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Forecast

Bobbin Head (33.6567°S, 151.1544°E, 158m AMSL) set as my default location ›

  1. My MLA

  2. Current condition

    TODAY
    Possible shower 10° 18°
    possible shower
    Chance of rain: 30%
    Likely amount: < 1mm
    First
    light
    Sunrise Sunset Last light
    Sunrise Sunset
    6:15am EST 6:41am EST 5:21pm EST 5:47pm EST
    NOW
    10.1° Feels Like:  
    Relative Humidity:  
    Dew: 10.2°
    Wind: SW 7km/h
    Gust: 7km/h
    Rainfall since 9am: 13.2mm
    Pressure:  
  3. Today Weather

    Bobbin Head
    Now
    11.4°c
    Feels Like:
    11.8°
    Wind:
    N 0km/h
    Gusts:
    0km/h
    Humidity:
    100%
    Possible shower
     
    10°
    Min
    18°
    Max
    Today in Bobbin Head
    Partly cloudy. Patchy morning fog. Medium chance of showers and the chance of a thunderstorm, mainly during the afternoon. Light winds.
    Tomorrow
    Showers increasing
    Min
    16°
    Max
    Partly cloudy. Very high chance of showers, most likely in the evening. Winds W/NW 15 to 20 km/h tending W/SW 15 to 25 km/h during the morning.
  4. Radar

  5. Popup Radar

  6. Warnings

    There are no current warnings for Bobbin Head

  7. Next 48 Hours


    Next 48 Hours


  8. 7 day forecast

    Today: Partly cloudy. Patchy morning fog. Medium chance of showers and the chance of a thunderstorm, mainly during the afternoon. Light winds.

    Forecast for Bobbin Head (33.6567°S, 151.1544°E, 158m AMSL)
      Sat Sun Mon Tue Wed Thu Fri
    Summary Possible shower Showers increasing Windy with showers Possible shower Cloudy Sunny Possible shower
    Minimum 10° 10° 10° 10° 10°
    Maximum 18° 16° 15° 17° 18° 20° 19°
    Chance of rain 30% 90% 90% 30% 40% 10% 90%
    Likely amount < 1mm 20-40mm 1-5mm < 1mm 1-5mm < 1mm 5-10mm
    UV index Low Moderate Moderate Moderate Moderate - -
    Frost risk Nil Nil Nil Nil Nil Nil Nil
      9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm
    Wind speed 4
    (km/h)
    3
    (km/h)
    14
    (km/h)
    12
    (km/h)
    32
    (km/h)
    26
    (km/h)
    7
    (km/h)
    3
    (km/h)
    8
    (km/h)
    8
    (km/h)
    10
    (km/h)
    3
    (km/h)
    5
    (km/h)
    4
    (km/h)
    Wind direction WNW NW WNW WSW S S SW SE N NNE NW NNW WNW NE
    Relative humidity 96% 74% 77% 78% 84% 74% 84% 70% 86% 65% 78% 58% 76% 68%
    Dew point 12°C 12°C 7°C 10°C 9°C 9°C 10°C 11°C 11°C 10°C 10°C 10°C 10°C 12°C
  9. 28 Day Rainfall forecast

    Bobbin Head Rain Forecast


    Bobbin Head 28-day Rainfall Forecast
    SUN
    MON
    TUE
    WED
    THU
    FRI
    SAT
    8
    MEDIUM
    9
    HIGH
    10
    HIGH
    11
    12
    LOW
    13
    14
    15
    LOW
    16
    LOW
    17
    LOW
    18
    LOW
    19
    LOW
    20
    LOW
    21
    22
    23
    24
    25
    26
    27
    LOW
    28
    29
    30
    31
    Sep 1
    LOW
    2
    3
    4
    5
    LOW
    CHANCE OF RAINFALL WITHIN DISTRICT
    NIL < 25%
    LOW 25% to 50%
    MEDIUM 50% to 75%
    HIGH ≥ 75%
    Issued Aug 7

    Issue Notes

    The hemispheric long wave pattern has remained stable in recent weeks. There are five main troughs. Currently the most significant troughs are near the longitudes of South Africa, the southwest Indian Ocean, the Indian Ocean, New Zealand, and South America.

