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Forecast

Bobs Creek (31.5847°S, 152.7444°E, 10m AMSL) set as my default location ›

  1. My MLA

  2. Current condition

    TODAY
    Windy with showers 19°
    windy with showers
    Chance of rain: 90%
    Likely amount: 1-5mm
    First
    light
    Sunrise Sunset Last light
    Sunrise Sunset
    6:20am EST 6:47am EST 4:53pm EST 5:20pm EST
    NOW
    14.0° Feels Like: 9.9°
    Relative Humidity: 60%
    Dew: 6.4°
    Wind: W 17km/h
    Gust: 30km/h
    Rainfall since 9am: 0.0mm
    Pressure: 1007.4hPa
  3. Today Weather

    Bobs Creek
    Now
    14.2°c
    Feels Like:
    9.2°
    Wind:
    W 20km/h
    Gusts:
    37km/h
    Humidity:
    55%
    Windy with showers
     
    Min
    19°
    Max
    Today in Bobs Creek
    Partly cloudy. High chance of showers in the S, most likely in the late afternoon and evening. The chance of a thunderstorm in the S. Gusty winds along the coastal fringe in the late morning and afternoon. Winds W 20 to 30 km/h turning SW 25 to 40 km/h in the morning. Overnight temperatures falling to between 5 and 10 with daytime temperatures reaching between 12 and 20.
    Tomorrow
    Showers
    Min
    18°
    Max
    Partly cloudy. High chance of showers in the S, slight chance elsewhere. The chance of a thunderstorm in the S from the late morning. Winds SW 20 to 30 km/h. Overnight temperatures falling to between 6 and 11 with daytime temperatures reaching between 12 and 19.
  4. Radar

  5. Popup Radar

  6. Warnings

  7. Next 48 Hours


    Next 48 Hours


  8. 7 day forecast

    Today: Partly cloudy. High chance of showers in the S, most likely in the late afternoon and evening. The chance of a thunderstorm in the S. Gusty winds along the coastal fringe in the late morning and afternoon. Winds W 20 to 30 km/h turning SW 25 to 40 km/h in the morning. Overnight temperatures falling to between 5 and 10 with daytime temperatures reaching between 12 and 20.

    Forecast for Bobs Creek (31.5847°S, 152.7444°E, 10m AMSL)
      Sat Sun Mon Tue Wed Thu Fri
    Summary Windy with showers Showers Showers Possible shower Possible shower Possible shower Mostly sunny
    Minimum 10°
    Maximum 19° 18° 18° 19° 19° 19° 21°
    Chance of rain 90% 90% 80% 60% 40% 50% 90%
    Likely amount 1-5mm 5-10mm 5-10mm 1-5mm < 1mm 1-5mm 1-5mm
    UV index Low Low Low Moderate - - -
    Frost risk Nil Nil Nil Nil Nil Nil Nil
      9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm
    Wind speed 29
    (km/h)
    34
    (km/h)
    25
    (km/h)
    26
    (km/h)
    16
    (km/h)
    18
    (km/h)
    12
    (km/h)
    13
    (km/h)
    6
    (km/h)
    7
    (km/h)
    9
    (km/h)
    11
    (km/h)
    9
    (km/h)
    5
    (km/h)
    Wind direction WSW WSW SW SW SW SSW SW S W ENE NNW NNE NW NE
    Relative humidity 65% 56% 90% 70% 90% 74% 86% 65% 88% 66% 86% 67% 90% 70%
    Dew point 8°C 9°C 12°C 12°C 13°C 12°C 12°C 12°C 12°C 12°C 12°C 12°C 13°C 15°C
  9. 28 Day Rainfall forecast

    Bobs Creek Rain Forecast


    Bobs Creek 28-day Rainfall Forecast
    SUN
    MON
    TUE
    WED
    THU
    FRI
    SAT
    19
    MEDIUM
    20
    MEDIUM
    21
    HIGH
    22
    MEDIUM
    23
    MEDIUM
    24
    MEDIUM
    25
    LOW
    26
    LOW
    27
    HIGH
    28
    MEDIUM
    29
    30
    LOW
    Jul 1
    2
    3
    4
    5
    6
    LOW
    7
    8
    9
    10
    11
    12
    MEDIUM
    13
    14
    15
    LOW
    16
    LOW
    17
    CHANCE OF RAINFALL WITHIN DISTRICT
    NIL < 25%
    LOW 25% to 50%
    MEDIUM 50% to 75%
    HIGH ≥ 75%
    Issued Jun18

    Issue Notes

    The hemispheric long wave pattern has remained stable in recent weeks. There are four main troughs. Currently the most significant troughs are near the longitudes of South Africa, the Indian Ocean, New Zealand, the south Pacific, and the southeast Pacific.

