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Forecast

Blue Bay (33.3572°S, 151.5°E, 0m AMSL) set as my default location ›

  1. My MLA

  2. Current condition

    TOMORROW
    Showers 15° 16°
    Chance of rain: 90%
    Likely amount: 5-10mm
    First
    light
    Sunrise Sunset Last light
    Sunrise Sunset
    5:54am EST 6:19am EST 5:32pm EST 5:58pm EST
    NOW
    15.9° Feels Like: 13.1°
    Relative Humidity: 86%
    Dew: 13.5°
    Wind: SSE 20km/h
    Gust: SSE 20km/h
    Rainfall since 9am: 0.0mm
    Pressure:  
  3. Today Weather

    Blue Bay
    Now
    13.7°c
    Feels Like:
    14.3°
    Wind:
    WNW 2km/h
    Gusts:
    2km/h
    Humidity:
    96%
    Showers
     
    15°
    Min
    16°
    Max
    Today in Blue Bay
    Partly cloudy. Areas of fog in the early morning. High chance of showers about the Lower Hunter, slight chance elsewhere. The chance of a thunderstorm near the coast in the morning. Light winds becoming SE/SW 15 to 20 km/h in the early afternoon then becoming SE 15 to 25 km/h in the late afternoon. Overnight temperatures falling to between 7 and 12 with daytime temperatures reaching between 15 and 20.
    Tomorrow
    Showers
    15°
    Min
    16°
    Max
    Partly cloudy. Areas of fog in the early morning. Medium chance of showers about the Lower Hunter, most likely in the late morning and afternoon. Near zero chance of rain elsewhere. Light winds. Overnight temperatures falling to between 6 and 10 with daytime temperatures reaching between 18 and 22.
  4. Radar

  5. Popup Radar

  6. Warnings

  7. Next 48 Hours


    Next 48 Hours


  8. 7 day forecast

    Today: Partly cloudy. Areas of fog in the early morning. High chance of showers about the Lower Hunter, slight chance elsewhere. The chance of a thunderstorm near the coast in the morning. Light winds becoming SE/SW 15 to 20 km/h in the early afternoon then becoming SE 15 to 25 km/h in the late afternoon. Overnight temperatures falling to between 7 and 12 with daytime temperatures reaching between 15 and 20.

    Forecast for Blue Bay (33.3572°S, 151.5°E, 0m AMSL)
      Tue Wed Thu Fri Sat Sun Mon
    Summary Showers Possible shower Showers Possible thunderstorm Possible thunderstorm Mostly sunny Sunny
    Minimum 15° 13° 13° 12° 14° 14° 13°
    Maximum 16° 17° 15° 16° 17° 17° 17°
    Chance of rain 90% 60% 70% 80% 90% 50% 40%
    Likely amount 5-10mm < 1mm 10-20mm 20-40mm 10-20mm 1-5mm < 1mm
    UV index Moderate Moderate Moderate - - - -
    Frost risk Nil Nil Nil Nil Nil Nil Nil
      9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm
    Wind speed 8
    (km/h)
    20
    (km/h)
    2
    (km/h)
    10
    (km/h)
    8
    (km/h)
    20
    (km/h)
    14
    (km/h)
    24
    (km/h)
    14
    (km/h)
    23
    (km/h)
    8
    (km/h)
    14
    (km/h)
    9
    (km/h)
    16
    (km/h)
    Wind direction S SSE SW SSE SW SSW SSW SSE SSE SSE SW SSE WSW S
    Relative humidity 76% 81% 73% 68% 63% 67% 75% 75% 76% 76% 74% 74% 69% 65%
    Dew point 12°C 12°C 10°C 11°C 8°C 9°C 10°C 11°C 12°C 13°C 11°C 12°C 10°C 10°C
  9. 28 Day Rainfall forecast

