 11 April to 15 April, 15 April to 19 April, and 23 April to 27 April. Rain events originating in the tropics and moving south are possible about 27 March to 31 March. Over Western Australia the strongest cold fronts should occur about 9 April to 13 April, 15 April to 19 April, and 23 April to 27 April.

    Forecast Explanation

    This forecast is produced by a multi-model ensemble consisting of dynamical atmospheric models, which are forced by the latest observed atmosphere, ocean, land and ice conditions. The models are designed to simulate features of the real atmosphere, including the daily movement of long and short wave patterns in the Southern Hemisphere.

    The future probability of rain in each district is estimated using output from the multi-model ensemble, combined with historical information about the difference between the model forecasts and observed rainfall.

    In this deterministic framework the skill of the forecast tends to decrease with time, however the forecasts are updated daily to provide the latest estimates of rainfall probability out to 28 days.

  10. 12 Month Rainfall Forecast

    Bogong Peaks Wilderness Rain Forecast


    Bogong Peaks Wilderness 12-month Rainfall Forecast
    Mar
    Apr
    May
    Jun
    Jul
    Aug
    Sep
    Oct
    Nov
    Dec
    Jan
    Feb
    2020
    2021
    10
    6
    6
    7
    7
    5
    6
    4
    10
    5
    5
    8
    10
    5
    0
    1
    2 - 3
    4 - 7
    8 - 9
    10
    Well below normal
    Below normal
    Near normal
    Above normal
    Well above normal

    Issue Notes - Issued Mar 9

    ENSO status: Neutral IOD status: Neutral SAM status: Trending neutral Sea surface temperatures (SSTs) across the equatorial central Pacific remained stable throughout February with the Nino3.4 index registering a value of 0.3. On the other hand, the Southern Oscillation Index (SOI) recorded a value of -2.2 in February. The current outlook suggests slightly warmer than average SSTs will persist across the equatorial Pacific Ocean through the austral autumn, potentially cooling further by the austral winter. Four out of seven international models maintain a slightly warmer than average equatorial Pacific Ocean through the first half of winter. To the west of Australia, the Indian Ocean Dipole (IOD) remains neutral, normal for this time of the year. All six international models maintain neutral IOD values through to the austral winter. In terms of precipitation across Australia, the current outlook favours below average rainfall for western, central and southeastern parts of the country. Across NSW and Qld, the outlook is for average-to-above average, mainly across the Qld coasts. This excludes any extreme weather events such as tropical cyclones or East Coast Lows. Across the north, the North Australian Monsoon (NAM) has been quiet for most of the wet season, with the current prognosis suggesting below average rainfall for March but above average in April. Looking further ahead, with no significant signature from ENSO, there are no significant climate drivers tilting the balance towards a drier or wetter end of autumn/winter. The current consensus, however, suggests that average to above average rainfall is a possibility across northern, western and parts of the inland south east.

  11. Long range rainfall forecast

    Bogong Peaks Wilderness Rain Forecast


    Bogong Peaks Wilderness 28-day Rainfall Forecast
    SUN
    MON
    TUE
    WED
    THU
    FRI
    SAT
    29
    HIGH
    30
    MEDIUM
    31
    Apr 1
    MEDIUM
    2
    HIGH
    3
    HIGH
    4
    MEDIUM
    5
    LOW
    6
    LOW
    7
    LOW
    8
    LOW
    9
    MEDIUM
    10
    MEDIUM
    11
    MEDIUM
    12
    LOW
    13
    14
    15
    LOW
    16
    17
    LOW
    18
    LOW
    19
    LOW
    20
    21
    22
    23
    LOW
    24
    LOW
    25
    26
    LOW
    27
    LOW
    CHANCE OF RAINFALL WITHIN DISTRICT
    NIL < 25%
    LOW 25% to 50%
    MEDIUM 50% to 75%
    HIGH ≥ 75%
    Issued Mar29

    Issue Notes

    The hemispheric long wave pattern has remained stable in recent weeks. There are four main troughs. Currently the most significant troughs are near the longitudes of South Africa, the southwest Indian Ocean, Western Australia, and South America.