    Summary:

    Over southern and eastern Australia the cold front events with potential to bring widespread rain are now expected about 28 June to 2 July, 3 July to 7 July, and 18 July to 22 July. Rain events originating in the tropics and moving south are possible about 24 June to 28 June, and 21 July to 25 July. Over Western Australia the strongest cold fronts should occur about 23 June to 27 June, 28 June to 2 July, and 3 July to 7 July.

    Forecast Explanation

    This forecast is produced by a multi-model ensemble consisting of dynamical atmospheric models, which are forced by the latest observed atmosphere, ocean, land and ice conditions. The models are designed to simulate features of the real atmosphere, including the daily movement of long and short wave patterns in the Southern Hemisphere.

    The future probability of rain in each district is estimated using output from the multi-model ensemble, combined with historical information about the difference between the model forecasts and observed rainfall.

    In this deterministic framework the skill of the forecast tends to decrease with time, however the forecasts are updated daily to provide the latest estimates of rainfall probability out to 28 days.

  10. 12 Month Rainfall Forecast

    Bobs Creek Rain Forecast


    Bobs Creek 12-month Rainfall Forecast
    Jun
    Jul
    Aug
    Sep
    Oct
    Nov
    Dec
    Jan
    Feb
    Mar
    Apr
    May
    2021
    2022
    5
    7
    7
    6
    7
    7
    6
    8
    8
    6
    7
    7
    10
    5
    0
    1
    2 - 3
    4 - 7
    8 - 9
    10
    Well below normal
    Below normal
    Near normal
    Above normal
    Well above normal

    Issue Notes - Issued Jun 15

    ENSO status: Neutral. IOD status: Neutral, although during the past three weeks it has been negative. SAM status: Positive. The El Niño–Southern Oscillation (ENSO) is currently neutral, which is predicted to continue until at least October. The Indian Ocean Dipole (IOD) is currently neutral. although the last 3 weekly values have been negative.The negative value would need to continue for another 5 weeks for a negative IOD to be declared. While a negative IOD has not been officially declared, the negative weekly value may enhance rainfall across central and southern Australia. A negative IOD is forecast during winter or early spring by 3 out of 5 climate models. However, the confidence in the IOD forecast at this time of the year is low, specifically because the models are showing a range of outcomes from mid winter onwards. During winter, much of the Australia is likely to be wetter than normal, apart from far southern WA and SA, southern VIC and much of TAS. The weekly negative IOD valuesmay be influencing this outlook, potentially feeding moisture into cold fronts sweeping across central and southern Australia. Therefore a normal to above normal snow season is forecast. Springs rainfall at this stage is forecast to be above normal for much of the Australia, apart from western TAS. Again, the negative IOD values may be playing a role in this outlook.

  11. Long range rainfall forecast

    Bobs Creek Rain Forecast


    Bobs Creek 28-day Rainfall Forecast
    SUN
    MON
    TUE
    WED
    THU
    FRI
    SAT
    19
    MEDIUM
    20
    MEDIUM
    21
    HIGH
    22
    MEDIUM
    23
    MEDIUM
    24
    MEDIUM
    25
    LOW
    26
    LOW
    27
    HIGH
    28
    MEDIUM
    29
    30
    LOW
    Jul 1
    2
    3
    4
    5
    6
    LOW
    7
    8
    9
    10
    11
    12
    MEDIUM
    13
    14
    15
    LOW
    16
    LOW
    17
    CHANCE OF RAINFALL WITHIN DISTRICT
    NIL < 25%
    LOW 25% to 50%
    MEDIUM 50% to 75%
    HIGH ≥ 75%
    Issued Jun18

    Issue Notes

    The hemispheric long wave pattern has remained stable in recent weeks. There are four main troughs. Currently the most significant troughs are near the longitudes of South Africa, the Indian Ocean, New Zealand, the south Pacific, and the southeast Pacific.