    Blue Bay Rain Forecast


    Blue Bay 28-day Rainfall Forecast
    SUN
    MON
    TUE
    WED
    THU
    FRI
    SAT
    26
    MEDIUM
    27
    MEDIUM
    28
    LOW
    29
    HIGH
    30
    HIGH
    31
    MEDIUM
    Sep 1
    LOW
    2
    MEDIUM
    3
    4
    5
    6
    7
    LOW
    8
    9
    10
    11
    12
    13
    MEDIUM
    14
    LOW
    15
    LOW
    16
    17
    LOW
    18
    LOW
    19
    MEDIUM
    20
    21
    HIGH
    22
    MEDIUM
    23
    CHANCE OF RAINFALL WITHIN DISTRICT
    NIL < 25%
    LOW 25% to 50%
    MEDIUM 50% to 75%
    HIGH ≥ 75%
    Issued Aug26

    Issue Notes

    The hemispheric long wave pattern has remained stable in recent weeks. There are five main troughs. Currently the most significant troughs are near the longitudes of South Africa, the Indian Ocean, Western Australia, the south Pacific, and South America.

    Summary:

    Over southern and eastern Australia the cold front events with potential to bring widespread rain are now expected about 5 September to 9 September, 11 September to 15 September, and 19 September to 23 September. Rain events originating in the tropics and moving south are possible about 24 August to 28 August. Over Western Australia the strongest cold fronts should occur about 5 September to 9 September, 11 September to 15 September, and 19 September to 23 September.

  10. 12 Month Rainfall Forecast

    Blue Bay Rain Forecast


    Blue Bay 12-month Rainfall Forecast
    Aug
    Sep
    Oct
    Nov
    Dec
    Jan
    Feb
    Mar
    Apr
    May
    Jun
    Jul
    2019
    2020
    3
    4
    5
    5
    4
    5
    7
    6
    7
    6
    8
    7
    10
    5
    0
    1
    2 - 3
    4 - 7
    8 - 9
    10
    Well below normal
    Below normal
    Near normal
    Above normal
    Well above normal

    Issue Notes - Issued Aug 8

    ENSO status: Neutral IOD status: Positive Sea surface temperatures (SST's) continued a cooling trend over the central Pacific during July. The Nino3.4 index lingered at about 0.5 through the month of July. The Southern Oscillation Index (SOI) recorded a value of -5.6 in July, which is now in neutral territory. Current consensus suggests warmer than average SSTs will remain across the equatorial Pacific Ocean through the austral spring, but well within neutral values. Although, six out of eight international models maintain a warmer than average Pacific Ocean through the remainder of 2019, none of these are reaching El Nino thresholds during the 2019/2020 summer. Moreover, the IRI ENSO forecast suggests less than 50% of another El Nino developing over the next 12 months. On the other hand, the Indian Ocean Dipole (IOD) remains strongly positive. Six out of six international models maintain a positive event until mid-spring. The climate outlook for the four weeks left in winter and spring, favours average-to-below average rainfall across the southern half of Australia, in particular over the eastern half of the continent. During Positive IODs, central and southeastern Australia tend to see a reduction in rainfall during the end of winter and the first half of spring due to a reduction of moisture streaming from the northwest. SST's along the eastern seaboard remain significantly warmer than average (especially off NSW) maintaining a high risk of extreme weather events such as East Coast Lows (ECLs). These can bring intense periods of rainfall east of the Great Dividing Range, leading to flash flooding.