    Summary:

    Over southern and eastern Australia the cold front events with potential to bring widespread rain are now expected about 16 August to 20 August, 26 August to 30 August, and 7 September to 11 September. Rain events originating in the tropics and moving south are possible about 15 August to 19 August. Over Western Australia the strongest cold fronts should occur about 16 August to 20 August, 24 August to 28 August, and 7 September to 11 September.

    Forecast Explanation

    This forecast is produced by a multi-model ensemble consisting of dynamical atmospheric models, which are forced by the latest observed atmosphere, ocean, land and ice conditions. The models are designed to simulate features of the real atmosphere, including the daily movement of long and short wave patterns in the Southern Hemisphere.

    The future probability of rain in each district is estimated using output from the multi-model ensemble, combined with historical information about the difference between the model forecasts and observed rainfall.

    In this deterministic framework the skill of the forecast tends to decrease with time, however the forecasts are updated daily to provide the latest estimates of rainfall probability out to 28 days.

  10. 12 Month Rainfall Forecast

    Bobbin Head Rain Forecast


    Bobbin Head 12-month Rainfall Forecast
    Aug
    Sep
    Oct
    Nov
    Dec
    Jan
    Feb
    Mar
    Apr
    May
    Jun
    2020
    2021
    8
    7
    8
    7
    8
    6
    10
    5
    7
    6
    7
    10
    5
    0
    1
    2 - 3
    4 - 7
    8 - 9
    10
    Well below normal
    Below normal
    Near normal
    Above normal
    Well above normal

    Issue Notes - Issued Aug 5

    ENSO status: La Nina Watch IOD status: Neutral SAM status: Positive Sea surface temperatures (SSTs) across the equatorial central Pacific show a slight decrease in the intensity of cooling compared to June, with the Nino3.4 index registering a value of 0.0 in July. The Southern Oscillation Index (SOI) recorded a value of 4.2 in the same month, a swing into positive values compared to June. The current outlook suggests that cooler than average SSTs will continue across the equatorial pacific through the end of winter and potentially reach La Nina thresholds by mid-spring. All eight international models continue to suggest a cooler side of neutral for the region throughout the remainder of the Austral winter and through spring, with four of these indicating La Nina by Spring. The current International Research Institute for Climate and Society (IRI) outlook suggests a 54:41 chance for La Nina:Neutral conditions by the end of the Austral spring. To the west of Australia, the Indian Ocean Dipole (IOD) remains neutral. Two of the six international models indicate a negative IOD becoming established during the Austral spring, with the remaining four indicating a neutral phase. Of the four neutral models, including the BOM, three are trending slightly negative within the neutral zone by early spring, with only the Canadian model trending positive. In terms of precipitation over Australia, the current short-term outlook favours above average rainfall across most of Australia over the next fortnight, with the exception of western TAS, far southern VIC, and northern QLD and the NT. These expected wetter than average conditions will likely be due to the passage of moisture troughs inland and fronts, in part driven by the positive SAM. Models are then indicating a continued trend to above average rainfall for inland SA, all but the far north of the NT, western, central and southern QLD, northern and western NSW and parts of southern WA. Parts of WA’s Pilbara and Kimberley however are showing signs of below average rainfall into early spring.

  11. Long range rainfall forecast

    Bobbin Head Rain Forecast


    Bobbin Head 28-day Rainfall Forecast
    SUN
    MON
    TUE
    WED
    THU
    FRI
    SAT
    8
    MEDIUM
    9
    HIGH
    10
    HIGH
    11
    12
    LOW
    13
    14
    15
    LOW
    16
    LOW
    17
    LOW
    18
    LOW
    19
    LOW
    20
    LOW
    21
    22
    23
    24
    25
    26
    27
    LOW
    28
    29
    30
    31
    Sep 1
    LOW
    2
    3
    4
    5
    LOW
    CHANCE OF RAINFALL WITHIN DISTRICT
    NIL < 25%
    LOW 25% to 50%
    MEDIUM 50% to 75%
    HIGH ≥ 75%
    Issued Aug 7

    Issue Notes

    The hemispheric long wave pattern has remained stable in recent weeks. There are five main troughs. Currently the most significant troughs are near the longitudes of South Africa, the southwest Indian Ocean, the Indian Ocean, New Zealand, and South America.