    Summary:

    Over southern and eastern Australia the cold front events with potential to bring widespread rain are now expected about 28 June to 2 July, 3 July to 7 July, and 18 July to 22 July. Rain events originating in the tropics and moving south are possible about 24 June to 28 June, and 21 July to 25 July. Over Western Australia the strongest cold fronts should occur about 23 June to 27 June, 28 June to 2 July, and 3 July to 7 July.

    Forecast Explanation

    This forecast is produced by a multi-model ensemble consisting of dynamical atmospheric models, which are forced by the latest observed atmosphere, ocean, land and ice conditions. The models are designed to simulate features of the real atmosphere, including the daily movement of long and short wave patterns in the Southern Hemisphere.

    The future probability of rain in each district is estimated using output from the multi-model ensemble, combined with historical information about the difference between the model forecasts and observed rainfall.

    In this deterministic framework the skill of the forecast tends to decrease with time, however the forecasts are updated daily to provide the latest estimates of rainfall probability out to 28 days.

  12. Popup - Daily historical

  13. Past 5 Days

    Bobs Creek Past 5 Days

    This Month
    Minimum Maximum Rainfall
    Monday
    Jun 14
    4.8 °C 17.7 °C
    0.0 mm
    Tuesday
    Jun 15
    5.2 °C 19.6 °C
    0.0 mm
    Wednesday
    Jun 16
    5.1 °C 20.6 °C
    0.0 mm
    Thursday
    Jun 17
    5.9 °C 20.7 °C
    0.0 mm
    Friday
    Jun 18
    0.7 °C 20.2 °C
    0.0 mm
    Legend
  14. Almanac

    Almanac


    Bobs Creek minimum temp history (31.5847°S, 152.7444°E, 10m AMSL)
    MAXIMUM TEMPERATURE MINIMUM TEMPERATURE
    Hottest this month 21.4° 04/06/2021 Coldest this month 0.5° 13/06/2021
    Hottest on record 26.8 16/06/2002 Coldest on record -2.9 16/06/2006
    Hottest this year 31.1° 26/01/2021 Coldest this year 0.5° 13/06/2021
    Long term average 19.4° Long term average 8.3°
    Average this month 19.0° Average this month 5.2°
    Hottest June On Record Avg. max. temp. 20.7° 2001 Coldest June on record Avg. min. temp. 4.5° 2004
    Bobs Creek rainfall history (31.5847°S, 152.7444°E, 10m AMSL)
    RAINFALL
    Wettest This Month 8.8mm 09/06/2021 Total This Month 15.6mm
    4.0 days
    Long Term Average 138.2mm 12.5 days Wettest June on record 342.4mm 2009
    Driest on record 1.2mm 2001
  15. Popup - Radar

    Weather Radar for Australia

  16. Year to Date

    Bobs Creek Year To Date

    Average Rainfall To Jun 904.7mm 80.4 day(s)
    Total For 2021 1340.2mm 97.0 day(s)
    Total To This Day 2020 1018.4mm 90.0 day(s)
    Wettest Day 174.6mm Mar20
    Lowest Temperature 0.5°C Jun13
    Highest Temperature 31.1°C Jan26
  17. Popup - Monthly historical

  18. Climatology

    Climate History

    Bobs Creek Climatology

    Long-Term Averages
    Jan Feb Mar Apr May Jun Jul Aug Sep Oct Nov Dec Ann
    Mean Max (°C) 28.0 27.7 26.5 24.4 21.7 19.4 19.0 20.3 22.8 24.1 25.4 26.9 23.8
    Mean Min (°C) 18.6 18.5 17.1 13.9 10.4 8.3 6.5 6.6 9.3 12.1 15.1 17.0 12.8
    Mean Rain (mm) 144.4 190.8 195.9 131.0 103.1 138.2 65.6 60.5 56.6 75.4 139.7 120.6 1405.6
    Mean Rain Days 12.0 13.9 15.8 13.6 12.8 12.5 10.6 7.8 9.0 10.4 13.3 12.6 143.2