  11. Long range rainfall forecast

    Blue Bay Rain Forecast


    Blue Bay 28-day Rainfall Forecast
    SUN
    MON
    TUE
    WED
    THU
    FRI
    SAT
    26
    MEDIUM
    27
    MEDIUM
    28
    LOW
    29
    HIGH
    30
    HIGH
    31
    MEDIUM
    Sep 1
    LOW
    2
    MEDIUM
    3
    4
    5
    6
    7
    LOW
    8
    9
    10
    11
    12
    13
    MEDIUM
    14
    LOW
    15
    LOW
    16
    17
    LOW
    18
    LOW
    19
    MEDIUM
    20
    21
    HIGH
    22
    MEDIUM
    23
    CHANCE OF RAINFALL WITHIN DISTRICT
    NIL < 25%
    LOW 25% to 50%
    MEDIUM 50% to 75%
    HIGH ≥ 75%
    Issued Aug26

    Issue Notes

    The hemispheric long wave pattern has remained stable in recent weeks. There are five main troughs. Currently the most significant troughs are near the longitudes of South Africa, the Indian Ocean, Western Australia, the south Pacific, and South America.

    Summary:

    Over southern and eastern Australia the cold front events with potential to bring widespread rain are now expected about 5 September to 9 September, 11 September to 15 September, and 19 September to 23 September. Rain events originating in the tropics and moving south are possible about 24 August to 28 August. Over Western Australia the strongest cold fronts should occur about 5 September to 9 September, 11 September to 15 September, and 19 September to 23 September.

  12. Popup - Daily historical

  13. Past 5 Days

    Blue Bay Past 5 Days

    This Month
    Minimum Maximum Rainfall
    Thursday
    Aug 22
    13.1 °C 19.8 °C
    0.0 mm
    Friday
    Aug 23
    9.4 °C 18.4 °C
    0.0 mm
    Saturday
    Aug 24
    8.6 °C 24.9 °C
    0.0 mm
    Sunday
    Aug 25
    12.0 °C 22.8 °C
    0.0 mm
    Monday
    Aug 26
    13.1 °C 17 °C
    6.8 mm
    Legend
  14. Almanac

    Almanac


    Blue Bay minimum temp history (33.3572°S, 151.5°E, 0m AMSL)
    MAXIMUM TEMPERATURE MINIMUM TEMPERATURE
    Hottest this month 24.9° 24/08/2019 Coldest this month 6.7° 15/08/2019
    Hottest on record 29.4 21/08/1995 Coldest on record 4.6 12/08/2005
    Hottest this year 39.5° 05/01/2019 Coldest this year 6.7° 15/08/2019
    Long term average 18.8° Long term average 10.5°
    Average this month 19.7° Average this month 10.1°
    Hottest August On Record Avg. max. temp. 20.6° 2009 Coldest August on record Avg. min. temp. 8.2° 2008
    Blue Bay rainfall history (33.3572°S, 151.5°E, 0m AMSL)
    RAINFALL
    Wettest This Month 7.0mm 26/08/2019 Total This Month 13.6mm
    5.0 days
    Long Term Average 73.6mm 9.0 days Wettest August on record 218.2mm 2009
  15. Popup - Radar

  16. Year to Date

    Blue Bay Year To Date

    Average Rainfall To Aug 921.2mm 98.9 day(s)
    Total For 2019 740.6mm 109.0 day(s)
    Total To This Day 2018 619.6mm 93.0 day(s)
    Wettest Day 61.6mm Mar17
    Lowest Temperature 6.7°C Aug15
    Highest Temperature 39.5°C Jan 5
  17. Popup - Monthly historical

  18. Climatology

    Blue Bay Climatology

    Long-Term Averages
    Jan Feb Mar Apr May Jun Jul Aug Sep Oct Nov Dec Ann
    Mean Max (°C) 26.1 26.0 25.1 22.9 20.3 18.0 17.3 18.8 21.0 22.7 23.7 24.9 22.2
    Mean Min (°C) 19.7 20.0 18.9 15.9 13.1 11.1 9.7 10.5 12.8 14.8 16.8 18.4 15.1
    Mean Rain (mm) 89.7 115.3 123.8 139.3 141.7 148.4 89.4 73.6 72.7 58.4 96.3 70.3 1223.3
    Mean Rain Days 12.3 12.0 13.3 13.8 13.6 13.5 11.4 9.0 11.5 10.5 12.5 11.3 140.7