    Summary:

    Over southern and eastern Australia the cold front events with potential to bring widespread rain are now expected about 16 August to 20 August, 26 August to 30 August, and 7 September to 11 September. Rain events originating in the tropics and moving south are possible about 15 August to 19 August. Over Western Australia the strongest cold fronts should occur about 16 August to 20 August, 24 August to 28 August, and 7 September to 11 September.

    Forecast Explanation

    This forecast is produced by a multi-model ensemble consisting of dynamical atmospheric models, which are forced by the latest observed atmosphere, ocean, land and ice conditions. The models are designed to simulate features of the real atmosphere, including the daily movement of long and short wave patterns in the Southern Hemisphere.

    The future probability of rain in each district is estimated using output from the multi-model ensemble, combined with historical information about the difference between the model forecasts and observed rainfall.

    In this deterministic framework the skill of the forecast tends to decrease with time, however the forecasts are updated daily to provide the latest estimates of rainfall probability out to 28 days.

  12. Popup - Daily historical

  13. Past 5 Days

    Bobbin Head Past 5 Days

    This Month
    Minimum Maximum Rainfall
    Monday
    Aug 03
    6.3 °C 20.4 °C
    0.2 mm
    Tuesday
    Aug 04
    9.7 °C 19.7 °C
    0.0 mm
    Wednesday
    Aug 05
    3.7 °C 16.1 °C
    0.0 mm
    Thursday
    Aug 06
    3.0 °C 14.0 °C
    0.0 mm
    Friday
    Aug 07
    7.6 °C 12.2 °C
    0.0 mm
    Legend
  14. Almanac

    Almanac


    Bobbin Head minimum temp history (33.6567°S, 151.1544°E, 158m AMSL)
    MAXIMUM TEMPERATURE MINIMUM TEMPERATURE
    Hottest this month 20.4° 03/08/2020 Coldest this month 3.0° 06/08/2020
    Hottest on record 27.9 23/08/2012 Coldest on record 1.5 05/08/2015
    Hottest this year 44.5° 04/01/2020 Coldest this year 3.0° 06/08/2020
    Long term average 17.8° Long term average 8.4°
    Average this month 16.9° Average this month 6.1°
    Hottest August On Record Avg. max. temp. 19.6° 2009 Coldest August on record Avg. min. temp. 6.3° 2008
    Bobbin Head rainfall history (33.6567°S, 151.1544°E, 158m AMSL)
    RAINFALL
    Wettest This Month 0.2mm 01/08/2020 Total This Month 0.4mm
    2.0 days
    Long Term Average 58.6mm 9.1 days Wettest August on record 235.6mm 2014
    Driest on record 2.6mm 2005
  15. Popup - Radar

    Weather Radar for NSW/ACT

  16. Year to Date

    Bobbin Head Year To Date

    Average Rainfall To Aug 841.0mm 97.3 day(s)
    Total For 2020 783.2mm 117.0 day(s)
    Total To This Day 2019 593.0mm 82.0 day(s)
    Wettest Day 81.6mm Jul27
    Lowest Temperature 3.0°C Aug 6
    Highest Temperature 44.5°C Jan 4
  17. Popup - Monthly historical

  18. Climatology

    Climate History

    Bobbin Head Climatology

    Long-Term Averages
    Jan Feb Mar Apr May Jun Jul Aug Sep Oct Nov Dec Ann
    Mean Max (°C) 26.7 26.0 24.7 22.0 19.5 16.5 16.0 17.8 20.6 22.8 24.1 25.3 21.9
    Mean Min (°C) 18.4 18.2 16.9 13.8 10.7 8.9 7.6 8.4 11.1 13.1 15.4 16.6 13.3
    Mean Rain (mm) 100.4 138.5 136.4 124.1 60.4 154.9 67.7 58.6 67.2 71.3 106.2 85.7 1170.4
    Mean Rain Days 13.8 14.0 14.1 13.1 8.5 13.8 10.9 9.1 9.5 10.8 12.9 11.8 129.7