    Summary:

    Over southern and eastern Australia the cold front events with potential to bring widespread rain are now expected about 11 April to 15 April, 15 April to 19 April, and 23 April to 27 April. Rain events originating in the tropics and moving south are possible about 27 March to 31 March. Over Western Australia the strongest cold fronts should occur about 9 April to 13 April, 15 April to 19 April, and 23 April to 27 April.

    Forecast Explanation

    This forecast is produced by a multi-model ensemble consisting of dynamical atmospheric models, which are forced by the latest observed atmosphere, ocean, land and ice conditions. The models are designed to simulate features of the real atmosphere, including the daily movement of long and short wave patterns in the Southern Hemisphere.

    The future probability of rain in each district is estimated using output from the multi-model ensemble, combined with historical information about the difference between the model forecasts and observed rainfall.

    In this deterministic framework the skill of the forecast tends to decrease with time, however the forecasts are updated daily to provide the latest estimates of rainfall probability out to 28 days.

  12. Popup - Daily historical

  13. Past 5 Days

    Bogong Peaks Wilderness Past 5 Days

    This Month
    Minimum Maximum Rainfall
    Wednesday
    Mar 25
    8.5 °C 15.9 °C
    4.0 mm
    Thursday
    Mar 26
    3.5 °C 15.0 °C
    0.0 mm
    Friday
    Mar 27
    4.4 °C 17.0 °C
    0.0 mm
    Saturday
    Mar 28
    6.9 °C 17.5 °C
    0.0 mm
    Sunday
    Mar 29
    8.6 °C 16 °C
    0.0 mm
    Legend
  14. Almanac

    Almanac


    Bogong Peaks Wilderness minimum temp history (35.5372°S, 148.3925°E, 1196m AMSL)
    MAXIMUM TEMPERATURE MINIMUM TEMPERATURE
    Hottest this month 22.4° 01/03/2020 Coldest this month 0.9° 15/03/2020
    Hottest on record 28.4 08/03/2016 Coldest on record -0.8 06/03/2005
    Hottest this year 34.0° 31/01/2020 Coldest this year 0.9° 15/03/2020
    Long term average 17.6° Long term average 8.9°
    Average this month 16.8° Average this month 8.1°
    Hottest March On Record Avg. max. temp. 20.4° 2006 Coldest March on record Avg. min. temp. 7.3° 2005
    Bogong Peaks Wilderness rainfall history (35.5372°S, 148.3925°E, 1196m AMSL)
    RAINFALL
    Wettest This Month 40.0mm 05/03/2020 Total This Month 109.8mm
    8.0 days
    Long Term Average 82.0mm 7.4 days Wettest March on record 261.6mm 2012
    Driest on record 5.6mm 2004
  15. Popup - Radar

    Weather Radar for NSW/ACT

  16. Year to Date

    Bogong Peaks Wilderness Year To Date

    Average Rainfall To Mar 223.7mm 21.8 day(s)
    Total For 2020 310.8mm 31.0 day(s)
    Total To This Day 2019 237.2mm 34.0 day(s)
    Wettest Day 40.0mm Mar 5
    Lowest Temperature 0.9°C Mar15
    Highest Temperature 34.0°C Jan31
  17. Popup - Monthly historical

  18. Climatology

    Climate History

    Bogong Peaks Wilderness Climatology

    Long-Term Averages
    Jan Feb Mar Apr May Jun Jul Aug Sep Oct Nov Dec Ann
    Mean Max (°C) 21.4 20.7 17.6 12.9 8.6 5.4 3.8 5.0 8.8 12.2 15.9 18.4 12.6
    Mean Min (°C) 11.5 11.2 8.9 5.7 2.8 0.5 -0.8 -0.4 1.9 4.1 7.3 8.9 5.1
    Mean Rain (mm) 62.2 79.5 82.0 77.5 92.0 127.1 117.5 125.8 126.3 100.2 108.4 93.1 1188.9
    Mean Rain Days 6.8 7.6 7.4 7.6 9.7 12.7 14.0 13.9 12.8 10.8 10.1 8.3 111.7